![\"T\u00edm,](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/_dsc0101.jpg\")
<\/p>\nJak podle v\u00e1s ovlivn\u00ed aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed situace rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010cech\u016f, kde str\u00e1v\u00ed letn\u00ed dovolenou?
Ten probl\u00e9m m\u00e1 n\u011bkolik rozm\u011br\u016f. Je tady nesoulad mezi cenou ropy k okam\u017eit\u00e9mu odb\u011bru a v\u00fdhledem na tu cenu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u201efutures kontrakt\u016f\u201c na dal\u0161\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce.<\/p>\n
Z toho lze usuzovat, \u017ee p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00ed probl\u00e9my v logistice. Ten, kdo chce okam\u017eit\u011b koupit ropu, aby mohl vyr\u00e1b\u011bt kerosin coby leteck\u00fd benzin, mus\u00ed si za ni v\u00fdrazn\u011b p\u0159iplatit. Je velk\u00fd rozd\u00edl v cen\u011b ropy k odb\u011bru za m\u011bs\u00edc \u010di dva. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, trh v tuto chv\u00edli p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee by se ta situace m\u011bla uklid\u0148ovat a do startu letn\u00edch pr\u00e1zdnin zlep\u0161ovat.<\/p>\n
Nicm\u00e9n\u011b lid\u00e9 necht\u011bj\u00ed s rozhodnut\u00edm \u010dekat tak dlouho\u2026<\/p>\n
Pak m\u00e1me pohled leteck\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 u\u017e za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed na situaci reagovat t\u00edm, \u017ee vy\u0161krt\u00e1vaj\u00ed nejm\u00e9n\u011b ziskov\u00e9 lety, n\u011bkter\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti p\u0159id\u00e1vaj\u00ed k cen\u00e1m letenek palivov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edplatky a vid\u00edme, \u017ee cena letenek roste. To vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edjemnosti, proto\u017ee lid\u00e9 si cht\u011bj\u00ed napl\u00e1novat dovolenou, ale kv\u016fli dra\u017e\u0161\u00edm letenk\u00e1m dovolen\u00e1 letecky vyjde o n\u011bco dr\u00e1\u017e, pokud ji cht\u011bj\u00ed po\u0159\u00eddit te\u010f.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
T\u00edm, \u017ee ti lid\u00e9 neodcestuj\u00ed do Asie, hledaj\u00ed jin\u00e9 destinace, kter\u00e9 se jev\u00ed bezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Evropa z toho m\u016f\u017ee profitovat, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u0160t\u011bp\u00e1n K\u0159e\u010dek.Foto: Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b.cz<\/p>\n
A pak je t\u0159et\u00ed pohled, to je ten spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fd: lid\u00e9 za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed pl\u00e1novat dovolenou, v rodin\u011b \u0159e\u0161\u00ed, kdy si ji cht\u011bj\u00ed vz\u00edt, a pochopiteln\u011b pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed v\u011bd\u011bt, kam na dovolenou vyrazit.<\/p>\n
Evropsk\u00e9 hotely zdra\u017e\u00edA kam tedy vyraz\u00ed?<\/p>\n
Vid\u00edme tendenci vyh\u00fdb\u00e1n\u00ed se regionu Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, a to jak p\u0159\u00edmo, tak i zprost\u0159edkovan\u011b \u2013 \u0159e\u0161\u00ed tak\u00e9 to, v jak\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti toho konfliktn\u00edho regionu jsou p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 p\u0159estupy.<\/p>\n
Mohla by na tom vyd\u011blat Evropa?<\/p>\n
P\u0159esn\u011b tak. T\u00edm, \u017ee ti lid\u00e9 neodcestuj\u00ed do Asie, hledaj\u00ed jin\u00e9 destinace, kter\u00e9 se jev\u00ed bezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Evropa z toho m\u016f\u017ee profitovat. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b popul\u00e1rn\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 destinace tak budou \u010delit zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 popt\u00e1vce a mohou naopak vy\u0161ponovat ceny hotel\u016f. Kdy\u017e tedy u\u0161et\u0159\u00edte n\u011bco na doprav\u011b, tak o to dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed zase m\u016f\u017eete m\u00edt ubytov\u00e1n\u00ed kv\u016fli p\u0159etlaku turist\u016f. To se t\u00fdk\u00e1 zejm\u00e9na jihu Evropy, It\u00e1lie, \u0160pan\u011blska \u010di \u0158ecka \u2013 tam m\u016f\u017eeme \u010dekat vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cenu ubytov\u00e1n\u00ed a navazuj\u00edc\u00edch slu\u017eeb.<\/p>\n
