{"id":49191,"date":"2026-04-08T15:49:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T15:49:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/49191\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T15:49:10","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T15:49:10","slug":"cena-bitcoinu-se-brzy-rozhodne-jestli-se-vyda-dolu-nebo-nahoru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/49191\/","title":{"rendered":"Cena bitcoinu se brzy rozhodne, jestli se vyd\u00e1 dol\u016f nebo nahoru"},"content":{"rendered":"

Netrp\u011bliv\u011b \u010dek\u00e1me na dal\u0161\u00ed pokles bitcoinu, kter\u00fd n\u00e1m napov\u00ed, zda je trh v\u016fbec schopn\u00fd prorazit pod hranici 60 000 USD. Pokud by cena BTC skute\u010dn\u011b zam\u00ed\u0159ila n\u00ed\u017ee, za\u010dne sehr\u00e1vat d\u016fle\u017eitou roli i psychologick\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 50 000 USD. <\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b podobn\u00e9 kulat\u00e9 hladiny b\u00fdvaj\u00ed na trhu velmi sledovan\u00e9, proto\u017ee se kolem nich \u010dasto soust\u0159ed\u00ed pozornost investor\u016f i obchodn\u00edk\u016f. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 plat\u00ed, \u017ee pod 50 000 USD trh neobchodoval od poloviny roku 2024, tak\u017ee by \u0161lo o n\u00e1vrat na cenov\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b, kter\u00e9 u\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu z\u016fst\u00e1valy mimo n\u00e1s. Nebo sp\u00ed\u0161e na\u0161i pam\u011b\u0165, proto\u017ee my lidi zapom\u00edn\u00e1me docela rychle. Takov\u00e9 n\u00e1vraty p\u0159itom nejsou na trhu ni\u010d\u00edm v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00fdm.<\/p>\n

\"Cena<\/p>\n

\t\tCena bitcoinu m\u016f\u017ee ka\u017edou chv\u00edli prolomit sm\u011brem dol\u016f<\/p>\n

Je vlastn\u011b a\u017e trochu nezvykl\u00e9, jak n\u00e1m to trh zat\u00edm pom\u011brn\u011b ochotn\u011b usnad\u0148uje a d\u011bl\u00e1 p\u0159esn\u011b to, co v\u011bt\u0161ina z n\u00e1s \u010dek\u00e1. Po pravd\u011b u\u017e by to skoro cht\u011blo n\u011bjak\u00e9 p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed, proto\u017ee price action za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 b\u00fdt a\u017e podez\u0159ele snadno \u010diteln\u00e9. Jeliko\u017e se trh vyv\u00edj\u00ed v t\u011bch na\u0161ich kr\u00e1sn\u00fdch \u201eastrologick\u00fdch\u201c obrazc\u00edch. <\/p>\n

Na t\u00fddenn\u00edm grafu bitcoinu se nyn\u00ed postupn\u011b hromad\u00ed kladn\u00e9 momentum, kter\u00e9 by n\u00e1s mohlo zav\u00e9st na trochu vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cenov\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b. Nemysl\u00edm si ov\u0161em, \u017ee se cena BTC dostane daleko. Vlastn\u011b tipuji, \u017ee se zastav\u00edme u horn\u00ed hranice medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky a klesaj\u00edc\u00edho kan\u00e1lu. <\/p>\n

\"Cena<\/p>\n

\t\tCena bitcoinu se brzy mus\u00ed rozhodnout, jak\u00fdm sm\u011brem se vyd\u00e1<\/p>\n

V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, cenov\u00fd pohyb nahoru nebo dol\u016f m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt z nenad\u00e1n\u00ed. Nejde nikdy o nic vylo\u017een\u011b predikovateln\u00e9ho. Pr\u00e1v\u011b to je na trz\u00edch d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si p\u0159ipom\u00ednat. <\/p>\n

Trh toti\u017e nepot\u0159ebuje konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed zpr\u00e1vu nebo novou informaci, aby se cena pohnula jedn\u00edm \u010di druh\u00fdm sm\u011brem. Pohyb m\u016f\u017ee vzniknout \u010dist\u011b z vnit\u0159n\u00ed dynamiky nab\u00eddky a popt\u00e1vky, z technick\u00e9 struktury nebo z prost\u00e9ho vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed jedn\u00e9 strany trhu.<\/p>\n

To, \u017ee si ka\u017ed\u00fd cenov\u00fd pohyb zp\u011btn\u011b sna\u017e\u00edme za ka\u017edou cenu vysv\u011btlit a racionalizovat, je sp\u00ed\u0161e p\u0159irozen\u00e1 lidsk\u00e1 pot\u0159eba m\u00edt ve v\u011bcech po\u0159\u00e1dek. Ve skute\u010dnosti si ale t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem \u010dasto jen zakr\u00fdv\u00e1me nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00fd fakt, \u017ee o fungov\u00e1n\u00ed trh\u016f v\u00edme mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b, ne\u017e bychom si cht\u011bli p\u0159ipustit.<\/p>\n

