{"id":46069,"date":"2026-04-05T10:40:06","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T10:40:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/46069\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T10:40:06","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T10:40:06","slug":"trump-ma-evropu-s-jeji-opetovnou-zavislosti-na-jeho-plynu-a-rope-tak-trochu-v-hrsti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/46069\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump m\u00e1 Evropu s jej\u00ed op\u011btovnou z\u00e1vislost\u00ed na jeho plynu a rop\u011b tak trochu v hrsti"},"content":{"rendered":"

V\u00a0t\u011bchto t\u00fddnech si m\u016f\u017eeme \u0159\u00edkat, co chceme, p\u0159edstavovat si, co chceme, m\u016f\u017eeme si modelovat, jak konflikt s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem dopadne, ale realita je jen jedna\u00a0\u2013 dopadne to tak, jak si usmysl\u00ed Donald Trump a\u00a0jeho nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed poradci.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm n\u00e1s Donald Trump z\u00e1sobuje t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 denn\u011b \u201etweety\u201c na sv\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00edti a\u00a0dok\u00e1\u017ee finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy rozpohybovat nahoru i\u00a0dol\u016f pom\u011brn\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011b. Asi to nen\u00ed situace spr\u00e1vn\u00e1, ale je to realita, se kterou se mus\u00edme popasovat. A\u00a0tak zat\u00edmco prvn\u00ed dva m\u011bs\u00edce leto\u0161n\u00edho roku evropsk\u00e9 akcie v\u00e1lcovaly ty americk\u00e9, za\u010d\u00e1tkem n\u00e1let\u016f na \u00cdr\u00e1n se situace dost oto\u010dila.<\/p>\n

Ukazuje to bohu\u017eel na jeden z\u00e1sadn\u00ed probl\u00e9m Evropy\u00a0\u2013 z\u00e1vislost na dovozu energetick\u00fd paliv, a\u00a0to ropy a\u00a0plynu. Kdy\u017e si k\u00a0tomu uv\u011bdom\u00edme, \u017ee jedin\u00e9 palivo, kter\u00e9ho m\u00e1me dostatek, je uhl\u00ed, a\u00a0\u017ee spalov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to komodity jsme se vzdali kv\u016fli \u201esv\u011btl\u00fdm z\u00edt\u0159k\u016fm\u201c na\u0161\u00ed planety, dost\u00e1v\u00e1 to evropsk\u00e9 firmy a\u00a0celou ekonomiku euroz\u00f3ny do re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho probl\u00e9mu.<\/p>\n

Netu\u0161\u00edme toti\u017e, jak moc n\u00e1s zas\u00e1hne r\u016fst ceny ropy a\u00a0plynu na vstupech na\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdroby a\u00a0slu\u017eeb. A\u00a0nejenom cenov\u00fdch, ale teoreticky v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu i\u00a0do re\u00e1ln\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f, \u017ee ta paliva prost\u011b mohou b\u00fdt jen v\u00a0omezen\u00e9m mno\u017estv\u00ed. Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro \u0159adu asijsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. V\u00a0tom maj\u00ed americk\u00e1 ekonomika i\u00a0trh v\u00fdhodu, \u017ee sice i\u00a0jim se ceny o\u00a0n\u011bco zvednou, ale nebudou trp\u011bt nedostatkem, proto\u017ee USA jsou ji\u017e nyn\u00ed sob\u011bsta\u010dn\u00e9. Tak\u017ee z\u00a0tohoto pohledu se m\u016f\u017ee Donald Trump rozhodnout, jak se mu zl\u00edb\u00ed, co\u017e je na druhou stranu samoz\u0159ejm\u011b na\u0161\u00ed slabinou.<\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e to po v\u010derej\u0161\u00edm vystoupen\u00ed<\/a> americk\u00e9ho prezidenta na rychl\u00fd konec v\u00e1lky nevypad\u00e1, zkus\u00edm se pustit do odhadu, jak bude v\u0161e pokra\u010dovat. Realita je podle m\u011b takov\u00e1, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdch by si konec konfliktu p\u0159\u00e1la co nejrychleji. Nejv\u00edce asi zem\u011b pobl\u00ed\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1nu, na kter\u00e9 pr\u00e1v\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1n \u00fato\u010d\u00ed a\u00a0p\u0159es v\u0161echny r\u00e1ny, kter\u00e9 schytal, je nad\u00e1le schopen zas\u00e1hnout pomoc\u00ed dron\u016f jejich infrastrukturu, kter\u00e1 je pro p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed (odsolovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed) i\u00a0pro ekonomiku t\u011bchto st\u00e1t\u016f kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 (ropn\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, v\u00fdroba navazuj\u00edc\u00edch produkt\u016f, leti\u0161t\u011b, p\u0159\u00edstavy a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed).<\/p>\n

Ch\u00e1pu, \u017ee prim\u00e1rn\u00edm c\u00edlem obecn\u011b je zni\u010den\u00ed extremistick\u00e9ho veden\u00ed v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu, zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 Izrael m\u00e1 v\u00a0tomto jasnou vizi, ale del\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lka ne\u017e na n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f v\u00a0tomto regionu povede k\u00a0ekonomick\u00e9mu oslaben\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti sv\u011bta. Proto si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee nakonec to Donald Trump do m\u011bs\u00edce ukon\u010d\u00ed, \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159istoup\u00ed na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, ale n\u011bco za to bude cht\u00edt\u00a0\u2013 budou to platby za pr\u016fjezd Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem?<\/p>\n

I to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed dohody. Ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b plat\u00ed, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm d\u00e9le bude konflikt trvat, t\u00edm h\u016f\u0159e pro ekonomiky po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b v\u010detn\u011b n\u00e1s samoz\u0159ejm\u011b. Proto v\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee i\u00a0p\u0159es ur\u010ditou nep\u0159edv\u00eddatelnost chov\u00e1n\u00ed Donalda Trumpa uvid\u00edme konec v\u00e1lky v\u00a0n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch t\u00fddnech.<\/p>\n

Investo\u0159i tak musej\u00ed b\u00fdt ve st\u0159ehu a\u00a0sledovat v\u0161e, co se d\u011bje, v\u00a0z\u00e1sad\u011b online. O\u00a0to se v\u00a0z\u00e1sad\u011b sna\u017e\u00edm, vyjma t\u011bch okam\u017eik\u016f, kdy sp\u00edm. Proto\u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0obdob\u00ed vyhrocen\u00fdch situac\u00ed p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed pro dlouhodob\u00e9 investory ty nejlep\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti a\u00a0j\u00e1 ani m\u00ed kolegov\u00e9 v\u00a0J&T je nechceme prop\u00e1snout!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"V\u00a0t\u011bchto t\u00fddnech si m\u016f\u017eeme \u0159\u00edkat, co chceme, p\u0159edstavovat si, co chceme, m\u016f\u017eeme si modelovat, jak konflikt s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem dopadne,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":46070,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[212,708,109,108,7968,106,808,2939,8160,113,645,11737],"class_list":{"0":"post-46069","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-evropa","8":"tag-donald-trump","9":"tag-ekonomika","10":"tag-europa","11":"tag-europe","12":"tag-eurozona","13":"tag-evropa","14":"tag-iran","15":"tag-jt","16":"tag-palivo","17":"tag-usa","18":"tag-valka","19":"tag-valka-v-iranu"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116351678763827004","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46069","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46069"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46069\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46070"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46069"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46069"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46069"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}