{"id":76311,"date":"2026-05-05T12:05:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T12:05:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/76311\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T12:05:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T12:05:25","slug":"zvladne-trump-otevrit-hormuz-silou-nebo-rozpouta-dalsi-kolo-marnych-boju","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/76311\/","title":{"rendered":"Zvl\u00e1dne Trump otev\u0159\u00edt Hormuz silou, nebo rozpout\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed kolo marn\u00fdch boj\u016f?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump ohl\u00e1sil v\u00a0pond\u011bl\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed kroky k\u00a0normalizaci provozu v\u00a0Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu<\/a>. Zat\u00edm se v\u0161ak zd\u00e1, \u017ee se tam situace sp\u00ed\u0161e vyhrocuje. Trhy nereagovaly na v\u00fdvoj optimisticky a experti jsou skepti\u010dt\u00ed k tomu, zda m\u00e1 Washington s\u00edlu vynutit si otev\u0159en\u00ed\u00a0Hormuzu. Evropa je od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1hav\u00e1 a nejsp\u00ed\u0161 nebude ochotn\u00e1 pod\u00edlet se rizikov\u00fdch z\u00e1saz\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Panuj\u00ed obavy, \u017ee se situace m\u016f\u017ee je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161it a ukon\u010dit tak k\u0159ehk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Expert na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod Grant Rumley, kter\u00fd v letech 2018 a\u017e 2021 p\u016fsobil jako poradce B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu, podle BBC<\/a> m\u00edn\u00ed, \u017ee zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed pr\u016fjezdu pro v\u0161echny lod\u011b v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu by bylo velmi slo\u017eit\u00e9. Vy\u017eadovalo by to podle n\u011bj nejsp\u00ed\u0161 vojenskou eskalaci. \u201eMysl\u00edm, \u017ee v\u0161eobecn\u00e1 shoda je, \u017ee obnoven\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed je jen ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu,\u201c zd\u016fraznil.<\/p>\n

Jak\u00e1 je nyn\u00ed situace v\u00a0Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu?<\/p>\n

Ob\u011b strany v\u00a0t\u00e9to kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed tepn\u011b, kterou se za norm\u00e1ln\u00edch okolnost\u00ed p\u0159epravuje p\u011btina glob\u00e1ln\u00ed spot\u0159eby ropy a\u00a0\u010dtvrtina celosv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu<\/a> se zkapaln\u011bn\u00fdm zemn\u00edm plynem, podnikly v\u00a0posledn\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch nov\u00e9 \u00fatoky. Exploze nebo po\u017e\u00e1ry ohl\u00e1silo na m\u00edst\u011b n\u011bkolik obchodn\u00edch lod\u00ed. Nap\u0159\u00edklad Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea ozn\u00e1mila po\u0161kozen\u00ed strojovny jednoho z\u00a0plavidel, na palub\u011b ale nikdo nebyl zran\u011bn. Pro Soul jde o prvn\u00ed takovou ud\u00e1lost od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/p>\n

Velitel americk\u00fdch sil v regionu v\u00a0pond\u011bl\u00ed uvedl, \u017ee flotila USA zni\u010dila \u0161est mal\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch lod\u00ed, co\u017e ale \u00cdr\u00e1n pop\u0159el. Nejde ale pouze o lod\u011b. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd dron zp\u016fsobil po\u017e\u00e1r v\u00a0petrochemick\u00e9m are\u00e1lu ve Fud\u017eaj\u0159e ve Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech. Podle agentury AP je to od za\u010d\u00e1tku p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed poprv\u00e9, co emir\u00e1tsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady ozn\u00e1mily \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u00fatok na sv\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. \u00a0<\/p>\n

Co Trump v\u00a0Hormuzu p\u0159esn\u011b pl\u00e1nuje?<\/p>\n

Trump v\u00a0pond\u011bl\u00ed ozn\u00e1mil spu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed Projektu Svoboda, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je americk\u00e1 pomoc lod\u00edm, uv\u011bzn\u011bn\u00fdm v\u00a0Hormuzu. V\u00a0tom je od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed americko-izraelsk\u00e9 operace na konci \u00fanora mo\u017en\u00e1 jen velmi omezen\u00e1 plavba. \u201eM\u00e1 pouze osvobodit lidi, firmy a zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 neud\u011blaly absolutn\u011b nic \u0161patn\u00e9ho, jsou ob\u011b\u0165mi okolnost\u00ed,\u201c uvedl Trump v p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku na sv\u00e9 platform\u011b Truth Social.<\/p>\n

Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee jde o humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed gesto, jeliko\u017e mnoh\u00fdm z\u00a0uv\u00edzl\u00fdch plavidel doch\u00e1zej\u00ed z\u00e1soby pitn\u00e9 vody, j\u00eddla, paliva a dal\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1kladn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed. Prezident ale poskytl jen m\u00e1lo podrobnost\u00ed o sv\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na vysoce postaven\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edka uvedl, \u017ee mise v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b nezahrnuje doprovod lod\u00ed americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva p\u0159es pr\u016fliv.<\/p>\n

Arm\u00e1da USA nicm\u00e9n\u011b uvedla, \u017ee dv\u011b americk\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed lod\u011b propluly pr\u016flivem s\u00a0podporou torp\u00e9doborc\u016f. Nesd\u011blila ale, kdy k\u00a0tomu do\u0161lo. Tak\u00e9 d\u00e1nsk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost Maersk informovala<\/a> m\u00e9dia o tom, \u017ee lo\u010f Alliance Fairfax pluj\u00edc\u00ed pod americkou vlajkou v pond\u011bl\u00ed opustila Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem v doprovodu americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Jak zareagoval \u00cdr\u00e1n?<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n zjevn\u011b pova\u017euje americkou akci za nep\u0159\u00e1telskou, p\u0159esto\u017ee Trumpova r\u00e9torika byla pom\u011brn\u011b um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00e1. Uvedl, \u017ee za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na jakoukoli zahrani\u010dn\u00ed ozbrojenou s\u00edlu, kter\u00e1 se k\u00a0n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edmu hrdlu pokus\u00ed p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eit nebo do n\u011bj vstoupit. Hlavn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd vyjednava\u010d v rozhovorech se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty Mohammad B\u00e1gher Gh\u00e1l\u00edb\u00e1f varoval, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n s konfrontac\u00ed v pr\u016flivu je\u0161t\u011b ani neza\u010dal.<\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1lmajor Al\u00ed Abdollah\u00ed uvedl, \u017ee bezpe\u010dn\u00fd pr\u016fchod \u00fa\u017einou mus\u00ed b\u00fdt koordinov\u00e1n s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem za v\u0161ech okolnost\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1s Arak\u010d\u00ed tvrd\u00ed,<\/a> \u017ee ud\u00e1losti v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee neexistuje vojensk\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed situace a Projekt Svoboda ozna\u010dil za patov\u00fd. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed zprost\u0159edkovan\u00e1 P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem dosahuj\u00ed pokroku. Varoval v\u0161ak USA i Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty (SAE), aby se nenechaly zat\u00e1hnout do pasti za\u010darovan\u00e9ho kruhu.<\/p>\n

Jak\u00e1 v\u00fdzva p\u0159ed Trumpem stoj\u00ed?<\/p>\n

Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed organizace odhaduje, \u017ee je v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem uv\u011bzn\u011bno a\u017e dvacet tis\u00edc n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edk\u016f a dva tis\u00edce lod\u00ed. Jde o ropn\u00e9 a plynov\u00e9 tankery, plavidla na p\u0159epravu sypk\u00fdch n\u00e1klad\u016f, kontejnerov\u00e9 i v\u00fdletn\u00ed lod\u011b. Mnoho n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edk\u016f poch\u00e1z\u00ed z Indie a zem\u00ed ji\u017en\u00ed a jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie. N\u011bkter\u00fdm uv\u00edzl\u00fdm se poda\u0159ilo opustit pr\u016fliv, kdy\u017e byl kr\u00e1tce otev\u0159en.<\/p>\n

Region\u00e1ln\u00ed velitelstv\u00ed americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy CENTCOM ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee k podpo\u0159e operace budou pou\u017eity torp\u00e9doborce s \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi st\u0159elami, p\u0159es sto letadel, v\u00edce\u00fa\u010delov\u00e9 bezpilotn\u00ed platformy a patn\u00e1ct tis\u00edc voj\u00e1k\u016f. Objevuj\u00ed se ale pochyby o tom, zda m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt akce \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1. Vyslou\u017eil\u00fd specialista n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty Jonathan Hackett \u0159ekl Al-D\u017eaz\u00ed\u0159e, \u017ee i kdyby americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo cht\u011blo, nem\u00e1 prost\u0159edky na doprov\u00e1zen\u00ed stovek lod\u00ed pr\u016flivem.<\/p>\n

