{"id":51114,"date":"2026-04-10T13:40:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T13:40:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/51114\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T13:40:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T13:40:08","slug":"primeri-trhy-neuklidnilo-evrope-hrozi-inflace-i-prazdne-zasobniky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/51114\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed trhy neuklidnilo, Evrop\u011b hroz\u00ed inflace i pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9 z\u00e1sobn\u00edky"},"content":{"rendered":"

Evropa za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed energetick\u00fd \u0161ok za posledn\u00edch p\u011bt dek\u00e1d. Kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce v \u00cdr\u00e1nu zmizelo z trhu rekordn\u00edch 12 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy denn\u011b a cena severomo\u0159sk\u00e9ho typu Forties u\u017e poko\u0159ila hranici 146 dolar\u016f za barel. Dal\u0161\u00ed rizika vyvst\u00e1vaj\u00ed kv\u016fli poni\u010den\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e v Kataru.<\/p>\n

Trhy se tento t\u00fdden po p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b uklidnily, ceny fosiln\u00edch komodit ale op\u011bt rostou. Takzvan\u00e1 fyzick\u00e1\u00a0ropa k okam\u017eit\u00e9mu dod\u00e1n\u00ed se v\u00a0Evrop\u011b prod\u00e1v\u00e1 na rekordn\u00ed v\u00fd\u0161i. Cena severomo\u0159sk\u00e9ho typu Forties podle dat spole\u010dnosti LSEG p\u0159ekro\u010dila 146 dolar\u016f za barel. Vysok\u00e1 cena podle analytik\u016f nazna\u010duje, \u017ee trh nev\u011b\u0159\u00ed v rychl\u00e9 obnoven\u00ed lodn\u00ed dopravy Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. <\/p>\n

K\u0159ehk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed<\/p>\n

\"DonaldAmerick\u00fd prezident Donald Trump ozn\u00e1mil p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed s Teher\u00e1nem. Foto: The White House<\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump ve st\u0159edu ozn\u00e1mil dvout\u00fddenn\u00ed pauzu v nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Dohodu popsal jako \u201eoboustrann\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 znovuotev\u0159en\u00edm Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy nejprve reagovaly s\u00a0okam\u017eitou \u00falevou.<\/p>\n

Ben Rhodes, kter\u00fd p\u016fsobil jako z\u00e1stupce poradce pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost za b\u00fdval\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Baracka Obamy a pom\u00e1hal s vytvo\u0159en\u00edm jadern\u00e9 dohody z roku 2015, je ale ve sv\u00e9m hodnocen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed opatrn\u00fd.<\/p>\n

\u201eTrump uzav\u0159el dohodu o znovuotev\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu, kter\u00fd byl otev\u0159en\u00fd p\u0159ed nesmyslnou v\u00e1lkou, kterou zah\u00e1jil. \u00cdr\u00e1n u\u017e prok\u00e1zal svou kontrolu nad pr\u016flivem,\u201c napsal Rhodes na s\u00edti X. Rozpory mezi americk\u00fdmi a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi vyjednava\u010di z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed velk\u00e9 a nen\u00ed jist\u00e9, zda se poda\u0159\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout dohody. Izrael d\u00e1l \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Libanon, co\u017e podle p\u0159edstavitel\u016f \u00cdr\u00e1nu poru\u0161uje dohodnut\u00e9 podm\u00ednky.<\/p>\n

Ztr\u00e1ta: 12 milion\u016f barel\u016f denn\u011b<\/p>\n

Pohled do minulosti d\u00e1v\u00e1 sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu \u0161oku nov\u00e9 rozm\u011bry. B\u011bhem ropn\u00fdch kriz\u00ed v letech 1974 a 1979 p\u0159ich\u00e1zel sv\u011bt o p\u011bt milion\u016f barel\u016f denn\u011b \u2013 a p\u0159esto tyto v\u00fdpadky spustily glob\u00e1ln\u00ed recesi a p\u0159epsaly energetickou mapu Z\u00e1padu. Dne\u0161n\u00ed realita je v\u0161ak mnohem drsn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Kv\u016fli konfliktu zmizelo z trhu 12 milion\u016f barel\u016f denn\u011b, co\u017e je v\u00edc ne\u017e ob\u011b minul\u00e9 krize dohromady.<\/p>\n

Energetick\u00e1 odolnost Evropy se ale na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed od ropn\u00fdch kriz\u00ed 70. let z\u00e1sadn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ila. Nap\u0159\u00edklad n\u011bmeck\u00fd energetick\u00fd mix tvo\u0159\u00ed z 63 % obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje a evropsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl se nau\u010dil hospoda\u0159it \u2013 na jednotku produkce dnes spot\u0159ebuje o p\u011btinu m\u00e9n\u011b energie ne\u017e p\u0159ed rokem 2019. Cel\u00fd blok je nav\u00edc d\u00edky \u0161iroce diverzifikovan\u00fdm dod\u00e1vk\u00e1m mnohem odoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Mohlo by v\u00e1s zaj\u00edmat<\/p>\n


