{"id":51751,"date":"2026-04-11T09:20:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T09:20:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/51751\/"},"modified":"2026-04-11T09:20:18","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T09:20:18","slug":"data-check-kdy-zacne-draha-ropa-a-plyn-drtit-ceskou-ekonomiku-projdete-si-scenare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/51751\/","title":{"rendered":"Data Check: Kdy za\u010dne drah\u00e1 ropa a plyn drtit \u010deskou ekonomiku? Projd\u011bte si sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I p\u0159es uzav\u0159en\u00e9 dvout\u00fddenn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi USA a\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem se dr\u017e\u00ed ceny ropy a\u00a0plynu st\u00e1le vysoko. V\u00fdpadek dod\u00e1vek t\u011bchto komodit p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm do Asie se prom\u00edt\u00e1 do vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch cen po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, sekund\u00e1rn\u011b tak tato situace dopad\u00e1 tak\u00e9 na Evropu v\u010detn\u011b \u010ceska. Nejde p\u0159itom pouze o\u00a0cenu pohonn\u00fdch hmot. \u010cesko je jako zem\u011b s\u00a0vysok\u00fdm pod\u00edlem pr\u016fmyslu v\u00a0ekonomice velmi n\u00e1chyln\u00e9 na <a href=\"https:\/\/www.e15.cz\/ekonomika\/riziko-tezkeho-zasahu-ceske-ekonomiky-vzrostlo-experti-uz-ted-vyhlizeji-znasobeni-inflace-1431898\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/a> energi\u00ed.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>V simulaci n\u00ed\u017ee si m\u016f\u017eete vyzkou\u0161et, jak r\u016fst cen ropy ovliv\u0148uje r\u016fzn\u00e9 sektory \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky. V\u0161echny modely vych\u00e1zej\u00ed <a href=\"https:\/\/davidnavratil.com\/analyses\/hormuz\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">z\u00a0predikc\u00ed<\/a> hlavn\u00edho ekonoma \u010cesk\u00e9 spo\u0159itelny Davida Navr\u00e1tila.<\/p>\n<p>\u010cesk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl v\u00fdznamn\u011b ovliv\u0148uje tak\u00e9 cena plynu. Evropa je po odst\u0159ihnut\u00ed od rusk\u00fdch plynovod\u016f siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na dovozu zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho plynu (LNG) po mo\u0159i. A\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u011b p\u0159es Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv putovala na sv\u011btov\u00e9 trhy zhruba p\u011btina glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dod\u00e1vek LNG, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm z\u00a0Kataru. Tyto dod\u00e1vky te\u010f sv\u011btov\u00fdm trh\u016fm citeln\u011b chyb\u011bj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>V n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edm modelu si m\u016f\u017eete vyzkou\u0161et, p\u0159i jak\u00fdch cen\u00e1ch na evropsk\u00e9 burze (TTF) se za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed utlumovat jednotliv\u00e9 sektory tuzemsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu a\u00a0p\u0159i jak\u00fdch cenov\u00fdch hladin\u00e1ch hroz\u00ed opakov\u00e1n\u00ed plo\u0161n\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 krize z\u00a0roku 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Jak tvrd\u011b m\u016f\u017ee krize \u010cesko zas\u00e1hnout?<\/p>\n<p>Celkov\u00fd dopad krize na zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed a\u00a0na v\u00fdkon \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky z\u00e1vis\u00ed na n\u011bkolika faktorech. Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed je rozsah glob\u00e1ln\u00edho v\u00fdpadku a\u00a0jeho d\u00e9lka. A\u00a0tak\u00e9 panika na trz\u00edch, kter\u00e1 m\u016f\u017ee krizi prohlubovat.