{"id":91732,"date":"2026-05-20T14:49:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T14:49:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/91732\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T14:49:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T14:49:11","slug":"cena-bitcoinu-pokracuje-v-poklesu-na-52-000-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/91732\/","title":{"rendered":"Cena bitcoinu pokra\u010duje v poklesu na 52 000 USD"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin kles\u00e1 k 76 000 USD a postupn\u011b za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 nab\u00edrat momentum sm\u011brem dol\u016f. Pokud bude tento v\u00fdvoj pokra\u010dovat, v\u016fbec bych se nedivil brzk\u00e9mu otestov\u00e1n\u00ed oblasti kolem 72 000 USD.<\/p>\n

Objemy obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159itom d\u00e1l klesaj\u00ed. I kdy\u017e se m\u016f\u017ee zd\u00e1t, \u017ee u\u017e nemaj\u00ed kam spadnout, z\u00e1jem o obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed je ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem slab\u0161\u00ed. Trh tak p\u016fsob\u00ed dojmem, jako kdyby se z n\u011bj postupn\u011b vytr\u00e1cela ve\u0161ker\u00e1 energie.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9 objemy jsou v tomto kontextu nesm\u00edrn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9. Ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee kupci zat\u00edm nemaj\u00ed dostate\u010dnou s\u00edlu na v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obrat. Pokud se cena za\u010dne v\u00edce h\u00fdbat p\u0159i slab\u00e9 aktivit\u011b, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt n\u00e1sledn\u00fd pohyb o to prud\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\"Cena<\/p>\n

\t\tCena bitcoinu sm\u011b\u0159uje ke spodn\u00ed hranici medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky, kde je 72 000 USD. Zdroj: Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm<\/a><\/p>\n

Osobn\u011b se t\u011b\u0161\u00edm, a\u017e se cena bitcoinu kone\u010dn\u011b rozh\u00fdbe. Mysl\u00edm si toti\u017e, \u017ee tolik o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 volatilita m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt velmi brzy. Zat\u00edm se ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b trh st\u00e1le dr\u017e\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e sm\u011brem k 52 000 USD.<\/p>\n

Dokud se bitcoin pohybuje v medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajce, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 tento cenov\u00fd target velmi aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed. Teprve n\u00e1vrat nad d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 rezistence a v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed objem\u016f by mohly tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 z\u00e1sadn\u011bji zpochybnit.<\/p>\n

Cena bitcoinu prolomila z rostouc\u00edho kl\u00ednu dol\u016f<\/p>\n

Bitcoin si lze v grafu zakreslit tak\u00e9 do pom\u011brn\u011b hezk\u00e9ho rostouc\u00edho kl\u00ednu. Tento pattern je ze sv\u00e9 podstaty ale na 100 % medv\u011bd\u00ed, proto\u017ee postupn\u011b p\u0159edstavuje sl\u00e1bnouc\u00ed dynamiku r\u016fstu. Z technick\u00e9ho pohledu proto d\u00e1val v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed smysl pr\u016flom sm\u011brem dol\u016f.<\/p>\n

Tomu, \u017ee se trh nach\u00e1z\u00ed v n\u011bjak\u00e9 medv\u011bd\u00ed struktu\u0159e, nasv\u011bd\u010dovaly i objemy obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed. Ty toti\u017e soustavn\u011b klesali, co\u017e r\u016fstu bere na p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010divosti. A\u0165 u\u017e tedy sou\u010dasn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj ozna\u010d\u00edme za rostouc\u00ed kl\u00edn, nebo medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajku, mn\u011b osobn\u011b bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee polet\u00edme dol\u016f. Ostatn\u011b ka\u017ed\u00e9 mal\u00e9 d\u00edt\u011b v\u00ed, \u017ee ze skluzavky lze j\u00edt jenom jedn\u00edm sm\u011brem. <\/p>\n

Cenov\u00fd pokles BTC je v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v procesu a b\u011bhem n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch dn\u016f se p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010d\u00edme, zdali trh otestuje i spodn\u00ed hranici medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky z p\u0159edchoz\u00edho grafu. <\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

