{"id":49519,"date":"2026-04-08T23:06:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T23:06:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/49519\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T23:06:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T23:06:11","slug":"palascak-ekonomika-brzdi-ukazuji-to-meraky-energii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/49519\/","title":{"rendered":"Pala\u0161\u010d\u00e1k: Ekonomika brzd\u00ed, ukazuj\u00ed to m\u011b\u0159\u00e1ky energi\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"

Zakladatel energetick\u00e9 skupiny Amper Jan Pala\u0161\u010d\u00e1k m\u00e1 origin\u00e1ln\u00ed metodiku ekonomick\u00e9 predicke: stav elektrom\u011br\u016f ukazuje budouc\u00ed v\u00fdvoj HDP. A vypad\u00e1 to, \u017ee ekonomika ztr\u00e1c\u00ed dech. A to je\u0161t\u011b nezohled\u0148ujeme dopady aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e9 krize\u00a0v d\u016fsledku \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 mohou p\u0159in\u00e9st dal\u0161\u00ed zpomalen\u00ed ekonomiky,\u201c odhaduje Jan Pala\u0161\u010d\u00e1k.<\/p>\n

Chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed leden\u00a0jednozna\u010dn\u011b\u00a0ovlivnil v\u00fdsledky spot\u0159eby plynu a elekt\u0159iny v\u202fprvn\u00edm kvart\u00e1lu\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edho roku. \u201eU obou komodit jsme zaznamenali meziro\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst. Spot\u0159eba elekt\u0159iny sice nad\u00e1le roste u\u017e 19 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f v \u0159ad\u011b, ale tempo jej\u00edho r\u016fstu se oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edc\u016fm zpomalilo. To m\u016f\u017ee nazna\u010dovat ur\u010dit\u00e9 ochlazen\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 dynamiky,\u201c uvedla firma Amper Meteo. <\/p>\n

V\u00fdroba\u00a0OZE\u00a0(bez bioplynov\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren) meziro\u010dn\u011b klesla, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm kv\u016fli v\u00fdrazn\u011b podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9mu v\u00fdkonu vodn\u00edch elektr\u00e1ren.\u00a0To se podle Amper Meteo m\u016f\u017ee v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch negativn\u011b prom\u00edtnout do cen elekt\u0159iny. Paradoxn\u011b v\u0161ak byla letos cena elekt\u0159iny zat\u00edm o 6 procent ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed, a to i navzdory chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu po\u010das\u00ed.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Prvn\u00ed kvart\u00e1l leto\u0161n\u00edho roku byl ovlivn\u011bn hlavn\u011b chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm lednem. Naopak \u00fanor a b\u0159ezen pat\u0159ily k\u202fteplotn\u011b nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdm.\u00a0Teplotn\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011br po\u010d\u00edtan\u00fd pro pot\u0159eby energetiky (zam\u011b\u0159eno na m\u00edsta s\u202fvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed\u00a0spot\u0159ebou) byl meziro\u010dn\u011b o\u00a00,4\u00a0\u00b0C chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Meziro\u010dn\u011b byl leden chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed o 3,3\u00a0\u00b0C, ale \u00fanor teplej\u0161\u00ed o 1,9\u00a0\u00b0C a b\u0159ezen o 0,2\u00a0\u00b0C.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