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee samotn\u00fd v\u00fdpadek celkov\u00fdch sv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek je sice u\u00a0ropy a\u00a0plynu a\u017e p\u011btinov\u00fd, \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b a\u00a0kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b ho v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee tlumit uvoln\u011bn\u00ed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.e15.cz\/nazory-a-analyzy\/svet-saha-do-rezerv-rusko-vydelava-energeticka-krize-sili-1431517\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">strategick\u00fdch rezerv<\/a> Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e9 agentury (IEA) nebo uvoln\u011bn\u00ed ekonomick\u00fdch sankc\u00ed na n\u011bkter\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, aby se na sv\u011btov\u00e9 trhy dostalo v\u00edce ropy. St\u011b\u017eejn\u00ed je v\u00a0tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ale d\u00e9lka p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek. \u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le se krize povle\u010de, t\u00edm budou dopady na sv\u011btovou ekonomiku v\u010detn\u011b \u010ceska v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00ed\u017ee se m\u016f\u017eete pod\u00edvat na sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, kter\u00e9 ukazuj\u00ed, jak by se zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed Hormuzu mohlo propsat do r\u016fstu inflace a\u00a0jak moc by mohlo ukrojit p\u016fvodn\u011b p\u0159edpov\u00eddan\u00fd nad\u011bjn\u00fd r\u016fst \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky.<\/p>\n<p>Procenta (10\u00a0procent, 20\u00a0procent) vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed rozsah glob\u00e1ln\u00edho v\u00fdpadku dod\u00e1vek energi\u00ed. \u010casov\u00fd \u00fadaj ur\u010duje trv\u00e1n\u00ed \u0161oku, ne\u017e dojde k\u00a0p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00ed trhu. Panika modeluje strach a\u00a0hromad\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sob, kter\u00e9 skokov\u011b zvy\u0161uj\u00ed ceny komodit.<\/p>\n<p>Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e pro \u010cesko<\/p>\n<p>10 % (3 m\u011bs.) M\u00edrn\u00fd \u0161ok20 % (3 m\u011bs.) Dvojn\u00e1sobn\u00fd \u0161ok20 % (6 m\u011bs.) Dlouh\u00e1 krize20 % + panika (3 m\u011bs.) Strach na trz\u00edch (3m)20 % + panika (6 m\u011bs.) Nejhor\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 (6m)Katar izolovan\u011b Plynov\u00e1 krize<\/p>\n<p>Vyberte sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159:10 % (3 m\u011bs.)20 % (3 m\u011bs.)20 % (6 m\u011bs.)20 % + panika (3 m\u011bs.)20 % + panika (6 m\u011bs.)Katar izolovan\u011b<\/p>\n<p>Ropa Brent ($\/bbl)<\/p>\n<p>96 \u2013 136<\/p>\n<p>Plyn TTF (\u20ac\/MWh)<\/p>\n<p>54 \u2013 79<\/p>\n<p>Ropa Brent ($\/bbl)<\/p>\n<p>125 \u2013 204<\/p>\n<p>Plyn TTF (\u20ac\/MWh)<\/p>\n<p>72 \u2013 122<\/p>\n<p>Ropa Brent ($\/bbl)<\/p>\n<p>Vrchol 204 \u2192 98 \u2013 139<\/p>\n<p>Plyn TTF (\u20ac\/MWh)<\/p>\n<p>Vrchol 122 \u2192 55 \u2013 81<\/p>\n<p>Ropa Brent ($\/bbl)<\/p>\n<p>142 \u2013 313<\/p>\n<p>Plyn TTF (\u20ac\/MWh)<\/p>\n<p>83 \u2013 192<\/p>\n<p>Ropa Brent ($\/bbl)<\/p>\n<p>Vrchol 313 \u2192 105 \u2013 180<\/p>\n<p>Plyn TTF (\u20ac\/MWh)<\/p>\n<p>Vrchol 192 \u2192 59 \u2013 107<\/p>\n<p>Ropa Brent ($\/bbl)<\/p>\n<p>~ 75 \u2013 80<\/p>\n<p>Plyn TTF (\u20ac\/MWh)<\/p>\n<p>85 \u2013 140<\/p>\n<p>Co modely ukazuj\u00ed?<\/p>\n<p>Ka\u017ed\u00fd model simuluje o\u010dek\u00e1vanou inflaci a\u00a0v\u00fdvoj HDP p\u0159i napln\u011bn\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00edho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e. Krom\u011b toho ukazuje i\u00a0odhadovan\u00e9 cenov\u00e9 rozp\u011bt\u00ed ropy Brent na sv\u011btov\u00fdch trz\u00edch a\u00a0plynu TTF na evropsk\u00e9 burze.<\/p>\n<p>Jako v\u00fdchoz\u00ed bod vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 p\u0159edkrizovou progn\u00f3zu \u010cNB pro rok 2026. U\u00a0inflace (p\u016fvodn\u00ed progn\u00f3za 1,6\u00a0procenta, v\u00a0grafice zn\u00e1zorn\u011bn\u00e1 plnou oran\u017eovou barvou) k\u00a0n\u00ed p\u0159i\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 odhadovan\u00fd krizov\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst, kter\u00fd p\u0159edstavuje \u0161rafovan\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st. Tu\u010dn\u00fdm oran\u017eov\u00fdm p\u00edsmem je pak vyj\u00e1d\u0159eno celkov\u00e9 rozp\u011bt\u00ed, ve kter\u00e9m by se inflace re\u00e1ln\u011b pohybovala.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00fdvoj HDP je zn\u00e1zorn\u011bn trochu jinak. P\u016fvodn\u00ed r\u016fstov\u00e1 progn\u00f3za \u010cNB pro rok 2026 (+2,9\u00a0procenta) je v\u00a0grafu vyzna\u010dena \u010dernou ryskou. Barevn\u00fd pruh n\u00e1sledn\u011b ukazuje rozp\u011bt\u00ed, kam a\u017e by se p\u0159i dan\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i mohl r\u016fst (nebo p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fd pokles) \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky propadnout.