{"id":43001,"date":"2026-04-02T00:02:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T00:02:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/43001\/"},"modified":"2026-04-02T00:02:10","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T00:02:10","slug":"cina-sbira-geopoliticke-body-zdarma-a-ve-stinu-valky-si-v-klidu-mapuje-tichomorske-dno-pro-sve-ponorky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/43001\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010c\u00edna sb\u00edr\u00e1 geopolitick\u00e9 body zdarma a ve st\u00ednu v\u00e1lky si v klidu mapuje tichomo\u0159sk\u00e9 dno pro sv\u00e9 ponorky"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u010c\u00edna by teoreticky nem\u011bla b\u00fdt v\u00edt\u011bzem v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/a> \u00cdr\u00e1n je jej\u00edm spojencem a\u00a0asijsk\u00e1 velmoc siln\u011b z\u00e1vis\u00ed na rop\u011b proud\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159es Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv.<\/a> P\u0159esto se zd\u00e1, \u017ee j\u00ed realita nakonec hraje do karet. Re\u017eim v\u00a0Teher\u00e1nu se zat\u00edm dr\u017e\u00ed u\u00a0moci a\u00a0uz\u00e1v\u011bra n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed tepny se Pekingu t\u00fdk\u00e1 jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b.<\/p>\n

Z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska \u010c\u00edna t\u011b\u017e\u00ed z\u00a0paniky, kterou americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump operac\u00ed vyvolal. Peking tak nech\u00e1v\u00e1 krv\u00e1cet americkou arm\u00e1du a\u00a0mezit\u00edm si mapuje dna sv\u011btov\u00fdch oce\u00e1n\u016f pro p\u0159\u00edpadnou ponorkovou v\u00e1lku se sv\u00fdm rivalem.<\/p>\n

Asijsk\u00e1 velmoc se na naru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek proz\u00edrav\u011b p\u0159ipravila<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n byl podle odborn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f<\/a> v\u00a0uplynul\u00fdch letech d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm dodavatelem ropy do \u010c\u00edny, by\u0165 kv\u016fli sankc\u00edm nefiguroval v\u00a0ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch statistik\u00e1ch a\u00a0tento obchod byl nejsp\u00ed\u0161 maskov\u00e1n nap\u0159\u00edklad importem z\u00a0Malajsie. Odeb\u00edrala od n\u011bj patrn\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e desetinu sv\u00e9ho importu a\u00a0zajistila si tak energie v\u00a0hodnot\u011b stovek miliard dolar\u016f pod tr\u017en\u00edmi cenami. A\u00a0v\u0161e nasv\u011bd\u010duje tomu, \u017ee tato v\u00fdm\u011bna \u010dile pokra\u010duje, p\u0159esto\u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina lod\u00ed Hormuzem nepluje.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna patrn\u011b st\u00e1le dost\u00e1v\u00e1 i\u00a0nezanedbateln\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed ropy od dal\u0161\u00edch bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edch dodavatel\u016f, kter\u00fdm se \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b da\u0159\u00ed p\u0159esm\u011brovat ropn\u00fd export z\u00a0Hormuzu. Bloomberg<\/a> kup\u0159\u00edkladu uvedl, \u017ee j\u00ed Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie v\u00a0dubnu nejsp\u00ed\u0161 dod\u00e1 \u010dty\u0159icet milion\u016f barel\u016f, zat\u00edmco v\u00a0\u00fanoru to bylo 48\u00a0milion\u016f. \u201eSpole\u010dnost Saudi Aramco i\u00a0nad\u00e1le zaji\u0161\u0165uje spolehliv\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky energie vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00edm alternativn\u00edch exportn\u00edch tras p\u0159es Janb\u00fa v\u00a0reakci na vyv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se region\u00e1ln\u00ed podm\u00ednky,\u201c citovala agentura vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed firmy.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee patrn\u011b nem\u00e1 k\u00a0dispozici ve\u0161kerou p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dnou surovinu z\u00a0regionu, zat\u00edm Peking nejsp\u00ed\u0161 nouzi nepoci\u0165uje. \u201e\u010c\u00edna se p\u0159ipravovala na riziko naru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek ropy. Z\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00a0o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fatoku USA a\u00a0Izraele jen v\u00a0lednu a\u00a0v\u00a0\u00fanoru zv\u00fd\u0161ila jej\u00ed dovoz o\u00a0\u0161estn\u00e1ct procent, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e Rusko vyvezlo do \u010c\u00edny p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 300\u00a0tis\u00edc barel\u016f denn\u011b nav\u00edc,\u201c konstatoval<\/a> Peterson Institute for International Economics. Americk\u00fd think-tank tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee d\u00edky tomu m\u00e1 Peking v\u00a0rezerv\u00e1ch 1,3 a\u017e 1,4\u00a0miliardy barel\u016f levn\u011b po\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 ropy, co\u017e pokr\u00fdv\u00e1 zhruba \u010dty\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce dovozu. Podobn\u00e9 odhady uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed i\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed zdroje<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Peking m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 v\u00fdhodu i\u00a0v\u00a0tom, \u017ee vsadil na elektrifikaci ekonomiky a\u00a0v\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b piln\u011b budoval nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zdroje elekt\u0159iny a\u00a0rozv\u00edjel elektromobilitu. V\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b elektrick\u00fd proud p\u0159edstavuje<\/a> t\u0159icet procent kone\u010dn\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 spot\u0159eby, co\u017e je v\u00edce ne\u017e v\u00a0USA a\u00a0EU. Zem\u011b je tak odoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u016f\u010di ropn\u00fdm \u0161ok\u016fm. A\u00a0pokud nyn\u00ed dojdou n\u011bkter\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1ty sv\u011bta k\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee je p\u0159ed ropn\u00fdmi ot\u0159esy ochr\u00e1n\u00ed investice do zelen\u00fdch technologi\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee Peking profitovat z\u00a0jejich v\u00fdvozu<\/a> je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e dosud.<\/p>\n

