{"id":99060,"date":"2026-05-27T16:34:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T16:34:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/99060\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T16:34:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T16:34:09","slug":"evropa-jako-pomateny-fotbalovy-tym","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/99060\/","title":{"rendered":"Evropa jako pomaten\u00fd fotbalov\u00fd t\u00fdm"},"content":{"rendered":"

Je o\u00a0tom p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den Wolfgang M\u00fcnchau ve sv\u00e9m sloupku<\/a> pro server Unherd.com.<\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed div\u00e1ci rad\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010d\u016fm a\u00a0tren\u00e9r\u016fm opravdu \u0161patn\u011b. Chv\u00e1l\u00ed EU t\u00fdm, \u017ee se tvrd\u011b postavil Trumpov\u00fdm cl\u016fm. The Economist vloni za\u010d\u00e1tkem roku pod hlavi\u010dkou \u201eObchodn\u00ed bojov\u00fd klub\u201c p\u0159i\u0161el s\u00a0titulkem \u201eZd\u00e1 se, \u017ee odpov\u011b\u010f EU na Trumpovy tarify funguje\u201c.<\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti se EU nakonec docela chyt\u0159e rozhodla nebojovat. Ursula von der Leyenov\u00e1 se p\u0159ed rokem p\u0159ed Trumpem poni\u017euj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem sklonila pot\u00e9, co vykonala pou\u0165 na Trumpovo golfov\u00e9 h\u0159i\u0161t\u011b v\u00a0Turnberry ve Skotsku.<\/p>\n

O \u0161est m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f pozd\u011bji Evropsk\u00fd parlament chv\u00edli zva\u017eoval protrumpovskou vzpouru, ale t\u011bsn\u011b nad \u00fatesem se st\u00e1hl. V\u00a0lednu Trump hrozil invaz\u00ed do Gr\u00f3nska, a\u00a0kdy\u017e americk\u00fd Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed soud prohl\u00e1sil Trumpova cla za neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed, Brusel zru\u0161il ratifikaci obchodn\u00ed dohody USA\u2013EU. Pot\u00e9, co Trump pohrozil cly na n\u011bmeck\u00e1 auta, se EU\u00a0\u2013 v\u010detn\u011b europoslanc\u016f\u00a0\u2013 zase st\u00e1hla. Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden dohodu s\u00a0USA Evropsk\u00fd parlament odhlasoval.<\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed se EU sna\u017e\u00ed o\u00a0n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho s\u00a0\u010c\u00ednou a\u00a0dost\u00e1v\u00e1 podobn\u011b \u0161patn\u00e9 rady. Evropan\u016fm se nel\u00edb\u00ed, jakou hru s\u00a0nimi \u010c\u00edna hraje. Sabine Weyandov\u00e1, \u0159editelka EU pro obchod, p\u0159irovn\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee Peking polo\u017eil \u201ezap\u00e1chaj\u00edc\u00ed rybu na jednac\u00ed st\u016fl\u201c.<\/p>\n

EU m\u00e1 v\u011bcn\u011b pravdu. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 politika je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm zdrojem glob\u00e1ln\u00edch ekonomick\u00fdch nerovnov\u00e1h na sv\u011bt\u011b. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 exporty bobtnaj\u00ed a\u00a0\u010c\u00edna potla\u010duje dom\u00e1c\u00ed popt\u00e1vku. Lze to dolo\u017eit na evropsko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch obchodn\u00edch datech b\u011bhem uplynul\u00fdch let. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00fd export do EU roste a\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd dovoz z\u00a0EU kles\u00e1. A\u00a0letos se to je\u0161t\u011b prudce zhor\u0161uje. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00fd obchodn\u00ed p\u0159ebytek s\u00a0EU vzrostl od ledna do dubna ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se stejn\u00fdm obdob\u00edm roku 2025\u00a0o\u00a026\u00a0procent. Americk\u00e1 cla zjevn\u011b odklonila \u010d\u00e1st \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed z\u00a0USA do Evropy.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 m\u011bna neplave voln\u011b jako euro nebo dolar. Je fixov\u00e1na na dolar, a\u00a0kdy\u017e dolar oslab\u00ed v\u016f\u010di euru, oslab\u00ed i\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd j\u00fcan. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 produkty jsou levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve a\u00a0evropsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b je dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve.<\/p>\n

