{"id":81240,"date":"2026-05-10T12:10:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-10T12:10:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/81240\/"},"modified":"2026-05-10T12:10:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-10T12:10:09","slug":"analytici-cez-ve-ctvrtleti-bez-windfall-tax-zvysi-cisty-zisk-trzby-naopak-snizi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/81240\/","title":{"rendered":"Analytici: \u010cEZ ve \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed bez windfall tax zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed \u010dist\u00fd zisk, tr\u017eby naopak sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#13;<br \/>\n  Komer\u010dn\u00ed prezentace Aktual.: 10.05.2026 08:22&#13;<br \/>\n  Vyd\u00e1no: 10.05.2026, 08:22&#13;\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"big\" itemprop=\"description\">    Praha &#8211; \u010cist\u00fd zisk energetick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti \u010cEZ by v prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed m\u011bl podle o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00ed analytik\u016f oproti lo\u0148sku m\u00edrn\u011b vzr\u016fst, \u010dinit by mohl 13 a\u017e 14 miliard K\u010d. Hospoda\u0159en\u00ed skupiny toti\u017e u\u017e nezat\u011b\u017euje tzv. windfall tax. Naopak provozn\u00ed zisk i tr\u017eby podniku z\u0159ejm\u011b meziro\u010dn\u011b klesnou kv\u016fli ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm cen\u00e1m elekt\u0159iny i slab\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdrob\u011b. Vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 to z koment\u00e1\u0159\u016f analytik\u016f pro \u010cTK. Spole\u010dnost \u010cEZ p\u0159edstav\u00ed v\u00fdsledky hospoda\u0159en\u00ed za prvn\u00ed kvart\u00e1l roku ve \u010dtvrtek.<\/p>\n<p>\u010cEZ za cel\u00fd lo\u0148sk\u00fd rok vyd\u011blal 27,4 miliardy korun, \u010dist\u00fd zisk spole\u010dnosti tak meziro\u010dn\u011b klesl o 1,7 miliardy korun, tedy o 5,8 procenta. Hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou byly vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed odpisy. M\u00edrn\u011b klesly rovn\u011b\u017e zisk p\u0159ed zdan\u011bn\u00edm a odpisy (EBITDA), provozn\u00ed v\u00fdnosy a tak\u00e9 zisk o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00fd o mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 vlivy, kter\u00fd je rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed pro dividendu.<\/p>\n<p>Analytik J&amp;T Banky Milan L\u00e1vi\u010dka o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010dist\u00fd zisk spole\u010dnosti za prvn\u00ed \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed na \u00farovni 12,9 miliardy K\u010d. Meziro\u010dn\u011b by \u0161lo o zhruba dv\u011b procenta v\u00edce. D\u016fvodem je podle L\u00e1vi\u010dky zejm\u00e9na ukon\u010den\u00ed dan\u011b z mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fdch zisk\u016f, kterou firma platila v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch t\u0159ech letech a odvedla na ni vysok\u00e9 des\u00edtky miliard korun.<\/p>\n<p>S pozitivn\u00edm efektem do hospoda\u0159en\u00ed firmy po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 p\u0159i absenci windfall tax tak\u00e9 analytik Komer\u010dn\u00ed banky Bohumil Trampota. \u010cist\u00fd zisk p\u0159itom odhaduje a\u017e na \u00farovni 14 miliard K\u010d, co\u017e by znamenalo meziro\u010dn\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e desetiprocentn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst. &#8222;Rozd\u00edl u t\u00e9to polo\u017eky ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se stejn\u00fdm obdob\u00edm p\u0159edchoz\u00edch roku je zejm\u00e9na v da\u0148ov\u00e9 sazb\u011b,&#8220; podotkl Trampota.