{"id":92933,"date":"2026-05-21T15:32:18","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T15:32:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/92933\/"},"modified":"2026-05-21T15:32:18","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T15:32:18","slug":"proc-prvni-nalety-na-iran-vojensky-nic-neprinesly-a-ty-dalsi-nebudou-jine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/92933\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d prvn\u00ed n\u00e1lety na \u00cdr\u00e1n vojensky nic nep\u0159inesly a\u00a0ty dal\u0161\u00ed nebudou jin\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"e_cy\">Pozn\u00e1mka: Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek byl p\u016fvodn\u011b publikov\u00e1n v\u00a0\u00fater\u00fd, vz\u00e1p\u011bt\u00ed v\u0161ak byl sta\u017een v\u00a0reakci na prudk\u00fd v\u00fdvoj situace. Pokud jste pat\u0159ili k\u00a0t\u011bm n\u011bkolika lidem, tak se nemus\u00edte d\u011bsit deja vu. Soud\u011b dle nervozity na ropn\u00fdch trz\u00edch a\u00a0ned\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Donalda Trumpa, se toti\u017e s\u00a0vysokou pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed druh\u00e1 vlna leteck\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f na \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Interpretace v\u00fdsledk\u016f \u00favodn\u00ed f\u00e1ze konfliktu v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 zna\u010dn\u011b rozporupln\u00e1. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b stoj\u00ed Donald Trump se sv\u00fdmi halasn\u00fdmi prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi, podle nich\u017e byl Teher\u00e1n vojensky \u201ezni\u010den\u201c snad pades\u00e1tkr\u00e1t. P\u0159i pohledu na pap\u00edrov\u00e9 stavy \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil, jak je p\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1 nap\u0159\u00edklad Wikipedie, by nav\u00edc nezaujat\u00fd \u010dten\u00e1\u0159 snadno nabyl dojmu, \u017ee se tamn\u00ed re\u017eim skute\u010dn\u011b nach\u00e1z\u00ed na pokraji vojensk\u00e9ho kolapsu.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Kdy\u017e se v\u0161ak pod\u00edv\u00e1te na re\u00e1lnou situaci na boji\u0161ti, naraz\u00edte na fascinuj\u00edc\u00ed paradox: prakticky neexistuje strategick\u00e1 operace, j\u00ed\u017e byl \u00cdr\u00e1n schopen p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem americk\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f a\u00a0kterou by nedok\u00e1zal \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b prov\u00e9st i\u00a0dnes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Tento hlubok\u00fd rozpor pramen\u00ed ze samotn\u00e9 povahy \u00cdr\u00e1nu jako\u017eto teokratick\u00e9 diktatury. Totalitn\u00ed re\u017eimy si toti\u017e patologicky potrp\u00ed na to, aby byly navenek vn\u00edm\u00e1ny jako dr\u017eitel\u00e9 impozantn\u00ed konven\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edly. V\u00fdsledkem jsou ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 na pap\u00ed\u0159e bud\u00ed respekt, ale v\u00a0realit\u011b p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed jen gigantickou Pot\u011bmkinovu vesnici.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Nab\u00edz\u00ed se logick\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka: Jak je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00a0tomto konfliktu fakticky v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed? Teher\u00e1n toti\u017e sice investoval do nabl\u00fdskan\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed pro televizn\u00ed kamery a\u00a0vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159ehl\u00eddky, ale paraleln\u011b s\u00a0t\u00edm rozv\u00edjel mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b efektivn\u00ed asymetrick\u00e9 kapacity. Pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0nich tkv\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky. A\u00a0jsou to pr\u00e1v\u011b tyto struktury, kter\u00e9 se Pentagonu nepoda\u0159ilo b\u011bhem dosavadn\u00edho ta\u017een\u00ed prakticky v\u016fbec potla\u010dit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Vedle toho nar\u00e1\u017e\u00edme na z\u00e1sadn\u00ed vojensko-politick\u00fd z\u00e1drhel, kter\u00fd jen ilustruje zmaten\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed cel\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na stran\u011b Washingtonu. Ze zhruba 1\u00a0100\u00a0d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch st\u00edhac\u00edch letoun\u016f, jimi\u017e Aliance disponuje, <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/medium.seznam.cz\/clanek\/jan-novak-operace-v-iranu-ukazuje-ze-bez-evropy-nejsou-americane-takova-supervelmoc-259089\" class=\"e_w\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">jich pln\u00fdch 900\u00a0spad\u00e1 pod jej\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 k\u0159\u00eddlo<\/a>. Tedy pod tut\u00e9\u017e Evropu, kterou Donald Trump je\u0161t\u011b na po\u010d\u00e1tku kampan\u011b stihl ozna\u010dit za jednoho ze sv\u00fdch \u00fahlavn\u00edch nep\u0159\u00e1tel, jej\u00ed\u017e p\u0159edstavitele bez obalu ur\u00e1\u017eel, a\u00a0kterou se vz\u00e1p\u011bt\u00ed\u00a0\u2013 kdy\u017e americk\u00e1 operace za\u010dala viditeln\u011b rozpadla\u00a0\u2013 pokusil vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00edm dotla\u010dit k\u00a0tomu, aby mu p\u0159i\u0161la na pomoc.