{"id":81685,"date":"2026-05-11T04:27:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T04:27:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/81685\/"},"modified":"2026-05-11T04:27:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-11T04:27:11","slug":"pri-soucasnem-tempu-by-rusove-dobyvali-donbas-pres-tricet-let","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/81685\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9m tempu by Rusov\u00e9 dob\u00fdvali Donbas p\u0159es t\u0159icet let"},"content":{"rendered":"

Po \u00fazemn\u00edch zisc\u00edch z\u00a0konce lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku rusk\u00fd postup na v\u00fdchod\u011b Ukrajiny v\u00fdrazn\u011b zpomalil. V\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u00fasec\u00edch fronty rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da podle analytik\u016f dokonce \u00fazem\u00ed ztr\u00e1cela. Podle finsk\u00e9 skupiny Black Bird Group<\/a> p\u0159edstavovaly mal\u00e9 \u00fazemn\u00ed zisky za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce nejhor\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek Ruska na ukrajinsk\u00e9m boji\u0161ti od roku 2023.<\/p>\n

Podobn\u00fd obr\u00e1zek ukazuj\u00ed tak\u00e9 data Institutu pro studium v\u00e1lky (ISW)<\/a>, podle nich\u017e Rusko v\u00a0posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech zaznamenalo \u010dist\u00e9 \u00fazemn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty, zat\u00edmco jeho pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd postup v\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edm roce v\u00fdrazn\u011b zaost\u00e1v\u00e1 za lo\u0148sk\u00fdm tempem.<\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da nad\u00e1le postupovala stejn\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdm m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edm tempem jako dosud v\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edm roce, trvalo by j\u00ed podle NYT<\/a> v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159i desetilet\u00ed, ne\u017e by nad cel\u00fdm Donbasem z\u00edskala plnou kontrolu.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Hlavn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou drony<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou postupu z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed drony. Boji\u0161t\u011b na v\u00fdchod\u011b Ukrajiny se jimi doslova hem\u017e\u00ed a\u00a0klasick\u00e9 mechanizovan\u00e9 \u00fatoky s\u00a0v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm po\u010dtem voj\u00e1k\u016f a\u00a0obrn\u011bn\u00e9 techniky jsou st\u00e1le riskantn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. <\/p>\n

Rusko proto \u010dast\u011bji vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 taktiku mal\u00fdch skupin p\u011b\u0161\u00e1k\u016f, kter\u00e9 se sna\u017e\u00ed do ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed pronikat postupn\u011b. V\u00fdsledkem je roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed takzvan\u00e9 \u0161ed\u00e9 z\u00f3ny, kde se pohybuj\u00ed voj\u00e1ci obou stran a\u00a0kontrola nad \u00fazem\u00edm nen\u00ed jednozna\u010dn\u00e1.<\/p>\n

\u201eTo nejlep\u0161\u00ed, co dok\u00e1\u017eou, jsou infiltra\u010dn\u00ed taktiky a\u00a0\u00fatoky na podp\u016frn\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b pom\u011brn\u011b daleko za lini\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou c\u00edlen\u00e9 na ukrajinsk\u00e9 dronov\u00e9 t\u00fdmy a\u00a0logistickou podporu. Nevede to ale k\u00a0rychl\u00fdm zisk\u016fm. Jsou tak trochu zaseknut\u00ed,\u201c cituje NYT analyti\u010dku Daru Massicotovou z\u00a0organizace Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.<\/p>\n

Kreml chce zbytek Donbasu bez boje<\/p>\n

Podle NYT pomal\u00fd a\u00a0mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b n\u00e1kladn\u00fd postup zpochyb\u0148uje obraz bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edho se v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kter\u00fd Kreml p\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1 zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0souvislosti s\u00a0m\u00edrov\u00fdmi jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi a\u00a0tlakem na Kyjev, aby se s\u00e1m vzdal dosud neobsazen\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Donbasu.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin v\u00a0sobotu prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b se ch\u00fdl\u00ed ke konci a\u00a0\u017ee je p\u0159ipraven se setkat s\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00fdm prezidentem Volodymyrem Zelensk\u00fdm. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u0161ak Putin podm\u00ednil dosa\u017een\u00edm trval\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody. Jeho poradce Jurij U\u0161akov u\u017e d\u0159\u00edve uvedl, \u017ee Rusko nevid\u00ed smysl v\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch, dokud se Ukrajina nest\u00e1hne z\u00a0cel\u00e9ho Donbasu.<\/p>\n

