{"id":84577,"date":"2026-05-13T17:55:17","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T17:55:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/84577\/"},"modified":"2026-05-13T17:55:17","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T17:55:17","slug":"bitcoin-zustane-v-medvedim-trhu-jeste-tri-mesice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/84577\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin z\u016fstane v medv\u011bd\u00edm trhu je\u0161t\u011b t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin v\u016fbec poprv\u00e9 uzav\u0159el t\u00fddenn\u00ed sv\u00edci nad medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajkou, co\u017e je bez debat v\u00fdznamn\u00fd technick\u00fd moment. Cena BTC se t\u00edm dostala nejen z velk\u00e9ho klesaj\u00edc\u00edho kan\u00e1lu, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 i z vlajky samotn\u00e9, jej\u00ed\u017e struktura se tvo\u0159ila cel\u00e9 m\u011bs\u00edce. <\/p>\n<p>Z \u010dist\u011b technick\u00e9ho pohledu jde tedy o d\u00edl\u010d\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch, kter\u00fd nelze jen tak p\u0159ej\u00edt. P\u0159esn\u011bji \u0159e\u010deno, dle technick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy to ur\u010dit\u011b n\u011bco znamen\u00e1. Trh t\u00edm uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee je alespo\u0148 kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b schopn\u00fd p\u0159ekonat oblast, kter\u00e1 ho dlouhou dobu dr\u017eela pod tlakem.<\/p>\n<p>Na druhou stranu je pot\u0159eba z\u016fstat nohama na zemi. Objemy z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed mizern\u00e9 a hybnost je st\u00e1le sp\u00ed\u0161e pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1. Skute\u010dn\u011b siln\u00fd a d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00fd pr\u016fraz obvykle vypad\u00e1 mnohem p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u011bji. <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1407\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/obrazek-20-scaled.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin se dostal z medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uje k point of control volume profile, kter\u00e9 je kolem 88 000 USD. Zdroj: Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm\" class=\"wp-image-272496\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\t\tBitcoin se dostal z medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uje k point of control volume profile, kter\u00e9 je kolem 88 000 USD. Zdroj: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/jaroslav.jarolim.7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e se trh opravdu p\u0159ekl\u00e1p\u00ed do nov\u00e9ho trendu, b\u00fdv\u00e1 to na aktivit\u011b i dynamice mnohem v\u00edce vid\u011bt. Tady zat\u00edm sledujeme sp\u00ed\u0161e mal\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch, kter\u00fd ale je\u0161t\u011b ani nedostal dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e9 potvrzen\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Z aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed struktury ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee bitcoin nyn\u00ed z\u0159ejm\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uje k point of control na <a href=\"https:\/\/kryptomagazin.cz\/volume-profile-objemovy-profil-jeden-z-nejuzitecnejsich-nastroju\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">volume profile <\/a>v oblasti kolem 88 000 USD. A pr\u00e1v\u011b tam se podle m\u011b bude rozhodovat. \u0158e\u010den\u00e1 cenov\u00e1 oblast m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159edstavovat m\u00edsto, kde se definitivn\u011b uk\u00e1\u017ee, zda m\u011bl pr\u016fraz nad medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajku skute\u010dnou v\u00e1hu.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud cena bitcoinu proraz\u00ed nad 88 000 USD, medv\u011bdi budou m\u00edt samoz\u0159ejm\u011b probl\u00e9m. V takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by toti\u017e trh z\u00edskal mnohem siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed argument pro to, \u017ee se jeho charakter v\u00fdvoje opravdu m\u011bn\u00ed. <\/p>\n<p lang=\"cs\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udccaBitcoin se zastavil u odporu kolem 82 000 USD, co\u017e je v podstat\u011b \u00farove\u0148 prosincov\u00e9ho cenov\u00e9ho minima. <\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc8Podobn\u00e9 konsolidace u rezistence jsou sp\u00ed\u0161e projevem jak\u00e9si snahy opravdu prolomit v\u00fd\u0161e. A\u010dkoliv to logicky nemus\u00ed vyj\u00edt. <\/p>\n<p>\u2705Jde v\u0161ak o mnohem lep\u0161\u00ed situaci ne\u017e jsme m\u011bli\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IrA4wvGbSw\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/IrA4wvGbSw<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm (@JaroJarolim) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JaroJarolim\/status\/2054432049558143305?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">May 13, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Jestli ale dojde pod touto \u00farovn\u00ed k rotaci sm\u011brem dol\u016f, budou m\u00edt naopak sm\u016flu b\u00fdci. Pak by se toti\u017e znovu uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd r\u016fst nebyl dost siln\u00fd na to, abychom z\u00edskali dostate\u010dn\u011b pevn\u00e9 z\u00e1klady pro zm\u011bnu trendu. Podle t\u00e9 na\u0161\u00ed tr\u017en\u00ed astrologie tak budou n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed t\u00fddny opravdu velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin je v u\u010debnicov\u00e9 b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed pasti<\/p>\n<p>A\u0165 se to n\u011bkomu l\u00edb\u00ed nebo ne, bitcoin se zat\u00edm st\u00e1le pohybuje t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jako p\u0159es kop\u00edr\u00e1k podle minul\u00e9ho cyklu. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto mi d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl po\u010d\u00edtat s t\u00edm, \u017ee by cena BTC m\u011bla v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch t\u00fddnech dokon\u010dit je\u0161t\u011b posledn\u00ed klesaj\u00edc\u00ed vlnu. <\/p>\n<p>Dosavadn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj toti\u017e zat\u00edm v mnoha ohledech odpov\u00edd\u00e1 tomu, co jsme u\u017e na trhu jednou vid\u011bli. A pr\u00e1v\u011b to je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d podobn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 nepova\u017euji za nic nerealistick\u00e9ho. Vlastn\u011b mi p\u0159ijde, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd cenov\u00fd r\u016fst bitcoinu je u\u010debnicov\u00e1 b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed past. <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1242\" height=\"729\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/obrazek-19.png\" alt=\"Je sou\u010dasn\u00fd cenov\u00fd r\u016fst BTC jenom b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed past? \" class=\"wp-image-272472\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\t\tJe sou\u010dasn\u00fd cenov\u00fd r\u016fst BTC jenom b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed past? <\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale plat\u00ed, \u017ee podstatn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu u\u017e je podle v\u0161eho za n\u00e1mi. To je dle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru dnes mnohem d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e snaha trefit p\u0159esn\u00e9 dno. <\/p>\n<p>Skute\u010dn\u00e9 dilema proto nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, zda je trh po\u0159\u00e1d v klesaj\u00edc\u00edm trendu, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e v tom, zda m\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b smysl \u010dekat na hlub\u0161\u00ed pokles. A pr\u00e1v\u011b na tuto ot\u00e1zku si mus\u00ed odpov\u011bd\u011bt ka\u017ed\u00fd s\u00e1m podle vlastn\u00edho p\u0159\u00edstupu, jak vn\u00edm\u00e1 rizika, osobnostn\u00edm profilu, v\u0161ak to zn\u00e1te. Tyhle pou\u010dky asi nen\u00ed t\u0159eba \u0159\u00edkat. <\/p>\n<p>Osobn\u011b si v\u0161ak st\u00e1le mysl\u00edm, \u017ee trh m\u00e1 p\u0159ed sebou je\u0161t\u011b posledn\u00ed pokles a osobn\u011b na to s\u00e1z\u00edm. <\/p>\n<p>Vych\u00e1z\u00edm p\u0159itom z historick\u00fdch cykl\u016f, technick\u00e9 struktury i z psychologick\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje trhu, kter\u00fd zat\u00edm p\u016fsob\u00ed jako by nedokon\u010den\u011b. To ale samoz\u0159ejm\u011b neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee se tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 mus\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b naplnit. Jenom h\u00e1d\u00e1m, tak jako v\u017edy. V\u0161ichni investo\u0159i h\u00e1d\u00e1me. Nic nov\u00e9ho pod sluncem. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kryptomagazin.cz\/co-je-to-trh\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Trh <\/a>si v\u017edy nakonec ud\u011bl\u00e1, co bude cht\u00edt, a je mu v z\u00e1sad\u011b jedno, co si kdo mysl\u00ed. \u0158ekl bych ale, \u017ee pomoct si s na\u0161imi berli\u010dkami a podle nich jako\u017ee h\u00e1dat je lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e h\u00e1zet minc\u00ed. Ale tak ka\u017ed\u00fd si m\u016f\u017ee vytvo\u0159it n\u011bjakou metodu. Klidn\u011b si v\u011b\u0161tit i z k\u00e1vov\u00e9 sedliny. Hlavn\u011b, aby n\u00e1m to fungovalo. <\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin z\u016fstane v medv\u011bd\u00edm trhu je\u0161t\u011b t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce<\/p>\n<p>V p\u0159edchoz\u00edch cyklech bitcoin b\u011bhem medv\u011bd\u00edch trh\u016f vytvo\u0159il v\u017edy p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b dev\u011bt a\u017e deset \u010derven\u00fdch m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edch sv\u00edc\u00ed. Cena se p\u0159itom nevyv\u00edjela line\u00e1rn\u011b, ale typick\u00fdm zig zag zp\u016fsobem, tak\u017ee samotn\u00fd klesaj\u00edc\u00ed trend trval zhruba kolem jednoho roku. <\/p>\n<p>Od takov\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e je sou\u010dasn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj zat\u00edm pom\u011brn\u011b daleko. Prozat\u00edm m\u00e1me pouze p\u011bt \u010derven\u00fdch m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edch sv\u00edc\u00ed, nav\u00edc v \u0159ad\u011b za sebou. Uveden\u00e9 samo o sob\u011b je\u0161t\u011b nevypad\u00e1 jako pln\u011b dokon\u010den\u00fd cyklus podle historick\u00e9ho srovn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"705\" height=\"720\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/obrazek-139.png\" alt=\"Medv\u011bd\u00ed trh na bitcoinu v\u017edy trval kolem roku a b\u011bhem n\u011bho se vytvo\u0159ilo dev\u011bt a\u017e deset \u010derven\u00fdch m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edch sv\u00edc\u00ed\" class=\"wp-image-272471\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\t\tMedv\u011bd\u00ed trh na bitcoinu v\u017edy