{"id":48675,"date":"2026-04-08T07:15:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T07:15:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/48675\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T07:15:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T07:15:11","slug":"kerosin-nad-zlato-evropske-letectvi-miri-ke-katastrofe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/48675\/","title":{"rendered":"Kerosin nad zlato. Evropsk\u00e9 letectv\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed ke katastrof\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"

Tanker Rong Lin Wan, pluj\u00edc\u00ed pod singapurskou vlajkou, bude z\u0159ejm\u011b posledn\u00ed lod\u00ed, kter\u00e1 p\u0159iveze z\u00a0Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu do Evropy kerosin. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, dopravn\u00ed tepna pro p\u011btinu ropy a\u00a0plynu z\u00a0Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, je st\u00e1le zablokovan\u00fd a\u00a0s jeho op\u011btovn\u00fdm zprovozn\u011bn\u00edm to nevypad\u00e1 nijak nad\u011bjn\u011b.<\/p>\n

P\u0159itom pr\u00e1v\u011b na t\u00e9to dopravn\u00ed cest\u011b je evropsk\u00fd leteck\u00fd pr\u016fmysl \u017eivotn\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00fd. P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b polovina leteck\u00e9ho paliva dostupn\u00e9ho na evropsk\u00fdch leti\u0161t\u00edch poch\u00e1z\u00ed z\u00a0rafineri\u00ed dopravovan\u00fdch t\u00edmto strategick\u00fdm pr\u016flivem.<\/p>\n

Provozn\u00ed \u0159editel jedn\u00e9 z\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch aerolinek v\u00a0italsk\u00e9m den\u00edku Corriere della Sera varoval, \u017ee Evropa bude na konci dubna nebo za\u010d\u00e1tkem kv\u011btna za\u017e\u00edvat zoufal\u00fd nedostatek kerosinu.<\/p>\n

Kdokoli se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee za touto katastrofou je pouze geopolitick\u00e1 situace, velmi se m\u00fdl\u00ed, p\u00ed\u0161e web edelmetalle<\/a>. Evropa si tuto zranitelnost v\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu let zp\u016fsobila sama, a\u00a0to energetickou politikou. Uzav\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed rafineri\u00ed, klesaj\u00edc\u00ed m\u00edstn\u00ed produkce, a\u00a0p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ideologicky motivovan\u00e9 environment\u00e1ln\u00ed regulace, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edepisuj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed biopaliv, situaci systematicky zhor\u0161ovaly. Biopaliva stoj\u00ed p\u011btkr\u00e1t v\u00edce ne\u017e klasick\u00fd kerosin. Situaci zhor\u0161uj\u00ed tak\u00e9 sankce v\u016f\u010di Rusku.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Je to vzorec, kter\u00fd se opakuje v\u00a0evropsk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 politice. Na prvn\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b jsou zelen\u00e9 ideje, ale v\u016fbec se nezva\u017euj\u00ed d\u016fsledky. Zav\u00edraj\u00ed se rafinerie ve jm\u00e9nu ochrany klimatu a\u00a0zem\u011b jsou z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na vzd\u00e1len\u00fdch dodavatel\u00edch. Kdy\u017e se projev\u00ed geopolitick\u00e1 realita, Evropa je ochromena. Brusel si \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pou\u010den\u00ed z\u00a0nedostatku plynu po zah\u00e1jen\u00ed invaze na Ukrajinu v\u00a0roce 2022\u00a0nevzal, p\u00ed\u0161e web.<\/p>\n

Bohu\u017eel selh\u00e1vaj\u00ed i\u00a0obvykl\u00e9 alternativy. Indie, kter\u00e1 je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm dodavatelem kerosinu pro Evropu, se st\u00e1le v\u00edce orientuje na v\u00fdchod, kde jsou l\u00e1kav\u00e9 vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed mar\u017ee. Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea a\u00a0\u010c\u00edna zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed exportn\u00ed omezen\u00ed, aby ochr\u00e1nily sv\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed trhy. Singapur za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 prudk\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy cen. Tankery, ji\u017e nalo\u017een\u00e9 kerosinem, se vychyluj\u00ed z\u00a0evropsk\u00fdch tras a\u00a0m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed za bohat\u0161\u00edmi z\u00e1kazn\u00edky, uv\u00e1d\u00ed George Shaw z\u00a0analytick\u00e9ho studia Kpler a\u00a0dod\u00e1v\u00e1: \u201eEvropa je prost\u011b na konci fronty.\u201c<\/p>\n

Data analytick\u00e9 firmy Vortexa mluv\u00ed jasn\u011b – dovoz leteck\u00e9ho paliva do Evropy klesl na 420\u00a0tis\u00edc barel\u016f denn\u011b, co\u017e je pokles o\u00a040\u00a0procent oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edmu t\u00fddnu a\u00a0nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 od b\u0159ezna 2022, kdy rusk\u00e1 invaze na Ukrajinu vyvolala prvn\u00ed energetick\u00fd \u0161ok. Sou\u010dasn\u011b jsou z\u00e1soby na tankov\u00fdch stanic\u00edch Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antverpy podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