Z\u00edskejte jednu akcii zadarmo za registraci<\/p>\n

Klikn\u011bte na otev\u0159\u00edt \u00fa\u010det a vlo\u017ete k\u00f3d KRYPTOMAGAZIN do pol\u00ed\u010dka pro referen\u010dn\u00ed k\u00f3d. Pak klikn\u011bte na SAVE a dokon\u010dete registraci. Podm\u00ednky akce: https:\/\/link-pso.xtb.com\/pso\/4Zs2Q
POZOR: Investov\u00e1n\u00ed je rizikov\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd tr\u017en\u00ed cyklus bitcoinu je trochu jin\u00fd<\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd tr\u017en\u00ed cyklus bitcoinu je z pohledu relativn\u00edho zhodnocen\u00ed i n\u00e1sledn\u00e9ho poklesu trochu jin\u00fd. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto bychom nem\u011bli zapom\u00ednat ani na mo\u017enost, \u017ee se jednou n\u011bco z\u00e1sadn\u00edho zm\u011bn\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00ed cykly budou vypadat \u00fapln\u011b jinak ne\u017e ty p\u0159edchoz\u00ed. <\/p>\n

Historie n\u00e1m sice zat\u00edm nab\u00edz\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00e9 opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se vzorce, ale to je\u0161t\u011b neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee je trh <\/a>bude kop\u00edrovat donekone\u010dna. \u010c\u00edm je bitcoin v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, zn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a v\u00edce propojen\u00fd s \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm finan\u010dn\u00edm sv\u011btem, t\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161e se m\u016f\u017ee jeho chov\u00e1n\u00ed postupn\u011b prom\u011b\u0148ovat.<\/p>\n

M\u00e1m pocit, \u017ee se dnes mnoho lid\u00ed a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 slep\u011b spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na to, \u017ee cena BTC bude st\u00e1le opakovat jeden a ten sam\u00fd cyklus. Doposud to do ur\u010dit\u00e9 m\u00edry fungovalo a bitcoin se choval a\u017e p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b \u010diteln\u011b, tak\u017ee si na to retail zvykl. V\u010detn\u011b m\u00e9 mali\u010dkosti, p\u0159irozen\u011b. <\/p>\n

\"Ka\u017ed\u00fd<\/p>\n

\t\tKa\u017ed\u00fd tr\u017en\u00ed cyklus bitcoinu je trochu jin\u00fd, ale poka\u017ed\u00e9 byly cenov\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty hlubok\u00e9. Zdroj: Caleb & Brown<\/p>\n

Jen\u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b v tom m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt skryt\u00e9 riziko. To, co fungovalo v minulosti, nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt stejn\u011b spolehliv\u00e9 i v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch deseti letech. Trh nem\u00e1 povinnost respektovat o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161iny a \u010dasto pr\u00e1v\u011b v okam\u017eiku, kdy si jsou investo\u0159i n\u011b\u010d\u00edm p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 jist\u00ed, p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed zm\u011bna.<\/p>\n

Co kdy\u017e jednou doraz\u00ed medv\u011bd\u00ed trh<\/a>, kter\u00fd nebude trvat p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b rok, jak jsme byli dosud zvykl\u00ed, ale pot\u00e1hne se cel\u00e9 roky. I takov\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 je pot\u0159eba m\u00edt n\u011bkde v hlav\u011b, proto\u017ee bitcoin u\u017e d\u00e1vno nen\u00ed mal\u00fd a okrajov\u00fd trh jako d\u0159\u00edv. <\/p>\n

S rostouc\u00ed velikost\u00ed se m\u016f\u017ee m\u011bnit i samotn\u00e1 dynamika cykl\u016f. Osobn\u011b douf\u00e1m, \u017ee n\u011bco takov\u00e9ho p\u0159ijde a\u017e za dlouhou dobu, ale \u00fapln\u011b vylou\u010dit to podle m\u011b rozhodn\u011b nelze. Podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru mus\u00edme myslet i na sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd lidov\u011b \u0159e\u010deno vydrbe \u00fapln\u011b se v\u0161emi. Nej\u00edt tud\u00ed\u017e \u00fapln\u011b na jistotu all-in, proto\u017ee v\u00edm, \u017ee spousta z v\u00e1s tohle ur\u010dit\u011b d\u011bl\u00e1. <\/p>\n

Bitcoin je odoln\u00fd a mohl by kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b stoupat<\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee dlouhodob\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 bitcoinu p\u0159estali prod\u00e1vat, se m\u016f\u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 stranov\u00e1 konsolidace je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou dobu prot\u00e1hnout. Pr\u00e1v\u011b \u00fatlum prodejn\u00edho tlaku ze strany zku\u0161en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch a trp\u011bliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch investor\u016f m\u016f\u017ee trhu do\u010dasn\u011b br\u00e1t energii pro v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pohyb jedn\u00edm \u010di druh\u00fdm sm\u011brem. <\/p>\n