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">S v\u00fdjimkou prap\u016fvodn\u00edho pl\u00e1nu, kter\u00fd naivn\u011b p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dal, \u017ee se t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u016fl stolet\u00ed star\u00fd teokratick\u00fd re\u017eim zhrout\u00ed jako dome\u010dek z\u00a0karet po eliminaci n\u011bkolika kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f, Washingtonu \u017ealostn\u011b chyb\u00ed jak\u00e9koli jasn\u011b definovan\u00e9 politick\u00e9 c\u00edle. Od t\u00e9 doby jsou ve\u0161ker\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace Pentagonu motivov\u00e1ny prim\u00e1rn\u011b snahou, aby mohl B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch prezentovat rychl\u00e1 a\u00a0marketingov\u011b vd\u011b\u010dn\u00e1 \u201ev\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c. Sledujeme tak v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9m p\u0159enosu fascinuj\u00edc\u00ed st\u0159et\u00a0\u2013 v\u00e1lku dvou Pot\u011bmkinov\u00fdch vesnic.<\/p>\n<p>Zni\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho letectva\u00a0\u2013 ni\u010den\u00ed kulturn\u00edch pam\u00e1tek<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Americk\u00fd ministr obrany Pete Hegseth se v\u00a0m\u00e9di\u00edch ne\u00fanavn\u011b chlub\u00ed t\u00edm, jak Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty slavn\u011b zlikvidovaly \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 letectvo. V\u00fdrok je to sice \u00fadern\u00fd, m\u00e1 v\u0161ak drobnou vadu na kr\u00e1se: Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 v\u00a0podstat\u011b nem\u011bli co ni\u010dit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">V\u00fdkladn\u00ed sk\u0159\u00edn\u00ed tamn\u00edch vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch sil jsou nemodernizovan\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky MiG-29, kter\u00e9 byly takovou katastrofou, \u017ee jsme se v\u00a0\u010cR rad\u011bji vr\u00e1tili ke st\u00edha\u010dk\u00e1m MiG-21.\u00a0Zbytek letov\u00e9ho parku tvo\u0159\u00ed sen ka\u017ed\u00e9ho milovn\u00edka historick\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 techniky: z\u00e1padn\u00ed provenience je zastoupena stroji F-4\u00a0Phantom, Mirage F-1\u00a0\u010di F-5E Tiger. Skute\u010dnou historickou raritou, a\u00a0pravd\u011bpodn\u011b st\u00e1le nejschopn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm letounem, je pak legend\u00e1rn\u00ed F-14\u00a0Tomcat. <\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"1240\"   width=\"1734\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/jalil-z-f-14.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 letectvo, licence: Public Domain<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 eso, Jalil Zandi. Se sv\u00fdm F-14\u00a0Tomcat sest\u0159elil jeden\u00e1ct ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch letoun\u016f. Jejich spole\u010dn\u00e1 fotka z\u00a0roku 1978.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">V\u00fdchodn\u00ed blok pro zm\u011bnu zastupuj\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 kopie sta\u0159i\u010dk\u00fdch MiG-21\u00a0a\u00a0sov\u011btsk\u00e9 stroje Su-22\u00a0\u010di Su-24.\u00a0Letouny st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b disponuj\u00ed avionikou a\u00a0elektronikou z\u00a0\u00e9ry, kdy v\u00a0tehdej\u0161\u00edm \u010ceskoslovensku teprve za\u010d\u00ednalo pravideln\u00e9 vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed barevn\u00e9 televize.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Teher\u00e1n si je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b dob\u0159e v\u011bdom, \u017ee jedinou re\u00e1lnou \u0161anc\u00ed t\u011bchto stroj\u016f na p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed je nostalgie americk\u00fdch pilot\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u00a0ml\u00e1d\u00ed fascinovan\u011b sledovali Top Gun a\u00a0legend\u00e1rn\u00ed Tomcaty by zkr\u00e1tka nedok\u00e1zali sest\u0159elit bez slz v\u00a0o\u010d\u00edch. M\u011b\u0159it s\u00edly s\u00a0modern\u00edmi st\u00edha\u010dkami v\u0161ak tyto stroje mohou skute\u010dn\u011b jen ve filmech Toma Cruise. \u00cdr\u00e1n se proto rozhodl sv\u00e9 letectvo v\u00a0jeho klasick\u00fdch mis\u00edch pragmaticky nahradit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">P\u0159i ochran\u011b sv\u00e9ho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru tak Teher\u00e1n spol\u00e9h\u00e1 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u00fdhradn\u011b na pozemn\u00ed syst\u00e9my PVO. Pro \u00fadery na velk\u00e9 vzd\u00e1lenosti pak nam\u00edsto letectva vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 sv\u016fj rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd arzen\u00e1l balistick\u00fdch raket. Tato strategie m\u00e1 pro tamn\u00ed re\u017eim nespornou logistickou v\u00fdhodu: vybudovat modern\u00ed nadzvukov\u00e9 letectvo a\u00a0vycvi\u010dit elitn\u00ed piloty trv\u00e1 cel\u00e9 dek\u00e1dy. Nov\u00e9 baterie protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany v\u00e1m v\u0161ak Peking v\u00fdm\u011bnou za surovou ropu dod\u00e1 b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Rozd\u00edl mezi bojov\u00fdmi schopnostmi \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho letectva a\u00a0Vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch sil A\u010cR je zhruba stejn\u011b velk\u00fd jako rozd\u00edl mezi schopnostmi \u010desk\u00e9ho letectva a\u00a0letectva USA. Jist\u011b, z\u00a0\u010dist\u011b vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska by bylo taktickou chybou neza\u010d\u00edt kampa\u0148 jeho eliminac\u00ed. Av\u0161ak neust\u00e1le se p\u0159ed Kongresem naparovat \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdm vybombardov\u00e1n\u00edm technick\u00e9ho muzea p\u016fsob\u00ed ze strany Pentagonu pon\u011bkud bizarn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Zni\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva\u00a0\u2013 nebo jeho