Arm\u00e1da pat\u0159\u00ed dlouhodob\u011b mezi st\u00e1tn\u00ed instituce s\u00a0nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u016fv\u011brou. Ta po propadu v\u00a0letech 2023\u00a0a\u00a02024\u00a0op\u011bt roste. <\/p>\n
Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rozd\u00edly ohledn\u011b arm\u00e1dy a\u00a0v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu jsou mezi voli\u010di sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy a\u00a0opozice. Jen\u017ee zat\u00edmco voli\u010di b\u00fdval\u00e9 koalice byli v\u00a0podpo\u0159e zbrojen\u00ed i\u00a0v d\u016fv\u011b\u0159e v\u00a0arm\u00e1du prakticky jednotn\u00ed, tak mezi p\u0159\u00edznivci jednotliv\u00fdch stran Babi\u0161ova kabinetu panuj\u00ed nemal\u00e9 rozd\u00edly.<\/p>\n
Voli\u010di ANO, SPD a\u00a0Motorist\u016f se neshoduj\u00ed v\u00a0tom, jak moc v\u011b\u0159\u00ed arm\u00e1d\u011b, ani v\u00a0tom, jestli j\u00ed p\u0159id\u00e1vat pen\u00edze. Ukazuj\u00ed to data agentury STEM ze za\u010d\u00e1tku leto\u0161n\u00edho roku, kter\u00e1 maj\u00ed Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy exkluzivn\u011b k\u00a0dispozici. <\/p>\n
Stranick\u00e9 preference jsou p\u0159itom v\u00a0postoji k\u00a0obran\u011b nejv\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u0161t\u011bp\u00edc\u00ed lini\u00ed, v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v\u011bk nebo vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n
\u201eRozd\u00edly mezi voli\u010di st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed koalice jsou opravdu velk\u00e9. Vid\u00edme tam v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 pnut\u00ed. Nejv\u00edc jsou proti v\u00fddaj\u016fm na obranu a\u00a0posilov\u00e1n\u00ed arm\u00e1dy voli\u010di SPD a\u00a0naopak nejv\u00edc podporuj\u00edc\u00ed jsou voli\u010di Motorist\u016f,\u201c shrnuje analytik STEM Ji\u0159\u00ed T\u00e1borsk\u00fd.<\/p>\n
Podle posledn\u00edch \u010d\u00edsel z\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edho ledna\u00a0arm\u00e1d\u011b d\u016fv\u011b\u0159uje 77\u00a0procent motoristick\u00fdch podporovatel\u016f, zat\u00edmco u\u00a0p\u0159\u00edznivc\u016f SPD to bylo v\u016fbec nejm\u00e9n\u011b ze v\u0161ech parlamentn\u00edch stran\u00a0\u2013 jen 55\u00a0procent. Pokud jde o\u00a0voli\u010de hnut\u00ed ANO, arm\u00e1d\u011b na za\u010d\u00e1tku leto\u0161n\u00edho roku v\u011b\u0159ilo 70\u00a0procent z\u00a0nich.<\/p>\n
Rozd\u00edln\u00e9, nebo dokonce protich\u016fdn\u00e9 pohledy vl\u00e1dn\u00edch voli\u010d\u016f na bezpe\u010dnost, obranu nebo zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku budou podle politologa Michaela Dra\u0161ara zdrojem spor\u016f a\u00a0n\u011bkdo ze t\u0159\u00ed koali\u010dn\u00edch partner\u016f bude muset ve sv\u00fdch p\u0159edvolebn\u00edch slibech slevit.<\/p>\n
\u201eNa premi\u00e9rovi Andreji Babi\u0161ovi je vid\u011bt, \u017ee se sna\u017e\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem i\u00a0ve sv\u00e9 r\u00e9torice tro\u0161i\u010dku ustupovat pr\u00e1v\u011b SPD, kdy velmi \u010dasto zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee pro n\u011bj jsou prioritou \u010de\u0161t\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 a\u00a0ot\u00e1zku bezpe\u010dnosti stav\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e na druhou kolej,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Dra\u0161ar, kter\u00fd p\u016fsob\u00ed na Fakult\u011b soci\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u011bd Univerzity Karlovy.<\/p>\n
Arm\u00e1da jako politick\u00e9 t\u00e9ma<\/p>\n
D\u016fv\u011bru v\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed instituce v\u00fdzkumn\u00e1 agentura STEM sleduje od 90.\u00a0let. Arm\u00e1da za\u010d\u00ednala, stejn\u011b jako policie, na n\u00edzk\u00fdch hodnot\u00e1ch, kolem 30\u00a0procent. Postupn\u011b d\u016fv\u011bra v\u00a0ni vzrostla a\u017e na t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 80\u00a0procent, v\u00a0letech 2023\u00a0a\u00a02024\u00a0ale do\u0161lo k\u00a0poklesu, i\u00a0na 62\u00a0procent.<\/p>\n
