{"id":96707,"date":"2026-05-25T13:33:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-25T13:33:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/96707\/"},"modified":"2026-05-25T13:33:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-25T13:33:10","slug":"bitcoin-klesa-na-nizsi-ceny-podle-planu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/96707\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin kles\u00e1 na ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ceny podle pl\u00e1nu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin se bez jak\u00fdkoliv pochybnost\u00ed vr\u00e1til zp\u00e1tky do n\u00e1mi sledovan\u00e9 medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky, \u010d\u00edm\u017e trh potvrdil, \u017ee prodejci jsou po\u0159\u00e1d p\u00e1ni cel\u00e9 situace. Ve skute\u010dnosti cena BTC kles\u00e1 na ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ceny, co\u017e je p\u0159ece podle pl\u00e1nu. Ostatn\u011b, v\u0161ichni tak n\u011bjak po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me se sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm ceny na t\u011bch tolik o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch 52 000 USD. <\/p>\n

Technicky bylo te\u010f hrozn\u011b kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9, \u017ee m\u00e1me zase dv\u011b uzav\u0159en\u00e9 t\u00fddenn\u00ed sv\u00edce uvnit\u0159 medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky. Z toho mimochodem plyne jedno velk\u00e9 ponau\u010den\u00ed, kter\u00e9 \u010dasto \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m \u2013 pr\u016flom z jak\u00e9hokoliv cenov\u00e9ho patternu mus\u00ed b\u00fdt s dostate\u010dnou rezervou. <\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

\t\tBitcoin si za minul\u00fd t\u00fdden p\u0159ipsal malou cenovou ztr\u00e1tu. Zdroj: Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm<\/a><\/p>\n

\u017de se cena BTC vr\u00e1tila zp\u00e1tky m\u011b proto nep\u0159ekvapilo. Jeliko\u017e u toho ned\u00e1vn\u00e9ho pr\u016flomu jak\u00e1koliv cenov\u00e1 rezerva absentovala. Proto v investov\u00e1n\u00ed a b\u011b\u017en\u00e9m \u017eivot\u011b vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00edm rezervy. P\u0159izn\u00e1m se, \u017ee v tomto ohledu mus\u00edm ob\u010das pro ostatn\u00ed lidi vypadat jako bl\u00e1zen, jak db\u00e1m na r\u016fzn\u00e9 rezervy. A ty jejich v\u00fdrazy, kdy\u017e se jim koncept sna\u017e\u00edm vysv\u011btlit. Jako kdybych jim vysv\u011btloval raketovou v\u011bdu.<\/p>\n

V\u0161ichni \u010dek\u00e1me, \u017ee cenov\u00e9 dno bitcoinu bude na 50 000 USD a n\u00ed\u017ee<\/p>\n

A\u0165 se u bitcoinu pod\u00edv\u00e1te prakticky kamkoliv, v\u011bt\u0161ina trhu dnes po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s t\u00edm, \u017ee cenov\u00e9 dno vznikne n\u011bkde v rozmez\u00ed 50 000 a\u017e 40 000 USD. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato oblast se v grafech objevuje velmi \u010dasto a mnoho investor\u016f ji bere jako hlavn\u00ed c\u00edlovou z\u00f3nu sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho poklesu.<\/p>\n

Men\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9m vid\u00edm v tom, \u017ee si tuto oblast kresl\u00ed do graf\u016f u\u017e n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f skoro ka\u017ed\u00fd. Jakmile se na trhu vytvo\u0159\u00ed a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 siln\u00fd konsenzus, b\u00fdv\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u011b dobr\u00e9 zbyst\u0159it. Trh <\/a>toti\u017e velmi \u010dasto nedoru\u010d\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b to, na co \u010dek\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f. Na druhou stranu nelze vylou\u010dit ani sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, \u017ee zde zafunguje ur\u010dit\u00e9 sebenapl\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed se proroctv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

P\u0159ijde v\u00e1m popsan\u00e9 demagogick\u00e9? Bohu\u017eel snadn\u00e1 odpov\u011b\u010f na podobn\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky neexistuje. V\u00edme vskutku hrozn\u011b m\u00e1lo o fungov\u00e1n\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edch trh\u016f. Tud\u00ed\u017e berte m\u00e1 slova jako oby\u010dejn\u00e9 h\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je ov\u0161em zalo\u017een\u00e9 na relevantn\u00edch faktorech.<\/p>\n

Ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b bych od trhu \u010dekal jistou formu p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed. M\u016f\u017ee j\u00edt t\u0159eba o prudk\u00fd r\u016fst nad 90 000 USD, kter\u00fd by zpochybnil medv\u011bd\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 a donutil \u010d\u00e1st trhu p\u0159ehodnotit o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed. Stejn\u011b tak ale m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt opa\u010dn\u00fd extr\u00e9m, kdy cena velmi rychle spadne pod 40 000 USD a vyma\u017ee p\u0159edstavy v\u0161ech, kte\u0159\u00ed \u010dekaj\u00ed pohodln\u00fd n\u00e1kup v p\u0159edem zakreslen\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b.<\/p>\n