makety<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Zkonstruovat a\u00a0vyrobit modern\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dnou lo\u010f je technologicky velmi n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9. V\u00fdvoj spolehliv\u00e9ho pohonn\u00e9ho \u00fastroj\u00ed, pokro\u010dil\u00fdch radarov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, optoelektronick\u00fdch senzor\u016f nebo by\u0165 jen \u201eoby\u010dejn\u00e9ho\u201c 30mm rychlopaln\u00e9ho kanonu, kter\u00fd po p\u00e1r t\u00fddnech na mo\u0159i nese\u017eere agresivn\u00ed slan\u00e1 voda a\u00a0nerozsypou ho konstantn\u00ed n\u00e1razy vln a\u00a0vibrace trupu, p\u0159edstavuje obrovskou in\u017een\u00fdrskou v\u00fdzvu. I\u00a0takov\u00e1 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 mocnost jako Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea, kter\u00e1 na civiln\u00edm trhu chrl\u00ed \u010dtvrtinu sv\u011btov\u00e9 lodn\u00ed ton\u00e1\u017ee, mus\u00ed pro sv\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 plavidla dov\u00e1\u017eet dieselov\u00e9 gener\u00e1tory, plynov\u00e9 turb\u00edny \u010di stabiliz\u00e1tory z\u00a0Evropy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Pokud jste se v\u00a0uplynul\u00fdch letech divili katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edm v\u00fdkon\u016fm rusk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva a\u00a0potopen\u00ed k\u0159i\u017en\u00edk\u016f v\u00a0\u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i, vysv\u011btlen\u00ed le\u017e\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b zde. St\u00e1ty na technologick\u00e9 \u00farovni dne\u0161n\u00edho Ruska nedok\u00e1\u017eou \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 plavidla stav\u011bt\u00a0\u2013 mus\u00ed si je zkr\u00e1tka koupit. Typicky v\u00a0Evrop\u011b, a\u010dkoliv do tohoto vysoce lukrativn\u00edho zbrojn\u00edho byznysu v\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b agresivn\u011b pronik\u00e1 i\u00a0Asie.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Z toho je asi z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee pravd\u011bpodobnost, s\u00a0jakou by byl sankcemi sv\u00e1zan\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n schopen postavit modern\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dnou lo\u010f, je skoro jist\u011b nula.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Teher\u00e1n sice dok\u00e1zal vyprodukovat \u0159adu plavidel, kter\u00e1 na prvn\u00ed pohled jako modern\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b vypadaj\u00ed, o\u00a0jejich re\u00e1ln\u00e9 bojeschopnosti lze v\u0161ak \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b pochybovat. Je vysoce sporn\u00e9, zda by tyto syst\u00e9my dok\u00e1zaly efektivn\u011b odp\u00e1lit \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 st\u0159ely v\u00a0moment\u011b, kdy v\u00fd\u0161ka vln na otev\u0159en\u00e9m mo\u0159i p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed dva metry. Z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 rovn\u011b\u017e ot\u00e1zkou, kolik \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch protilodn\u00edch st\u0159el je v\u016fbec schopno p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt agresivn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed po dobu del\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed, ani\u017e by do\u0161lo k\u00a0selh\u00e1n\u00ed jejich elektroniky.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">M\u00edsty tato snaha o\u00a0technologickou presti\u017e hrani\u010d\u00ed s\u00a0\u010distou komedi\u00ed. P\u0159\u00edkladem za v\u0161echny jsou \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 lehk\u00e9 fregaty t\u0159\u00eddy Moudge s\u00a0v\u00fdtlakem pouh\u00fdch 1\u00a0500\u00a0tun. Tato plavidla nemaj\u00ed klasick\u00fd rotuj\u00edc\u00ed radar, ale py\u0161n\u00ed se \u010dty\u0159mi pevn\u00fdmi f\u00e1zovan\u00fdmi ant\u00e9nami typu AESA. V\u00a0glob\u00e1ln\u00edm kontextu jde o\u00a0naprost\u00fd technologick\u00fd unik\u00e1t. I\u00a0na Z\u00e1pad\u011b je toto nesm\u00edrn\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed vyhrazeno v\u00fdhradn\u011b pro ty nejv\u00fdkonn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 torp\u00e9doborce.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"528\"   width=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/moudge.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: Tasnim News Agency, licence: Creativo Commons 4.0<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 fregata Moudge. Ten obrovsk\u00fd \u010dty\u0159bok\u00fd diamant na sto\u017e\u00e1ru m\u00e1 b\u00fdt \u00fadajn\u011b AESA radar s\u00a0pevn\u00fdmi ant\u00e9nami. Ten v\u011bt\u0161ina sv\u011btov\u00fdch n\u00e1mo\u0159nictev nezvl\u00e1dne um\u00edstit ani na n\u011bkolikan\u00e1sobn\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed lod\u011b. <\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Dokonce i\u00a0nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed britsk\u00e9 fregaty t\u0159\u00eddy Glasgow nebo nov\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 fregaty Typu 054B s\u00a0v\u00fdtlakem p\u0159esahuj\u00edc\u00edm 6\u00a0000\u00a0tun si mus\u00ed vysta\u010dit \u201epouze\u201c s\u00a0rotuj\u00edc\u00edm AESA radarem. Voln\u011b p\u0159elo\u017eeno z\u00a0propaga\u010dn\u00edho jazyka do vojensk\u00e9 reality: Jeliko\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n nedok\u00e1zal vyvinout funk\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed leteck\u00fd p\u0159ehledov\u00fd radar, osadil lodn\u00ed n\u00e1stavbu maketou.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"844\"   width=\"1500\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/glasgow.