Podle analytika T\u00e1borsk\u00e9ho je to d\u016fsledek v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b a\u00a0p\u016fsoben\u00ed vl\u00e1dy Petra Fialy (ODS), kter\u00e1 ud\u011blala z\u00a0arm\u00e1dy v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 politick\u00e9 t\u00e9ma. <\/p>\n
\u201ePropad byl zp\u016fsoben\u00fd t\u00edm, \u017ee arm\u00e1da za\u010dala b\u00fdt vn\u00edman\u00e1 jako politick\u00e9 t\u00e9ma, kter\u00fdm se Fialova vl\u00e1da vymezovala v\u016f\u010di opozici a\u00a0ta z\u00e1rove\u0148 opakovan\u011b reagovala velmi tvrd\u011b nejen v\u016f\u010di politick\u00fdm oponent\u016fm, ale i\u00a0v\u016f\u010di konkr\u00e9tn\u00edm voj\u00e1k\u016fm. To ud\u011blalo z\u00a0arm\u00e1dy \u0161t\u011bp\u00edc\u00ed t\u00e9ma, co\u017e nen\u00ed moc \u0161\u0165astn\u00e9, proto\u017ee z\u00a0principu v\u011bci arm\u00e1da je tady pro v\u0161echny, ne pouze pro voli\u010de stran, kter\u00e9 aktu\u00e1ln\u011b arm\u00e1du podporuj\u00ed,\u201c shrnuje T\u00e1borsk\u00fd.<\/p>\n
Postoje \u010desk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti k\u00a0A\u010cR, v\u00fddaj\u016fm na obranu apod.<\/p>\n
Citovan\u00fd v\u00fdzkum analytick\u00e9ho \u00fastavu STEM (www.stem.cz) byl proveden na reprezentativn\u00edm v\u00fdb\u011brov\u00e9m souboru obyvatel \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky star\u0161\u00edch 18\u00a0let ve dnech 16.\u201325.\u00a0ledna 2026.\u00a0Respondenti byli vybr\u00e1ni metodou kv\u00f3tn\u00edho v\u00fdb\u011bru. V\u00fdb\u011brov\u00fd soubor byl d\u00e1le dov\u00e1\u017een na kv\u00f3ty a\u00a0minul\u00e9 volebn\u00ed chov\u00e1n\u00ed. Na ot\u00e1zky odpov\u011bd\u011blo 1\u00a0061\u00a0respondent\u016f v\u00a0kombinaci online a\u00a0osobn\u00edho dotazov\u00e1n\u00ed (CAWI+CAPI). Pou\u017eita jsou i\u00a0data ze star\u0161\u00edch v\u00fdzkum\u016f s\u00e9rie Trendy, kter\u00e9 jsou realizov\u00e1ny stejnou metodikou, na vzorku v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm ne\u017e 1\u00a0000\u00a0respondent\u016f. V\u00fdzkumn\u00e1 s\u00e9rie TRENDY je hrazena jen z\u00a0prost\u0159edk\u016f STEM a\u00a0nez\u00e1vis\u00ed na \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m zadavateli mimo STEM.<\/p>\n
Ve stejn\u00e9 dob\u011b se, jak T\u00e1borsk\u00fd ukazuje na datech, za\u010dala \u0161t\u011bpit d\u016fv\u011bra v\u00a0arm\u00e1du podle stranick\u00fdch preferenc\u00ed, a\u017e do\u0161la do dne\u0161n\u00edho bodu, kdy koali\u010dn\u00ed partnery SPD a\u00a0Motoristy d\u011bl\u00ed v\u00a0ot\u00e1zce d\u016fv\u011bry 22\u00a0procent. <\/p>\n
\u017d\u00e1dn\u00ed jest\u0159\u00e1bi<\/p>\n
Podobn\u011b je to i\u00a0s postoji voli\u010d\u016f jednotliv\u00fdch stran a\u00a0hnut\u00ed k\u00a0ot\u00e1zce financov\u00e1n\u00ed obrany, kter\u00e9 se velmi li\u0161\u00ed (viz graf n\u00ed\u017ee). Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl respondent\u016f (39\u00a0procent) si ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b mysl\u00ed, \u017ee by bylo nejlep\u0161\u00ed zachovat v\u00fddaje na obranu na \u00farovni dvou procent HDP.<\/p>\n
Data agentury STEM z\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edho ledna v\u0161ak z\u00e1rove\u0148 ukazuj\u00ed pokles lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed pova\u017euj\u00ed v\u00fddaje na obranu za zbyte\u010dn\u00e9, a\u00a0naopak m\u00edrn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst t\u011bch, podle kter\u00fdch by v\u00fddaje na obranu m\u011bly vzr\u016fst. <\/p>\n
\u201eVzhledem k\u00a0formulaci ot\u00e1zky se d\u00e1 \u010dekat, \u017ee podpora z\u00e1vazku v\u016f\u010di Alianci je d\u00e1na p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm kladn\u00fdm postojem \u010cech\u016f k\u00a0NATO, ve kter\u00e9m naprost\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina \u010cech\u016f chce setrvat a\u00a0souhlas\u00ed tedy i\u00a0s povinnostmi, kter\u00e9 se s\u00a0t\u00edm poj\u00ed. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale obecn\u011b vid\u00edme, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 jest\u0159\u00e1b\u00ed postoj nen\u00ed v\u00edtan\u00fd. D\u00e1 se to shrnout tak, \u017ee podle \u010desk\u00e9 populace bychom m\u011bli ct\u00edt z\u00e1vazky v\u016f\u010di NATO, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 nevy\u010duhovat moc z\u00a0\u0159ady,\u201c m\u00edn\u00ed analytik agentury STEM T\u00e1borsk\u00fd. <\/p>\n