S plynem se \u0161et\u0159\u00ed, ale m\u00e9n\u011b<\/p>\n

Spot\u0159eba plynu v prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed meziro\u010dn\u011b vzrostla o 5,1 procenta, v\u00fdznamnou roli v tom v\u0161ak sehr\u00e1lo po\u010das\u00ed. Po jeho zohledn\u011bn\u00ed by r\u016fst \u010dinil podle Amper Meteo jen 2,3 procenta. Nejv\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst byl zaznamen\u00e1n v lednu, a to o 18,8 procenta, respektive o 5\u00a0procent po o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed o vliv po\u010das\u00ed. V \u00fanoru a b\u0159eznu naopak spot\u0159eba meziro\u010dn\u011b klesla. Po p\u0159epo\u010dtu na stejn\u00e9 po\u010das\u00ed\u00a0by \u00fanor vyk\u00e1zal m\u00edrn\u00fd r\u016fst, zat\u00edmco b\u0159ezen by\u00a0p\u0159edstavoval\u00a0m\u00edrn\u00fd\u00a0pokles.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201eOproti obdob\u00ed p\u0159ed\u00a0energetickou kriz\u00ed (2017-2021) spot\u0159ebov\u00e1v\u00e1me\u00a0nad\u00e1le\u00a0m\u00e9n\u011b plynu, i kdy\u017e tentokr\u00e1t pokles nebyl tak v\u00fdrazn\u00fd jako v\u202fminul\u00fdch kvart\u00e1lech. Re\u00e1ln\u00fd pokles byl jen okolo 10 procent, kdy je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed dv\u011bma roky to bylo v\u00edce ne\u017e 17 procent. Ochota \u0161et\u0159it plynem v\u202fQ1\/2026 byla tedy men\u0161\u00ed, co\u017e se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vzhledem ke geopolitick\u00e9 situaci\u00a0v\u202fdal\u0161\u00edch kvart\u00e1lech op\u011bt zm\u011bn\u00ed. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me, \u017ee\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e1 vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed\u00a0cenov\u00e1 hladina\u00a0plynu\u00a0se udr\u017e\u00ed d\u00e9le ne\u017e v\u202f\u0159\u00e1du t\u00fddn\u016f. Mezi mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi\u00a0analytiky p\u0159eva\u017euje shoda, \u017ee i p\u0159i kup\u0159\u00edkladu p\u0159ijet\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v\u202f\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9m konfliktu na trhu z\u016fstane nejistota pr\u016fjezdnosti\u00a0Hormuzsk\u00e9ho\u00a0pr\u016flivu, kter\u00e1 se projevuje prim\u00e1rn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi cenami poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed tanker\u016f a\u202fpoji\u0161\u0165ovny z\u016fstanou patrn\u011b opatrn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed po del\u0161\u00ed dobu,\u201c\u00a0odhaduje Jan\u00a0Pala\u0161\u010d\u00e1k,\u00a0zakladatel\u00a0skupiny\u00a0Amper.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

S elekt\u0159inou se ne\u0161et\u0159\u00ed<\/p>\n

Spot\u0159eba elekt\u0159iny ze s\u00edt\u011b meziro\u010dn\u011b roste u\u017e od t\u0159et\u00edho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2024 a v\u017edy prakticky o stejn\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo, s v\u00fdjimkou lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho prvn\u00edho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed. \u201eV posledn\u00edm kvart\u00e1lu byl n\u00e1r\u016fst o 2,7\u00a0procenta a po o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed o vliv po\u010das\u00ed to bylo o 2,2 procenta. Stejn\u011b jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b spot\u0159eby plynu do\u0161lo k nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu v lednu (+8,1 procenta). To platilo i po p\u0159epo\u010dtu na stejn\u00e9 teploty vzduchu jako vloni (+4,2 procenta). Dal\u0161\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce se pohybovaly na velmi podobn\u00fdch \u010d\u00edslech jako v \u00fanoru a b\u0159eznu minul\u00e9ho roku. Oproti obdob\u00ed 2017\u20132021 byla spot\u0159eba ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed o 2,7 procenta a po o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed o 3,3 procenta. Jedn\u00e1 se tak o nejmen\u0161\u00ed \u00fasporu od Q2\/2022,\u201c konstatuje datov\u00fd analytik Kamil Rajdl z Amper Meteo.<\/p>\n

\u201eV uplynul\u00e9m roce meziro\u010dn\u00ed zm\u011bna spot\u0159eby elekt\u0159iny po o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed o vliv po\u010das\u00ed naprosto p\u0159esn\u011b sed\u011bla s n\u00e1r\u016fstem HDP. Pokud by to takto platilo i nyn\u00ed, tak pozorujeme ochladnut\u00ed ekonomiky a pokles r\u016fstu z 2,7\u00a0procenta v roce 2025 na sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 2,2 procenta. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b je to jen odhad na z\u00e1klad\u011b tohoto pomocn\u00e9ho ukazatele, ale ani ostatn\u00ed makroekonomick\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly nejsou s na\u0161\u00edm odhadem v rozporu. A to je\u0161t\u011b nezohled\u0148ujeme dopady aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e9 krize\u00a0v d\u016fsledku \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 mohou p\u0159in\u00e9st dal\u0161\u00ed zpomalen\u00ed ekonomiky,\u201c odhaduje Jan Pala\u0161\u010d\u00e1k<\/p>\n