\u201eExistuje jen asi dvan\u00e1ct plavidel n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva, kter\u00e1 by mohla skute\u010dn\u011b prov\u00e9st n\u011bjakou obranu t\u011bchto lod\u00ed,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/a> \u201eP\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou prob\u00edhalo Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem p\u0159es 100 tranzit\u016f denn\u011b. Matematika prost\u011b nesed\u00ed,\u201c dodal. Podotkl, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 lod\u011b by nejsp\u00ed\u0161 necht\u011bly riskovat p\u0159ekon\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fazk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu ani s doprovodem, zejm\u00e9na bez z\u00e1ruky od poji\u0161\u0165oven.<\/p>\n

\u201eSpojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se pokou\u0161ej\u00ed vyrovnat rovnov\u00e1hu moci v\u00a0pr\u016flivu a \u00cdr\u00e1n jim to vrac\u00ed. Je to eskalace. Neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m rychl\u00e9 znovuotev\u0159en\u00ed oboustrann\u00e9ho provozu,\u201c \u0159ekl Bloombergu i Anoop Singh z\u00a0britsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti Oil Brokerage. Experti dlouhodob\u011b hovo\u0159\u00ed o tom, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n disponuje \u0159adou prost\u0159edk\u016f v\u010detn\u011b mal\u00fdch \u010dlun\u016f, dron\u016f a min, kter\u00fdmi m\u016f\u017ee po\u0161kodit nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 lod\u011b v\u00a0Hormuzu.<\/a><\/p>\n

Jak dopad\u00e1 aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoj na ceny ropy a plynu?<\/p>\n

Vypad\u00e1 to, \u017ee americk\u00e9mu pl\u00e1nu p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 ned\u016fv\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed ani trhy. Futures kontrakty na ropu typu Brent v\u00a0pond\u011bl\u00ed uzav\u0159ely na cen\u011b 114,4 dolaru za barel, podle WSJ<\/a> nev\u00fd\u0161e od \u010dervna 2022. V\u00a0\u00fater\u00fd se jej\u00ed cena pohybuje n\u00ed\u017e, ale ne v\u00fdrazn\u011b. Tak\u00e9 cena plynu v\u00a0nizozemsk\u00e9m virstu\u00e1ln\u00edm uzlu TTF od p\u00e1tku vzrostla a p\u0159echodn\u011b se vy\u0161plhala na 49 eur za megawatthodinu.<\/p>\n

Obchodn\u00edci se z\u0159ejm\u011b boj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edho po\u0161kozen\u00ed energetick\u00e9 infastrukutury na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, pokud se boje obnov\u00ed. Ir\u00e1k nyn\u00ed podle Bloombergu nab\u00edz\u00ed velk\u00e9 slevy kupc\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou ochotni riskovat a p\u0159epravit ropu p\u0159es Hormuz.<\/p>\n

Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1soby ropy je\u0161t\u011b nejsou na kriticky n\u00edzk\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch, ale tempo \u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed a nerovnom\u011brn\u00e9 rozlo\u017een\u00ed mezi regiony vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 obavy z lok\u00e1ln\u00edho nedostatku, napsala banka Goldman Sachs. \u201eNa\u0161e odhady dod\u00e1vek rafinovan\u00fdch produkt\u016f a vlastn\u00edch z\u00e1sob ropy v jednotliv\u00fdch zem\u00edch poukazuj\u00ed na vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed riziko nedostatku v Ji\u017en\u00ed Africe, Indii, Thajsku a na Tchaj-wanu,\u201c zd\u016fraznili<\/a> analytici banky.<\/p>\n

Jak na situaci reaguje Evropa?<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jestli se Evropa do operace v\u00a0Hormuzu n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem zapoj\u00ed. Zem\u011b star\u00e9ho kontinentu po Trumpov\u011b kritice v\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b zva\u017eovaly mo\u017enosti, jak se anga\u017eovat v\u00a0zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed zprovozn\u011bn\u00ed \u00fa\u017einy. \u201eVid\u00edm, \u017ee st\u00e1le v\u00edce evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed p\u0159edem p\u0159ipravuje nezbytnou logistickou a dal\u0161\u00ed podporu, nap\u0159\u00edklad minolovky,\u201c \u0159ekl<\/a> v pond\u011bl\u00ed gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Mark Rutte bez dal\u0161\u00edch detail\u016f.<\/p>\n