\t\tBitcoin prorazil dol\u016f z rostouc\u00edho kl\u00ednu, tak\u017ee se napl\u0148uje sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 s poklesem k 52 000 USD. Zdroj: Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm<\/a><\/p>\n

D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je sledovat hlavn\u011b reakci ceny na spodn\u00ed hran\u011b struktury. Pokud zde kupci nedok\u00e1\u017eou p\u0159evz\u00edt iniciativu, m\u016f\u017ee se tlak prodejc\u016f rychle zv\u00fd\u0161it. Slab\u00e9 objemy nav\u00edc nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee trh zat\u00edm nem\u00e1 dostate\u010dn\u011b pevn\u00fd z\u00e1klad pro jak\u00fdkoliv odraz sm\u011brem nahoru.<\/p>\n

I kdyby bitcoin nakonec neklesl t\u0159eba pod 60 000 dolar\u016f, retest p\u0159edchoz\u00edho cenov\u00e9ho minima m\u00e1 z u\u010debnicov\u00e9ho pohledu svou logiku. Trh <\/a>si \u010dasto pot\u0159ebuje jako by ov\u011b\u0159it, zda na ni\u017e\u0161\u00edch \u00farovn\u00edch st\u00e1le existuje dostate\u010dn\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka. Pokud tam je, cena bitcoinu se p\u011bkn\u011b odraz\u00ed. Kdy\u017e ne, p\u016fjdeme p\u0159irozen\u011b n\u00ed\u017ee.<\/p>\n

Dno ceny BTC bude tehdy, a\u017e p\u0159ijde extr\u00e9mn\u00ed strach trhu<\/p>\n

Bitcoin m\u00e1 dlouhodob\u011b tendenci p\u0159ech\u00e1zet z jednoho extr\u00e9mu do druh\u00e9ho. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto i tentokr\u00e1t \u010dek\u00e1me na v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed krajn\u00ed f\u00e1zi cel\u00e9ho pr\u016fb\u011bhu poklesu. Bez n\u00ed se t\u011b\u017eko ur\u010duje, zda u\u017e trh skute\u010dn\u011b dokon\u010dil cel\u00fd aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed cyklus. Pot\u00e9 logicky za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 nov\u00fd a to znamen\u00e1 po\u010d\u00e1tek nov\u00e9ho r\u016fstov\u00e9ho trendu. <\/p>\n

Prvn\u011b bychom ale na trhu cht\u011bli vid\u011bt mnohem v\u00edce paniky a kapitula\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1lady. Po\u0159\u00e1d n\u00e1m toti\u017e chyb\u00ed ona extr\u00e9mn\u00ed f\u00e1ze medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu<\/a>, kdy investo\u0159i p\u0159est\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u011b\u0159it v n\u011bjak\u00fd rozumn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj. Co\u017e je naprosto ide\u00e1ln\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed, kter\u00e9 b\u00fdv\u00e1 spojeno s tvorbou dlouhodob\u00e9ho cenov\u00e9ho dna BTC.<\/p>\n

\"Dno<\/p>\n

\t\tDno ceny BTC bude tehdy, a\u017e p\u0159ijde extr\u00e9mn\u00ed strach trhu. Zdroj: CryptoQuant<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm se ale popsan\u00e1 psychologie p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 nedostavila. Trh sice v\u00fdrazn\u011b oslabil, ale skute\u010dn\u00fd strach a plo\u0161n\u00e1 panika nejsou tak siln\u00e9, jak bych t\u0159eba cht\u011bl. To m\u016f\u017ee znamenat, \u017ee prostor pro dal\u0161\u00ed \u201eo\u010distn\u00fd proces trhu\u201c je\u0161t\u011b nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt \u00fapln\u011b dokon\u010den\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Ono to opravdu nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e o\u010distn\u00fd proces jednodu\u0161e nen\u00ed. Chceme vlastn\u011b, aby tzv. slab\u00e9 ruce z trhu zmizeli. Jakmile jsou pry\u010d, nen\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed, kdo by prod\u00e1val. Cesta nejmen\u0161\u00edho odporu je pak sm\u011brem nahoru. <\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b si m\u016f\u017eeme \u0159\u00edkat, \u017ee tentokr\u00e1t je v\u0161echno jin\u00e9. Jen\u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b tato v\u011bta b\u00fdv\u00e1 na trz\u00edch \u010dasto velmi drahou \u0161kolou. Historie sice nikdy nen\u00ed toto\u017en\u00e1, ale tr\u017en\u00ed psychologie se opakuje pomalu jako hodinky. <\/p>\n