<\/p>\n<p>U dal\u0161\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch ukazatel\u016f se ale podle analytik\u016f u\u017e tolik firm\u011b ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s lo\u0148skem tolik neda\u0159\u00ed. Provozn\u00ed zisk EBITDA oba analytici odhaduj\u00ed kolem 34,4 miliardy K\u010d, co\u017e by meziro\u010dn\u011b bylo o p\u011btinu m\u00e9n\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>L\u00e1vi\u010dka pak p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 i v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pokles tr\u017eeb, kter\u00e9 by za \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed podle jeho projekce mohly \u010dinit 83,6 miliardy K\u010d, meziro\u010dn\u011b o 11 procent m\u00e9n\u011b. P\u0159\u00ed\u010dinu vid\u00ed zejm\u00e9na v ni\u017e\u0161\u00edch cen\u00e1ch elekt\u0159iny a tak\u00e9 v ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm objemu v\u00fdroby, mimo jin\u00e9 kv\u016fli del\u0161\u00edm odst\u00e1vk\u00e1m v jadern\u00fdch elektr\u00e1rn\u00e1ch. Trampota rovn\u011b\u017e po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s poklesem tr\u017eeb, av\u0161ak o n\u011bco m\u00edrn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm. Jeho odhad 89,9 miliardy K\u010d by p\u0159edstavoval oproti lo\u0148sku pokles o 3,7 procenta. Trampota p\u0159ipomn\u011bl, \u017ee ceny elekt\u0159iny sice od vypuknut\u00ed konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b vzrostly, letos to v\u0161ak podle n\u011bj nebude m\u00edt na pr\u016fm\u011brnou cenu elekt\u0159iny podstatn\u00fd vliv.<\/p>\n<p>Veden\u00ed spole\u010dnosti v b\u0159eznu p\u0159edstavilo vlastn\u00ed v\u00fdhled hospoda\u0159en\u00ed pro cel\u00fd leto\u0161n\u00ed rok. Zisk EBITDA by podle predikc\u00ed podniku m\u011bl za cel\u00fd rok klesnout na \u00farove\u0148 103 a\u017e 108 miliard korun. O\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00fd \u010dist\u00fd zisk, kter\u00fd je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd pro dividendu, pak spole\u010dnost o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 mezi 27 a\u017e 31 miliardami korun. Oba analytici se shodli, \u017ee jde o pom\u011brn\u011b konzervativn\u00ed \u010d\u00edsla. Podle Trampoty by tak firma mohla v\u00fdhled u\u017e p\u0159ehodnotit, podle L\u00e1vi\u010dky naopak sp\u00ed\u0161 po\u010dk\u00e1 na dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj do prvn\u00ed poloviny roku.<\/p>\n<p>\u010cEZ je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed energetick\u00e1 firma v \u010cesku. Jej\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161inov\u00fdm akcion\u00e1\u0159em je st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm ministerstva financ\u00ed dr\u017e\u00ed zhruba 70 procent akci\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"tags\">&#13;<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ceskenoviny.cz\/tema\/cr\/1\" class=\"tag blue\" itemprop=\"about\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u010cR<\/a>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ceskenoviny.cz\/tema\/energie\/387\" class=\"tag blue\" itemprop=\"about\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">energie<\/a>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ceskenoviny.cz\/tema\/analytici\/1591\" class=\"tag blue\" itemprop=\"about\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">analytici<\/a>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ceskenoviny.cz\/tema\/cez\/1208\" class=\"tag blue\" itemprop=\"about\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u010cEZ<\/a>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n &#13;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"&#13; Komer\u010dn\u00ed prezentace Aktual.: 10.05.2026 08:22&#13; Vyd\u00e1no: 10.05.2026, 08:22&#13; Praha &#8211; \u010cist\u00fd zisk energetick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti \u010cEZ by v&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81241,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[20684,67,68,302,702,304,305,298,303,491],"class_list":{"0":"post-81240","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-byznys","8":"tag-analytici","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-byznys","11":"tag-ceskenoviny-cz","12":"tag-cez","13":"tag-cn","14":"tag-cn-cz","15":"tag-cr","16":"tag-ctk","17":"tag-energie"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116550213474310862","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81240"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81240\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81241"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}