<\/p>\n<p>Jak to \u010d\u00edst v\u00a0praxi: Nap\u0159\u00edklad p\u0159i 20procentn\u00edm v\u00fdpadku dod\u00e1vek po dobu t\u0159\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f by se inflace v\u00a0\u010cesku mohla zv\u00fd\u0161it o jeden a\u017e t\u0159i procentn\u00ed body oproti p\u016fvodn\u00ed progn\u00f3ze \u010cNB. Podle modelu by se tak pohybovala v rozp\u011bt\u00ed 2,6 a\u017e 4,6\u00a0procenta. \u010cesk\u00fd\u00a0HDP by za t\u00e9to situace je\u0161t\u011b pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b udr\u017eel r\u016fst (mezi +0,1 a\u017e +1,7\u00a0procenta), ale oproti p\u016fvodn\u00edm pl\u00e1n\u016fm \u010cNB by to znamenalo citeln\u00fd propad o\u00a01,2 a\u017e 2,8\u00a0procentn\u00edho bodu.<\/p>\n<p>Jak model po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s\u00a0reakc\u00ed trhu a\u00a0\u010desk\u00fdmi specifiky?<\/p>\n<p>V\u00fdpo\u010dty vych\u00e1zej\u00ed z\u00a0ekonomick\u00fdch model\u016f, kter\u00e9 zohled\u0148uj\u00ed dvouf\u00e1zovou reakci trhu. V\u00a0prvn\u00edch t\u00fddnech po \u0161oku ceny komodit prudce vyst\u0159el\u00ed vzh\u016fru, proto\u017ee chyb\u00ed okam\u017eit\u00e1 n\u00e1hrada. Postupem \u010dasu se ale situace za\u010dne stabilizovat\u00a0\u2013 firmy zni\u010d\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st popt\u00e1vky t\u00edm, \u017ee omez\u00ed v\u00fdrobu, nebo p\u0159ejdou na jin\u00e1 paliva (nap\u0159\u00edklad z\u00a0plynu na uhl\u00ed). Model proto rozli\u0161uje kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd cenov\u00fd extr\u00e9m a\u00a0n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9 p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed je ale lok\u00e1ln\u00ed dopad. Proto\u017ee m\u00e1 \u010cesk\u00e1 republika vysok\u00fd pod\u00edl energeticky vysoce n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu a\u00a0energie tvo\u0159\u00ed v\u00fdznamnou \u010d\u00e1st na\u0161eho spot\u0159ebn\u00edho ko\u0161e, zas\u00e1hne n\u00e1s krize tvrd\u011bji ne\u017e \u0159adu jin\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. V\u00fdpo\u010dty proto na z\u00e1klad\u011b metodiky Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho m\u011bnov\u00e9ho fondu a\u00a0historick\u00fdch dat po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee se u\u00a0n\u00e1s zdra\u017een\u00ed ropy a\u00a0plynu prop\u00ed\u0161e do r\u016fstu inflace a\u00a0poklesu HDP zhruba o\u00a020\u00a0procent siln\u011bji, ne\u017e je b\u011b\u017en\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br.<\/p>\n<p>Na podrobnou metodologii se m\u016f\u017eete pod\u00edvat n\u00ed\u017ee.<\/p>\n<p>Metodologie a parametry v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0 0 20px 0;\">Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed r\u00e1mec: Partial equilibrium model s dvouf\u00e1zovou cenovou dynamikou. Rozp\u011bt\u00ed v datech odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nejistotu v elasticit\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<p>Cena ropy (Brent)p\u0159edkrizov\u00e1 cena \u00d7 (1 + \u0161ok \/ (\u03b5d + \u03b5s))<\/p>\n<p>Kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 elasticity\u03b5d = \u22120,06 a\u017e \u22120,20 (centr\u00e1ln\u00ed \u22120,10)<br \/>\u03b5s = 0,004 a\u017e 0,10 (centr\u00e1ln\u00ed 0,05)<\/p>\n<p>Del\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e (6+ m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f)Rozli\u0161uje se vrchol (kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 elasticity, prvn\u00ed 2\u20134 t\u00fddny) a stabilizace. St\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9 elasticity narostou o ~40 % d\u00edky fuel switchingu, destrukci popt\u00e1vky a reakci t\u011b\u017eby z b\u0159idlic.<\/p>\n<p>Faktor panikyMultiplik\u00e1tor preventivn\u00ed popt\u00e1vky 1,3\u20131,8\u00d7 (Kilian 2009, AER).<\/p>\n<p>Dopad na plyn (TTF)Amplifikace 1,2\u00d7 oproti rop\u011b Brent kv\u016fli vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed volatilit\u011b plynov\u00e9ho trhu.<\/p>\n<p>Dopad na inflaci (CPI v \u010cR)Vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 pravidlo MMF (+10 % energie \u2248 +0,4 p.b. inflace). Pro \u010cR je aplikov\u00e1na 1,2\u00d7 amplifikace kv\u016fli vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1ze energi\u00ed ve spot\u0159ebn\u00edm ko\u0161i.