Jestli v\u0161ak v\u00e1lka tvrd\u011b dopadne na Evropu, USA i\u00a0na dal\u0161\u00ed regiony a\u00a0zp\u016fsob\u00ed jim hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 pot\u00ed\u017ee, mohou b\u00fdt ekonomick\u00e1 pozitiva pro Peking umaz\u00e1na celkovou ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed popt\u00e1vkou po jeho exportu. \u00dalevou pro n\u011bj m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt, \u017ee jeho zbo\u017e\u00ed nejsp\u00ed\u0161 bude m\u00edt v\u00fdhodu p\u0159ed konkurenc\u00ed, proto\u017ee \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 v\u00fdrobn\u00ed n\u00e1klady d\u00edky p\u0159ipravenosti nejsp\u00ed\u0161 neporostou tak rychle jako v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b jin\u00fdch producent\u016f.<\/p>\n

Vypr\u00e1zdn\u011bn\u00e9 americk\u00e9 zbrojn\u00ed sklady a\u00a0z\u00e1vislost na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch<\/p>\n

Z hlediska soupe\u0159en\u00ed se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty \u010c\u00edn\u011b vyhovuje, \u017ee jeho rival v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu spot\u0159ebov\u00e1v\u00e1 mno\u017estv\u00ed drah\u00fdch a\u00a0obt\u00ed\u017en\u011b nahraditeln\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, co\u017e p\u0159echodn\u011b oslabuje jeho vojenskou s\u00edlu. V\u00a0posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech se tak v\u00a0m\u00e9di\u00edch objevuje kritika mizej\u00edc\u00edch z\u00e1sob st\u0159el s\u00a0plochou dr\u00e1hou letu Tomahawk \u010di raket do protivzdu\u0161n\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f Patriot a\u00a0THAAD. Americk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany se sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159im\u011bt<\/a> velk\u00e9 zbrojn\u00ed firmy, aby vypr\u00e1zdn\u011bn\u00e9 sklady co nejrychleji znovu zaplnily, zde ale op\u011bt p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed na sc\u00e9nu \u010c\u00edna.<\/p>\n

Obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm konzumentem kritick\u00fdch miner\u00e1l\u016f, kter\u00e9 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty musej\u00ed dov\u00e1\u017eet od asijsk\u00e9ho dodavatele. Sna\u017e\u00ed se sice sn\u00ed\u017eit svou z\u00e1vislost na n\u011bm, ale st\u00e1le jsou na za\u010d\u00e1tku cesty. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia dokonce nazna\u010duj\u00ed<\/a>, \u017ee Peking m\u00e1 pro dal\u0161\u00ed obchodn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0Trumpem eso v\u00a0ruk\u00e1vu, proto\u017ee americk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby pot\u0159ebn\u00fdch surovin jsou nebezpe\u010dn\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9.<\/p>\n