Kaja Kallasov\u00e1, vrchn\u00ed diplomatka EU, p\u0159irovn\u00e1v\u00e1 situaci k\u00a0rakovin\u011b. V\u00a0t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b m\u00e1te dv\u011b mo\u017enosti: zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed d\u00e1vky morfinu, nebo chemoterapii.<\/p>\n

Evropan\u00e9 nejsou svat\u00ed, v\u00a0z\u00e1sad\u011b jde o\u00a0bitvu dvou merkantilist\u016f. B\u011bhem krize euroz\u00f3ny p\u0159ed plus minus sedmn\u00e1cti\u00a0lety Evropa devalvovala m\u011bnu a\u00a0vytv\u00e1\u0159ela velk\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed p\u0159ebytky se zbytkem sv\u011bta.<\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed to vypad\u00e1, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lku s\u00a0EU, stejn\u011b jako Trump vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lku s\u00a0EU. EU je na obou z\u00a0nich z\u00e1visl\u00e1.\u00a0Na USA v\u00a0obranyschopnosti a\u00a0na \u010c\u00edn\u011b v\u00a0d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch dovozech. EU si nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit odvety. Ne \u017ee by na to nem\u011bla instrumenty. EU m\u00e1 mo\u017enosti, jak zas\u00e1hnout, a\u00a0nepot\u0159ebuje na to \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 schvalov\u00e1n\u00ed ani byrokracii. Jde o\u00a0probl\u00e9m ekonomick\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti.<\/p>\n

Mohli jsme to sledovat minul\u00fd t\u00fdden, kdy EU ud\u011blala prav\u00fd opak toho, co cht\u011bli roztlesk\u00e1va\u010di. M\u00edsto nov\u00fdch cel na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 v\u00fdrobky je sn\u00ed\u017eila. Na \u010d\u00ednskou firmu Yangzhou Yangjie Electronic Technology, v\u00fdrobce \u010dip\u016f, byly uvr\u017eeny nejprve sankce, ale hned byly zas zru\u0161eny, proto\u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl varoval p\u0159ed naru\u0161en\u00edm z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f.<\/p>\n

Po\u0159\u00e1d se to opakuje. Evropan\u00e9 to opravdu cht\u011bli Trumpovi nandat. Ale nemohou, proto\u017ee evropsk\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl zam\u011bstn\u00e1v\u00e1 13,2\u00a0milionu lid\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Semeno z\u00e1vislosti bylo zaseto v\u00a0minul\u00fdch dvou dek\u00e1d\u00e1ch. Evropsk\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl cht\u011bl optimalizovat dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce a\u00a0vytvo\u0159il si z\u00e1vislosti na \u010c\u00edn\u011b. Dostal p\u0159ednost kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd zisk p\u0159ed dlouhodobou odolnost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zjevn\u00e9 to bylo b\u011bhem pandemie, kdy n\u011bmeck\u00fdm v\u00fdrobc\u016fm aut chyb\u011bly \u010dipy. \u0158e\u010dnilo se o\u00a0diverzifikaci, ale skoro nic se neud\u011blalo.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna m\u00e1 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 karty. Baterie do aut jsou dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad. \u010c\u00edna m\u00e1 v\u00a0tomto odv\u011btv\u00ed roky n\u00e1skok p\u0159ed Evropou. M\u00e1 tak\u0159ka monopol v\u00a0magnetech, kter\u00e9 jsou pro elektromotory kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9. Bez nich nefunguj\u00ed st\u011bra\u010de ani bojov\u00e1 letadla F-35.\u00a0Dal\u0161\u00ed oblast\u00ed, kde je Evropa v\u00a0kout\u011b, jsou sol\u00e1rn\u00ed panely.<\/p>\n