V\u016fbec nejv\u00edc odp\u016frc\u016f zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed pen\u011bz na zbrojen\u00ed je mezi voli\u010di hnut\u00ed SPD, kter\u00e9mu po volb\u00e1ch \u201ep\u0159ipadlo\u201c Ministerstvo obrany.<\/p>\n
Podle politologa Michaela Dra\u0161ara nejsou tyto v\u00fdsledky p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9. \u201eNa jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b vid\u00edme Motoristy, pro kter\u00e9 jsou zahrani\u010dn\u011b-politick\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky a\u00a0ot\u00e1zky bezpe\u010dnosti pom\u011brn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0v tomto ohledu jsou i\u00a0bl\u00ed\u017ee opozi\u010dn\u00edm stran\u00e1m. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b je SPD, kter\u00e9 se op\u00edr\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161e o\u00a0voli\u010de s\u00a0ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm ekonomick\u00fdm statusem, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou t\u0159eba m\u00e9n\u011b vzd\u011blan\u00ed a\u00a0pro kter\u00e9 jsou d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e ekonomick\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky. V\u00a0n\u00e1vaznosti na to maj\u00ed i\u00a0pom\u011brn\u011b negativn\u00ed postoj v\u016f\u010di Ukrajin\u011b a\u00a0roli \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky v\u00a0pomoci Ukrajin\u011b,\u201c hodnot\u00ed Dra\u0161ar.<\/p>\n
Andrej Babi\u0161 jako premi\u00e9r se proto podle n\u011bj ocit\u00e1 v\u00a0komplikovan\u00e9 situaci. \u201eToto m\u016f\u017eou b\u00fdt t\u0159ec\u00ed plochy v\u00a0r\u00e1mci koalice, kde m\u016f\u017ee doch\u00e1zet k\u00a0rozbroj\u016fm mezi jednotliv\u00fdmi stranami. Koneckonc\u016f to vid\u00edme i\u00a0na tom, jak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem se SPD stav\u00ed ke sv\u00e9mu vlastn\u00edmu ministru obrany Jarom\u00edru Z\u016fnovi,\u201c m\u00edn\u00ed politolog.<\/p>\n
Tlak ze strany SPD, aby se v\u00fddaje na obranu nezvy\u0161ovaly, tak bude podle Dra\u0161ara velk\u00fd. \u201eA pokud se zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed, tak to SPD bude muset n\u011bjak elegantn\u011b zahr\u00e1t, aby se neuk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee slevili i\u00a0z tohoto p\u0159edvolebn\u00edho slibu,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Dra\u0161ar s\u00a0odkazem na Okamurou pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 zru\u0161en\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9 muni\u010dn\u00ed iniciativy. Ta nakonec pokra\u010duje d\u00e1l i\u00a0po volb\u00e1ch, ale bez \u010desk\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Arm\u00e1da pat\u0159\u00ed dlouhodob\u011b mezi st\u00e1tn\u00ed instituce s\u00a0nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u016fv\u011brou. Ta po propadu v\u00a0letech 2023\u00a0a\u00a02024\u00a0op\u011bt roste. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rozd\u00edly ohledn\u011b arm\u00e1dy…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":43362,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[922,43,42,41,40,923,7295],"class_list":{"0":"post-43361","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-cesko","8":"tag-armada-cr","9":"tag-ceska-republika","10":"tag-cesko","11":"tag-czech-republic","12":"tag-czechia","13":"tag-ministerstvo-obrany","14":"tag-stem"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116333736268248188","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43361","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43361"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43361\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43362"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43361"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43361"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43361"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}