Na benzink\u00e1ch sice vid\u00edme vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny pohonn\u00fdch hmot, kter\u00e9 u\u017e se nebl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed pades\u00e1ti korun\u00e1m, ale klesaj\u00ed ke \u010dty\u0159iceti. Je tak mo\u017en\u00e9 \u017ee se je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc \u010cech\u016f bude na dovolenou vypravovat autem. Je to st\u00e1le popul\u00e1rn\u00ed zp\u016fsob tr\u00e1ven\u00ed dovolen\u00e9 a lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee po\u010det lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed si napl\u00e1nuj\u00ed dovolenou t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem, poroste. A bude jich je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc ne\u017e v minul\u00fdch letech.<\/p>\n
Nebude p\u0159ib\u00fdvat lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed str\u00e1v\u00ed svou dovolenou v \u010cesku?<\/p>\n
Sp\u00ed\u0161 si mysl\u00edm \u2013 a je to trend u\u017e z minul\u00fdch let \u2013, \u017ee se bude prodlu\u017eovat pr\u00e1zdninov\u00e1 sezona. To podle m\u011b bude pokra\u010dovat. Tedy \u017ee dovolen\u00e9 u\u017e se nesoust\u0159ed\u00ed jen na \u010dervenec a na srpen, ale \u017ee se protahuj\u00ed u\u017e na \u010derven a z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Aby se n\u011bkdo vyhnul t\u011bm nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1val\u016fm turist\u016f v obl\u00edben\u00fdch destinac\u00edch, vyraz\u00ed trochu d\u0159\u00edv, zkr\u00e1t\u00ed d\u011btem \u0161koln\u00ed rok. Anebo d\u011bti nastoup\u00ed o n\u011bco pozd\u011bji, t\u0159eba prvn\u00ed nebo druh\u00fd t\u00fdden v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. <\/p>\n
A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b se najdou i tac\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed nebudou cht\u00edt letos utr\u00e1cet tolik. Situace je nejist\u00e1 a vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00fd stres v rodin\u00e1ch, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k rozhodnut\u00ed pojmout dovolenou \u00fasporn\u011bji. Pak se nab\u00edz\u00ed varianta, kter\u00e1 byla hodn\u011b \u010dast\u00e1 b\u011bhem covidu, kdy se jezdilo po \u010desk\u00fdch luz\u00edch a h\u00e1j\u00edch. Je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed dovolen\u00e9 z n\u011bjak\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti budou nahrazeny pobyty v \u010cesku.<\/p>\n
Co byste doporu\u010dil? <\/p>\n
Velmi popul\u00e1rn\u00ed za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 b\u00fdt Polsko, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 st\u00e1le roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed se infrastrukturu kolem hotel\u016f a ubytov\u00e1n\u00ed. A pr\u00e1v\u011b ubytov\u00e1n\u00ed v luxusn\u00edch hotel\u00edch tam lze po\u0159\u00eddit za v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 ceny. Je to pro \u010desk\u00e9 turisty relativn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00e1 lokalita. Je tady mo\u017enost jet na Slovensko do Tater, do term\u00e1l\u016f. Nebo pak \u010cesko, lze tr\u00e1vit dovolenou na Lipn\u011b nebo m\u00e1me kr\u00e1sn\u00e9 hory. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee tyhle \u00favahy budou v \u010desk\u00fdch rodin\u00e1ch \u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v minul\u00fdch letech.<\/p>\n
Neob\u00e1v\u00e1te se za to zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 Polsko kritiky podobn\u00e9 t\u00e9 p\u0159ed t\u0159emi lety, kdy jste v dob\u011b drah\u00fdch potravin radil, a\u0165 lid\u00e9 jezd\u00ed nakupovat do Polska, kde je levn\u011bji?<\/p>\n
