Exil, pokra\u010duje Gamarra, m\u00e1 te\u010f za to, \u017ee se bude opakovat \u201evenezuelsk\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u201c, tedy \u017ee si americk\u00e9 komando dojde pro Ra\u00fala tak, jako v\u00a0lednu pro venezuelsk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce Nicol\u00e1se Madura. I\u00a0jeho p\u0159itom americk\u00e1 justice obvinila ze zlo\u010din\u016f.<\/p>\n \u0158ada expert\u016f ale upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee venezuelsk\u00fd model se na Kub\u011b bude uplat\u0148ovat jen velmi t\u011b\u017eko, pokud v\u016fbec. Poukazuj\u00ed vesm\u011bs na t\u0159i d\u016fvody, v\u00a0nich\u017e se ob\u011b zem\u011b v\u00a0t\u00e9to souvislosti z\u00e1sadn\u011b li\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n Byznys<\/p>\n N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed odborn\u00edci se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee Donald Trump nem\u00e1 na Kubu takov\u00fd z\u00e1lusk, proto\u017ee ostrov nen\u00ed bohat\u00fd na p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed zdroje jako Venezuela. Ta opl\u00fdv\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi z\u00e1sobami ropy na sv\u011bt\u011b, vyskytuj\u00ed se tam zlat\u00e9 a\u00a0diamantov\u00e9 doly, produkuje kakao a\u00a0k\u00e1vu.<\/p>\n Kuba naproti tomu byla dlouh\u00e1 l\u00e9ta z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na v\u00fdvozu sv\u00e9ho cukru. Tento pr\u016fmysl u\u017e ale d\u00e1vno zcela zkolaboval a\u00a0cukr se dnes mus\u00ed na ostrov dokonce dov\u00e1\u017eet. O\u00a0moc lep\u0161\u00ed to nen\u00ed s\u00a0tab\u00e1kov\u00fdm pr\u016fmyslem. Na Kub\u011b se sice nach\u00e1zej\u00ed niklov\u00e9 doly, ani ty ale nesk\u00fdtaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 z\u00e1vratn\u00e9 bohatstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n \u201eKuba nesed\u00ed na obrovsk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob\u00e1ch ropy a\u00a0nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nevyu\u017eit\u00e9 nerostn\u00e9 bohatstv\u00ed. Zm\u011bna vl\u00e1dy nep\u0159inese Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd velk\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd zisk,\u201c m\u00edn\u00ed ve sv\u00e9m textu<\/a> Christopher Sabatini, kter\u00fd vede jihoamerickou sekci v\u00a0britsk\u00e9 expertn\u00ed skupin\u011b Chatham House.<\/p>\n Eduardo Gamarra s\u00a0t\u00edmto n\u00e1zorem do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry souhlas\u00ed, vid\u00ed ale na Kub\u011b jeden lukrativn\u00ed byznys. \u201eTrump chce z\u00edskat p\u0159\u00edstup k\u00a0firm\u011b GAESA, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 m\u00edt na sv\u00fdch \u00fa\u010dtech a\u017e 18\u00a0miliard dolar\u016f,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 profesor z\u00a0Miami s\u00a0nar\u00e1\u017ekou na spole\u010dnost ve vlastnictv\u00ed kub\u00e1nsk\u00fdch gener\u00e1l\u016f. <\/p>\n Pod GAESA spad\u00e1 cel\u00fd kub\u00e1nsk\u00fd cestovn\u00ed ruch, stejn\u011b jako sm\u011bnn\u00fd a\u00a0zahrani\u010dn\u00ed obchod, nebo t\u0159eba internetov\u00e9 slu\u017eby a\u00a0s\u00ed\u0165 supermarket\u016f.<\/p>\n Donald Trump je ve sv\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu zkusit i\u00a0na Kub\u011b venezuelsk\u00fd model daleko v\u00edce omezen\u00fd. Svazuj\u00ed ho z\u00e1kony. USA u\u017e na po\u010d\u00e1tku 60.\u00a0let minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed uvalily na Kubu hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 embargo, kter\u00e9 v\u00a0roce 1996\u00a0n\u011bkolik dodatk\u016f (Z\u00e1kon o\u00a0kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 svobod\u011b a\u00a0demokratick\u00e9 solidarit\u011b) je\u0161t\u011b zp\u0159\u00edsnilo.