{"id":59170,"date":"2026-04-19T05:32:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-19T05:32:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/59170\/"},"modified":"2026-04-19T05:32:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-19T05:32:09","slug":"cash-only-casovana-bomba-ktera-snad-nevybuchne-bude-dost-plynu-na-zimu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/59170\/","title":{"rendered":"Cash Only: \u010casovan\u00e1 bomba, kter\u00e1 snad nevybuchne. Bude dost plynu na zimu?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u010ctete uk\u00e1zku z\u00a0newsletteru Cash Only, ve kter\u00e9m redakto\u0159i SZ Byznys ka\u017ed\u00fd p\u00e1tek komentuj\u00ed d\u011bn\u00ed v\u00a0\u010desk\u00e9m byznysu. Pokud v\u00e1s Cash Only zaujal, p\u0159ihlaste se k\u00a0odb\u011bru<\/a> newsletteru.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1soby plynu jsou po uplynul\u00e9 topn\u00e9 sezon\u011b na suchu, a\u00a0to \u010cesko nesu\u017eovaly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 extr\u00e9mn\u00ed mrazy. Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b se stav z\u00e1sob pohybuje na \u00farovni 22\u00a0procent z\u00a0celkov\u00e9 skladovac\u00ed kapacity.<\/p>\n

\u201eZ\u00e1sobn\u00edky plynu jsou pro n\u00e1s bolav\u00fdm bodem, je to tikaj\u00edc\u00ed bomba za ne moc komfortn\u00ed situace,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u0159editel Asociace nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch dodavatel\u016f energi\u00ed Ji\u0159\u00ed Gavor.<\/p>\n

Vzhledem k\u00a0ro\u010dn\u00edmu obdob\u00ed nen\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav z\u00e1sob kritick\u00fd. Mno\u017estv\u00ed plynu, kter\u00e9 po zim\u011b zbylo, ale bude z\u00e1sadn\u011b ovliv\u0148ovat, jak\u00fdm tempem a\u00a0za kolik obchodn\u00edci z\u00e1sobn\u00edky op\u011bt zapln\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Obchodn\u00edci maj\u00ed v\u00a0pam\u011bti ned\u00e1vnou zku\u0161enost s\u00a0obstar\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm z\u00e1sob za je\u0161t\u011b slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed situace. Sta\u010d\u00ed se vr\u00e1tit zp\u011bt do roku 2022, kdy byly z\u00e1soby po zim\u011b a\u00a0za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b na m\u00edrn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farovni. Tehdy do \u00falo\u017ei\u0161\u0165 proudil v\u00fdrazn\u011b dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed plyn, jeho\u017e cenu poh\u00e1n\u011bla nejistota ohledn\u011b dod\u00e1vek z\u00a0Ruska.<\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00e1tkem kv\u011btna roku 2022\u00a0byly z\u00e1sobn\u00edky pln\u00e9 z\u00a030\u00a0procent a\u00a0do listopadu m\u011bly b\u00fdt napln\u011bny alespo\u0148 z\u00a080\u00a0procent. Do z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f dodavatel\u00e9 tehdy vtl\u00e1\u010deli plyn, kter\u00fd byl velmi drah\u00fd nejen v\u00a0absolutn\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku, ale tak\u00e9 v\u00a0r\u00e1mci ro\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed jsou pravidla pro zaji\u0161\u0165ov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1sob voln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. 90\u00a0procent kapacity z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f by st\u00e1ty podle nov\u00fdch unijn\u00edch pravidel m\u011bly dos\u00e1hnout mezi 1.\u00a0\u0159\u00edjnem a\u00a01.\u00a0prosincem a\u00a0v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b slo\u017eit\u00fdch tr\u017en\u00edch podm\u00ednek se mohou od tohoto c\u00edle o\u00a0p\u00e1r procentn\u00edch bod\u016f vych\u00fdlit.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Dnes je situace podobn\u00e1 jako p\u0159ed \u010dty\u0159mi roky. Jen dodavatel\u00e9 ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zku, odkud plyn dovezou, ale za kolik. Cena plynu v\u00a0b\u0159eznu vystoupala na dvojn\u00e1sobek \u00farovn\u011b p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem v\u00e1lky v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu. Pokud konflikt brzy neskon\u010d\u00ed a\u00a0cena z\u016fstane vysoko, budou dodavatel\u00e9 je\u0161t\u011b nenakoupen\u00fd objem dokupovat za vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee nyn\u00ed topn\u00e1 sezona kon\u010d\u00ed, p\u0159\u00edtok plynu do \u010ceska je st\u00e1le ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e mno\u017estv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se za den spot\u0159ebuje. Zodpov\u011bdn\u00ed dodavatel\u00e9 v\u0161ak maj\u00ed z\u00a0velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti nakoupen\u00e9 energie na n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed rok u\u017e z\u00a0roku p\u0159edchoz\u00edho a\u00a0nyn\u00ed nakupuj\u00ed na l\u00e9ta 2027\u00a0a\u00a02028.<\/p>\n