U\u017e ne\u017eijeme ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde tov\u00e1rny vyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00ed v\u0161echno od za\u010d\u00e1tku, z\u00a0lok\u00e1ln\u00edch produkt\u016f. Modern\u00ed obchodn\u00ed vztahy jsou komplexn\u00ed. Evropsk\u00e1 auta jsou pln\u00e1 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch komponent\u016f. Bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed obchodn\u00ed bilance v\u00e1m ne\u0159ekne, co m\u00e1te v\u011bd\u011bt. Hlavn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka nen\u00ed, kolik n\u00e1m toho \u010c\u00edna prod\u00e1, ale jak\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me pro n\u00e1\u0161 vlastn\u00ed export\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0zda m\u00e1me v\u016fbec alternativu. Zji\u0161\u0165ovat, co se d\u011bje v\u00a0s\u00edt\u00edch, je komplexn\u00ed \u00fakol, elektroin\u017een\u00fd\u0159i to dob\u0159e v\u011bd\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Tak\u00e9 Trump musel j\u00edt s\u00a0\u010c\u00ednou na kompromis, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm kv\u016fli americk\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch miner\u00e1lech. Rozd\u00edl mezi EU a\u00a0USA je v\u00a0tom, \u017ee propojenost EU s\u00a0jin\u00fdmi ekonomikami sv\u011bta je vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed a\u00a0vnit\u0159n\u00ed koheze EU jako organismu je ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed. R\u016fzn\u00ed ekonomov\u00e9, myslitel\u00e9 a\u00a0\u017eurnalist\u00e9 mohou tvrdit cokoliv, ale kdy\u017e Friedrich Merz nebo Giorgia Meloniov\u00e1 \u0159eknou NE cl\u016fm, tak to plat\u00ed.<\/p>\n

M\u00edsto st\u011b\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed si na Trumpa nebo \u010c\u00ednu m\u00e1 EU systematicky pracovat na odstra\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1vislost\u00ed. Chce to tak\u00e9 strategickou trp\u011blivost a\u00a0dobr\u00e9 pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed. Kdy\u017e u\u017e jsme za\u010dali p\u0159\u00edm\u011bry ze sportu, tak to v\u017edycky nen\u00ed tak, \u017ee lep\u0161\u00ed t\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed. \u010casto v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed ten, kdo m\u00e1 pevn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nervy.<\/p>\n

Autor je prezidentem think tanku Strategeo<\/a>, p\u016fsob\u00ed jako visiting fellow spole\u010dnosti Globsec a\u00a0je \u010dlenem sboru extern\u00edch poradc\u016f prezidenta Petra Pavla pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Je o\u00a0tom p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den Wolfgang M\u00fcnchau ve sv\u00e9m sloupku pro server Unherd.com. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed div\u00e1ci rad\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010d\u016fm a\u00a0tren\u00e9r\u016fm opravdu \u0161patn\u011b.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":99061,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3],"tags":[10634,1079,202,212,708,9622,109,108,106,991,114,14377,138,1016,1000,113,1015],"class_list":["post-99060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-evropa","tag-americky-dolar","tag-automobilovy-prumysl","tag-cina","tag-donald-trump","tag-ekonomika","tag-euro-mena","tag-europa","tag-europe","tag-evropa","tag-evropska-unie-eu","tag-friedrich-merz","tag-giorgia-meloni","tag-komentare","tag-nazor","tag-ursula-von-der-leyen","tag-usa","tag-zahranicni-politika"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116647510847914643","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99060","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99060"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99060\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/99061"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99060"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99060"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99060"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}