{"id":65036,"date":"2026-04-24T12:17:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T12:17:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/65036\/"},"modified":"2026-04-24T12:17:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T12:17:15","slug":"nejsilnejsi-el-nino-za-deset-let-bude-letos-suzovat-asii-varuji-predpovedi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/65036\/","title":{"rendered":"Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed El Ni\u0148o za deset let bude letos su\u017eovat Asii, varuj\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011bdi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed meteorologick\u00fd jev El Ni\u0148o za posledn\u00edch deset let bude m\u00edt ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku v\u00a0Asii za n\u00e1sledek v\u00edce veder a\u00a0sucha. Varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed t\u00edm podle agentury Reuters meteorologick\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi. Zas\u00e1hne to \u00farodu plodin a\u00a0dod\u00e1vky potravin v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy se zem\u011bd\u011blci pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed s\u00a0nedostatkem hnojiv a\u00a0vysok\u00fdmi cenami paliv v\u00a0d\u016fsledku v\u00e1lky v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu, upozor\u0148uje agentura.<\/p>\n

El Ni\u0148o je periodick\u00e9 oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed teploty mo\u0159sk\u00e9 hladiny ve st\u0159edn\u00edm a\u00a0v\u00fdchodn\u00edm Tich\u00e9m oce\u00e1nu. Jeden z\u00a0nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch takov\u00fdchto trend\u016f se vyskytl v\u00a0letech 2015\u00a0a\u00a02016, co\u017e vyvolalo rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 sucho v\u00a0Asii a\u00a0sn\u00ed\u017eilo produkci obil\u00ed a\u00a0olejnin.<\/p>\n

Japonsk\u00fd meteorologick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad odhaduje na 70\u00a0procent pravd\u011bpodobnost v\u00fdskytu El Ni\u0148a v\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b na severn\u00ed polokouli, zat\u00edmco \u010d\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed klimati\u010dt\u00ed odborn\u00edci se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee by mohl p\u0159etrv\u00e1vat a\u017e do konce roku. Indie o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 poprv\u00e9 za t\u0159i roky podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 monzunov\u00e9 de\u0161t\u011b.<\/p>\n

\u201eV n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech Austr\u00e1lie a\u00a0Indie ji\u017e pozorujeme horko a\u00a0sucho,\u201c \u0159ekl meteorolog \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00e9 meteorologick\u00e9 firmy Meteomatics Chris Hyde. \u201eNaposledy jsme podobn\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly vid\u011bli b\u011bhem siln\u00e9ho El Ni\u0148a v\u00a0letech 2015\u00a0a\u017e 2016,\u201c \u0159ekl Hyde a\u00a0dodal, \u017ee zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 dv\u011b zem\u011b spolu s\u00a0jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asi\u00ed pat\u0159\u00ed k\u00a0region\u016fm nejsnadn\u011bji podl\u00e9haj\u00edc\u00edm El Ni\u0148u a\u00a0nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bji vykazuj\u00ed prvn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edznaky.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Zem\u011bd\u011blci v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch australsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech Nov\u00fd Ji\u017en\u00ed Wales a\u00a0Queensland u\u017e byli po m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch n\u00edzk\u00fdch sr\u00e1\u017eek nuceni omezit set\u00ed p\u0161enice a\u00a0\u0159epky. \u201eNa\u0161e sezona se \u00fapln\u011b zhroutila,\u201c \u0159ekl Pat Ryan, kter\u00fd p\u011bstuje plodiny a\u00a0chov\u00e1 dobytek pobl\u00ed\u017e Merriwy v\u00a0Nov\u00e9m Ji\u017en\u00edm Walesu. \u201eU\u017e t\u0159i nebo \u010dty\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce jsme nem\u011bli \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd slu\u0161n\u00fd d\u00e9\u0161\u0165,\u201c \u0159ekl Ryan.<\/p>\n

P\u0159edpov\u011bdi ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00a0Austr\u00e1lii, \u010dtvrt\u00e9m nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdvozci p\u0161enice a\u00a0druh\u00e9m nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm dodavateli \u0159epky na sv\u011bt\u011b, bude v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce sucha.<\/p>\n

Such\u00e9 po\u010das\u00ed v\u00a0jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii tak\u00e9 ohro\u017euje produkci palmov\u00e9ho oleje a\u00a0r\u00fd\u017ee. \u201eHlavn\u00ed dopad na palmov\u00fd olej se projev\u00ed o\u00a0\u0161est a\u017e patn\u00e1ct m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f pozd\u011bji v\u00a0d\u016fsledku cyklu plodin,\u201c \u0159ekl M. R. Chandran, z\u00e1stupce pr\u016fmyslu v\u00a0Kuala Lumpuru, hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b Malajsie, kter\u00e1 je spolu se sousedn\u00ed Indon\u00e9si\u00ed jedn\u00edm z\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch producent\u016f. Siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a\u00a0del\u0161\u00ed jev El Ni\u0148o by podle n\u011bj mohl v\u00e9st k\u00a0poklesu produkce o\u00a0p\u011bt a\u017e 12\u00a0procent.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

V Indii by podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 monzunov\u00e9 de\u0161t\u011b od \u010dervna do z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed mohly omezit v\u00fdnosy letn\u00edch plodin, jako jsou r\u00fd\u017ee, bavlna a\u00a0s\u00f3ja, a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 sn\u00ed\u017eit vlhkost p\u016fdy pro ozim\u00e9 plodiny jako p\u0161enice a\u00a0\u0159epka. \u201eCel\u00e1 sez\u00f3na bude pod norm\u00e1lem,\u201c o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 Hyde. \u201eV Indii existuje potenci\u00e1l pro siln\u00e9 sucho, zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0srpnu a\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed,\u201c ob\u00e1v\u00e1 se. Leto\u0161n\u00ed monzuny do regionu podle Hydea pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159inesou sr\u00e1\u017eky, kter\u00e9 budou jen na 70\u00a0a\u017e 90\u00a0procentech pr\u016fm\u011bru.<\/p>\n

El Ni\u0148o by naopak mohl zp\u016fsobit v\u00edce sr\u00e1\u017eek v\u00a0Evrop\u011b a\u00a0ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, zejm\u00e9na b\u011bhem sklizn\u011b kuku\u0159ice a\u00a0s\u00f3ji v\u00a0USA. Zat\u00edmco siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed de\u0161t\u011b v\u00a0Americe mohou kompenzovat n\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty v\u00a0Asii, nadm\u011brn\u00e9 sr\u00e1\u017eky a\u00a0z\u00e1plavy mohou naru\u0161it sklize\u0148 a\u00a0zhor\u0161it kvalitu obilovin a\u00a0olejnin.<\/p>\n

\u201eV Evrop\u011b, pokud budeme m\u00edt letos v\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b hodn\u011b de\u0161t\u011b, by to mohlo b\u00fdt p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 pro kuku\u0159ici,\u201c \u0159ekl analytik spole\u010dnosti Expana Beno\u00eet Fayaud.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed meteorologick\u00fd jev El Ni\u0148o za posledn\u00edch deset let bude m\u00edt ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku v\u00a0Asii za n\u00e1sledek…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":65037,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[3425,9267,850,3518,7031,54,22144,11784,53,52],"class_list":{"0":"post-65036","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-asie","9":"tag-el-nino","10":"tag-potraviny","11":"tag-predpoved","12":"tag-sucho","13":"tag-svet","14":"tag-uroda","15":"tag-vedro","16":"tag-world","17":"tag-world-news"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116459644271398157","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65036","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65036"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65036\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65037"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65036"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65036"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65036"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}