{"id":85398,"date":"2026-05-14T12:07:14","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T12:07:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/85398\/"},"modified":"2026-05-14T12:07:14","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T12:07:14","slug":"ropne-emiraty-pod-tlakem-bez-rychle-dohody-se-trh-stabilizuje-az-v-roce-2027","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/85398\/","title":{"rendered":"Ropn\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty pod tlakem. Bez rychl\u00e9 dohody se trh stabilizuje a\u017e v\u00a0roce 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech stoj\u00ed galon benz\u00ednu 4,52\u00a0dolaru, tedy o\u00a052\u00a0procent v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou, napsal list The Economist<\/a>. \u010c\u00e1stka odpov\u00edd\u00e1 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 24,8\u00a0korun\u00e1m za litr. Podle citovan\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho \u010dinitele p\u0159i\u0161lo o\u00a0pr\u00e1ci v\u00a0USA p\u0159es milion lid\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Tvrd\u011b v\u00e1lka dopadla i\u00a0na ropn\u00e9 monarchie, zejm\u00e9na na t\u011b\u017ebu ropy a\u00a0plynu, jejich\u017e v\u00fdvoz tvo\u0159\u00ed \u010dtvrtinu p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f t\u011bchto zem\u00ed. Export ropy Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie klesl od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky o\u00a0t\u0159etinu, u\u00a0Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f o\u00a0polovinu. Bahrajn, Kuvajt a\u00a0Katar prakticky nic nevyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed. D\u016fvodem je zablokovan\u00fd Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, j\u00edm\u017e p\u0159ed \u00fanorov\u00fdm \u00fatokem USA a\u00a0Izraele na \u00cdr\u00e1n proudila p\u011btina obchodovan\u00e9 ropy a\u00a0plynu.<\/p>\n

\u0160kody mohou b\u00fdt dlouhodob\u00e9. \u201eJestli\u017ee budou obchod a\u00a0lodn\u00ed doprava omezen\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00edch v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u00e1r t\u00fddn\u016f, p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1me p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed naru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek. Trh se m\u016f\u017ee normalizovat a\u017e v\u00a0roce 2027,\u201c varoval \u0159editel ropn\u00e9 firmy Saudi Aramco Amin Nasir.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Sv\u011btov\u00e1 ekonomika p\u0159itom nen\u00ed tak z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na rop\u011b jako v\u00a0sedmdes\u00e1t\u00fdch letech. Pod\u00edl ropy a\u00a0plynu na energetick\u00e9m mixu kles\u00e1 kv\u016fli obnoviteln\u00fdm zdroj\u016fm\u00a0\u2013 na glob\u00e1ln\u00edch energetick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb\u00e1ch se pod\u00edl\u00ed necel\u00fdmi t\u0159iceti procenty, jak uvedla Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed agentura pro energetiku.<\/p>\n

Sv\u011bt ale spot\u0159ebov\u00e1v\u00e1 dvakr\u00e1t v\u00edce paliva ne\u017e na za\u010d\u00e1tku sedmdes\u00e1t\u00fdch let. Zemn\u00ed plyn hraje st\u00e1le d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed roli, proto\u017ee se pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nejen k\u00a0topen\u00ed, ale i\u00a0k v\u00fdrob\u011b elekt\u0159iny a\u00a0v pr\u016fmyslu.<\/p>\n

\u201eSv\u011bt po rop\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00a0dalek\u00e9 budoucnosti,\u201c \u0159ekl listu The New York Times<\/a> David Sandalow z\u00a0Centra pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetickou politiku Kolumbijsk\u00e9 univerzity, kter\u00fd d\u0159\u00edve p\u016fsobil v\u00a0Clintonov\u011b a\u00a0Obamov\u011b administrativ\u011b.<\/p>\n

Ropa a\u00a0plyn jsou proto st\u00e1le n\u00e1stroji geopolitiky, na co\u017e s\u00e1zej\u00ed nejen USA, ale i\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1n. \u201eStar\u00e1 hra se hraje ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm rozsahu, ne\u017e si lid\u00e9 mysleli,\u201c \u0159ekl Elliott Abrams, kter\u00fd byl za prvn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edm z\u00e1stupcem pro \u00cdr\u00e1n a\u00a0Venezuelu.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Hlad po plynu<\/p>\n

Z Kataru vyplula od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky prvn\u00ed lo\u010f se zkapaln\u011bn\u00fdm plynem m\u00ed\u0159\u00edc\u00ed do P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu. Plula severn\u00ed cestou p\u0159es \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00fdsostn\u00e9 vody, jak po\u017eaduje Teher\u00e1n. Nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda musela zaplatit v\u00fdpaln\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm isl\u00e1msk\u00fdm revolu\u010dn\u00edm gard\u00e1m. Proplout mohla z\u0159ejm\u011b proto, \u017ee P\u00e1kist\u00e1n\u00a0\u2013 kter\u00fd zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1v\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi USA a\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem\u00a0\u2013 se pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s\u00a0nedostatkem plynu pro dom\u00e1cnosti.<\/p>\n