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: Royal Navy, licence: Open government licence 1.0<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Nov\u00e1 britsk\u00e1 fregata Glasgow. Kr\u00e1lovsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo, na rozd\u00edl od \u201etechnologick\u00e9 velmoci \u00cdr\u00e1nu\u201c, zat\u00edm neprovouzuje ani jednu lo\u010f s\u00a0pevn\u00fdmi AESA radary. Na vrcholu p\u0159edn\u00edho sto\u017e\u00e1ru tak m\u016f\u017eete vid\u011bt rotuj\u00edc\u00ed radar Artisan.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">V podobn\u00e9m duchu se nese i\u00a0nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed chlouba \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard\u00a0\u2013 \u201eletadlov\u00e1 lo\u010f\u201c IRIS Shahid Bagheri. Koncept takzvan\u00fdch nosi\u010d\u016f dron\u016f je sice m\u00f3dn\u00edm trendem (vlastn\u00ed plavidlo tohoto typu si ned\u00e1vno po\u0159\u00eddilo i\u00a0Portugalsko), ov\u0161em \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 proveden\u00ed je naprost\u00fd biz\u00e1r. Jde v\u00a0podstat\u011b o\u00a0vyslou\u017eilou jihokorejskou kontejnerovou lo\u010f, u\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e pouze narychlo zarovnali horn\u00ed palubu, aby z\u00a0n\u00ed bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 drony v\u016fbec vypustit.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"560\"   width=\"1000\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/shahid-bagheri.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo, licence: Creative commons 1.0<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 \u201eletadlov\u00e1 lo\u010f\u201c Shahid Bagheri. <\/p>\n<p><img height=\"2559\"   width=\"4096\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/d-joao-ii.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: Koldocamper, licence Creative Commons 4.0<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Portugask\u00fd nosi\u010d dron\u016f D. Jo\u00e3o II. <\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">V otev\u0159en\u00e9m st\u0159etu by \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo bylo b\u011bhem jedin\u00e9 hodiny zmasakrov\u00e1no i\u00a0t\u011bmi portugalsk\u00fdmi n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edmi silami. Jist\u011b, ponechat tato plavidla v\u00a0dob\u011b v\u00e1lky netknut\u00e1 by bylo z\u00a0americk\u00e9 strany taktickou chybou, ale jejich potopen\u00edm Washington re\u00e1ln\u011b ni\u010deho nedos\u00e1hl.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Skute\u010dn\u00fd strategick\u00fd probl\u00e9m toti\u017e nep\u0159edstavuj\u00ed nabl\u00fdskan\u00e9 makety fregat, ale stovky mal\u00fdch rychl\u00fdch \u010dlun\u016f, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed miny a\u00a0mobiln\u00ed protilodn\u00ed baterie v\u00a0oblasti Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zpr\u00e1v americk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky, kter\u00e9 unikly v\u00a0kv\u011btnu 2026, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pln\u011b funk\u010dn\u00edch 30\u00a0z\u00a0celkem 33\u00a0raketov\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen m\u00ed\u0159\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159\u00edmo na strategickou tepnu v\u00a0Hormuzu.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Teher\u00e1n se tak v\u00a0d\u016fsledku americk\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f pouze zbavil enormn\u00edch finan\u010dn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f na \u00fadr\u017ebu nefunk\u010dn\u00ed makety n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva. Celou situaci lze p\u0159ipodobnit ke sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, kdy by Ukrajina potopila rusk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 k\u0159i\u017en\u00edky t\u0159\u00eddy Kirov a\u00a0letadlov\u00fd k\u0159i\u017en\u00edk Admir\u00e1l Kuzn\u011btsov. Kyjev by t\u00edm zlikvidoval ty nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u201erozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 spojence\u201c, kter\u00e9 v\u00a0rusk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil\u00e1ch m\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Balistick\u00e9 rakety\u00a0\u2013 kdy\u017e se p\u0159ipravujete na v\u00e1lku osmn\u00e1ct dn\u00ed dop\u0159edu<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Jedinou skute\u010dnou zbran\u00ed, kterou \u00cdr\u00e1n\u00a0\u2013 vedle ji\u017e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9ho zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu\u00a0\u2013 dok\u00e1\u017ee re\u00e1ln\u011b ohrozit \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed region, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 jeho masivn\u00ed arzen\u00e1l balistick\u00fdch raket. P\u0159esto\u017ee je samotn\u00fd koncept ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed vzd\u00e1len\u00fdch civiln\u00edch center pomoc\u00ed drah\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch st\u0159el z\u00a0\u010dist\u011b vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska extr\u00e9mn\u011b hloup\u00fd, Teher\u00e1nu poskytuje mocn\u00fd politick\u00fd n\u00e1stroj. S\u00a0jeho pomoc\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee sv\u00fdm soused\u016fm extr\u00e9mn\u011b ztrp\u010dovat \u017eivot.