![](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1775477468_552_6fa4.jpeg\")
<\/a>Mysl\u00edte, \u017ee za blok\u00e1dou pr\u016flivu pro lodi pluj\u00edc\u00ed z\u00a0a do p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu stoj\u00ed tlak USA na \u010c\u00ednu, kter\u00e1 tvo\u0159\u00ed zdaleka nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho odb\u011bratele \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy?<\/p>\nCo se te\u010f d\u011bje ve Washingtonu, je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 rozkl\u00ed\u010dovat a\u00a0pochopit. My se te\u010f p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm sna\u017e\u00edme domyslet, co bude aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoj znamenat v\u00a0praxi. M\u00e1te pravdu, \u017ee mezi nejposti\u017een\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi ekonomikami je ta \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1.<\/p>\n
M\u016f\u017ee se zd\u00e1t, \u017ee to pro n\u00e1s nen\u00ed tolik relevantn\u00ed, ale opak je pravdou. Obchod s\u00a0\u010c\u00ednou je pro n\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, t\u0159eba N\u011bmecko, naprosto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd.<\/p>\n
Jak\u00e9koli zpomalen\u00ed nebo stagnace \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomiky m\u00e1 dopady na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku, a\u00a0hlavn\u011b exportn\u011b orientovan\u00e9 zem\u011b jako N\u011bmecko. A\u00a0tak, jak je tamn\u00ed ekonomika v\u00fdrazn\u011b nav\u00e1zan\u00e1 na \u010c\u00ednu, je ta \u010desk\u00e1 siln\u011b napojen\u00e1 na N\u011bmecko. Tak\u017ee kdy\u017e se efekt \u010c\u00edny p\u0159enese na N\u011bmecko, velmi rychle se z\u00a0N\u011bmecka p\u0159enese i\u00a0k n\u00e1m. Na to se d\u00edv\u00e1me velmi pozorn\u011b a\u00a0s pom\u011brn\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u00fdmi obavami, proto\u017ee z\u00e1vislost \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky na n\u011bmeck\u00e9 je st\u00e1le obrovsk\u00e1. P\u0159edstavuje t\u0159icet procent \u010desk\u00e9ho exportu a\u00a0v korun\u00e1ch to p\u0159edstavuje t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 1,5\u00a0bilionu korun, co\u017e je obrovsk\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo.<\/p>\n
Je tedy t\u0159eba z\u00e1vislost na N\u011bmecku sn\u00ed\u017eit?<\/p>\n
To by m\u011blo b\u00fdt jedn\u00edm z\u00a0hlavn\u00edch \u00fakol\u016f \u010desk\u00fdch firem. N\u011bmecko v\u00a0minul\u00fdch letech z\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f stagnovalo a\u00a0to je velmi riskantn\u00ed a\u00a0negativn\u00ed pro stabilitu a\u00a0r\u016fst \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky. Hled\u00e1n\u00ed alternativ je v\u00a0na\u0161em n\u00e1rodn\u00edm z\u00e1jmu.<\/p>\n
Pom\u011brn\u011b hodn\u011b ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00fd jsem z\u00a0toho, \u017ee velmi dob\u0159e se rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed vz\u00e1jemn\u00fd obchod mezi \u010ceskem a\u00a0Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty te\u010f vzhledem k\u00a0politice USA v\u00a0oblasti cel proch\u00e1z\u00ed dost slo\u017eit\u00fdm obdob\u00edm.Export\u00e9\u0159i tak mus\u00ed hledat dal\u0161\u00ed odbyti\u0161t\u011b.<\/p>\n
Kde by to mohlo b\u00fdt?<\/p>\n
Loni jsem vedl delegaci doprov\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed prezidenta Petra Pavla na jeho cest\u011b do Afriky. A\u00a0tam bylo z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee politika mnoha africk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f v\u016f\u010di \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm investic\u00edm se m\u011bn\u00ed. Uv\u011bdomily si, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna mo\u017en\u00e1 zprvu nab\u00edz\u00ed levn\u00e9 pen\u00edze, ale nakonec se z\u00a0nich st\u00e1vaj\u00ed pen\u00edze dost drah\u00e9.<\/p>\n