trval kolem roku a b\u011bhem n\u011bho se vytvo\u0159ilo dev\u011bt a\u017e deset \u010derven\u00fdch m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edch sv\u00edc\u00ed<\/p>\n<p>Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto mi p\u0159ipad\u00e1 p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 tvrdit, \u017ee aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed r\u016fst u\u017e p\u0159edstavuje sou\u010d\u00e1st definitivn\u00ed zm\u011bny celkov\u00e9ho trendu. Pokud by tomu tak skute\u010dn\u011b bylo, znamenalo by to, \u017ee bychom byli sv\u011bdky nejrychlej\u0161\u00edho medv\u011bd\u00edho trendu v historii tohoto st\u00e1le pom\u011brn\u011b mlad\u00e9ho trhu. <\/p>\n<p>Zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nelze \u00fapln\u011b vylou\u010dit, ale zat\u00edm pro takov\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 nevid\u00edm dost p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00fdch argument\u016f. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd pr\u016fb\u011bh toti\u017e st\u00e1le v\u00edce p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 jen dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1zi nedokon\u010den\u00e9ho procesu ne\u017e hotov\u00fd obrat.<\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e nav\u00edc porovn\u00e1me cenov\u00e1 dna z jednotliv\u00fdch p\u0159edchoz\u00edch cykl\u016f, je dob\u0159e vid\u011bt, \u017ee se obvykle formoval jak\u00fdsi obr\u00e1cen\u00fd oblouk, kter\u00fd vznikal po dobu n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato postupn\u011b vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00edc\u00ed struktura byla pro skute\u010dn\u00e9 dno pom\u011brn\u011b typick\u00e1. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9m trhu ale nic podobn\u00e9ho zat\u00edm nevid\u00edme. Vlastn\u011b tam jist\u00e9 n\u00e1znaky jsou, ale je to hrozn\u011b mal\u00e9 na obrat.<\/p>\n<p>Sp\u00ed\u0161e proto sledujeme jen vybr\u00e1n\u00ed likvidity a n\u00e1sledn\u00fd odraz vzh\u016fru, co\u017e samo o sob\u011b je\u0161t\u011b nevypad\u00e1 jako hotov\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna pro nov\u00fd b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trend.<\/p>\n<p>Ze zku\u0161enosti takto cenov\u00e1 dna jednodu\u0161e nevypadaj\u00ed. Neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee se tentokr\u00e1t trh nem\u016f\u017ee zachovat jinak, ale zat\u00edm podle m\u011b chyb\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 aspekty, kter\u00e9 bychom od skute\u010dn\u00e9ho dna \u010dekali. <\/p>\n<p>Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto bude velmi d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 sledovat, co p\u0159inesou n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce, proto\u017ee teprve ty uk\u00e1\u017eou. Bu\u010f trh jednodu\u0161e vydrbe s medv\u011bdy nebo s b\u00fdky. Nebo mo\u017en\u00e1 s ob\u011bma stranami, co\u017e by nebylo vlastn\u011b nic nov\u00e9ho pod sluncem. <\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1v\u011brem: Za n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f se rozhodne<\/p>\n<p id=\"h-zaverem\">V\u00fdhodou t\u011bchto debat, vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed hypot\u00e9z a v\u011b\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed z k\u00e1vov\u00fdch sedlin, je, \u017ee b\u011bhem n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f uvid\u00edme, kdo se lidov\u011b \u0159e\u010deno trefil.<\/p>\n<p>A\u0165 to toti\u017e dopadne jakkoliv, nemysl\u00edm si, \u017ee se aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed cyklus prodlou\u017e\u00ed. Co\u017e by p\u0159irozen\u011b implikovalo prodlou\u017een\u00ed medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu. <\/p>\n<p>Za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u0159\u00edjna to bude rok, co klesaj\u00edc\u00ed trend na BTC za\u010dal. \u010cili ke konci letn\u00edch pr\u00e1zdnin bychom m\u011bli v\u011bd\u011bt mnohem v\u00edce ne\u017e nyn\u00ed. Sta\u010d\u00ed tud\u00ed\u017e vydr\u017eet zhruba t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce a prost\u011b uvid\u00edme, kde bitcoin bude. Nic slo\u017eit\u00e9ho. <\/p>\n<p class=\"ub_call_to_action_headline_text\" style=\"font-size: 30px; text-align: center; \">Investujte do bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF na platform\u011b XTB<\/p>\n<p>\t\t<script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin v\u016fbec poprv\u00e9 uzav\u0159el t\u00fddenn\u00ed sv\u00edci nad medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajkou, co\u017e je bez debat v\u00fdznamn\u00fd technick\u00fd moment. Cena BTC&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84578,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[183,3244,15927,67,68,16268,778,15929],"class_list":["post-84577","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-byznys","tag-aktuality","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-business","tag-byznys","tag-kryptomena","tag-kryptomeny","tag-technicka-analyza"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116568557282085643","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84577","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84577"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84577\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84578"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84577"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84577"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84577"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}