{"id":72087,"date":"2026-05-01T05:12:08","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T05:12:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/72087\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T05:12:08","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T05:12:08","slug":"nato-se-probudilo-jenze-evropa-ma-rakety-jen-na-10-dni-valky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/72087\/","title":{"rendered":"NATO se probudilo. Jen\u017ee Evropa m\u00e1 rakety jen na 10 dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky"},"content":{"rendered":"

Na 18. ro\u010dn\u00edku Kyiv Security Forum zazn\u011blo varov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 u\u017e nelze odb\u00fdt jako p\u0159ehnan\u00fd alarmismus: Rusko p\u0159edstavuje re\u00e1lnou hrozbu pro evropskou bezpe\u010dnost a\u00a0sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 konfrontace s\u00a0NATO u\u017e nen\u00ed jen teoretick\u00fdm cvi\u010den\u00edm pro analytiky. Dnes o\u00a0n\u011bm otev\u0159en\u011b mluv\u00ed premi\u00e9\u0159i, gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 i\u00a0b\u00fdval\u00ed \u0161\u00e9fov\u00e9 tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb.<\/p>\n

\"rakety\"<\/a>Foto: Sklad s\u00a0raketami | Adobe Stock<\/p>\n

\"Slovensko<\/a><\/p>\n

Debatu naplno rozv\u00ed\u0159il polsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r, kdy\u017e prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Rusko by\u00a0mohlo b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraveno podniknout kroky proti \u010dlensk\u00e9 zemi Aliance u\u017e v\u00a0horizontu n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 zpochybnil, zda by\u00a0mechanismus kolektivn\u00ed obrany NATO dok\u00e1zal reagovat dostate\u010dn\u011b rychle a\u00a0\u00fa\u010dinn\u011b. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato ot\u00e1zka st\u00e1la v\u00a0centru kyjevsk\u00e9ho f\u00f3ra, kter\u00e9 se\u00a0konalo 23. a\u00a024. dubna.<\/p>\n

Experti se\u00a0sice shodli, \u017ee hrozba je\u00a0skute\u010dn\u00e1, ale rozch\u00e1zeli se\u00a0v tom, jak bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed vlastn\u011b je. B\u00fdval\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f MI6 Richard Moore upozornil, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 provokace, informa\u010dn\u00ed tlak a\u00a0psychologick\u00e9 operace nejsou chaotick\u00e9 ani nahodil\u00e9. Podle n\u011bj p\u0159esn\u011b zapadaj\u00ed do\u00a0takzvan\u00e9 Gerasimovovy doktr\u00edny \u2014 tedy strategie, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 protivn\u00edka oslabit strachem, politick\u00fdm tlakem a\u00a0rozd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00edm spojenc\u016f je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e dojde na\u00a0otev\u0159en\u00fd vojensk\u00fd st\u0159et.<\/p>\n

Podle Moorea je\u00a0kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 nejen pochopit motivaci Moskvy, ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm sledovat, jak na\u00a0ni zareaguje Aliance. Pokud bude odpov\u011b\u010f slab\u00e1 nebo pomal\u00e1, Kreml si\u00a0z toho ud\u011bl\u00e1 vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1v\u011bry. Jin\u00fdmi slovy: Rusko mo\u017en\u00e1 pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f testuje odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed NATO d\u0159\u00edv, ne\u017e by\u00a0se odhodlalo k\u00a0n\u011b\u010demu v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu.<\/p>\n

