{"id":85901,"date":"2026-05-14T20:42:20","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T20:42:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/85901\/"},"modified":"2026-05-14T20:42:20","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T20:42:20","slug":"analytici-sleduji-byci-signal-na-bitcoinu-poprve-od-roku-2023-prichazi-golden-cross","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/85901\/","title":{"rendered":"Analytici sleduj\u00ed b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed sign\u00e1l na bitcoinu, poprv\u00e9 od roku 2023 p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed golden cross"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin se podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch analytik\u016f m\u016f\u017ee nach\u00e1zet na za\u010d\u00e1tku nov\u00e9 siln\u00e9 r\u016fstov\u00e9 f\u00e1ze. D\u016fvodem je p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se golden cross na indik\u00e1toru MVRV, kter\u00fd historicky \u010dasto p\u0159edch\u00e1zel v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm cenov\u00fdm rally. <\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho se za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed zlep\u0161ovat i dal\u0161\u00ed technick\u00e9 a on-chain ukazatele, kter\u00e9 nazna\u010duj\u00ed posilov\u00e1n\u00ed b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho momenta. Analytici z\u00e1rove\u0148 upozor\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee bitcoin<\/a> vstupuje do d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee rozhodnout o dal\u0161\u00edm sm\u011bru trhu.<\/p>\n

Indik\u00e1tor MVRV vys\u00edl\u00e1 b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed sign\u00e1l<\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z nejsledovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edch sign\u00e1l\u016f posledn\u00edch dn\u00ed je v\u00fdvoj indik\u00e1toru MVRV, tedy Market Value to Realized Value ratio. Ukazatel porovn\u00e1v\u00e1 tr\u017en\u00ed hodnotu bitcoinu s realizovanou hodnotou minc\u00ed v ob\u011bhu a pom\u00e1h\u00e1 odhadovat, zda je BTC historicky nadhodnocen\u00fd nebo podhodnocen\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Analytik CW8900 z platformy CryptoQuant upozornil, \u017ee se MVRV bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed vytvo\u0159en\u00ed takzvan\u00e9ho golden crossu v\u016f\u010di 200denn\u00edmu exponenci\u00e1ln\u00edmu klouzav\u00e9mu pr\u016fm\u011bru.<\/p>\n

\"Golden<\/p>\n

\t\tGolden cross mezi MVRV pom\u011brem bitcoinu a 200denn\u00ed EMA lini\u00ed je bezprost\u0159edn\u011b na spadnut\u00ed. Tento sign\u00e1l je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za v\u00fdznamn\u00fd indik\u00e1tor obratu trendu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 za b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed sign\u00e1l pro trh. Dal\u0161\u00ed golden cross se nyn\u00ed formuje po p\u0159edchoz\u00edm dead crossu z minul\u00e9ho srpna. Na MVRV indik\u00e1toru se tak pro bitcoin objevuje dal\u0161\u00ed pozitivn\u00ed bullish sign\u00e1l. Zdroj: CW8900\/X.com<\/p>\n

Podle n\u011bj jde o v\u00fdznamn\u00fd sign\u00e1l obratu trendu, kter\u00fd v minulosti \u010dasto p\u0159edch\u00e1zel siln\u00fdm r\u016fstov\u00fdm pohyb\u016fm ceny bitcoinu.<\/p>\n

Nezapome\u0148te se pod\u00edvat tak\u00e9 na z\u00e1znam ze st\u0159ede\u010dn\u00edho streamu, kde na\u0161i analytici Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm a Kamil Po\u0161vic \u0159e\u0161ili sou\u010dasn\u00e9 d\u011bn\u00ed na trhu.<\/p>\n

Podobn\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly v minulosti vedly k prudk\u00fdm r\u016fst\u016fm<\/p>\n

Naposledy se podobn\u00fd bullish crossover objevil kr\u00e1tce po dnu medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu v roce 2022. N\u00e1sledn\u011b bitcoin b\u011bhem prvn\u00edho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2023 pos\u00edlil p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o 90 %, kdy\u017e vzrostl z 16 300 dolar\u016f na 31 000 dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed golden cross p\u0159i\u0161el v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2023. Pot\u00e9 n\u00e1sledovala v\u00fdrazn\u00e1 r\u016fstov\u00e1 vlna, b\u011bhem kter\u00e9 BTC vystoupalo a\u017e na historick\u00e9 maximum kolem 126 000 dolar\u016f dosa\u017een\u00e9 v \u0159\u00edjnu 2025.<\/p>\n

CW8900 u\u017e v p\u0159edchoz\u00ed anal\u00fdze upozor\u0148oval tak\u00e9 na bullish crossover mezi 30denn\u00edm a 90denn\u00edm klouzav\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brem MVRV indik\u00e1toru. Podle n\u011bj tehdy bitcoin definitivn\u011b p\u0159e\u0161el zp\u011bt do b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho trendu<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