Cena se pak m\u00edsto rychl\u00e9ho zvratu m\u016f\u017ee del\u0161\u00ed \u010das j\u00edt jen do strany a vytv\u00e1\u0159et dojem, \u017ee se na trhu vlastn\u011b nic z\u00e1sadn\u00edho ned\u011bje. Nenechte se ale zm\u00e1st, proto\u017ee za oponou se toho v\u017edy d\u011bje hodn\u011b. <\/p>\n

\"Dle<\/p>\n

\t\tDle on-chain dat dlouhodob\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 bitcoinu p\u0159estali prod\u00e1vat<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee se bitcoin st\u00e1le nach\u00e1z\u00ed uvnit\u0159 medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky, kter\u00e1 sama o sob\u011b p\u0159edstavuje konsolida\u010dn\u00ed \u00fatvar, neexistuje jistota, \u017ee cena nakonec skute\u010dn\u011b zam\u00ed\u0159\u00ed dol\u016f. Trh sice m\u016f\u017ee technicky vypadat slab\u011b, ale samotn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost podobn\u00e9 struktury je\u0161t\u011b automaticky nezaru\u010duje konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed v\u00fdsledek. V re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase je v\u017edy pot\u0159eba po\u010d\u00edtat i s t\u00edm, \u017ee se v\u00fdvoj od b\u011b\u017en\u00e9ho o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed odch\u00fdl\u00ed.<\/p>\n

J\u00e1 se proto jen sna\u017e\u00edm p\u0159es historick\u00e9 vzorce a opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se sign\u00e1ly l\u00e9pe pochopit, co se na trhu odehr\u00e1v\u00e1, a b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraven\u00fd na r\u016fzn\u00e9 varianty dal\u0161\u00edho v\u00fdvoje. Nejde o snahu s jistotou p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bt budoucnost, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e o vytvo\u0159en\u00ed r\u00e1mce, kter\u00fd mi pom\u016f\u017ee reagovat rozumn\u011bji bez ohledu na to, co cena nakonec skute\u010dn\u011b ud\u011bl\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b od za\u010d\u00e1tku posledn\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 krize uk\u00e1zala velkou odolnost. P\u0159ekonal jak zlato, tak index S&P 500 pro akcie <\/a>a to b\u011bhem v\u011bt\u0161iny v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed od roku 2020, i kdy\u017e existuj\u00ed i v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 v\u00fdjimky. <\/p>\n

\"\"Cenov\u00fd v\u00fdkonnost akciov\u00e9ho indexu S&P 500, zlata a bitcoinu b\u011bhem d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed. Zdroj: River<\/p>\n

Podle p\u0159ilo\u017een\u00fdch dat se opakovan\u011b ukazuje, \u017ee bitcoin b\u011bhem v\u011bt\u0161iny velk\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed p\u0159ekon\u00e1val v\u00fdkonnost\u00ed jak zlato, tak index S&P 500. <\/p>\n

Jeho 60denn\u00ed v\u00fdnos byl vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed po eskalaci mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem 3. ledna 2020, po vypuknut\u00ed pandemie covidu 11. b\u0159ezna 2020, po rusk\u00e9 invazi na Ukrajinu 24. \u00fanora 2022 i b\u011bhem region\u00e1ln\u00ed bankovn\u00ed krize v USA 9. b\u0159ezna 2023. Podobn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj byl zaznamen\u00e1n tak\u00e9 po takzvan\u00e9m Trumpov\u011b Liberation Day 2. dubna 2025.<\/p>\n

Zaregistrujte se na TOP krypto burzu Bybit EU skrze tento odkaz a z\u00edskejte a\u017e 115 USDC! <\/p>\n

Kupte \u010di zde p\u0159esu\u0148te kryptom\u011bny v hodnot\u011b alespo\u0148 100 USD (2200 K\u010d) a za\u010dn\u011bte \u010derpat v\u00fdhody! Pro \u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdhod zde sta\u010d\u00ed kryptom\u011bny v hodnot\u011b 100 USD+ p\u0159esunout odjinud.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Netrp\u011bliv\u011b \u010dek\u00e1me na dal\u0161\u00ed pokles bitcoinu, kter\u00fd n\u00e1m napov\u00ed, zda je trh v\u016fbec schopn\u00fd prorazit pod hranici 60…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":49192,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[183,3244,15927,67,68,16268,778,15929],"class_list":{"0":"post-49191","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-byznys","8":"tag-aktuality","9":"tag-bitcoin","10":"tag-btc","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-byznys","13":"tag-kryptomena","14":"tag-kryptomeny","15":"tag-technicka-analyza"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116369880709909646","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49191","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49191"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49191\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49191"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49191"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49191"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}