Zazn\u00edvaly ale i\u00a0st\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hlasy. Estonsk\u00fd diplomat a\u00a0b\u00fdval\u00fd z\u00e1stupce \u0161\u00e9fa estonsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky Andres Vosman p\u0159ipomn\u011bl, \u017ee v\u00e1lka proti Ukrajin\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011b omezuje ruskou schopnost zah\u00e1jit dal\u0161\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 operace. Hlavn\u00ed s\u00edly Moskvy z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00e1zan\u00e9 na\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9 front\u011b, co\u017e Kremlu svazuje ruce v\u00a0jin\u00fdch regionech.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed rozm\u011br p\u0159idal b\u00fdval\u00fd p\u0159edseda Vojensk\u00e9ho v\u00fdboru NATO admir\u00e1l Rob Bauer. Podle n\u011bj u\u017e Rusko nen\u00ed schopn\u00e9 d\u011blat z\u00e1sadn\u00ed strategick\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed pln\u011b samostatn\u011b, proto\u017ee je\u00a0st\u00e1le v\u00edce z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b. Pr\u00e1v\u011b Peking tak m\u016f\u017ee v\u00fdznamn\u011b ovlivnit, zda je\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace v\u016fbec mo\u017en\u00e1. Bauer ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 pronesl v\u011btu, kter\u00e1 se\u00a0stala jedn\u00edm z\u00a0nejv\u00fdsti\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch shrnut\u00ed cel\u00e9 konference: \u201eZ\u00e1pad se\u00a0probudil \u2014 ale p\u0159ed n\u00e1mi je\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b velmi dlouh\u00e1 cesta.\u201c<\/p>\n

A pr\u00e1v\u011b tady se\u00a0dost\u00e1v\u00e1me k\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu evropsk\u00e9mu probl\u00e9mu. Evropa si\u00a0sice za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u011bt, \u017ee rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na\u00a0kontinentu u\u017e nen\u00ed nep\u0159edstaviteln\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, do\u00a0t\u00e9to nov\u00e9 reality ale vstupuje nep\u0159ipraven\u00e1.<\/p>\n

B\u00fdval\u00fd americk\u00fd velvyslanec na\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b Steven Pifer upozornil na\u00a0s\u00edl\u00edc\u00ed debatu ve\u00a0Washingtonu o\u00a0omezen\u00ed americk\u00e9 role ve\u00a0sv\u011bt\u011b, a\u00a0dokonce i\u00a0o\u00a0mo\u017en\u00e9m odchodu USA z\u00a0Aliance. Pokud by\u00a0americk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost v\u00a0Evrop\u011b oslabila, \u0161lo by\u00a0o t\u011b\u017ekou r\u00e1nu pro evropskou bezpe\u010dnost. Pr\u00e1v\u011b americk\u00e9 s\u00edly toti\u017e st\u00e1le p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed hlavn\u00ed odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed faktor proti dal\u0161\u00edmu rusk\u00e9mu postupu.<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b tvrd\u0161\u00ed byla slova Fabrice Porthiera, kter\u00fd po\u00a0f\u00f3ru upozornil na\u00a0z\u00e1sadn\u00ed struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed slabinu evropsk\u00e9 obrany. Evropa podle n\u011bj sice navy\u0161uje v\u00fddaje na\u00a0obranu, ale st\u00e1le j\u00ed chyb\u00ed strategie zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 na\u00a0skute\u010dn\u00e9 zdroje a\u00a0z\u00e1soby. Pen\u00edze \u010dasto sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed do\u00a0tradi\u010dn\u00edch oblast\u00ed, jako jsou pozemn\u00ed syst\u00e9my nebo letadla, jen\u017ee t\u00edm se\u00a0ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9m, kter\u00fd by\u00a0v re\u00e1ln\u00e9 v\u00e1lce rozhodoval b\u011bhem prvn\u00edch dn\u016f: munice a\u00a0st\u0159ely.<\/p>\n

Jeho nejv\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed varov\u00e1n\u00ed zn\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u011b: cel\u00fd evropsk\u00fd kontinent v\u010detn\u011b Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie m\u00e1 podle n\u011bj z\u00e1soby raket a\u00a0st\u0159eliva pro intenzivn\u00ed v\u00e1lku zhruba na\u00a0sedm a\u017e deset dn\u00ed. To\u00a0znamen\u00e1, \u017ee i\u00a0p\u0159es modern\u00ed letectvo a\u00a0schopn\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo Evropa nen\u00ed p\u0159ipravena v\u00e9st del\u0161\u00ed konflikt vysok\u00e9 intenzity, pokud by\u00a0nem\u011bla dostate\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00e1soby munice.<\/p>\n

