Rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dilo Vladimira Putina, \u017ee Moskva m\u016f\u017ee pln\u011b obsadit Donbas do podzimu. Kreml pak hodl\u00e1 \u201ezv\u00fd\u0161it cenu\u201c jak\u00fdchkoli budouc\u00edch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. M\u00edrov\u00e9 rozhovory, kter\u00e9 v \u00fanoru je\u0161t\u011b vypadaly nad\u011bjn\u011b, se mezit\u00edm zastavily. Ob\u011b strany z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed skeptick\u00e9 a Washington nedok\u00e1\u017ee na Moskvu tla\u010dit dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u011b.<\/p>\n
Donbas je dnes synonymem pro dvan\u00e1ctiletou v\u00e1lku. Osm milion\u016f lid\u00ed, t\u011b\u017ek\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, uheln\u00e9 doly \u2014 a tvrd\u00fd o\u0159\u00ed\u0161ek, kter\u00fd nikdo neum\u00ed rozslousknout. Rusko si n\u00e1rokuje cel\u00fd region, p\u0159esto\u017ee kontroluje jen asi 90 procent jeho \u00fazem\u00ed. Ukrajina odm\u00edt\u00e1 vzd\u00e1t se zbytku. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tady se v\u00e1lka dostala do patov\u00e9 situace: intenzivn\u00ed boje, minim\u00e1ln\u00ed posun fronty, obrovsk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty.<\/p>\n
Financial Times p\u00ed\u0161e, \u017ee Putin se rozhodl j\u00edt na maximum. Gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 ho p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dili, \u017ee dobyt\u00ed cel\u00e9ho Donbasu do podzimu je re\u00e1ln\u00e9. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 rozv\u011bdka to potvrzuje. A pokud se to poda\u0159\u00ed? Kreml hodl\u00e1 po\u017eadovat je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc \u2014 t\u0159eba plnou kontrolu nad Z\u00e1poro\u017eskou a Chersonskou oblast\u00ed, z nich\u017e \u010d\u00e1sti st\u00e1le dr\u017e\u00ed Ukrajina.<\/p>\n
Vadym Skibickyj, z\u00e1stupce \u0161\u00e9fa ukrajinsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky, varoval, \u017ee rusk\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch v Donbasu by mohl vyvolat nov\u00e9 \u00fazemn\u00ed po\u017eadavky. Nejde jen o jih. Zdroje bl\u00edzk\u00e9 Kremlu tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Moskva st\u00e1le pova\u017euje kontrolu nad velk\u00fdmi ukrajinsk\u00fdmi m\u011bsty \u2014 v\u010detn\u011b Dnipra, Kyjeva a Od\u011bsy \u2014 za dlouhodob\u00fd c\u00edl. \u201eJedn\u00edm z p\u016fvodn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f bylo dobyt\u00ed Kyjeva a ten c\u00edl \u00fadajn\u011b nezmizel,\u201c \u0159ekl jeden ze zdroj\u016f.<\/p>\n
P\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm na pap\u00ed\u0159e to zn\u00ed ambici\u00f3zn\u011b. Realita na boji\u0161ti je ale jin\u00e1. Rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly si na ja\u0159e 2026 vedou h\u016f\u0159e ne\u017e v roce 2025. Tempo \u00fazemn\u00edch zisk\u016f se v\u00fdrazn\u011b zpomalilo, v n\u011bkter\u00fdch oblastech Rusko dokonce ztratilo pozice. Ukrajina \u00fadajn\u011b p\u0159evzala iniciativu poprv\u00e9 od srpna 2024, kdy provedla operaci v Kursk\u00e9 oblasti. Nav\u00edc zv\u00fd\u0161ila ekonomick\u00e9, lidsk\u00e9 i materi\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1klady v\u00e1lky pro Rusko prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f na ropnou infrastrukturu a vojensk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 slibuj\u00ed podzimn\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Realita? Fronta se posouv\u00e1 pomalu a za vysokou cenu.<\/p>\n
\u00danorov\u00e9 kolo jedn\u00e1n\u00ed skon\u010dilo bez pr\u016flomu. Ukrajina dosp\u011bla k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee rozhovory uv\u00edzly na mrtv\u00e9m bod\u011b, a je frustrovan\u00e1 neschopnost\u00ed Washingtonu vyvinout na Moskvu siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed tlak. Ob\u011b strany z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed hluboce skeptick\u00e9 ohledn\u011b vyhl\u00eddek na smyslupln\u00e1 m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed zprost\u0159edkovan\u00e1 Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty \u2014 a to i pot\u00e9, co nap\u011bt\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b opadne.<\/p>\n
Rusko trv\u00e1 na tom, \u017ee jednou z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch podm\u00ednek p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed je sta\u017een\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch vojsk z Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti. Ukrajina naopak po\u017eaduje, aby jak\u00e9koli p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed respektovalo sou\u010dasnou linii kontaktu. Jeden ze zdroj\u016f \u00fadajn\u011b opakovan\u011b radil Putinovi zastavit v\u00e1lku pod\u00e9l sou\u010dasn\u00e9 fronty, ale rusk\u00fd prezident poka\u017ed\u00e9 odm\u00edtl jak\u00e9koli kompromisn\u00ed n\u00e1vrhy.<\/p>\n
V\u00e1lka tak bude pokra\u010dovat. Donbas z\u016fstane jej\u00edm epicentrem \u2014 alespo\u0148 do podzimu, kdy se uk\u00e1\u017ee, jestli gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 spln\u00ed sv\u016fj slib, nebo zda Putin za\u010dne hledat dal\u0161\u00ed vin\u00edky.<\/p>\n
Zdroj info: United24 Media\u00a0<\/p>\n
Autor: Josef Ne\u0161tick\u00fd <\/p>\n
Foto: Vytvo\u0159eno um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed v\u00a0ChatGPT<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dilo Vladimira Putina, \u017ee Moskva m\u016f\u017ee pln\u011b obsadit Donbas do podzimu. Kreml pak hodl\u00e1 \u201ezv\u00fd\u0161it…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":87052,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[61,54,110,645,166,53,52],"class_list":{"0":"post-87051","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-rusko","9":"tag-svet","10":"tag-ukrajina","11":"tag-valka","12":"tag-vladimir-putin","13":"tag-world","14":"tag-world-news"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116580609242965049","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87051","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87051"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87051\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/87052"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87051"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87051"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87051"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}