<\/p>\n Aby tak mohl Trump za\u010d\u00edt Kub\u011b nab\u00edzet, \u010di p\u0159\u00edmo zah\u00e1jit obchodn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci stylem, jak\u00fdm to d\u011bl\u00e1 ve Venezuele, muselo by toto embargo p\u0159estat platit. Zru\u0161it ho p\u0159itom m\u016f\u017ee pouze americk\u00fd Kongres, kde \u201e\u00fa\u0159aduje\u201c siln\u00e1 kub\u00e1nsk\u00e1 lobby. Ta dek\u00e1dy odm\u00edt\u00e1 Castr\u016fv re\u017eim finan\u010dn\u011b podporovat. <\/p>\n Ostatn\u011b ve zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9m z\u00e1kon\u011b o\u00a0kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 svobod\u011b doslova stoj\u00ed, \u017ee by nap\u0159\u00edklad v\u0161ichni \u010dlenov\u00e9 Castrovy rodiny museli opustit vl\u00e1dn\u00ed funkce. A\u00a0zat\u00edm se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Castr\u016fv klan je st\u00e1le pevnou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed mocensk\u00fdch struktur. <\/p>\n Fidel je sice u\u017e deset let po smrti a\u00a0jeho t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 95let\u00fd bratr Ra\u00fal (by\u0165 se m\u00e1 pod\u00edlet na v\u0161ech d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch rozhodnut\u00edch) v\u00a0d\u016fchodu. Na vrcholu moci je ale Ra\u00fal\u016fv syn, gener\u00e1l Alejandro Esp\u00edn Castro, a\u00a0hlavn\u011b potom jeho vnuk Ra\u00fal Guillermo Rodr\u00edguez Castro, zvan\u00fd \u201eel cangrejo\u201c (krab). M\u00edstop\u0159edsedou vl\u00e1dy je pak Oscar P\u00e9rez-Oliva Fraga, prasynovec bratr\u016f Castrov\u00fdch.<\/p>\n \u201eMysl\u00edm, \u017ee si Trump podobn\u011b jako ve Venezuele bude d\u011blat, co chce, a\u00a0na Kongres se ohl\u00ed\u017eet nebude. A\u00a0m\u00e1m pocit, \u017ee n\u011bco ur\u010dit\u011b brzy ud\u011bl\u00e1,\u201c \u0159ekla Seznam Zpr\u00e1v\u00e1m Mar\u00eda C. Werlau, kter\u00e1 v\u00a0Miami vede lidskopr\u00e1vn\u00ed organizaci Cuba Archive.<\/p>\n Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 embargo a\u00a0jeho odstran\u011bn\u00ed<\/p>\n Z\u00e1kon O\u00a0Svobod\u011b z\u00a0roku 1996, kter\u00fd zp\u0159\u00edsnil u\u017e tak tvrd\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 embargo uvalen\u00e9 na Kubu prezidentem Dwightem Eisenhowerem a\u00a0n\u00e1sledn\u011b pos\u00edlen\u00e9 prezidentem Johnem Fitzgeraldem Kennedym, jasn\u011b stanovuje, za jak\u00fdch podm\u00ednek by mohlo embargo p\u0159estat platit. Zde jsou hlavn\u00ed po\u017eadavky, je\u017e by k\u00a0takov\u00e9mu kroku mohly v\u00e9st.<\/p>\n odchod v\u0161ech Castr\u016f z vl\u00e1dn\u00edch a arm\u00e1dn\u00edch funkc\u00edpropu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed v\u0161ech politick\u00fdch v\u011bz\u0148\u016fgarance svobody slova a shroma\u017e\u010fov\u00e1n\u00edustanoven\u00ed politick\u00fdch stranuspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed f\u00e9rov\u00fdch a svobodn\u00fdch volebBezpe\u010dnost<\/p>\n Christopher Sabatini ve sv\u00fdch progn\u00f3z\u00e1ch o\u00a0v\u00fdvoji na Kub\u011b zm\u00ednil i\u00a0konverzaci, kterou p\u0159ed \u010dasem vedl s\u00a0b\u00fdval\u00fdm \u0161\u00e9fem Ji\u017en\u00edho velitelstv\u00ed USA. Ten mu pov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee se ob\u00e1v\u00e1 mo\u017en\u00e9ho lidov\u00e9ho povst\u00e1n\u00ed na ostrov\u011b, kter\u00e9 by \u201epodn\u00edtilo dobrodru\u017en\u00e9 Kub\u00e1nce \u017eij\u00edc\u00ed v\u00a0USA k\u00a0tomu, aby se vydali na Kubu a\u00a0k protestuj\u00edc\u00edm se p\u0159idali\u201c.