\u201eP\u00e1kist\u00e1n jednal s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem, aby pr\u016flivem mohlo proplout omezen\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed lod\u00ed p\u0159epravuj\u00edc\u00edch zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn, proto\u017ee Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d nal\u00e9hav\u011b pot\u0159ebuje \u0159e\u0161it jeho nedostatek,\u201c uvedl zdroj obezn\u00e1men\u00fd s\u00a0cestou, kter\u00fd odm\u00edtl komentovat p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 v\u00fdpaln\u00e9.<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 agentura FARS, napojen\u00e1 na revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy, pak uvedla, \u017ee proplout sm\u011bl i\u00a0jeden tanker s\u00a0katarsk\u00fdm plynem. V\u00a0podobn\u00e9 situaci jako P\u00e1kist\u00e1n je i\u00a0Indie.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Tlak kv\u016fli turistice<\/p>\n

Na ropn\u00e9 monarchie dopad\u00e1 v\u00e1lka a\u00a0neuzav\u0159en\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed nejen kv\u016fli zablokovan\u00e9mu Hormuzsk\u00e9mu pr\u016flivu. Z\u00a0turistiky z\u00edsk\u00e1valy zem\u011b v\u00a0oblasti p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 11\u00a0procent HDP, v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f i\u00a0v\u00edce.<\/p>\n

Dopad m\u00e1 konflikt i\u00a0na leteckou dopravu, v\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e hraj\u00ed st\u00e1ty z\u00a0oblasti celosv\u011btov\u011b v\u00fdznamnou roli. Emirates p\u0159epravily v\u00a0b\u0159eznu a\u00a0dubnu jen 4,7\u00a0milionu cestuj\u00edc\u00edch\u00a0\u2013 polovinu obvykl\u00e9ho po\u010dtu. V\u00fdsledek je lep\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e se po \u00fatoc\u00edch na civiln\u00ed leti\u0161t\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1valo.<\/p>\n

Lety do Dauh\u00e1, Dubaje a\u00a0Rij\u00e1du jsou sice t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 pln\u011b obsazen\u00e9, hotely jsou ale pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9. Podle ratingov\u00e9 agentury Moody’s jsou hotely v\u00a0Dubaji zapln\u011bn\u00e9 z\u00a0deseti procent, zat\u00edmco v\u00a0\u00fanoru byla obsazenost osmdes\u00e1tiprocentn\u00ed. V\u00a0Bahrajnu host\u00e9 utratili platbami kreditn\u00edmi kartami v\u00a0b\u0159eznu o\u00a064\u00a0procent m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e v\u00a0\u00fanoru.<\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9my ropn\u00e9 monarchie zat\u00edm zvl\u00e1daj\u00ed. Kata\u0159an\u00e9 uvedli, \u017ee jsou schopni st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed situaci vydr\u017eet je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, p\u0159esto\u017ee de facto nevyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn ani h\u00e9lium.<\/p>\n

Banky v\u00a0Emir\u00e1tech jsou dob\u0159e kapitalizovan\u00e9, dolo\u017eily spl\u00e1tky \u00fav\u011br\u016f a\u00a0tis\u00edc\u016fm podnik\u016f odpustily poplatky d\u00edky bal\u00ed\u010dku pomoci ve v\u00fd\u0161i \u0161esti miliard dirham\u016f, tedy zhruba 34\u00a0miliard korun. Bahrajn se s\u00a0Emir\u00e1ty domluvil na p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 podpo\u0159e, pokud by pot\u0159eboval dal\u0161\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoc.<\/p>\n

Podle The Economist bude pro tyto zem\u011b kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd konec l\u00e9ta, proto\u017ee p\u0159es n\u011b turist\u00e9 tehdy nep\u0159ij\u00ed\u017ed\u011bj\u00ed a\u00a0m\u00edstn\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed do chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed. Pokud by se do t\u00e9 doby nepoda\u0159ilo uzav\u0159\u00edt m\u00edrovou dohodu, kumulovan\u00e9 v\u00fdpadky p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f z\u00a0turistiky i\u00a0exportu fosiln\u00edch paliv by mohly m\u00edt v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1sledky.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech stoj\u00ed galon benz\u00ednu 4,52\u00a0dolaru, tedy o\u00a052\u00a0procent v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou, napsal list The Economist. \u010c\u00e1stka…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85399,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[6387,808,6527,7825,492,205,9840,6610,6627,54,53,52,6801],"class_list":{"0":"post-85398","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-hormuzsky-pruliv","9":"tag-iran","10":"tag-katar","11":"tag-konflikt-usa-izrael-iran","12":"tag-plyn","13":"tag-ropa","14":"tag-saudi-aramco","15":"tag-saudska-arabie","16":"tag-spojene-arabske-emiraty-sae","17":"tag-svet","18":"tag-world","19":"tag-world-news","20":"tag-zkapalneny-zemni-plyn-lng"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116572851093529210","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85398","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85398"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85398\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85399"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85398"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85398"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85398"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}