{"id":57586,"date":"2026-04-17T09:23:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T09:23:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/57586\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T09:23:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T09:23:13","slug":"iran-je-krok-pred-bankrotem-teheran-ma-duvod-k-jednani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/57586\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n je krok p\u0159ed bankrotem, Teher\u00e1n m\u00e1 d\u016fvod k\u00a0jedn\u00e1n\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"

B\u011bhem p\u011bti t\u00fddn\u016f v\u00e1lky Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a\u00a0Izrael zas\u00e1hly nejm\u00e9n\u011b 17\u00a0tis\u00edc c\u00edl\u016f. Nebyly to jen vojensk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 body, ale tak\u00e9 tov\u00e1rny, \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed, silni\u010dn\u00ed,\u00a0p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed infrastruktura a\u00a0vl\u00e1dn\u00ed budovy. \u00dadery zas\u00e1hly i\u00a0za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed vyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed materi\u00e1ly, jako je ocel, pot\u0159ebn\u00e1 k\u00a0oprav\u00e1m, a\u00a0provozy, nap\u0159\u00edklad petrochemie, kter\u00e9 p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed finance.<\/p>\n

Izrael si vzal na mu\u0161ku osm petrochemick\u00fdch z\u00e1vod\u016f na jihoz\u00e1pad\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Po\u0161kozeny byly tak\u00e9 dv\u011b hlavn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ocel\u00e1rny, Mobarakeh Steel Company v\u00a0Isfah\u00e1nu a\u00a0Khuzestan Steel pobl\u00ed\u017e Ahv\u00e1zu, p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 list The Wall Street Journal<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Petrochemick\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, kdy\u017e nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me ropu, tvo\u0159\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 polovinu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho exportu. V\u00a0roce 2023\u00a0p\u0159inesl Teher\u00e1nu 18\u00a0miliard dolar\u016f. D\u00edky oceli z\u00edskal \u00cdr\u00e1n sedm miliard dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/p>\n

\u201e\u00datoky nejsou n\u00e1hodn\u00e9,\u201c \u0159ekl Kevan Harris, odborn\u00edk na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd rozvoj z\u00a0Kalifornsk\u00e9 univerzity v\u00a0Los Angeles. \u201eC\u00edl\u00ed na \u010d\u00e1sti ekonomiky, kter\u00e9 jsou orientov\u00e1ny na export a\u00a0p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed devizy,\u201c dodal. Obnova zem\u011b proto bude komplikovan\u00e1 kv\u016fli vz\u00e1jemn\u011b propojen\u00e9 povaze \u0161kod.<\/p>\n

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\u201eM\u00e1m pocit, \u017ee rozsah zni\u010den\u00ed je nyn\u00ed mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e za v\u00e1lky mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a\u00a0Ir\u00e1kem,\u201c \u0159ekl Kaveh Ehsani, docent mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch studi\u00ed na DePaul University v\u00a0Chicagu. V\u00a0tomto konfliktu, kter\u00fd trval od roku 1980\u00a0do 1988, zem\u0159el a\u017e milion \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f a\u00a0Ir\u00e1\u010dan\u016f a\u00a0lid\u00e9 \u017eili roky v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00e9m syst\u00e9mu. Tato v\u00e1lka se v\u011bt\u0161inou odehr\u00e1vala v\u00a0z\u00e1kopech pobl\u00ed\u017e hranic. Nyn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed konflikt se ale dostal do mnoha m\u011bstsk\u00fdch oblast\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Neodvezen\u00e1 ropa se hromad\u00ed. Hroz\u00ed zastaven\u00ed t\u011b\u017eby<\/p>\n

U\u017e p\u0159ed \u00faderem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f se \u00cdr\u00e1n zm\u00edtal v\u00a0ekonomick\u00e9 krizi, co\u017e je v\u00fdsledek roky trvaj\u00edc\u00edho modelu, kter\u00fd stav\u011bl raketov\u00e9 programy a\u00a0arm\u00e1du nad ekonomiku. Tlak mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch sankc\u00ed a\u00a0\u0161patn\u00e9ho hospoda\u0159en\u00ed vyhnaly na po\u010d\u00e1tku leto\u0161n\u00edho roku stovky tis\u00edc lid\u00ed do ulic.<\/p>\n