\u201eCo se t\u00fdk\u00e1 Pra\u017esk\u00e9 plyn\u00e1rensk\u00e9, tak v\u00a0r\u00e1mci sv\u00e9 strategie v\u00fdrazn\u011b zohled\u0148ujeme bezpe\u010dnost a\u00a0stabilitu a\u00a0m\u00e1me po zimn\u00ed sezon\u011b v\u00a0z\u00e1sobn\u00edc\u00edch je\u0161t\u011b pom\u011brn\u011b velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed plynu\u00a0\u2013 m\u00e1me je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e 50\u00a0procent napln\u011bnost. To je pro n\u00e1s v\u00a0tomto ohledu, ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0dodavateli, kte\u0159\u00ed takovou napln\u011bnost nyn\u00ed nemaj\u00ed, pozitivn\u00ed faktor,\u201c popisuje mluv\u010d\u00ed Pra\u017esk\u00e9 plyn\u00e1rensk\u00e9 Miroslav Vr\u00e1nek.<\/p>\n

Cena plynu mimo topnou sezonu, tedy na konci jara a\u00a0b\u011bhem l\u00e9ta, typicky kles\u00e1, ale te\u010f je na podobn\u00e9 \u00farovni jako v\u00a0zim\u011b. N\u00e1klady na dopln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sob se tak prodra\u017e\u00ed. Cena plynu pro Evropu s\u00a0dod\u00e1vkou na n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc se loni touto dobou pohybovala o\u00a0v\u00edce ne\u017e 10\u00a0eur levn\u011bji oproti sou\u010dasn\u00e9 cen\u011b nad 40\u00a0eur za megawatthodinu.<\/p>\n

Velkoobchodn\u00ed cena plynu v\u0161ak v\u00a0b\u0159eznu p\u0159es\u00e1hla v\u00a0reakci na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd konflikt i\u00a065\u00a0eur za megawatthodinu a\u00a0nen\u00ed vylou\u010deno, \u017ee se na tuto \u00farove\u0148 vr\u00e1t\u00ed, nebo ji dokonce p\u0159es\u00e1hne. V\u00a0t\u011bch nejpesimisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch m\u016f\u017ee dle expert\u016f atakovat i\u00a0100\u00a0eur.<\/p>\n

P\u0159ed obchodn\u00edky te\u010f stoj\u00ed \u00fakol na\u010derpat do podzimu dal\u0161\u00edch alespo\u0148 60\u00a0procent. \u201ePro leto\u0161ek to je\u0161t\u011b dramatick\u00e9 nebude. Bude z\u00e1le\u017eet na tom, jak dlouho se bude konflikt protahovat a\u00a0jak bude reagovat trh. Do ur\u010dit\u00e9 m\u00edry dok\u00e1\u017eete dr\u017eet cenu na \u00fakor douf\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0lep\u0161\u00ed budoucnost, co\u017e se m\u016f\u017ee do pln\u011bn\u00ed prom\u00edtnout,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Viktor Proch\u00e1zka, z\u00e1stupce \u0159editele dodavatele energi\u00ed Yello.<\/p>\n