T\u00edm ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1m, \u017ee jde o n\u011bco natolik siln\u00e9ho jako je t\u0159eba gravitace. Po\u0159\u00e1d jenom h\u00e1d\u00e1me na z\u00e1klad\u011b historick\u00fdch vzorc\u016f, kter\u00e9 rozpozn\u00e1v\u00e1me. <\/p>\n

Bitcoin je de facto velmi levn\u00fd oproti akci\u00edm<\/p>\n

Bitcoin dnes vypad\u00e1 v\u016f\u010di americk\u00e9mu akciov\u00e9mu trhu velmi levn\u011b. P\u0159i srovn\u00e1n\u00ed dvou \u0161ir\u0161\u00edch tr\u017en\u00edch veli\u010din.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd akciov\u00fd trh se toti\u017e aktu\u00e1ln\u011b obchoduje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b za 36n\u00e1sobek HDP<\/a>. To nazna\u010duje, \u017ee akcie <\/a>jsou v\u016f\u010di velikosti ekonomiky nacen\u011bn\u00e9 velmi vysoko. <\/p>\n

Bitcoin se naproti tomu obchoduje zhruba za 17 unc\u00ed zlata<\/a>. V tomto relativn\u00edm vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed tedy p\u016fsob\u00ed mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b draze ne\u017e americk\u00e9 akcie. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt sou\u010dasn\u00fd rozd\u00edl mezi t\u011bmito trhy zaj\u00edmav\u00fdm sign\u00e1lem.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

\t\tBitcoin je de facto velmi levn\u00fd oproti akci\u00edm. Zdroj: Bloomberg.com<\/p>\n

Ob\u011b veli\u010diny spolu dlouhodob\u011b pom\u011brn\u011b dob\u0159e korelovaly. Od minul\u00e9ho roku ale bitcoin sp\u00ed\u0161e stagnuje, zat\u00edmco americk\u00fd akciov\u00fd trh pokra\u010duje ve sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed cenov\u00e9 rally. Tento rozd\u00edl ukazuje, \u017ee bitcoin zat\u00edm za \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm rizikov\u00fdm sentimentem v\u00fdrazn\u011b zaost\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Pokud se tato historick\u00e1 vazba za\u010dne znovu obnovovat, bitcoin by m\u011bl m\u00edt prostor pro siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pohyb vzh\u016fru. Akciov\u00fd trh u\u017e toti\u017e velkou \u010d\u00e1st optimismu nacenil, zat\u00edmco bitcoin evidentn\u011b dost zaost\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/p>\n

M\u00e1me tak dal\u0161\u00ed d\u00edlek do mozaiky, kter\u00fd podporuje sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 brzk\u00e9ho odrazu ceny bitcoinu ode dna. Z tohoto pohledu d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee se bitcoin v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch pokus\u00ed dohnat \u010d\u00e1st ztracen\u00e9ho relativn\u00edho v\u00fdkonu. <\/p>\n

Podot\u00fdk\u00e1m, \u017ee jenom h\u00e1d\u00e1me. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b osobn\u011b spol\u00e9h\u00e1m na to, \u017ee se cenov\u00fd vzorec chov\u00e1n\u00ed z minulosti do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry zopakuje.<\/p>\n

Investujte do bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF na platform\u011b XTB<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin kles\u00e1 k 76 000 USD a postupn\u011b za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 nab\u00edrat momentum sm\u011brem dol\u016f. Pokud bude tento v\u00fdvoj pokra\u010dovat,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":91733,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[183,3244,15927,67,68,16268,778,15929],"class_list":["post-91732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-byznys","tag-aktuality","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-business","tag-byznys","tag-kryptomena","tag-kryptomeny","tag-technicka-analyza"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116607462239147395","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91732","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91732"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91732\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91733"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91732"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91732"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91732"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}