\t\tBitcoin vytvo\u0159il MVRV golden cross, kter\u00fd je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za v\u00fdznamn\u00fd b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed sign\u00e1l. BTC se podle tohoto indik\u00e1toru pln\u011b p\u0159epnul do b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho trendu. Zdroj: CW8900\/X.com<\/p>\n

Kr\u00e1tkodob\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 se vracej\u00ed do zisku<\/p>\n

Pozitivn\u00ed sign\u00e1ly p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed tak\u00e9 z dat sleduj\u00edc\u00edch kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 dr\u017eitele bitc<\/a>o<\/a>inu<\/a>. Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd r\u016fst BTC sm\u011brem k 83 000 dolar\u016fm toti\u017e dostal mnoho nov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch investor\u016f zp\u011bt do ziskov\u00e9 pozice.<\/p>\n

Takzvan\u00fd STH cost basis p\u0159edstavuje pr\u016fm\u011brnou n\u00e1kupn\u00ed cenu investor\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed dr\u017e\u00ed bitcoin krat\u0161\u00ed dobu ne\u017e 155 dn\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\"Risk<\/p>\n

\t\tRisk indicator: short-term holder cost basis model je ukazatel, kter\u00fd sleduje pr\u016fm\u011brnou n\u00e1kupn\u00ed cenu kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f bitcoinu (investor\u016f dr\u017e\u00edc\u00edch BTC m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 155 dn\u00ed). Zdroj: Glassnode<\/p>\n

Analytici upozor\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee cena BTC se nyn\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee posunout a\u017e k takzvan\u00e9 heated zone tohoto indik\u00e1toru, kter\u00e1 se aktu\u00e1ln\u011b nach\u00e1z\u00ed kolem 92 000 dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n

Nad touto \u00farovn\u00ed se pak podle dat nach\u00e1z\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b overheated zone pobl\u00ed\u017e 104 000 dolar\u016f, kde b\u00fdv\u00e1 trh historicky v\u00fdrazn\u011b p\u0159eh\u0159\u00e1t\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin testuje kl\u00ed\u010dovou technickou \u00farove\u0148<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed pozornost se soust\u0159ed\u00ed na 200denn\u00ed klouzav\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br kolem 82 500 dolar\u016f. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tuto oblast analytici ozna\u010duj\u00ed za rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed bod pro dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj trhu.<\/p>\n

Pokud by bitcoin tuto \u00farove\u0148 dok\u00e1zal definitivn\u011b p\u0159ekonat a udr\u017eet, mohl by podle technick\u00fdch analytik\u016f ukon\u010dit n\u011bkolikam\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed sestupn\u00fd trend.<\/p>\n

Naopak odm\u00edtnut\u00ed ceny v t\u00e9to oblasti by mohlo v\u00e9st k dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed korekci. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici dokonce p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed mo\u017enost n\u00e1vratu sm\u011brem k 50 000 dolar\u016fm.<\/p>\n

MACD a RSI potvrzuj\u00ed zm\u011bnu sentimentu<\/p>\n

Analytik Shib Spain upozornil, \u017ee bitcoin na t\u00fddenn\u00edm grafu prorazil v\u00edceletou klesaj\u00edc\u00ed trendovou linii. V\u00fdrazn\u00fd pohyb podle n\u011bj potvrzuje struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bnu trhu z medv\u011bd\u00ed<\/a> dominance do b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed f\u00e1ze.<\/p>\n

\"Bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed<\/p>\n

\t\tBl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed se obrovsk\u00fd breakout bitcoinu. Na indik\u00e1toru MACD se formuje b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed obrat trendu. Bull run podle v\u0161eho teprve za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 \ud83d\ude80 Zdroj: Shib Spain\/X.com<\/p>\n

Pozitivn\u00ed sign\u00e1l z\u00e1rove\u0148 vys\u00edl\u00e1 i indik\u00e1tor MACD<\/a>, kter\u00fd za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 vytv\u00e1\u0159et bullish crossover.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed analytik vystupuj\u00edc\u00ed pod jm\u00e9nem Moustache pak sleduje RSI<\/a> indik\u00e1tor tr\u017en\u00ed kapitalizace bitcoinu. Podle n\u011bj se odrazil od v\u00edcelet\u00fdch supportn\u00edch lini\u00ed podobn\u011b jako b\u011bhem dna trhu v roce 2022.<\/p>\n

\"Stejn\u011b<\/p>\n

\t\tStejn\u011b jako v roce 2022 jsem i v tomto cyklu spr\u00e1vn\u011b ozna\u010dil dno pro BTC. A\u017e p\u0159ijde \u010das, ur\u010d\u00edm i vrchol trhu. P\u0159edt\u00edm ale podle m\u011b ceny porostou je\u0161t\u011b mnohem v\u00fd\u0161e, a to hlavn\u011b u Altcoins. M\u00e1me se na co t\u011b\u0161it \ud83d\udcaf Zdroj: Moustache\/X.com<\/p>\n