Kdy\u017e n\u011bkde investuje, nebere p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00fd ohled na environment\u00e1ln\u00ed hlediska. Z\u00e1stupci africk\u00fdch zem\u00ed si st\u011b\u017eovali, \u017ee doch\u00e1z\u00ed k\u00a0drancov\u00e1n\u00ed jejich nerostn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f velmi ne\u0161etrn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem. A\u00a0kdy\u017e zem\u011b nen\u00ed schopn\u00e1 spl\u00e1cet dluhy, \u010c\u00edna bez skrupul\u00ed p\u0159evezme jejich leti\u0161t\u011b a\u00a0s nik\u00fdm moc nediskutuje. P\u0159\u00edstup \u010c\u00edny pova\u017euj\u00ed za velmi agresivn\u00ed a\u00a0hledaj\u00ed n\u00e1hradu.<\/p>\n
Do toho americk\u00e1 politika protekcionismu a\u00a0izolacionismu znamen\u00e1, \u017ee africk\u00fd kontinent vykl\u00edz\u00ed i\u00a0rozvojov\u00e1 pomoc USA. Objevuje se vakuum, kter\u00e9 by Evropa a\u00a0jej\u00ed firmy mohly obsadit.<\/p>\n
V Africe m\u00e1me nav\u00edc skv\u011bl\u00e9 jm\u00e9no. Made in Czechoslovakia je tam st\u00e1le pojem. \u010cesk\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 v\u00fdrobky jsme tam vid\u011bli na ka\u017ed\u00e9m kroku a\u00a0te\u010f se tam pro n\u00e1s otev\u0159elo historick\u00e9 okno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed.Co bychom tam mohli vyv\u00e1\u017eet?<\/p>\n
\u010cesko m\u00e1 co nab\u00eddnout t\u0159eba u\u00a0environment\u00e1ln\u011b \u0161etrn\u00e9 t\u011b\u017eby nerostn\u00fdch surovin. Jsme siln\u00ed i\u00a0v takzvan\u00e9m Cleantechu, technologi\u00edch, kter\u00e9 mohou pomoci dekarbonizaci a\u00a0ekologi\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu fungov\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u016fmyslu.<\/p>\n
P\u0159ed p\u00e1r m\u011bs\u00edci iniciativa Druh\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 transformace vypo\u010d\u00edtala, \u017ee Cleantech u\u017e te\u010f p\u0159edstavuje p\u0159es dvacet procent \u010desk\u00e9ho exportu. Do roku 2030\u00a0by to mohla b\u00fdt skoro t\u0159etina.<\/p>\n
Africk\u00e9 zem\u011b ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee ruku v\u00a0ruce s\u00a0t\u00edm mus\u00ed j\u00edt i\u00a0finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoc ze strany Evropy, jako jsou zv\u00fdhodn\u011bn\u00e9 \u00fav\u011bry nebo z\u00e1ruky. N\u011bco, co by se alespo\u0148 p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eilo \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm nab\u00eddk\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 absolutn\u011b nehled\u00ed na to, jestli se jim jejich investice vr\u00e1t\u00ed, nebo ne.<\/p>\n
V tom mus\u00edme p\u0159idat. T\u00fdk\u00e1 se to efektivity a\u00a0s\u00edly instituc\u00ed jako \u010cesk\u00e1 exportn\u00ed banka, EGAP, N\u00e1rodn\u00ed rozvojov\u00e1 banka a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed. Ale tak\u00e9 evropsk\u00fdch instituc\u00ed, to znamen\u00e1 Evropsk\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00ed banky, fungov\u00e1n\u00ed projektu Global Gateway a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch. Jedn\u00e1me o\u00a0tom te\u010f intenzivn\u011b s\u00a0ministrem (pr\u016fmyslu Karlem) Havl\u00ed\u010dkem, (zahrani\u010d\u00ed Petrem) Macinkou a\u00a0\u010dek\u00e1 n\u00e1s jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0(ministryn\u00ed financ\u00ed) Alenou Schillerovou. Zat\u00edm se zd\u00e1, \u017ee si uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, jak je finan\u010dn\u00ed podpora exportu \u010desk\u00fdch firem d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1, a\u00a0brzy se do\u010dk\u00e1me konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch v\u00fdsledk\u016f.<\/p>\n
V Africe m\u00e1me nav\u00edc skv\u011bl\u00e9 jm\u00e9no. Made in Czechoslovakia je tam st\u00e1le pojem. \u010cesk\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 v\u00fdrobky jsme tam vid\u011bli na ka\u017ed\u00e9m kroku a\u00a0te\u010f se tam pro n\u00e1s otev\u0159elo historick\u00e9 okno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Jak\u00e9 jsou podle v\u00e1s hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny probl\u00e9m\u016f N\u011bmecka?<\/p>\n