<\/p>\n<p>Dopad na HDP (\u010cR)Hamilton\u016fv koeficient \u22121,4 % na 10 % NOPI (Hamilton 2003). Pro \u010cR je aplikov\u00e1na 1,2\u00d7 amplifikace z d\u016fvodu vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed energetick\u00e9 n\u00e1ro\u010dnosti tuzemsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu.<\/p>\n<p>Jak se situace vyv\u00edj\u00ed nyn\u00ed?<\/p>\n<p>Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je zablokovan\u00fd u\u017e od 1.\u00a0b\u0159ezna, kdy Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a\u00a0Izrael za\u00fato\u010dily na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Pr\u016fliv je tak blokovan\u00fd u\u017e \u0161est\u00fdm t\u00fddnem. I\u00a0p\u0159es uzav\u0159en\u00ed dvout\u00fddenn\u00edho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi USA a\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed doprava st\u00e1le v\u00fdrazn\u011b omezen\u00e1 a\u00a0k\u00a0pln\u00e9mu odblokov\u00e1n\u00ed zat\u00edm nedo\u0161lo. Plavba je moment\u00e1ln\u011b mo\u017en\u00e1 pouze ve striktn\u011b vymezen\u00fdch bezpe\u010dn\u00fdch tras\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 musej\u00ed lod\u011b koordinovat s \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi revolu\u010dn\u00edmi gardami. Mimo tyto koridory hroz\u00ed podle \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f re\u00e1ln\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch min a\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00e9 tankery u\u017e byly donuceny zm\u011bnit sm\u011br.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dapln\u00e9 otev\u0159en\u00ed \u00fa\u017einy p\u0159itom bylo jednou z\u00a0hlavn\u00edch podm\u00ednek americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa. Ten u\u017e na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch pohrozil, \u017ee pokud nebude uzav\u0159ena a\u00a0pln\u011b dodr\u017eov\u00e1na skute\u010dn\u00e1 m\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda, americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da v\u00a0oblasti z\u016fstane a\u00a0je p\u0159ipravena znovu tvrd\u011b ude\u0159it. \u0160anci na rychl\u00e9 vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed nav\u00edc podkop\u00e1vaj\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na Libanon, kv\u016fli nim\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n zpochyb\u0148uje smysl nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1772525908_176_retina.jpg\" alt=\"Video placeholder\" class=\"gvjp-video-placeholder\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\tFLOW: Trhy n\u00e1m p\u0159est\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u011b\u0159it, \u010cesko je u\u017e rizikov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e \u0158ecko, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 ekonom Navr\u00e1til \u2022 e15\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"I p\u0159es uzav\u0159en\u00e9 dvout\u00fddenn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi USA a\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem se dr\u017e\u00ed ceny ropy a\u00a0plynu st\u00e1le vysoko. V\u00fdpadek dod\u00e1vek t\u011bchto&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":51752,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[3911,43,42,41,40,708,106,6387,686,18904,808,492,205,11996,113,11737],"class_list":{"0":"post-51751","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-cesko","8":"tag-ceska-narodni-banka","9":"tag-ceska-republika","10":"tag-cesko","11":"tag-czech-republic","12":"tag-czechia","13":"tag-ekonomika","14":"tag-evropa","15":"tag-hormuzsky-pruliv","16":"tag-inflace","17":"tag-inflace-v-cesku","18":"tag-iran","19":"tag-plyn","20":"tag-ropa","21":"tag-ropa-brent","22":"tag-usa","23":"tag-valka-v-iranu"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116385338160044268","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51751","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51751"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51751\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/51752"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51751"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51751"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51751"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}