Moustache tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee bitcoin podle jeho n\u00e1zoru ji\u017e vytvo\u0159il lok\u00e1ln\u00ed dno tohoto cyklu a ceny mohou v dal\u0161\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch v\u00fdrazn\u011b r\u016fst.<\/p>\n

Ve h\u0159e je i sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 \u201esupercyklu\u201c<\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici mezit\u00edm za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed znovu mluvit o mo\u017enosti takzvan\u00e9ho supercyklu. Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b silnou r\u016fstovou f\u00e1z\u00ed podporovanou institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed adopc\u00ed, ETF<\/a> fondy a dlouhodobou akumulac\u00ed bitcoinu.<\/p>\n

Podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch odhad\u016f by se bitcoin mohl b\u011bhem tohoto cyklu dostat a\u017e do p\u00e1sma mezi 180 000 a\u017e 250 000 dolary.<\/p>\n

\"Ilustrace<\/p>\n

\t\tIlustrace bitcoinov\u00e9ho supercyklu. Zdroj: PlanC<\/p>\n

Auto\u0159i t\u011bchto predikc\u00ed argumentuj\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm rostouc\u00edm z\u00e1jmem instituc\u00ed a postupn\u00fdm zlep\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm technick\u00e9 struktury trhu.<\/p>\n

Indik\u00e1tory ukazuj\u00ed r\u016fst<\/p>\n

Bitcoin se znovu dost\u00e1v\u00e1 do f\u00e1ze, kdy technick\u00e9 i on-chain indik\u00e1tory za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed ukazovat stejn\u00fdm sm\u011brem. To samo o sob\u011b je\u0161t\u011b negarantuje okam\u017eit\u00fd r\u016fst, ale podobn\u00e9 situace v minulosti \u010dasto p\u0159edch\u00e1zely velmi siln\u00fdm pohyb\u016fm trhu<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto te\u010f investo\u0159i sleduj\u00ed hlavn\u011b oblasti kolem 82 a\u017e 92 tis\u00edc dolar\u016f, kter\u00e9 mohou rozhodnout o tom, zda se trh skute\u010dn\u011b vrac\u00ed do dlouhodob\u011b b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed f\u00e1ze.<\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je i to, jak v\u00fdrazn\u011b dnes kryptom\u011bnov\u00fd trh reaguje na kombinaci technick\u00fdch sign\u00e1l\u016f a institucion\u00e1ln\u00edho kapit\u00e1lu. D\u0159\u00edve b\u00fdval bitcoin mnohem v\u00edce ovlivn\u011bn\u00fd hlavn\u011b retailovou spekulac\u00ed. Dnes ale do hry vstupuj\u00ed ETF fondy, firemn\u00ed treasury strategie a dlouhodob\u00ed institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed investo\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed m\u011bn\u00ed dynamiku cel\u00e9ho trhu.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b to je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed znovu pou\u017e\u00edvat term\u00edn supercyklus. Zda se tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 skute\u010dn\u011b napln\u00ed, uk\u00e1\u017eou a\u017e n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce. Jist\u00e9 ale je, \u017ee bitcoin se op\u011bt dost\u00e1v\u00e1 do bodu, kdy trh o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pohyb.<\/p>\n

Mysl\u00edte si, \u017ee bitcoin skute\u010dn\u011b vstupuje do nov\u00e9 bull market f\u00e1ze nebo jde jen o dal\u0161\u00ed kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd odraz? Dejte n\u00e1m v\u011bd\u011bt do koment\u00e1\u0159\u016f.<\/p>\n

Zaregistrujte se na TOP krypto burzu Bybit EU skrze tento odkaz a z\u00edskejte a\u017e 115 USDC! <\/p>\n

Kupte \u010di zde p\u0159esu\u0148te kryptom\u011bny v hodnot\u011b alespo\u0148 100 USD (2200 K\u010d) a za\u010dn\u011bte \u010derpat v\u00fdhody! Pro \u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdhod zde sta\u010d\u00ed kryptom\u011bny v hodnot\u011b 100 USD+ p\u0159esunout odjinud.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin se podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch analytik\u016f m\u016f\u017ee nach\u00e1zet na za\u010d\u00e1tku nov\u00e9 siln\u00e9 r\u016fstov\u00e9 f\u00e1ze. D\u016fvodem je p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85902,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[183,3244,15927,67,26856,68,20081,26857,26858,26859,26860,26861,12592],"class_list":{"0":"post-85901","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-byznys","8":"tag-aktuality","9":"tag-bitcoin","10":"tag-btc","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-byci-trh","13":"tag-byznys","14":"tag-etf","15":"tag-golden-cross","16":"tag-medvedi-trh","17":"tag-mvrv","18":"tag-rsi","19":"tag-sth-cost-basis","20":"tag-usd"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116574876189992136","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85901","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85901"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85901\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85901"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85901"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85901"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}