U n\u00e1s i\u00a0tam se potk\u00e1vaj\u00ed dv\u011b v\u011bci. \u010cesko je v\u00a0situaci, kdy se vy\u010derpal transforma\u010dn\u00ed model velmi dob\u0159e funguj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00a0devades\u00e1t\u00fdch letech. N\u011bmecku se zase vy\u010derpal jeho hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fstov\u00fd model. Ten byl postaven na tom, \u017ee m\u011bli levn\u00fd plyn z\u00a0Ruska pro sv\u016fj pr\u016fmysl, levnou montovnu ve st\u0159edn\u00ed a\u00a0v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b a\u00a0vyd\u011bl\u00e1vali obrovsk\u00e9 pen\u00edze v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b, kde byli jedn\u00edm z\u00a0hlavn\u00edch investor\u016f a\u00a0v\u00fdrobc\u016f. Tak\u00e9 si mohli u\u017e\u00edvat m\u00edrovou dividendu, kdy nemuseli platit za svoji obranu. Z\u00a0toho ale nez\u016fstalo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nic.<\/p>\n
Levn\u00fd rusk\u00fd plyn u\u017e nemaj\u00ed. Naopak si politikou Energiewende v\u00fdrazn\u011b zdra\u017eili energie sob\u011b a\u00a0mnoha jin\u00fdm sousedn\u00edm st\u00e1t\u016fm, co\u017e je jedn\u00edm z\u00a0hlavn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu. Levnou montovnu ve st\u0159edn\u00ed a\u00a0v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b u\u017e rozhodn\u011b nemaj\u00ed, proto\u017ee tady nen\u00ed dostatek zam\u011bstnanc\u016f a\u00a0pracovn\u00ed s\u00edla kv\u016fli tomu dramaticky zdra\u017eila. \u010c\u00edna se z\u00a0odbyti\u0161t\u011b, kter\u00e9 u\u010dili d\u011blat byznys, stala jedn\u00edm z\u00a0jejich hlavn\u00edch konkurent\u016f, co\u017e je vid\u011bt na mnoha sektorech v\u010detn\u011b automobilov\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n
A m\u00edrovou dividendu u\u017e si u\u017e\u00edvat nemohou, proto\u017ee USA jasn\u011b \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee mus\u00edme p\u0159evz\u00edt odpov\u011bdnost za vlastn\u00ed obranu. To je pro n\u011b velk\u00e9 sousto, a\u00a0ne\u017e ho vy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed, bude tamn\u00ed ekonomika p\u0159inejlep\u0161\u00edm stagnovat, a\u00a0kdy\u017e se jim to za\u010dne da\u0159it \u0159e\u0161it, m\u00edrn\u011b poroste.<\/p>\n
Str\u00e1daj\u00ed tradi\u010dn\u00ed pil\u00ed\u0159e jejich ekonomiky jako automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, stroj\u00edrenstv\u00ed a\u00a0chemie a\u00a0alternativy se teprve rod\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Jak z\u00a0toho ven?<\/p>\n
Nad\u011bjn\u00e9 je, \u017ee se objevuj\u00ed nov\u00e9 sektory, kter\u00e9 za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed v\u00a0ekonomice hr\u00e1t pom\u011brn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eitou roli, by\u0165 je\u0161t\u011b nejsou schopn\u00e9 ty tradi\u010dn\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b pln\u011b nahradit. Je to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, do n\u011bho\u017e bude tamn\u00ed vl\u00e1da v\u00fdznamn\u011b investovat a\u00a0jeho\u017e r\u016fst masivn\u011b podpo\u0159\u00ed. Jsou to i\u00a0biotechnologie, v\u00a0nich\u017e jsou N\u011bmci velmi siln\u00ed, a\u00a0technologie spojen\u00e9 s\u00a0dekarbonizac\u00ed a\u00a0ochranou \u017eivotn\u00edho prost\u0159ed\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Pom\u016f\u017ee to i\u00a0\u010desk\u00e9 ekonomice?<\/p>\n
Pokud bude n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da ambici\u00f3zn\u011b investovat do obrann\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, jsme v\u00a0n\u011bm velmi siln\u00ed a\u00a0ur\u010dit\u011b to vytvo\u0159\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti i\u00a0pro \u010desk\u00e9 export\u00e9ry.<\/p>\n
Hlavn\u011b v\u00a0obrann\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu se d\u011bje jedna velmi pozitivn\u00ed v\u011bc. N\u011bmecko pro n\u00e1s u\u017e nen\u00ed jen odb\u011bratelem subdod\u00e1vek, co\u017e n\u00e1s p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 dr\u017eet v\u00a0pasti levn\u00e9 ekonomiky. Subdodavatel m\u00e1 mar\u017ei p\u011bt procent a\u00a0n\u011bmeck\u00e1 firma prod\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed fin\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdrobek dvacet procent. Te\u010f u\u017e je to odbyti\u0161t\u011b pro \u010desk\u00e9 fin\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdrobky, a\u00a0to je stra\u0161n\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9.<\/p>\n