Massicotov\u00e1 se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee strategie infiltrac\u00ed, p\u0159i kter\u00fdch je dosa\u017eeno miziv\u00fdch \u00fazemn\u00edch zisk\u016f, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pro Rusko v\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v\u00a0sou\u010dasnosti riskovat velk\u00e9 operace, kter\u00e9 by se mohly nezda\u0159it a\u00a0vyvol\u00e1vat ot\u00e1zky ohledn\u011b vyhl\u00eddek na v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. <\/p>\n

\u201eMysl\u00edm, \u017ee jde o\u00a0kombinaci toho, \u017ee nemaj\u00ed opera\u010dn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, a\u00a0toho, \u017ee Kremlu tato m\u00edra politick\u00e9ho rizika vyhovuje. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 douf\u00e1, \u017ee m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed vy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed obt\u00ed\u017enou \u010d\u00e1st, tedy boj o\u00a0zbytek Donbasu,\u201c doplnila.<\/p>\n

<\/a>P\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva \u010del\u00ed rizik\u016fm<\/p>\n

Zpomalen\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho postupu v\u0161ak nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt trval\u00e9. Rusk\u00e9 jednotky s\u00a0n\u00e1stupem l\u00e9ta obvykle zrychluj\u00ed postup. Pom\u00e1h\u00e1 jim v\u00a0tom lep\u0161\u00ed po\u010das\u00ed a\u00a0zele\u0148, kter\u00e1 poskytuje voj\u00e1k\u016fm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed kryt\u00ed p\u0159ed drony. Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 proto varuj\u00ed, \u017ee Moskva se m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ipravovat na dal\u0161\u00ed ofenzivn\u00ed vlnu.<\/p>\n

Rusko by nicm\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159\u00edpadnou ofenz\u00edvu zah\u00e1jilo v\u00a0oslaben\u00e9 pozici. Letos \u010delilo n\u011bkolika komplikac\u00edm, v\u010detn\u011b ztr\u00e1ty p\u0159\u00edstupu k\u00a0satelitn\u00edmu internetu Starlink, kter\u00fd pom\u00e1hal nav\u00e1d\u011bt jeho drony. Voj\u00e1k\u016fm komunikaci zkomplikovalo tak\u00e9 omezov\u00e1n\u00ed komunika\u010dn\u00ed aplikace Telegram, k\u00a0n\u011bmu\u017e Kreml p\u0159istoupil v\u00a0r\u00e1mci zp\u0159\u00eds\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed kontroly nad rusk\u00fdm internetem.<\/p>\n

Podle \u00fadaj\u016f zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdmi m\u00e9dii Mediazona a\u00a0Meduza zem\u0159elo do konce lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku odhadem 352\u00a0tis\u00edc rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. Jedn\u00e1 se tak podle NYT o\u00a0v\u00edce ne\u017e \u0161estin\u00e1sobek po\u010dtu americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f zabit\u00fdch b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky ve Vietnamu.<\/p>\n

Rusko m\u00e1 p\u0159itom podle americk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f v\u00a0posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch probl\u00e9my plnit n\u00e1borov\u00e9 c\u00edle. Je tak ot\u00e1zkou, jak dlouho Kreml zvl\u00e1dne udr\u017eet sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, ne\u017e bude muset p\u0159istoupit k\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed mobilizaci. <\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b i\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u010del\u00ed dlouhodob\u011b vlastn\u00edm probl\u00e9m\u016fm, v\u010detn\u011b dlouhodob\u00e9ho nedostatku voj\u00e1k\u016f a\u00a0vysok\u00e9 m\u00edry dezerc\u00ed. Drony j\u00ed sice umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed brzdit postup rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, ale kdy\u017e Rusko o\u00a0\u00fazem\u00ed p\u0159ijde, obvykle se p\u0159esune do \u0161ed\u00e9 z\u00f3ny, nikoli zp\u011bt pod jednozna\u010dnou kontrolu Kyjeva, upozor\u0148uje NYT.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Po \u00fazemn\u00edch zisc\u00edch z\u00a0konce lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku rusk\u00fd postup na v\u00fdchod\u011b Ukrajiny v\u00fdrazn\u011b zpomalil. V\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u00fasec\u00edch fronty rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81686,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[2732,464,54,903,110,113,7245,645,56,166,53,52],"class_list":{"0":"post-81685","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-donbas","9":"tag-drony","10":"tag-svet","11":"tag-the-new-york-times","12":"tag-ukrajina","13":"tag-usa","14":"tag-uzemi","15":"tag-valka","16":"tag-valka-rusko-ukrajina","17":"tag-vladimir-putin","18":"tag-world","19":"tag-world-news"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116554055451226545","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81685","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81685"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81685\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81686"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81685"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81685"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81685"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}