\t\t\"\"<\/p>\n

\t\tJan Pala\u0161\u010d\u00e1k: Ceny paliv let\u00ed nahoru. Co m\u00e1 d\u011blat vl\u00e1da? Hlavn\u011b nic na zp\u016fsob slovensk\u00e9ho biz\u00e1ru
\n\t\tN\u00e1zory<\/a><\/p>\n

Co m\u00e1 vl\u00e1da d\u011blat s drah\u00fdm benz\u00ednem? Hlavn\u011b se neopi\u010dit po Slovensku, p\u00ed\u0161e ve sv\u00e9m koment\u00e1\u0159i zakladatel skupiny Amper Jan Pala\u0161\u010d\u00e1k. V\u00fdsledkem takov\u00fdch experiment\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1sah\u016f do trhu je podle n\u011bj jen chaos, selh\u00e1n\u00ed a deformovan\u00fd trh.<\/p>\n

Jan Pala\u0161\u010d\u00e1k<\/p>\n

\tP\u0159e\u010d\u00edst \u010dl\u00e1nek<\/a><\/p>\n

VY\u0160EL JARN\u00cd NEWSTREAM CLUB\u00a0<\/p>\n

Soukrom\u00ed je nov\u00fd luxus. A mo\u017en\u00e1 i nejcenn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dovednost dne\u0161ka.<\/p>\n

Jarn\u00ed vyd\u00e1n\u00ed magaz\u00ednu Newstream CLUB<\/a> se zam\u011b\u0159uje na t\u00e9ma, kter\u00e9 dnes \u0159e\u0161\u00ed miliard\u00e1\u0159i i b\u011b\u017en\u00ed lid\u00e9 \u2013 jak si uchovat vlastn\u00ed prostor v dob\u011b, kdy jsme neust\u00e1le online. Soukrom\u00e9 kluby, tich\u00e9 byty, digit\u00e1ln\u00ed detox i \u017eivot na o\u010d\u00edch ve\u0159ejnosti.<\/p>\n

V nov\u00e9m \u010d\u00edsle p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00edme rozhovory s Vendulou Pizingerovou, youtuberem Tarym nebo zakladatelem Smarty.cz Petrem Syr\u016f\u010dkem. Nechyb\u00ed inspirace ze sv\u011bta byznysu, stylu ani cestov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 a tak\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed tipy, jak si soukrom\u00ed znovu vz\u00edt zp\u011bt.<\/p>\n

Jeden\u00e1ct\u00e9 vyd\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dtvrtletn\u00edku Newstream CLUB je v prodeji na st\u00e1nc\u00edch i v online distribuci Send, kde je mo\u017en\u00e9 titul tak\u00e9 p\u0159edplatit.\u00a0Digit\u00e1ln\u00ed verzi magaz\u00ednu lze zakoupit p\u0159\u00edmo na webu newstream.cz.<\/p>\n

Na dal\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00edslo magaz\u00ednu se m\u016f\u017eete t\u011b\u0161it v \u010dervnu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Zakladatel energetick\u00e9 skupiny Amper Jan Pala\u0161\u010d\u00e1k m\u00e1 origin\u00e1ln\u00ed metodiku ekonomick\u00e9 predicke: stav elektrom\u011br\u016f ukazuje budouc\u00ed v\u00fdvoj HDP. A…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":49520,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[18403,67,68,150,18404,3098],"class_list":{"0":"post-49519","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-byznys","8":"tag-amper","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-byznys","11":"tag-energetika","12":"tag-jan-palascak","13":"tag-predikce"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116371599091972064","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49519","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49519"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49519\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49520"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49519"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49519"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49519"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}