Douf\u00e1m, \u017ee se \u010desk\u00e9 firmy v\u00a0obrann\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu uplatn\u00ed jako finalisti na tamn\u00edm trhu s\u00a0po\u0159\u00e1dnou mar\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e1 tady z\u016fstane a\u00a0d\u00edky n\u00ed u\u017e nebudeme m\u00edt t\u0159etinov\u00e9 platy proti N\u011bmecku. Firmy budou moci p\u0159idat na platech, investovat do v\u011bdy, v\u00fdzkumu a\u00a0inovac\u00ed, automatizace, digitalizace a\u00a0robotizace.<\/p>\n
Velk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti m\u00e1me i\u00a0v energetice, kde m\u00e1me co nab\u00eddnout, t\u0159eba na\u0161e skv\u011bl\u00e9 v\u00fdrobce pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch p\u0159evodovek pro vodn\u00ed nebo v\u011btrn\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny. A\u00a0tak\u00e9 m\u00e1me v\u00fdrobce kolejov\u00fdch vozidel, syst\u00e9m\u016f na \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed dopravy. Vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, kolik n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da do modernizace infrastruktury hodl\u00e1 investovat pen\u011bz, budou tam velk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti.<\/p>\n
Plat\u00ed st\u00e1le, \u017ee nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm probl\u00e9mem pro N\u011bmce jsou drah\u00e9 energie?<\/p>\n
Jsme ve velmi \u00fazk\u00e9m kontaktu s\u00a0n\u011bmeck\u00fdm pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdm svazem. Z\u00a0jeho posledn\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dv\u011b t\u0159etiny tamn\u00edch pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch firem ozna\u010duj\u00ed za jeden z\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f ekonomiky hospod\u00e1\u0159skou politiku vl\u00e1dy. \u010cekaly od n\u00ed pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 reformy, a\u00a0ty zat\u00edm nep\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed. <\/p>\n
Druh\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem jsou pro n\u011b n\u00e1klady pr\u00e1ce a\u00a0pracovn\u011bpr\u00e1vn\u00ed legislativa, co\u017e ukazuje, \u017ee od nov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy firmy \u010dekaly mnohem odv\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kroky.<\/p>\n
![](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/volkswagen-vw.jpeg\")
<\/a>Radek \u0160picar<\/p>\nViceprezidentem Svazu pr\u016fmyslu a\u00a0dopravy je p\u0159es deset let. <\/p>\n
P\u016fsob\u00ed i\u00a0ve veden\u00ed Konfederace evropsk\u00e9ho podnik\u00e1n\u00ed BusinessEurope.<\/p>\n
Absolvoval Univerzitu Karlovu a\u00a0University of Cambridge.<\/p>\n
Je b\u00fdval\u00fdm n\u00e1m\u011bstkem m\u00edstop\u0159edsedy vl\u00e1dy pro ekonomiku a\u00a0pozd\u011bji \u010dlenem managementu \u0160kody Auto.<\/p>\n
N\u011bkolik let tak\u00e9 vedl st\u0159edoevropskou pobo\u010dku americk\u00e9ho think-tanku Aspen Institute.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu zp\u016fsobila dramatick\u00fd r\u016fst cen ropy i\u00a0plynu. Lid\u00e9 to hned poc\u00edtili p\u0159i zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed u\u00a0\u010derpac\u00edch stanic. Vl\u00e1da sn\u00ed\u017eila…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":57565,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[67,68,686,492,592,12528,205,8494],"class_list":{"0":"post-57564","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-byznys","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-byznys","10":"tag-inflace","11":"tag-plyn","12":"tag-prumysl","13":"tag-radek-spicar","14":"tag-ropa","15":"tag-rust"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116419213779663469","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57564","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57564"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57564\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/57565"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57564"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57564"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57564"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
![](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/fatih-birol.jpeg\")
<\/a>Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem, kter\u00fd je te\u010f v\u00a0podstat\u011b blokov\u00e1n, proplouvaly krom\u011b ropy a\u00a0plynu i\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed suroviny. Nehroz\u00ed jejich akutn\u00ed nedostatek?<\/p>\n