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Na medi\u00e1ln\u011b tolik op\u011bvovan\u00e9 drony se v\u00a0tichosti zapomn\u011blo\u00a0\u2013 jejich limity a\u00a0selh\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0re\u00e1ln\u00e9m boji ostatn\u011b unavily i\u00a0ty nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed optimisty. (O \u010dem\u017e jsem i\u00a0napsal <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/medium.seznam.cz\/clanek\/jan-novak-dronova-valka-nefunguje-a-medialni-manie-kolem-ni-skodi-zapadnim-armadam-275500\" class=\"e_w\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">\u010dl\u00e1nek<\/a>.) Naopak \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fadery balistick\u00fdmi raketami zaznamenaly p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b vysokou \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nost. Po \u010dist\u011b vojensk\u00e9 str\u00e1nce za to mohl fakt, \u017ee izraelsk\u00fd <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/medium.seznam.cz\/clanek\/jan-novak-proc-izraelske-takticke-protiraketove-systemy-selhaly-a-ty-z-usa-a-eu-ne-268523\" class=\"e_w\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">syst\u00e9m protiraketov\u00e9 obrany David\u016fv prak \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b selhal<\/a>, co\u017e zp\u016fsobilo vypot\u0159ebov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1soby v\u00fdkonn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1padn\u00edch antiraket.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"379\"   width=\"707\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/tabulka-ztrat-munice-v-iranu.png\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: CSIS<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Odhady americk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob munice po prvn\u00ed vln\u011b \u00fatok\u016f. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm si v\u0161imn\u011bte katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edho stavu anti-raket THAAD.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Donald Trump na tento v\u00fdvoj zareagoval s\u00a0pru\u017enost\u00ed sob\u011b vlastn\u00ed: okam\u017eit\u011b oto\u010dil kormidlo ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho narativu a\u00a0prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee likvidace \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho raketov\u00e9ho arzen\u00e1lu byla hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem cel\u00e9 operace od sam\u00e9ho po\u010d\u00e1tku. Odhl\u00e9dneme-li od faktu, \u017ee \u00favodn\u00ed vlna americk\u00fdch n\u00e1let\u016f se na tyto kapacity prokazateln\u011b v\u016fbec nezam\u011b\u0159ovala, hlavn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee ani tento dodate\u010dn\u011b deklarovan\u00fd \u00fakol se Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm zjevn\u011b nepoda\u0159ilo splnit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Na ve\u0159ejnost nyn\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm den\u00edku The New York Times unikly zpr\u00e1vy tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb, kter\u00e9 potvrdily d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed intern\u00ed informace z\u00a0arm\u00e1dn\u00edch kruh\u016f. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 i\u00a0dnes k\u00a0dispozici pln\u00fdch 70\u00a0% sv\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch raket a\u00a075\u00a0% odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Kdy\u017e nav\u00edc uv\u00e1\u017e\u00edme, \u017ee velkou \u010d\u00e1st z\u00a0chyb\u011bj\u00edc\u00edch procent \u00cdr\u00e1nci sami vyst\u0159\u00edleli b\u011bhem uplynul\u00fdch m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, dojdeme k\u00a0nelichotiv\u00e9mu z\u00e1v\u011bru: Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty re\u00e1ln\u011b zlikvidovaly jen naprost\u00e9 minimum \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch kapacit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">D\u016fvod je prost\u00fd. V\u011bt\u0161ina \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch sil je rozm\u00edst\u011bna v\u00a0podzemn\u00edch bunkrech a\u00a0Ameri\u010dan\u016fm t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 okam\u017eit\u011b do\u0161ly p\u0159ebyte\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00e1soby protibunkrov\u00e9 munice. Pentagonu tak nezbylo nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e bombardovat pouh\u00e9 vjezdy do t\u011bchto podzemn\u00edch komplex\u016f. To sice na chv\u00edli ochrom\u00ed bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed odvetn\u00e9 \u00fadery a\u00a0skv\u011ble se to vyj\u00edm\u00e1 na tiskov\u00fdch konferenc\u00edch, ale odkl\u00edzen\u00ed trosek z\u00a0vjezdov\u00fdch ramp je probl\u00e9m, kter\u00fd Teher\u00e1n dok\u00e1\u017ee vy\u0159e\u0161it b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"1083\"   width=\"1500\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/gbu-72b-advanced-5k-penetrator.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: Samule King Jr., licence: Public Domain<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">F-15E Strike eagle testuje novou americkou protibunkrovou pumu GBU-72B Advanced 5K Penetrator.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Tento kolaps je o\u00a0to tristn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee standardn\u00ed protibunkrov\u00e9 pumy o\u00a0hmotnosti 2\u00a0000\u00a0a\u00a05\u00a0000\u00a0liber p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed v\u00a0r\u00e1mci rozpo\u010dtu Pentagonu naprost\u00e9 \u201edrobn\u00e9\u201c a\u00a0jejich produkci lze velmi rychle masivn\u011b nav\u00fd\u0161it. I\u00a0v\u00fdvojov\u011b slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed 30\u00a0000\u00a0librov\u00fd gigant MOP (Massive Ordnance Penetrator) nen\u00ed technologicky nijak z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u011b komplikovan\u00fd\u00a0\u2013 dodac\u00ed lh\u016fty se b\u011b\u017en\u011b pohybuj\u00ed m\u00edrn\u011b p\u0159es rok. Ve sv\u00e9m principu jde toti\u017e o\u00a0masivn\u00ed n\u00e1lo\u017e obalenou tlust\u00fdm ocelov\u00fdm pl\u00e1\u0161t\u011bm a\u00a0vybavenou chytrou rozn\u011btkou se zpo\u017e\u010fova\u010dem.