\u00dadery a\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e1 blok\u00e1da \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f ze strany USA dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed zemi do kolapsov\u00e9ho stavu. Podle odhadu analyti\u010dky Miad Malekiov\u00e9 bude blok\u00e1da st\u00e1t \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 435\u00a0milion\u016f dolar\u016f denn\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b 276\u00a0milion\u016f dolar\u016f ztracen\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu, p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b ropy a\u00a0petrochemik\u00e1li\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 ropa, kterou nelze vyv\u00e9zt, napln\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00ed n\u00e1dr\u017ee zem\u011b b\u011bhem dvou a\u017e t\u0159\u00ed t\u00fddn\u016f, co\u017e by donutilo zemi zastavit dal\u0161\u00ed t\u011b\u017ebu, uvedl poskytovatel dat Vortexa. Ztr\u00e1ty z\u00e1vis\u00ed na n\u011bkolika faktorech, v\u010detn\u011b toho, jak p\u0159\u00edsn\u00e1 se americk\u00e1 blok\u00e1da uk\u00e1\u017ee, uvedla Sara Vakhshouriov\u00e1, zakladatelka a\u00a0prezidentka poradensk\u00e9 firmy SVB Energy International.<\/p>\n

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Bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdrobn\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed uprost\u0159ed hlubok\u00e9 recese a\u00a0rychle se znehodnocuj\u00edc\u00ed m\u011bny zhor\u0161\u00ed nezam\u011bstnanost. \u00cdr\u00e1nci, kter\u00e9 oslovil The Wall Street Journal, uvedli, \u017ee ekonomick\u00e9 \u0161kody jsou ji\u017e patrn\u00e9 v\u00a0nedostatku dod\u00e1vek a\u00a0ztr\u00e1t\u011b pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst.<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto m\u011bs\u00edce zas\u00e1hl \u00fader petrochemickou rafinerii ve m\u011bst\u011b \u0160\u00edr\u00e1z, p\u0159eru\u0161il dod\u00e1vky hnojiv vyr\u00e1b\u011bn\u00fdch t\u00edmto za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm a\u00a0distribuovan\u00fdch po cel\u00e9 zemi, uvedl 25let\u00fd student, jeho\u017e otec je farm\u00e1\u0159 na opa\u010dn\u00e9m konci zem\u011b, v\u00a0provincii Mazandaran. Sestra jeho p\u0159\u00edtelkyn\u011b p\u0159i\u0161la o\u00a0pr\u00e1ci v\u00a0tov\u00e1rn\u011b kv\u016fli rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm \u0161kod\u00e1m na ocel\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu a\u00a0\u0161ir\u0161\u00edmu dodavatelsk\u00e9mu \u0159et\u011bzci.<\/p>\n

Podle Had\u00edho Kahalzadeha, ekonoma a\u00a0b\u00fdval\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edka \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 Organizace soci\u00e1ln\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed, je ohro\u017eeno a\u017e 12\u00a0milion\u016f pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst, co\u017e je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 polovina \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pracovn\u00ed s\u00edly. Samotn\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed ocel\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu ohro\u017euje v\u00edce ne\u017e 5,5\u00a0milionu pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch 1,2\u00a0milionu ohro\u017een\u00fdch pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst je v\u00a0petrochemick\u00e9m a\u00a0farmaceutick\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu. Ztr\u00e1ty pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst v\u00a0takov\u00e9m rozsahu se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed do oblast\u00ed, jako je maloobchod.<\/p>\n

\u201eSektory nejv\u00edce zasa\u017een\u00e9 americk\u00fdmi a\u00a0izraelsk\u00fdmi leteck\u00fdmi \u00fadery p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed pil\u00ed\u0159e zam\u011bstnanosti a\u00a0v\u00fdroby,\u201c uvedl Kahalzadeh.<\/p>\n

A\u010dkoliv \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 kontrola Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a\u00a0schopnost zas\u00e1hnout c\u00edle v\u00a0cel\u00e9m z\u00e1livu mu d\u00e1vaj\u00ed ur\u010ditou p\u00e1ku p\u0159i jedn\u00e1n\u00edch se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, kolaps hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed mu omezuje prostor pro man\u00e9vrov\u00e1n\u00ed. Analytici se proto shoduj\u00ed v\u00a0tom, \u017ee dohoda p\u0159ijde, proto\u017ee si \u00cdr\u00e1n nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit opak.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"B\u011bhem p\u011bti t\u00fddn\u016f v\u00e1lky Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a\u00a0Izrael zas\u00e1hly nejm\u00e9n\u011b 17\u00a0tis\u00edc c\u00edl\u016f. Nebyly to jen vojensk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 body, ale…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":47439,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[708,1853,10659,7825,54,1887,53,52],"class_list":{"0":"post-57586","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-ekonomika","9":"tag-jednani","10":"tag-kolaps","11":"tag-konflikt-usa-izrael-iran","12":"tag-svet","13":"tag-teheran","14":"tag-world","15":"tag-world-news"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116419323651242436","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57586","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57586"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57586\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47439"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57586"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57586"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57586"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}