\"Vyr\u00e1b\u00ed<\/a>Vyr\u00e1b\u00ed Strnad v\u016fbec munici? Investigace zpochybnila obchodn\u00ed model CSG, akcie na\u0161ly nov\u00e9 dno<\/a><\/p>\n

V\u00a0\u010dele snah jsou Francie a Brit\u00e1nie, kter\u00e9 v\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b jednaly o mnohon\u00e1rodnostn\u00ed operaci. Ta by nejsp\u00ed\u0161 byla \u010dist\u011b obrann\u00e1 a nezahrnovala \u00fatoky na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed. Mise by nav\u00edc nejsp\u00ed\u0161 byla nasazena a\u017e po dohodnut\u00e9m ukon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u00cdr\u00e1nem. K\u00a0nov\u00e9 americk\u00e9 iniciativ\u011b projevuje Evropa zat\u00edm skepsi. Francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron tvrd\u00ed<\/a>, \u017ee je nejasn\u00e1 a jej\u00edm rizikem je zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed v\u00a0regionu.<\/p>\n

Evropa se p\u0159itom boj\u00ed poslat sv\u00e9 s\u00edly na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod i s ohledem na hrozby v\u00a0Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i a severn\u00edm Atlantiku. \u201eEvropan\u00e9 v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed prost\u0159edky, aby se udr\u017eeli v\u00a0bezpe\u010d\u00ed. Nemohou se tolik spol\u00e9hat na USA jako d\u0159\u00edve,\u201c \u0159ekl Deutsche Welle<\/a> bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed expert Bence Nemeth z King\u2019s College London. Teher\u00e1n nav\u00edc hroz\u00ed z\u00e1sahy evropsk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, pokud podpo\u0159\u00ed USA.<\/p>\n

Sedmadvac\u00edtka z\u00e1rove\u0148 st\u00e1le v\u00edce vn\u00edm\u00e1 riziko, kter\u00e9 j\u00ed plyne z\u00a0dlouhodob\u00e9ho uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzu. Podle eurokomisa\u0159e pro energetiku Dana J\u00f6rgensena se p\u0159ipravuje i na situaci, kdy nastanou probl\u00e9my se zabezpe\u010den\u00edm dod\u00e1vek energi\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na u leteck\u00e9ho paliva. \u201eJe bohu\u017eel p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 brzy na to, abychom mohli p\u0159esn\u011b \u0159\u00edct, kdy se budeme moci vr\u00e1tit k norm\u00e1lu. A i kdy\u017e se tak stane, situace bude st\u00e1le pom\u011brn\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1,\u201c uvedl J\u00f6rgensen.<\/p>\n

Cesta dod\u00e1vek z\u00a0Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu na m\u00edsta ur\u010den\u00ed trv\u00e1 t\u00fddny, stabilizaci trh\u016f tak potrv\u00e1 nejsp\u00ed\u0161 m\u011bs\u00edce.<\/a> A\u017e roky pak zabere oprava po\u0161kozen\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a n\u00e1vrat produkce a exportu z\u00a0Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu na p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dnou \u00farove\u0148. \u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump ohl\u00e1sil v\u00a0pond\u011bl\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed kroky k\u00a0normalizaci provozu v\u00a0Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu. Zat\u00edm se v\u0161ak zd\u00e1, \u017ee se…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":76312,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[4495,212,150,109,108,106,4075,6387,808,19247,6131,205,7138,113],"class_list":{"0":"post-76311","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-evropa","8":"tag-blizky-vychod","9":"tag-donald-trump","10":"tag-energetika","11":"tag-europa","12":"tag-europe","13":"tag-evropa","14":"tag-geopolitika","15":"tag-hormuzsky-pruliv","16":"tag-iran","17":"tag-ozbrojene-sily-spojenych-statu-americkych","18":"tag-persky-zaliv","19":"tag-ropa","20":"tag-spojene-arabske-emiraty","21":"tag-usa"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116521882462571084","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76311","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76311"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76311\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/76312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76311"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76311"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76311"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}