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Protibunkrov\u00e1 munice zkr\u00e1tka nejsou sofistikovan\u00e9 st\u0159ely s\u00a0plochou dr\u00e1hou letu jako Tomahawk; nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fdrobn\u00edch kapacit je ot\u00e1zkou m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, nikoli let. B\u011bhem prvn\u00ed s\u00e9rie omezen\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pozice v\u00a0roce 2025\u00a0byly tyto speci\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1soby zna\u010dn\u011b vy\u010derp\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">A kdy mysl\u00edte, \u017ee Trumpovu administrativu napadlo objednat u\u00a0zbroja\u0159\u016f dal\u0161\u00ed dod\u00e1vky? Kontrakty na nov\u00e9 2000\u00a0a\u00a05000\u00a0librov\u00e9 pumy byly podeps\u00e1ny 2.\u00a0\u00fanora 2026.\u00a0Objedn\u00e1vka na strategick\u00e9 MOPy pak ode\u0161la 10.\u00a0\u00fanora 2026.\u00a0Objednali je p\u0159esn\u011b osmn\u00e1ct dn\u00ed p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e odstartovaly prvn\u00ed bombard\u00e9ry.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Z t\u00e9to \u010dasov\u00e9 osy nelze nab\u00fdt jin\u00e9ho dojmu, ne\u017e \u017ee kdy\u017e Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed soud Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f sebral Trumpovi jeho obl\u00edbenou hra\u010dku v\u00a0podob\u011b celn\u00edch v\u00e1lek, za\u010dalo se narychlo vym\u00fd\u0161let z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 t\u00e9ma\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0volba padla na bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Evidentn\u011b nikdo v\u00a0Pentagonu ani v\u00a0samotn\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 administrativ\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm v\u016fbec nepo\u010d\u00edtal s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee se letos na Teher\u00e1n znovu polet\u00ed, a\u00a0proto se nikdo neobt\u011b\u017eoval doplnit strategicky kl\u00ed\u010dovou protibunkrovou munici.<\/p>\n<p>Nahrazen\u00ed Chamene\u00edho Chamene\u00edm<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Dost\u00e1v\u00e1me se k\u00a0z\u0159ejm\u011b nejhloup\u011bj\u0161\u00ed epizod\u011b cel\u00e9 leto\u0161n\u00ed bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed kampan\u011b: c\u00edlen\u00e9mu zabit\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce ajatoll\u00e1ha Al\u00edho Chamene\u00edho. \u00dato\u010dit na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed politick\u00e9 p\u0159edstavitele ciz\u00edho st\u00e1tu se ve standardn\u00edch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch ned\u011bl\u00e1 ze zcela prozaick\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu: z\u00a0vojensk\u00e9ho, politick\u00e9ho i\u00a0diplomatick\u00e9ho hlediska to v\u011bt\u0161inou p\u0159edstavuje \u010distokrevnou prohru. A\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu by se klidn\u011b mohl vyu\u010dovat na vojensk\u00fdch akademi\u00edch jako uk\u00e1zkov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad toho, pro\u010d je dobr\u00e9 se podobn\u00fdch krok\u016f vyvarovat.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Prvn\u00edm d\u016fvodem je, \u017ee eliminac\u00ed hlavy st\u00e1tu nijak nedemonstrujete re\u00e1lnou vojenskou p\u0159evahu. Francie by teoreticky mohla z\u00edtra ze sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 ponorky odp\u00e1lit st\u0159elu s\u00a0plochou dr\u00e1hou letu MdCN a\u00a0s chirurgickou p\u0159esnost\u00ed zas\u00e1hnout floridsk\u00e9 s\u00eddlo Mar-a-Lago zrovna ve chv\u00edli, kdy v\u00a0n\u011bm pob\u00fdv\u00e1 Donald Trump.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by v\u00a0reakci pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nedok\u00e1zaly ud\u011blat o\u00a0mnoho v\u00edc ne\u017e na Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e uvalit drakonick\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 sankce (t\u00edmto Emmanuela Macrona samoz\u0159ejm\u011b k\u00a0ni\u010demu nenab\u00e1d\u00e1m). Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 v\u0161ak je, \u017ee takov\u00fd \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd atent\u00e1t by nijak nedokazoval francouzskou vojenskou nadvl\u00e1du nad USA.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Z\u00e1rove\u0148 t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem absolutn\u011b neochrom\u00edte obranyschopnost napaden\u00e9 zem\u011b. Re\u00e1ln\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace toti\u017e \u0159\u00edd\u00ed gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b a\u00a0arm\u00e1da, zat\u00edmco politi\u010dt\u00ed v\u016fdci se sv\u00fdmi laick\u00fdmi n\u00e1pady situaci sp\u00ed\u0161 jen zhor\u0161uj\u00ed. Ne ka\u017ed\u00fd st\u00e1t m\u00e1 v\u00a0\u010dele \u010dty\u0159hv\u011bzdi\u010dkov\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la a\u00a0b\u00fdval\u00e9ho vrchn\u00edho velitele sil NATO.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Nechat se zab\u00edt, ud\u011blat ze sebe mu\u010dedn\u00edka a\u00a0nepl\u00e9st se arm\u00e1d\u011b pod nohy je tou nejefektivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u011bc\u00ed, kterou m\u016f\u017ee pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 hlava st\u00e1tu pro obranu sv\u00e9 vlasti ud\u011blat.