\u201eV\u00e1lku jednadvac\u00e1t\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed nelze v\u00e9st s\u00a0dodavatelsk\u00fdmi \u0159et\u011bzci dvac\u00e1t\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed,\u201c citoval web Oil Price<\/a> Lipiho Sternheima ze spole\u010dnosti REalloys, kter\u00e1 se v\u00a0USA pod\u00edl\u00ed na budov\u00e1n\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00edho dodavatelsk\u00e9ho \u0159et\u011bzce. \u201eModern\u00ed zbran\u011b se spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na materi\u00e1ly, kter\u00e9 je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 z\u00edskat, obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 zpracovat a obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 nahradit, jakmile se z\u00e1soby za\u010dnou kr\u00e1tit,\u201c dodal Sternheim.<\/p>\n

Velk\u00fdm rizikem pro Peking samoz\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00a0tuto chv\u00edli je, \u017ee se \u0161\u00e9fovi B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu a\u00a0izraelsk\u00e9mu premi\u00e9rovi Benjaminu Netanjahuovi nakonec p\u0159ece jenom poda\u0159\u00ed svrhnout \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim a\u00a0nastolit v\u00a0zemi proamerickou vl\u00e1du. \u201eNaopak sta\u017een\u00ed USA vynucen\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00edmi n\u00e1klady, odolnost\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu nebo oboj\u00edm by otev\u0159elo prostor pro roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 diplomacie a\u00a0investic v\u00a0cel\u00e9m regionu,\u201c podot\u00fdk\u00e1 Peterson\u016fv \u00fastav.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00e1st americk\u00fdch spojenc\u016f nyn\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1 Peking pozitivn\u011bji<\/p>\n

V \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce v\u0161ak nejde pouze o\u00a0vliv na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, ale o\u00a0celkovou pov\u011bst, kter\u00e1 Pekingu m\u016f\u017ee napomoci ke glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dominanci. Trumpovo zhruba ro\u010dn\u00ed p\u016fsoben\u00ed u\u017e dok\u00e1zalo zm\u011bnit n\u00e1zory na geopolitickou orientaci v\u00a0mnoha zem\u00edch<\/a> v\u010detn\u011b t\u011bch spojeneck\u00fdch. Asijsk\u00e1 velmoc p\u0159itom nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt nijak aktivn\u00ed, sta\u010d\u00ed j\u00ed zauj\u00edmat um\u00edrn\u011bnou pozici a\u00a0vyz\u00fdvat ke sm\u00edru.<\/p>\n

Nap\u0159\u00edklad ned\u00e1vn\u00fd pr\u016fzkum webu Politico<\/a> ukazuje, \u017ee v\u00a0N\u011bmecku, Francii, Brit\u00e1nii a\u00a0v\u00a0Kanad\u011b by v\u00edce lid\u00ed rad\u011bji volilo z\u00e1vislost na \u010c\u00edn\u011b ne\u017e na USA pod Trumpov\u00fdm veden\u00edm. \u201eRespondenti v\u00a0t\u011bchto zem\u00edch st\u00e1le v\u00edce vn\u00edmaj\u00ed \u010c\u00ednu jako spolehliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edho partnera ne\u017e USA. A\u00a0v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee tento asijsk\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd kolos je l\u00eddrem v\u00a0oblasti pokro\u010dil\u00fdch technologi\u00ed v\u010detn\u011b um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence,\u201c podotkl web. Dot\u00e1zan\u00ed Evropan\u00e9 podle n\u011bj pova\u017euj\u00ed za mo\u017en\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017eit z\u00e1vislost na USA, ale omezit p\u0159ipoutanost k\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b je podle nich t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\"Evropan\u00e9<\/a>Evropan\u00e9 se nepou\u010dili. Necht\u011bj\u00ed vrty, j\u00e1dro ani v\u011btrn\u00edky za humny, a tak op\u011bt zaplat\u00ed za drahou ropu a plyn<\/a><\/p>\n

Nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pochyb o\u00a0tom, \u017ee Peking bedliv\u011b sleduje vla\u017en\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 reakce na americk\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy k\u00a0podpo\u0159e operace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a\u00a0rozpad d\u016fv\u011bry v\u00a0r\u00e1mci NATO. A\u00a0pokud akce skon\u010d\u00ed pro USA fiaskem, m\u016f\u017ee pro n\u011bj b\u00fdt povzbuzen\u00edm k\u00a0vlastn\u00edm v\u00fdpad\u016fm, zejm\u00e9na sm\u011brem k\u00a0Tchaj-wanu. Existuje p\u0159itom \u0159ada n\u00e1znak\u016f, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna rozhodn\u011b vojensky nezah\u00e1l\u00ed a\u00a0nejde jen o\u00a0samotn\u00e9 zbrojen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna se v\u00a0Tichomo\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ipravuje, Japonci ale t\u00e9\u017e<\/p>\n

Agentura Reuters<\/a> informovala o\u00a0tom, \u017ee Peking prov\u00e1d\u00ed rozs\u00e1hlou podmo\u0159skou mapovac\u00ed a\u00a0monitorovac\u00ed operaci v\u00a0Tich\u00e9m, Indick\u00e9m a\u00a0v\u00a0Severn\u00edm ledov\u00e9m oce\u00e1nu. Z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 tak podrobn\u00e9 znalosti o\u00a0mo\u0159sk\u00fdch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 by podle n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch expert\u016f byly kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 pro veden\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edm zem\u00edm.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed se \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159uje na vojensky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 vody kolem Filip\u00edn, pobl\u00ed\u017e ostrova Guam, Havajsk\u00fdch ostrov\u016f a\u00a0americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na atolu Wake. \u201eData z\u00a0pr\u016fzkumu plavidel by mohla b\u00fdt potenci\u00e1ln\u011b neoceniteln\u00e1 p\u0159i p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b boji\u0161t\u011b pro \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ponorky,\u201c je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den b\u00fdval\u00fd velitel australsk\u00fdch ponorkov\u00fdch sil Peter Scott. \u201ePo cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo mohlo po\u010d\u00edtat s\u00a0asymetrickou v\u00fdhodou ve sv\u00fdch znalostech oce\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho boji\u0161t\u011b,\u201c tvrd\u00ed Ryan Martinson z\u00a0U.S. Naval War College s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd pr\u016fzkum tuto p\u0159ednost m\u016f\u017ee zni\u010dit.<\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dt\u00ed spojenci v\u00a0Tichomo\u0159\u00ed tak rozhodn\u011b sv\u016fj postoj k\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b nep\u0159ehodnocuj\u00ed a\u00a0jsou v\u016f\u010di n\u00ed siln\u011b ostra\u017eit\u00ed. Kup\u0159\u00edkladu Japonsko v\u00a0sou\u010dasnosti opev\u0148uje souostrov\u00ed Rj\u00fakj\u00fa,<\/a> kter\u00e9 se t\u00e1hne od ostrova Kj\u00fa\u0161\u00fa sm\u011brem k\u00a0Tchaj-wanu. To posiluje domn\u011bnku, \u017ee by se Tokio n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem do obrany Tchaj-wanu zapojilo nebo bylo do p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky zavle\u010deno. \u201eJde o\u00a0to, \u017ee ozbrojen\u00fd konflikt o\u00a0Tchaj-wan je neodd\u011bliteln\u00fd od japonsk\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed obrany. To Tchaj-wanu mimod\u011bk pom\u016f\u017ee,\u201c \u0159ekl The Wall Street Journal<\/a> japonsk\u00fd bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed expert Takuja Macuda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u010c\u00edna by teoreticky nem\u011bla b\u00fdt v\u00edt\u011bzem v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. \u00cdr\u00e1n je jej\u00edm spojencem a\u00a0asijsk\u00e1 velmoc siln\u011b z\u00e1vis\u00ed…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":43002,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[1014,4495,202,212,4075,808,2140,382,205,54,5019,113,645,53,52],"class_list":{"0":"post-43001","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-bezpecnost","9":"tag-blizky-vychod","10":"tag-cina","11":"tag-donald-trump","12":"tag-geopolitika","13":"tag-iran","14":"tag-peking","15":"tag-reuters","16":"tag-ropa","17":"tag-svet","18":"tag-tchaj-wan","19":"tag-usa","20":"tag-valka","21":"tag-world","22":"tag-world-news"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116332183156849874","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43001","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43001"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43001\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43002"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43001"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43001"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43001"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}