\"N\u00e1kupn\u00ed<\/p>\n

\t\tN\u00e1kupn\u00ed a prodejn\u00ed oblasti na bitcoinu<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b podobn\u00e9 pohyby jsou pro bitcoin typick\u00e9. Trh m\u00e1 tendenci nejd\u0159\u00edv vytvo\u0159it zd\u00e1nliv\u011b jasn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, p\u0159it\u00e1hnout k n\u011bmu dav a n\u00e1sledn\u011b ud\u011blat n\u011bco, co v\u011bt\u0161inu \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f zasko\u010d\u00ed. Proto bych sou\u010dasn\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b nebral jako jistotu, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e jako takov\u00fd pracovn\u00ed blueprint. \u010cesky asi n\u00e1\u010drt toho, co se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

V minul\u00fdch cyklech bitcoin podobn\u00e9 v\u011bci d\u011blal opakovan\u011b. Dosavadn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj zat\u00edm p\u016fsob\u00ed a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 u\u010debnicov\u011b, co\u017e je samo o sob\u011b trochu zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed. Bylo by podez\u0159ele jednoduch\u00e9, kdyby cel\u00fd medv\u011bd\u00ed trh<\/a> prob\u00edhal p\u0159esn\u011b podle toho, jak jej dnes v\u011bt\u0161ina trhu o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1. J\u00e1 si tady maluji cel\u00e9 m\u011bs\u00edce cenov\u00fd c\u00edl na 52 000 USD a trh jej fakt vypln\u00ed? Takov\u00e9 \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed m\u00edt p\u0159ece nem\u016f\u017eu. <\/p>\n

Jak n\u00e1m klouzav\u00e9 pr\u016fm\u011bry pom\u00e1haj\u00ed s cenou BTC<\/p>\n

Bitcoin m\u011bl v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch cyklech tendenci v\u00fdrazn\u011b pod st\u0159elit 50t\u00fddenn\u00ed klouzav\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br<\/a>. Teprve potom se postupn\u011b za\u010dal formovat nov\u00fd b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trend. V aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed situaci k n\u011b\u010demu podobn\u00e9mu zat\u00edm \u00fapln\u011b nedo\u0161lo.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b to je jeden z dal\u0161\u00edch faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 zat\u00edm nepotvrzuj\u00ed, \u017ee by m\u011bla p\u0159ij\u00edt jasn\u00e1 zm\u011bna trendu. Trh sice m\u016f\u017ee kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b p\u016fsobit stabiln\u011bji, ale z historick\u00e9ho pohledu st\u00e1le chyb\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed v\u016f\u010di dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00edm pr\u016fm\u011br\u016fm.<\/p>\n

\"Klouzav\u00e9<\/p>\n

\t\tKlouzav\u00e9 pr\u016fm\u011bry na jednotliv\u00fdch cyklech bitcoinu. Zdroj: Kamil Po\u0161vic<\/a><\/p>\n

Klouzav\u00e9 pr\u016fm\u011bry jsou sice velmi jednoduch\u00e1 pom\u016fcka. A\u017e vylo\u017een\u011b archaick\u00e1 a proto je \u010dasto podce\u0148ovan\u00e1. Ale v praxi dok\u00e1\u017eou investora \u010dasto nasm\u011brovat spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm sm\u011brem. Trh m\u00e1 tendenci tyto \u00farovn\u011b respektovat, a proto mohou fungovat jako dynamick\u00e9 supporty a rezistence. Nejde tedy o \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00fd n\u00e1stroj, ale o u\u017eite\u010dn\u00fd orienta\u010dn\u00ed bod.<\/p>\n

D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je sledovat hlavn\u011b vzd\u00e1lenost ceny od samotn\u00e9ho klouzav\u00e9ho pr\u016fm\u011bru. Kdy\u017e je trh extr\u00e9mn\u011b p\u0159eprodan\u00fd, cena bitcoinu b\u00fdv\u00e1 od tohoto pr\u016fm\u011bru v\u00fdrazn\u011b vzd\u00e1len\u00e1. Investor t\u00edm z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u00e9 potvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee se trh m\u016f\u017ee bl\u00ed\u017eit k d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9mu obratu.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je ale pot\u0159eba po\u010d\u00edtat s t\u00edm, \u017ee klouzav\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br je tzv. zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00fd ukazatel. Nereaguje dop\u0159edu, ale a\u017e na to, co se u\u017e v cen\u011b historicky odehr\u00e1lo. Jako potvrzen\u00ed nov\u00e9ho b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho trendu proto funguje sp\u00ed\u0161e ve chv\u00edli, kdy u\u017e je zm\u011bna sm\u011bru trhu v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f pom\u011brn\u011b jasn\u00e1. I tak jako potvrzen\u00ed dobr\u00fd. <\/p>\n

Investujte do bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF na platform\u011b XTB<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin se bez jak\u00fdkoliv pochybnost\u00ed vr\u00e1til zp\u00e1tky do n\u00e1mi sledovan\u00e9 medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky, \u010d\u00edm\u017e trh potvrdil, \u017ee prodejci jsou…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":96708,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[183,3244,15927,67,68,16268,778,15929],"class_list":["post-96707","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-byznys","tag-aktuality","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-business","tag-byznys","tag-kryptomena","tag-kryptomeny","tag-technicka-analyza"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116635475227725553","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96707","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96707"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96707\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96708"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96707"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96707"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96707"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}