M\u00e1te pravdu, \u017ee tehdy se to nesetkalo ze v\u0161ech stran s pochopen\u00edm, ale j\u00e1 jako ekonom si za t\u00edm n\u00e1zorem do dne\u0161ka stoj\u00edm. \u0158e\u0161ili jsme probl\u00e9m obrovsk\u00e9 infla\u010dn\u00ed vlny. A z v\u00fdsledk\u016f zisk\u016f a tr\u017eeb obchodn\u00edk\u016f bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee to nekop\u00edrovalo r\u016fst n\u00e1klad\u016f, ale \u017ee si obchodn\u00edci \u201enadst\u0159elovali\u201c mar\u017ee, proto dos\u00e1hli rekordn\u00edch zisk\u016f.<\/p>\n
Jedin\u00e1 mo\u017enost byla od\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed popt\u00e1vky \u2013 a teprve a\u017e kdy\u017e se zmen\u0161ila, ceny p\u0159estaly r\u016fst, a dokonce za\u010daly klesat. A kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1te, kdy ten v\u00fdrok o nakupov\u00e1n\u00ed v Polsku zazn\u011bl, tak od t\u00e9 doby inflace u\u017e jen klesala. Uk\u00e1zalo se to jako \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e1 slovn\u00ed intervence. Ale ch\u00e1pu, \u017ee mnoz\u00ed lid\u00e9 v tom vid\u011bli jin\u00e9 probl\u00e9my, n\u011bjak\u00e9 nacion\u00e1ln\u00ed nebo odt\u00e9k\u00e1n\u00ed dan\u00ed z \u010ceska do Polska. Ano, bylo to kontroverzn\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Polsko u\u017e nen\u00ed \u201elevn\u00fd instalat\u00e9r\u201cTe\u010f mysl\u00edte, \u017ee ta kritika nep\u0159ijde?<\/p>\n
P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1m, \u017ee kdy\u017e chce \u010dlov\u011bk jet na dovolenou, tak by ty pen\u00edze stejn\u011b neutratil tady. A jestli je utrat\u00ed v Polsku, nebo v It\u00e1lii, to u\u017e m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt na\u0161emu st\u00e1tn\u00edmu rozpo\u010dtu jedno.<\/p>\n
J\u00e1 jakmile jedu do Var\u0161avy, vid\u00edm tam nov\u00fd mrakodrap, je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 vid\u011bt, kam to Polsko dot\u00e1hlo. Mo\u017en\u00e1 \u017ee to mnoh\u00fdm \u010cech\u016fm otev\u0159e o\u010di. Polsko u\u017e rozhodn\u011b nen\u00ed levn\u00fd instalat\u00e9r pochybn\u00e9 kvality. A ty hotely tam jsou opravdu luxusn\u00ed. <\/p>\n
Na co by si lid\u00e9 m\u011bli d\u00e1t pozor a na co by p\u0159i v\u00fdb\u011bru dovolen\u00e9 nem\u011bli zapomenout?<\/p>\n
Vzhledem k nejistot\u011b, kter\u00e1 panuje, je vhodn\u00e9 m\u00edt v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed storna u letenky \u2013 pokud tedy zvol\u00ed leteckou dovolenou \u2013, aby ji mohli bezplatn\u011b stornovat. Pokud by se situace p\u0159ece jen je\u0161t\u011b vyhrotila a \u010dlov\u011bk m\u011bl let t\u0159eba kolem t\u00e9 konfliktn\u00ed oblasti, by\u0165 t\u0159eba na prvn\u00ed pohled v bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 vzd\u00e1lenosti, i tak je dobr\u00e9 m\u00edt mo\u017enost bezplatn\u011b letenku zru\u0161it. Je to sice p\u0159\u00edplatkov\u00e1 varianta letenky, ale v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se to m\u016f\u017ee vyplatit.<\/p>\n
Dobrodruzi mohou po\u010d\u00edtat s leteckou p\u0159epravou i na posledn\u00ed chv\u00edli, maj\u00ed podporu ze strany trhu, kter\u00fd o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee se ta situace bude uklid\u0148ovat. B\u00fdt t\u011bmi, kdo cht\u011bj\u00ed m\u00edt jistotu, volil bych dovolenou v \u010cesku nebo tam, kam se lze dopravit autem.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Jak podle v\u00e1s ovlivn\u00ed aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed situace rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010cech\u016f, kde str\u00e1v\u00ed letn\u00ed dovolenou?Ten probl\u00e9m m\u00e1 n\u011bkolik rozm\u011br\u016f. Je tady…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":64302,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[11],"tags":[536,1471,21955,54,53,52],"class_list":["post-64301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-cestovani","tag-dovolena","tag-letni-prazdniny","tag-svet","tag-world","tag-world-news"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116455413318858580","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64301"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64301\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64302"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}