\n \"Jozef
\n <\/a><\/p>\n

Poda\u0159\u00ed se naplnit z\u00e1sobn\u00edky plynu?<\/p>\n

Evropa se nav\u00edc dost\u00e1v\u00e1 do nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 pasti i kv\u016fli zni\u010den\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e v Kataru a drah\u00e9mu plynu. B\u0159eznov\u00fd \u00fatok dronu na za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed Ras Laffan spole\u010dnosti QatarEnergy zni\u010dil 17 procent katarsk\u00e9 exportn\u00ed kapacity LNG. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee opravy budou trvat t\u0159i a\u017e p\u011bt let.<\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e9 ceny plynu sice klesly oproti sv\u00e9mu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu maximu, ale st\u00e1le jsou o v\u00edce ne\u017e 40 procent vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed<\/a> ne\u017e p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed. <\/p>\n

Komplikace tak mohu nastat i s\u00a0dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f plynu. Unie pot\u0159ebuje b\u011bhem letn\u00ed sez\u00f3ny doplnit t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 60 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch, aby dos\u00e1hla sv\u00e9ho prosincov\u00e9ho c\u00edle. Pokud z\u016fstane Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv uzav\u0159en po cel\u00e9 l\u00e9to, dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto c\u00edle bude velmi komplikovan\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Nejlep\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159<\/p>\n

Ani udr\u017een\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed u\u017e Evropu neuchr\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed ekonomick\u00fdmi n\u00e1sledky. \u201eVyv\u00e1zneme s jednou v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed infla\u010dn\u00ed vlnou, u\u017e ji nelze zastavit,\u201c \u0159ekl Carsten Brzeski, vedouc\u00ed makroekonomick\u00e9ho v\u00fdzkumu a hlavn\u00ed ekonom pro euroz\u00f3nu v ING. Ceny energi\u00ed, hnojiv a dopravy u\u017e prudce vzrostly<\/a>. Dopady se nyn\u00ed projev\u00ed v cel\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 ekonomice.<\/p>\n

Poznamenal, \u017ee trval\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed ceny ropy o 10 dolar\u016f za barel sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed r\u016fst euroz\u00f3ny zhruba o 0,1 procentn\u00edho bodu. \u201eP\u0159edt\u00edm jsme byli kolem 60 dolar\u016f za barel. Spo\u010d\u00edtejte si to.\u201c Pouk\u00e1zal na zpomalen\u00ed r\u016fstu euroz\u00f3ny o zhruba 0,4 procentn\u00edho bodu.<\/p>\n

Vyost\u0159en\u00ed konfliktu a barel ropy za 150 dolar\u016f<\/p>\n

Pokud by konflikt mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem d\u00e1le eskaloval, cena ropy m\u016f\u017ee snadno poko\u0159it hranici 150 dolar\u016f za barel. Takov\u00fd cenov\u00fd \u0161ok by pro evropskou ekonomiku znamenal nevyhnuteln\u00fd p\u00e1d do recese.<\/p>\n

Brzeski varoval, \u017ee by se d\u016fsledky projevily i dlouho po roce 2026. Evropa u\u017e d\u0159\u00edve energetick\u00e9 krize zvl\u00e1dala. Ale nikdy se do \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nedostala s tak vy\u010derpan\u00fdmi z\u00e1sobami zemn\u00edho plynu a po\u0161kozenou infrastrukturou pro LNG.<\/p>\n

Ceny energi\u00ed se u\u017e nevr\u00e1t\u00ed<\/p>\n

Na zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed pohonn\u00fdch hmot zareagovala i \u010desk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da.\u00a0Ministerstvo financ\u00ed v \u010dele s Alenou Schillerovou zavedlo\u00a0maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed povolenou cenu pohonn\u00fdch hmot<\/a>. Cena nafty na p\u00e1tek vych\u00e1z\u00ed na 45,20 korun za litr.\u00a0Litr benzinu\u00a0Natural 95 m\u00e1 st\u00e1t maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 41,77 koruny.<\/p>\n

Provozovatel\u00e9 \u010derpac\u00edch stanic s opat\u0159en\u00edm nesouhlas\u00ed<\/a> a st\u011b\u017euj\u00ed na to, \u017ee budou muset naftu prod\u00e1vat levn\u011bji, ne\u017e za kolik ji v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch dnech nakoupili.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Evropa za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed energetick\u00fd \u0161ok za posledn\u00edch p\u011bt dek\u00e1d. Kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce v \u00cdr\u00e1nu zmizelo z trhu rekordn\u00edch 12…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":51115,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1705,212,109,108,106,571,14502,686,808,6527,18762,2043,205,18763,2156],"class_list":{"0":"post-51114","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-evropa","8":"tag-ceny-energii","9":"tag-donald-trump","10":"tag-europa","11":"tag-europe","12":"tag-evropa","13":"tag-evropska-unie","14":"tag-hnojiva","15":"tag-inflace","16":"tag-iran","17":"tag-katar","18":"tag-konflikt-iran-usa","19":"tag-lng","20":"tag-ropa","21":"tag-zasobnik-plynu","22":"tag-zemni-plyn"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116380698202771792","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51114","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51114"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51114\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/51115"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51114"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51114"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51114"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}