D\u016fsledky mohou b\u00fdt devastuj\u00edc\u00ed. Bez stejn\u00e9ho objemu paliva se nem\u016f\u017ee provozovat stejn\u00fd po\u010det let\u016f. Pokud z\u016fstane Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv v\u00a0dubnu uzav\u0159en, tis\u00edce let\u016f se budou muset zru\u0161it a\u00a0stovky letadel se uzemn\u00ed. Lufthansa ji\u017e zva\u017euje vy\u0159azen\u00ed 20\u00a0a\u017e 40\u00a0letadel.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

A nejde jen o\u00a0mno\u017estv\u00ed, ale tak\u00e9 o\u00a0cenu. Tuna kerosinu dos\u00e1hla v\u00a0posledn\u00edch dnech \u010d\u00e1stky t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 1\u00a0800\u00a0dolar\u016f (38\u00a0tis\u00edc korun). Je to v\u00edce ne\u017e dvojn\u00e1sobek ceny na konci leto\u0161n\u00edho \u00fanora. Takzvan\u00fd \u201ecrack spread\u201c, tedy rafinersk\u00e1 mar\u017ee, kter\u00e1 nen\u00ed kryta p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00fdmi smlouvami, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt hrazena v\u00fdhradn\u011b leteck\u00fdmi spole\u010dnostmi. Ka\u017ed\u00fd si m\u016f\u017ee spo\u010d\u00edtat, co to znamen\u00e1 pro ceny vstupenek.<\/p>\n

Mezi \u010dervnem a\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00edm, kdy leteck\u00fd provoz dosahuje vrcholu a\u00a0miliony Evropan\u016f cht\u011bj\u00ed let\u011bt na dovolenou, hroz\u00ed nedostatek, kter\u00fd nut\u00ed k\u00a0masivn\u00edm opera\u010dn\u00edm omezen\u00edm. Turistick\u00e1 leti\u0161t\u011b a\u00a0ostrovy, kter\u00e9 jsou ji\u017e nyn\u00ed obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bji z\u00e1sobovateln\u00e9, by mohly b\u00fdt zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b posti\u017eeny. Nap\u0159\u00edklad \u0158ecko mus\u00ed dov\u00e1\u017eet t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 82\u00a0procent sv\u00fdch pot\u0159eb kerosinu, \u0160pan\u011blsko a\u00a0Portugalsko 70\u00a0procent, Polsko dokonce 97\u00a0procent.<\/p>\n

Pokud se poda\u0159\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv zprovoznit do poloviny nebo konce dubna, nebude hrozit \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 riziko dod\u00e1vek. Pokud pr\u016fliv z\u016fstane uzav\u0159en, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt ohro\u017eeno mezi 10\u00a0a\u017e\u00a025\u00a0procenty dod\u00e1vek mezi kv\u011btnem a\u00a0\u010dervnem. A\u00a0i kdyby se pr\u016fliv brzy otev\u0159el, \u00fapln\u00e9 zotaven\u00ed by trvalo t\u00fddny nebo m\u011bs\u00edce, tvrd\u00ed gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel Ryanairu Michael O’Leary.<\/p>\n

Tato krize op\u011bt odhaluje fat\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky energetick\u00e9 politiky, kter\u00e1 stav\u00ed ideologii nad bezpe\u010dnost dod\u00e1vek. Zat\u00edmco Brusel diskutuje o\u00a0st\u00e1le ambici\u00f3zn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch c\u00edlech a\u00a0zp\u0159\u00eds\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed kv\u00f3t na biopaliva, z\u00e1kladn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka energetick\u00e9 nez\u00e1vislosti byla trestuhodn\u011b opom\u00edjena, p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 web. Evropa se podle n\u011bj vman\u00e9vrovala do z\u00e1vislosti, kter\u00e1 se nyn\u00ed pod tlakem geopolitick\u00fdch ot\u0159es\u016f zhrout\u00ed jako dome\u010dek z\u00a0karet.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Tanker Rong Lin Wan, pluj\u00edc\u00ed pod singapurskou vlajkou, bude z\u0159ejm\u011b posledn\u00ed lod\u00ed, kter\u00e1 p\u0159iveze z\u00a0Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu do Evropy…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":48676,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[67,68,106,6387,808,939],"class_list":{"0":"post-48675","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-byznys","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-byznys","10":"tag-evropa","11":"tag-hormuzsky-pruliv","12":"tag-iran","13":"tag-letectvi"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116367859683050369","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48675","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48675"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48675\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48676"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48675"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48675"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48675"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}