To je\u00a0z\u00e1sadn\u00ed moment. Odstra\u0161en\u00ed toti\u017e nestoj\u00ed na\u00a0prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edch ani summitech, ale na\u00a0d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00e9 schopnosti vydr\u017eet, reagovat a\u00a0zas\u00e1hnout v\u010das. Pokud protivn\u00edk uv\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 sklady zej\u00ed po\u00a0n\u011bkolika dnech pr\u00e1zdnotou, cel\u00e9 odstra\u0161en\u00ed se\u00a0nebezpe\u010dn\u011b oslabuje.<\/p>\n

Kyjevsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed f\u00f3rum tak vyslalo jasn\u00fd sign\u00e1l: Z\u00e1pad u\u017e nevn\u00edm\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd konflikt s\u00a0Ruskem jako abstraktn\u00ed mo\u017enost. Naopak. Panuje \u0161irok\u00e1 shoda, \u017ee Rusko p\u0159edstavuje skute\u010dn\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed riziko pro Evropu. N\u00e1zory se\u00a0li\u0161\u00ed jen v\u00a0tom, jak brzy by\u00a0Moskva mohla tuto hrozbu prom\u011bnit v\u00a0\u010din.<\/p>\n

V jednom se\u00a0v\u0161ak \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci shodli jednozna\u010dn\u011b: Evropa dnes nen\u00ed schopna Rusko dostate\u010dn\u011b odradit pouze vlastn\u00ed vojenskou silou. Pokud chce, aby odstra\u0161en\u00ed fungovalo, mus\u00ed tuto schopnost rychle a\u00a0systematicky vybudovat.<\/p>\n

Mo\u017en\u00e1 nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed lekce ale nezazn\u011bla jen v\u00a0konferen\u010dn\u00edch s\u00e1lech. U\u017e \u010dty\u0159i roky ji\u00a0Evropa sleduje p\u0159\u00edmo na\u00a0boji\u0161ti. Ukrajina \u2014 zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 \u010del\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu protivn\u00edkovi, po\u010detn\u00ed p\u0159evaze i\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu jadern\u00e9mu arzen\u00e1lu sv\u011bta \u2014 dok\u00e1zala rusk\u00e9 hlavn\u00ed s\u00edly zastavit, dlouhodob\u011b je\u00a0vy\u010derp\u00e1vat a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 oslabovat rusk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd i\u00a0ekonomick\u00fd potenci\u00e1l.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b to\u00a0je dnes nejp\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00ed d\u016fkaz, \u017ee i\u00a0v\u00fdrazn\u011b slab\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b m\u016f\u017ee odol\u00e1vat mnohem siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu agresorovi, pokud m\u00e1 v\u016fli, schopnost adaptace a\u00a0podporu. A\u00a0mo\u017en\u00e1 pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0tom spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed poselstv\u00ed cel\u00e9ho Kyiv Security Forum: odstra\u0161en\u00ed neza\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 u\u00a0slov, ale u\u00a0p\u0159ipravenosti, z\u00e1sob a\u00a0odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed vydr\u017eet.<\/p>\n

Zdroj: Defence Magazine<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Na 18. ro\u010dn\u00edku Kyiv Security Forum zazn\u011blo varov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 u\u017e nelze odb\u00fdt jako p\u0159ehnan\u00fd alarmismus: Rusko p\u0159edstavuje re\u00e1lnou…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":72088,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[5221,23743,109,108,106,16244,23742,16239,2585,895,23741,4554,2582,13740],"class_list":{"0":"post-72087","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-evropa","8":"tag-5221","9":"tag-dni","10":"tag-europa","11":"tag-europe","12":"tag-evropa","13":"tag-jen","14":"tag-jenze","15":"tag-ma","16":"tag-na","17":"tag-nato","18":"tag-probudilo","19":"tag-rakety","20":"tag-se","21":"tag-valky"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116497609075761054","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72087","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72087"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72087\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/72088"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}