V\u011bt\u0161ina evropsk\u00fdch z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f je nyn\u00ed napln\u011bna srovnateln\u011b s\u00a0t\u011bmi \u010desk\u00fdmi. Podle Evropsk\u00e9 komise odpov\u00edd\u00e1 pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd objem v\u00a0z\u00e1sobn\u00edc\u00edch 27\u00a0procent\u016fm kapacity.<\/p>\n

Napln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f na 90\u00a0procent evropsk\u00fdch kapacit m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt slo\u017eit\u00e9, pokud bude krize na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b eskalovat, a\u00a0to i\u00a0p\u0159esto, \u017ee z\u00a0oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 Evropa jen minimum sv\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Daleko v\u00edce je na dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch z\u00a0Kataru a\u00a0Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f z\u00e1visl\u00e1 Asie. \u201eBude se sna\u017eit z\u00edskat zemn\u00ed plyn z\u00a0jin\u00fdch oblast\u00ed, a\u00a0to m\u016f\u017ee jeho ceny kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161it, klidn\u011b i\u00a0na 70\u00a0eur za megawatthodinu,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 marketingov\u00fd \u0159editel Centropolu Ji\u0159\u00ed Matou\u0161ek.<\/p>\n

Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1kupn\u00ed cena se pak rozlo\u017e\u00ed v\u00a0cen\u00edc\u00edch pro koncov\u00e9 odb\u011bratele. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed dodavatel\u00e9 u\u017e dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1kupy do cen pro nov\u00e9 z\u00e1kazn\u00edky prom\u00edtli a\u00a0uk\u00e1zalo se, \u017ee r\u016fst nen\u00ed tak dramatick\u00fd. Pokud by podepsali novou smlouvu na dod\u00e1vky plynu nyn\u00ed, zaplat\u00ed zhruba tolik, jako kdyby ji podepsali za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto roku. Nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed se nav\u00edc pohybuje v\u00a0\u0159\u00e1dech deseti a\u017e stovek korun. Se zlev\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm se v\u0161ak z\u00e1kazn\u00edci mohou rozlou\u010dit.<\/p>\n

Plynu je p\u0159itom na sv\u011bt\u011b dostatek. Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed bude jeho cena. Obchodn\u00edci mohou vy\u010dk\u00e1vat a\u00a0s\u00e1zet na to, \u017ee cena plynu v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch klesne, a\u00a0nebudou muset vtl\u00e1\u010det drah\u00fd plyn, na kter\u00e9m by mohli prod\u011blat.<\/p>\n

Z ekonomick\u00e9ho hlediska to d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl, ale z\u00a0pohledu energetick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti se nad stavem z\u00e1sob a\u00a0p\u0159\u00edtokem plynu rozblik\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010derven\u00e1 kontrolka. \u010cesko u\u017e plynovou krizi v\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech zvl\u00e1dlo. Leto\u0161n\u00ed zima tak uk\u00e1\u017ee, jestli jsme se z\u00a0roku 2022\u00a0pou\u010dili.<\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmaj\u00ed v\u00e1s akciov\u00e9 trhy, energetika nebo pl\u00e1ny \u010desk\u00fdch podnikatel\u016f? P\u0159ihlaste se k\u00a0odb\u011bru Cash Only<\/a> a\u00a0kompletn\u00ed newsletter budete ka\u017ed\u00fd p\u00e1tek dost\u00e1vat do sv\u00e9 schr\u00e1nky.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u010ctete uk\u00e1zku z\u00a0newsletteru Cash Only, ve kter\u00e9m redakto\u0159i SZ Byznys ka\u017ed\u00fd p\u00e1tek komentuj\u00ed d\u011bn\u00ed v\u00a0\u010desk\u00e9m byznysu. Pokud v\u00e1s…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":58589,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[67,68,3243,6865,7825,20789,2156,6801],"class_list":["post-59170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-byznys","tag-business","tag-byznys","tag-cash-only","tag-cena-plynu","tag-konflikt-usa-izrael-iran","tag-zasobniky-plynu","tag-zemni-plyn","tag-zkapalneny-zemni-plyn-lng"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116429740045217484","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59170","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59170"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59170\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/58589"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59170"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}