{"id":74876,"date":"2026-05-04T07:03:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T07:03:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/74876\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T07:03:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T07:03:10","slug":"rublu-hrozi-propad-varuje-sberbank","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/74876\/","title":{"rendered":"Rublu hroz\u00ed propad, varuje Sberbank"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201eObecn\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me, stejn\u011b jako na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku, \u017ee v\u00a0druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku bude pokra\u010dovat tendence oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed rublu,\u201c \u0159ekl Skvorcov podle agentury Interfax<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\u201eKurz rublu bude sl\u00e1bnout, 80\u00a0a\u017e 90\u00a0rubl\u016f za dolar je rozmez\u00ed pro druhou polovinu roku s\u00a0tendenc\u00ed k\u00a0pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edmu oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed rublu ve \u010dtvrt\u00e9m \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0t\u0159et\u00edm,\u201c \u0159ekl finan\u010dn\u00ed \u0159editel. Popsal o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd pr\u016fb\u011bh: \u201e\u0158ekn\u011bme, \u017ee ve\u00a0t\u0159et\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed to bude 80\u00a0a\u017e 85\u00a0rubl\u016f za dolar a\u00a0ve \u010dtvrt\u00e9m 85\u00a0a\u017e 90\u00a0rubl\u016f.\u201c<\/p>\n

K oslaben\u00ed podle n\u011bj m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st n\u00e1kup ciz\u00edch m\u011bn v\u00a0r\u00e1mci rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9ho pravidla ministerstva financ\u00ed: \u201eZa \u010d\u00e1st likvidity, kter\u00e1 bude p\u0159ich\u00e1zet v\u00a0d\u016fsledku vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch cen ropy, bude ministerstvo financ\u00ed nakupovat, a\u00a0to vytvo\u0159\u00ed popt\u00e1vku po valut\u00e1ch.\u201c<\/p>\n

Upozornil, \u017ee p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f v\u00fdvoje komplikuje fragmentace trhu.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Kles\u00e1 pod\u00edl bezhotovostn\u00edch plateb<\/p>\n

Skvorcov tak\u00e9 varoval, \u017ee v\u00a0Rusku za\u010dal klesat pod\u00edl bezhotovostn\u00edch plateb a\u00a0p\u0159ib\u00fdv\u00e1 plateb v\u00a0hotovosti, za \u010d\u00edm\u017e vid\u00ed snahu vyhnout se vysok\u00fdm dan\u00edm: \u201eVid\u00edme nejen n\u011bjak\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly, ale i\u00a0\u010d\u00edsla, kter\u00e1 ukazuj\u00ed na p\u0159echod sm\u011brem k\u00a0hotovosti.\u201c<\/p>\n

\u201ePod\u00edl bezhotovostn\u00edch transakc\u00ed odhadujeme vlastn\u00edmi metodami. Zat\u00edmco v\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech stabiln\u011b rostl, v\u00a0posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch se zastavil a\u00a0dokonce za\u010dal m\u00edrn\u011b klesat,\u201c \u0159ekl finan\u010dn\u00ed \u0159editel banky podle agentury Interfax<\/a>. Podle n\u011bj ale nen\u00ed pokles radik\u00e1ln\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Vlastn\u00ed metodiku zd\u016fraznil, proto\u017ee rusk\u00e1 Centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee zat\u00edm nezaznamenala p\u0159echod k\u00a0hotovostn\u00edm platb\u00e1m. Sberbank proto v\u0161echna data o\u00a0poklesu bezhotovostn\u00edch plateb a\u00a0sv\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy poskytla centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance a\u00a0vl\u00e1d\u011b: \u201eMysl\u00edm si, \u017ee na\u0161i kolegov\u00e9 podniknou nezbytn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, aby zabr\u00e1nili pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto trendu.\u201c<\/p>\n

<\/a>Negativn\u00ed trend<\/p>\n

\u201eZat\u00edm nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jak dlouhodob\u00e1 je to tendence, ale opravdu bychom si ji nep\u0159\u00e1li, nebo\u0165 to zhor\u0161uje situaci pro cel\u00fd sektor a\u00a0zvy\u0161uje z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e ekonomiky, proto\u017ee je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee hotovostn\u00ed transakce jsou mnohem dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e bezhotovostn\u00ed,\u201c uvedl Skvorcov.<\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed to v\u0161ak jedin\u00fd d\u016fvod, pro\u010d m\u00e1 obavy: \u201eVelmi n\u00e1s to znepokojuje, proto\u017ee st\u00e1t d\u00e1l pracuje na sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed pod\u00edlu \u0161ed\u00e9 ekonomiky a\u00a0hotovostn\u00ed transakce se koncentruj\u00ed v\u00a0t\u00e9to \u010d\u00e1sti ekonomiky.\u201c<\/p>\n

Skvorcov dal odklon do souvislosti se zm\u011bnami da\u0148ov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu, kdy byla zru\u0161ena osvobozen\u00ed od DPH zaveden\u00e1 v\u00a0roce 2006, kter\u00e1 se t\u00fdkala bezhotovostn\u00edch plateb a\u00a0slu\u017eeb s\u00a0nimi souvisej\u00edc\u00edch. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 byl sn\u00ed\u017een limit p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f pro mal\u00e9 podniky, DPH musej\u00ed platit od obratu 20\u00a0milion\u016f rubl\u016f (5,5\u00a0mil korun, v\u00a0\u010cR dva miliony). Sou\u010dasn\u011b se zv\u00fd\u0161ila DPH z\u00a020\u00a0na 22\u00a0procent.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u201eObecn\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me, stejn\u011b jako na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku, \u017ee v\u00a0druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku bude pokra\u010dovat tendence oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed rublu,\u201c \u0159ekl Skvorcov…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":74877,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[10634,687,17,21,9739,16,24293,23183,18,19,22,20],"class_list":{"0":"post-74876","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-zpravy","8":"tag-americky-dolar","9":"tag-dan-z-pridane-hodnoty-dph","10":"tag-headlines","11":"tag-hlavni-udalosti","12":"tag-kurzy","13":"tag-news","14":"tag-rubl","15":"tag-sberbank","16":"tag-top-news","17":"tag-top-stories","18":"tag-udalosti-dne","19":"tag-zpravy"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116515032670343820","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74876","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74876"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74876\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74877"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74876"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74876"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74876"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}