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Vojensk\u00e9 velen\u00ed je ze sv\u00e9 podstaty mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b robustn\u00ed syst\u00e9m s\u00a0definovan\u00fdmi pravidly n\u00e1stupnictv\u00ed. Efektivn\u011b ochromit celou arm\u00e1dn\u00ed strukturu shora dol\u016f je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9. V\u00a0modern\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 praxi se uplat\u0148uje sp\u00ed\u0161e snaha o\u00a0kybernetick\u00e9 \u010di fyzick\u00e9 p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed komunika\u010dn\u00edch lini\u00ed mezi vrchn\u00edm velen\u00edm a\u00a0bojov\u00fdmi jednotkami. Tento prvek v\u0161ak v\u00a0americk\u00e9m pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed na za\u010d\u00e1tku kampan\u011b chyb\u011bl.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">T\u00edm v\u016fbec nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm politick\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem un\u00e1hlen\u00e9ho atent\u00e1tu je ov\u0161em fakt, \u017ee Washington r\u00e1zem p\u0159i\u0161el o\u00a0partnera, s\u00a0k\u00fdm by mohl usednout k\u00a0jednac\u00edmu stolu a\u00a0dos\u00e1hnout dohody. Zat\u00edmco arm\u00e1da m\u00e1 pro p\u0159\u00edpad ztr\u00e1ty l\u00eddra okam\u017eitou a\u00a0jasnou posloupnost, u\u00a0politick\u00e9ho veden\u00ed totalitn\u00edho st\u00e1tu u\u017e to tak nen\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Absolutn\u00ed vl\u00e1dce mus\u00ed nejprve upevnit svou vlastn\u00ed pozici v\u00a0r\u00e1mci dom\u00e1c\u00edch mocensk\u00fdch struktur, co\u017e mu v\u00a0podstat\u011b znemo\u017e\u0148uje projevovat jakoukoli slabost \u010di kompromis navenek. Tuto tvrdou politickou realitu te\u010f B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 na vlastn\u00ed k\u016f\u017ei, kdy\u017e mu \u00cdr\u00e1n nechce p\u0159istoupit ani na p\u016fvodn\u00ed Obamovu dohodu, a\u00a0to v\u00fdm\u011bnou za zru\u0161en\u00ed v\u0161ech sankc\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Na schopnostech \u00cdr\u00e1nu se nic z\u00e1sadn\u00edho nezm\u011bnilo<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">T\u00edm se dost\u00e1v\u00e1me k\u00a0celkov\u00e9mu vyhodnocen\u00ed konfliktu, kter\u00e9 p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed pon\u011bkud mraziv\u00e9 zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed: na re\u00e1ln\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch schopnostech Teher\u00e1nu se nezm\u011bnilo v\u00a0podstat\u011b nic. Donald Trump sice do m\u00e9di\u00ed sebev\u011bdom\u011b prohla\u0161uje, \u017ee Washington nyn\u00ed dr\u017e\u00ed v\u00a0rukou v\u0161echny trumfy, ov\u0161em americk\u00e9 karty se ve skute\u010dnosti sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00fdrazn\u011b zhor\u0161ily.<\/p>\n<p>Jadern\u00fd program byl op\u011bt zpomalen. To je jedin\u00fdm \u00fasp\u011bchem kampan\u011b. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b toho u\u017e dos\u00e1hlo bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed v roce 2025. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nav\u00edc po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed tla\u010dily Teher\u00e1n k diplomatick\u00fdm \u00fastupk\u016fm pod hrozbou zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00edho vojensk\u00e9ho z\u00e1sahu. Nyn\u00ed ov\u0161em \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim v praxi zjistil, \u017ee dok\u00e1\u017ee americk\u00e9 n\u00e1lety p\u0159e\u010dkat.Z\u00e1soby balistick\u00fdch raket p\u0159e\u010dkaly americk\u00e9 ta\u017een\u00ed. Sedmdes\u00e1t procent je mno\u017estv\u00fd, kter\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojens\u0161t\u00ed analytici nep\u0159edpov\u00eddali ani v t\u011bch nej\u010dern\u011bj\u0161\u00edch no\u010dn\u00edch m\u016fr\u00e1ch. A\u010dkoli jsou n\u00e1sledky \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f z \u010dist\u011b vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska minim\u00e1ln\u00ed a ekonomicky relativn\u011b mal\u00e9, jejich politick\u00fd dopad je obrovsk\u00fd. Schopnost Teher\u00e1nu vyd\u00edrat sv\u00e9 sousedy v regionu tak z\u016fstala prakticky stejn\u00e1.\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 s\u00edly st\u00e1le kontroluj\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv. Minim\u00e1ln\u011b provoz civiln\u00edch lod\u00ed v n\u011bm. V praxi se nav\u00edc potvrdilo, \u017ee bez asistence evropsk\u00fdch spojenc\u016f nem\u00e1 americk\u00e9 hlubokomo\u0159sk\u00e9 lo\u010fstvo dostatek specifick\u00fdch kapacit (nap\u0159\u00edklad minolovn\u00fdch sil) na to, aby dok\u00e1zalo tuto \u00fa\u017einu vlastn\u00edmi silami bezpe\u010dn\u011b otev\u0159\u00edt.Protivzdu\u0161nou obranu se poda\u0159ilo potla\u010dit jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b. Pentagon st\u00e1le nad \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vnitrozem\u00ed nem\u016f\u017ee vyslat t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 bombard\u00e9ry k prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed plnohodnotn\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 prim\u00e1rn\u011b ruskou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu, tedy st\u00edhac\u00ed letouny se syst\u00e9my elektronick\u00e9ho boje tam mohli voln\u011b l\u00e9tat i p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou.Hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed krv\u00e1c\u00ed. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b v hlubok\u00e9 krizi se nach\u00e1zelo ji\u017e p\u0159ed vypuknut\u00edm konfliktu. Teher\u00e1n nav\u00edc nyn\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee ve\u0161ker\u00e9 sv\u00e9 dlouhodob\u00e9 mana\u017eersk\u00e9 ne\u00fasp\u011bchy, korupci a b\u00eddu obyvatelstva elegantn\u011b sv\u00e9st na USA.Dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatok nic nov\u00e9ho nep\u0159inese<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Pokud se Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 rozhodnou k\u00a0op\u011btovn\u00e9mu \u00faderu, tvrd\u011b naraz\u00ed na nep\u0159\u00edjemnou realitu: ve\u0161ker\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 a\u00a0logistick\u00e9 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky, kv\u016fli kter\u00fdm prvn\u00ed vlna nedos\u00e1hla sv\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, toti\u017e nad\u00e1le p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Jadern\u00fd program bude op\u011bt zpomalen. Teher\u00e1n jadernou zbra\u0148 nevyvine, dokud budou na jeho v\u00fdzkumn\u00e1 centra padat americk\u00e9 bomby \u2013, av\u0161ak bez pozemn\u00ed invaze z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 neschopnost trvale zlikvidovat hlubok\u00e9 podzemn\u00ed komplexy ne\u0159e\u0161iteln\u00e1.Z\u00e1soby balistick\u00fdch raket p\u0159e\u010dkaj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed ta\u017een\u00ed. P\u0159\u00ed\u010diny d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edho americk\u00e9ho selh\u00e1n\u00ed st\u00e1le plat\u00ed. Evropa nad\u00e1le disponuje \u010dty\u0159mi p\u011btinami d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch st\u00edhac\u00edch kapacit NATO a arabsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se z\u0159ejm\u011b do konfliktu plnohodnotn\u011b zapojit nehodlaj\u00ed. Adekv\u00e1tn\u00ed po\u010dty t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 protibunkrov\u00e9 munice se nav\u00edc od \u00fanora pochopiteln\u011b vyrobit nestihly.\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 s\u00edly st\u00e1le budou kontrolovat Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv. Americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo m\u00e1 st\u00e1le m\u00e9n\u011b minolovek ne\u017e Belgie, postr\u00e1d\u00e1 voln\u00e1 doprovodn\u00e1 plavidla a zcela mu chyb\u00ed kapacity pro operace v m\u011blk\u00fdch pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch oblastech. T\u011bch n\u011bkolik m\u00e1lo francouzsk\u00fdch lod\u00ed, kter\u00e9 v oblasti operuj\u00ed, se k americk\u00e9mu \u00fatoku zjevn\u011b p\u0159ipojit nepl\u00e1nuje.Protivzdu\u0161nou obranu se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nepoda\u0159\u00ed potla\u010dit. Pokud tamn\u00ed velen\u00ed neud\u011bl\u00e1 fat\u00e1ln\u00ed chybu, sv\u00e9 mobiln\u00ed protiraketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my jednodu\u0161e skryje a uchr\u00e1n\u00ed je tak p\u0159ed zni\u010den\u00edm. Teher\u00e1n u\u017e beztak dob\u0159e v\u00ed, \u017ee proti modern\u00edm z\u00e1padn\u00edm st\u00edha\u010dk\u00e1m je tato technika prakticky bezmocn\u00e1, je tedy lep\u0161\u00ed si je \u0161et\u0159it na bombard\u00e9ry.Hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed bude krv\u00e1cet. Mo\u017en\u00e1 i opravdu hodn\u011b. Obyvatelstvo ov\u0161em v tamn\u00edm klimatu bez dod\u00e1vek elekt\u0159iny jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed umrzne. Historick\u00e9 precedenty nav\u00edc jasn\u011b ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edpady, kdy by se st\u00e1t vzdal \u010dist\u011b jen na z\u00e1klad\u011b konven\u010dn\u00edho bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, prakticky neexistuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cy\">Z\u00e1sadn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee bez dramatick\u00e9 politick\u00e9 zm\u011bny \u010di zapojen\u00ed spojenc\u016f budou dal\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 \u00fadery pouh\u00fdm opakov\u00e1n\u00edm ji\u017e vid\u011bn\u00e9ho. S\u00a0jedn\u00edm podstatn\u00fdm rozd\u00edlem: v\u0161echny \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 Pot\u011bmkinovy vesnice u\u017e lehly popelem. Pro Donalda Trumpa tak nezbyly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 fotogenick\u00e9 c\u00edle, jimi\u017e by se mohl chlubit na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ten hlavn\u00ed d\u016fvod, pro\u010d se mu do dal\u0161\u00edho kola t\u00e9to v\u00e1lky vlastn\u011b v\u016fbec nechce.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Pozn\u00e1mka: Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek byl p\u016fvodn\u011b publikov\u00e1n v\u00a0\u00fater\u00fd, vz\u00e1p\u011bt\u00ed v\u0161ak byl sta\u017een v\u00a0reakci na prudk\u00fd v\u00fdvoj situace. Pokud jste&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":92934,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[11],"tags":[940,4495,212,6387,808,638,6133,2713,1016,6131,649,54,113,645,6716,3564,6717,2231,53,52,437],"class_list":["post-92933","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-armada","tag-blizky-vychod","tag-donald-trump","tag-hormuzsky-pruliv","tag-iran","tag-izrael","tag-izraelsko-iransky-konflikt","tag-letectvo","tag-nazor","tag-persky-zaliv","tag-spolecnost","tag-svet","tag-usa","tag-valka","tag-valka-v-izraeli","tag-vojenska-technika","tag-vojensti-analytici","tag-vojenstvi","tag-world","tag-world-news","tag-zajimavosti"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116613293731668442","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92933","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92933"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92933\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92934"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92933"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92933"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92933"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}