<\/p>\n P\u0159\u00edtomnost \u010dlen\u016f kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho exilu v\u00a0ulic\u00edch Havany by ale podle Sabatiniho mohla vyvolat n\u00e1sil\u00ed ze strany bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch sil. Exil je Havanou po desetilet\u00ed popisov\u00e1n jako teroristick\u00fd.<\/p>\n \u201ePokud by to (n\u00e1siln\u00e9 potla\u010den\u00ed protest\u016f) m\u011blo dopad na americk\u00e9 ob\u010dany na Kub\u011b, vzrostl by tlak na americk\u00e9 s\u00edly, aby na ostrov\u011b zas\u00e1hly a\u00a0br\u00e1nily sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany. To by mohlo vyvolat \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed konflikt,\u201c uzav\u00edr\u00e1 svou \u00favahu Sabatini.<\/p>\n Ot\u00e1zkou z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1, jak je na tom kub\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da. Mar\u00eda C. Werlau je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dena, \u017ee je v \u201etristn\u00edm stavu\u201c pln\u00e1 hladov\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed zastaral\u00e9 zbran\u011b a\u00a0proch\u00e1zej\u00ed \u0161patn\u00fdm v\u00fdcvikem.<\/p>\n \u201eRe\u017eim m\u00e1 ale po\u0159\u00e1d k\u00a0dispozici tis\u00edce elitn\u00edch voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed by z\u0159ejm\u011b do boje \u0161li. A\u00a0pak je tu samoz\u0159ejm\u011b obrovsk\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 tajn\u00fdch agent\u016f. Kuba jich m\u00e1 v\u00edce ne\u017e kdysi komunistick\u00e1 NDR,\u201c podotkla Werlau s\u00a0odkazem na neblaze proslulou rozv\u011bdku Stasi.<\/p>\n Sv\u016fj n\u00e1zor na obranyschopnost kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 i\u00a0Eduardo Gamarra: \u201eProre\u017eimn\u00ed Kub\u00e1nci by z\u0159ejm\u011b br\u00e1nili Ra\u00fala Castra. Je pro n\u011b jedn\u00edm ze symbol\u016f revoluce. \u00datok na n\u011bj by brali jako \u00fatok na svou existenci.\u201c<\/p>\n Kuba se t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 70\u00a0let od revoluce ocitla pod enormn\u00edm tlakem. Po americk\u00e9 operaci ve Venezuele<\/a> ze za\u010d\u00e1tku roku ztratila nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho spojence a\u00a0za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 neb\u00fdvalou krizi. Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump<\/a> \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee kub\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim je bl\u00edzko zhroucen\u00ed. Report\u00e9r Seznam Zpr\u00e1v Eduard Freisler<\/a> na ostrov vyrazil, aby popsal, jak se v\u00a0takov\u00e9 situaci \u017eije b\u011b\u017en\u00fdm Kub\u00e1nc\u016fm.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Profesor Eduardo Gamarra si p\u0159edstavuje tajnou m\u00edstnost kdesi v\u00a0B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b, kde jednaj\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i lid\u00e9: prezident Donald Trump, \u0161\u00e9f…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":93950,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[11],"tags":[212,1810,1202,3423,54,53,52],"class_list":["post-93949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-donald-trump","tag-invaze","tag-kuba","tag-raul-castro","tag-svet","tag-world","tag-world-news"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116618200934506703","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93949"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93949\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93950"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1779402733_171_raul-castro.jpeg\")
<\/a><\/p>\n![](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1779296529_947_raul-castro.jpeg\")
<\/a>Legislativa<\/p>\n![](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/nimitz-letadlova-lod.jpeg\")
<\/a><\/p>\n