{"id":99557,"date":"2026-05-28T07:26:21","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T07:26:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/99557\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T07:26:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T07:26:21","slug":"proc-medvedi-trh-bitcoinu-jeste-neskoncil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/99557\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d medv\u011bd\u00ed trh bitcoinu je\u0161t\u011b neskon\u010dil?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Z pohledu t\u00fddenn\u00edho grafu se cena bitcoinu prakticky nikam neposunula. Kde jsme p\u0159edminul\u00fd t\u00fdden skon\u010dili, tam bitcoin uzav\u0159el i posledn\u00ed t\u00fdden. Trh tak na prvn\u00ed pohled p\u016fsob\u00ed velmi stabiln\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 ale je, \u017ee i p\u0159es ploch\u00fd cenov\u00fd v\u00fdvoj do\u0161lo k men\u0161\u00edmu r\u016fstu objem\u016f. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed cenov\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b za\u010daly p\u0159itahovat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pozornost. <\/p>\n<p>Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed objemy p\u0159i stagnuj\u00edc\u00ed cen\u011b p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed takovou tu p\u0159etahovanou mezi kupci a prodejci. Jedna strana se sna\u017e\u00ed trh podr\u017eet, druh\u00e1 naopak vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b k prodeji. Pr\u00e1v\u011b podobn\u00e9 situace b\u00fdvaj\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, proto\u017ee \u010dasto p\u0159edch\u00e1zej\u00ed siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu pohybu.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"cs\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udccaZ pohledu t\u00fddenn\u00edho grafu m\u011bla cena bitcoinu ploch\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, tak\u017ee kde jsme p\u0159edminul\u00fd t\u00fdden skon\u010dili, tam cena BTC uzav\u0159ela t\u00fdden posledn\u00ed. <\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udcf6P\u0159esto\u017ee se cena nikam p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 nehnula, zv\u00fd\u0161ily se objemy. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny vzbudily v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1jem. <\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udca1Cena bitcoinu se\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/i789tbrEbG\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/i789tbrEbG<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm (@JaroJarolim) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JaroJarolim\/status\/2058780942563488201?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">May 25, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Cena bitcoinu se z\u00e1rove\u0148 nach\u00e1z\u00ed uvnit\u0159 medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky u\u017e v\u00edce jak 3,5 m\u011bs\u00edce. Tento pattern tedy za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 b\u00fdt \u010dasov\u011b pom\u011brn\u011b zral\u00fd. Vlastn\u011b bych \u0159ekl, \u017ee je docela star\u00fd. N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce proto mohou p\u0159in\u00e9st price action, kter\u00e9 rozhodne o tom, kde trh skute\u010dn\u011b najde sv\u00e9 cenov\u00e9 dno.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1407\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/obrazek-82-scaled.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-274044\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\t\tCena bitcoinu se pohybuje uvnit\u0159 medv\u011bd\u00ed vlajky v\u00edce jak 3,5 m\u011bs\u00edce. Zdroj: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/jaroslav.jarolim.7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sv\u016fj n\u00e1zor jsem ale zat\u00edm nezm\u011bnil, proto\u017ee v grafu nevid\u00edm dostatek d\u016fkaz\u016f, kter\u00e9 by podporovaly tezi, \u017ee jsme dos\u00e1hli cenov\u00e9ho dna. <\/p>\n<p>Pro\u010d medv\u011bd\u00ed trh bitcoinu je\u0161t\u011b neskon\u010dil?<\/p>\n<p>Cena bitcoinu v minul\u00fdch cyklech vytv\u00e1\u0159ela fin\u00e1ln\u00ed dno p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b ka\u017ed\u00e9 \u010dty\u0159i roky. Jde o pom\u011brn\u011b snadno rozeznateln\u00fd vzorec chov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00fd se na trhu opakoval u\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto jej mnoho investor\u016f st\u00e1le bere jako d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd orienta\u010dn\u00ed r\u00e1mec. V\u010detn\u011b m\u011b, proto\u017ee nic lep\u0161\u00edho logicky nem\u00e1me.<\/p>\n<p>Pro\u010d to tak funguje? Hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem je <a href=\"https:\/\/kryptomagazin.cz\/co-je-bitcoin-halving-ultimatni-pruvodce-bitcoinovymi-cykly\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">halving Bitcoinu<\/a>, kter\u00fd m\u011bl doposud z\u00e1sadn\u00ed vliv na cyklick\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed ceny BTC. Sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed tempa nov\u00e9 nab\u00eddky bitcoin\u016f v minulosti pravideln\u011b m\u011bnilo dynamiku trhu a pom\u00e1halo vytv\u00e1\u0159et podm\u00ednky pro dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fstov\u00fd cyklus.<\/p>\n<p>Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b jde o napln\u011bn\u00ed na z\u00e1klad\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed investor\u016f. P\u0159\u00edm\u00fd efekt se sice dostav\u00ed, ale ze za\u010d\u00e1tku je cena ovliv\u0148ovan\u00e1 hlavn\u011b mysl\u00ed investor\u016f. <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1366\" height=\"889\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/obrazek-79.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-273930\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>Z tohoto pohledu je tud\u00ed\u017e podle m\u011b po\u0159\u00e1d p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 brzy na to, aby za\u010dal nov\u00fd <a href=\"https:\/\/kryptomagazin.cz\/co-je-to-byci-trh\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trend<\/a>. Trh sice m\u016f\u017ee kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b r\u016fst a vytv\u00e1\u0159et siln\u00e9 odrazy, ale to samo o sob\u011b je\u0161t\u011b neznamen\u00e1 definitivn\u00ed obrat. Medv\u011bd\u00ed trhy \u010dasto dok\u00e1\u017eou investory zm\u00e1st pr\u00e1v\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee nab\u00eddnou velmi p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 rally je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed fin\u00e1ln\u00edm dnem.<\/p>\n<p>D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je proto sledovat nejen samotnou cenu, ale tak\u00e9 \u010dasov\u00fd kontext cel\u00e9ho cyklu. Pokud bychom m\u011bli vych\u00e1zet z historick\u00e9ho \u010dty\u0159let\u00e9ho cyklu, sou\u010dasn\u00fd trh zat\u00edm nep\u016fsob\u00ed jako pln\u011b dokon\u010den\u00fd medv\u011bd\u00ed trend. Sp\u00ed\u0161e se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1le nach\u00e1zet ve f\u00e1zi, kdy proces tvorby cenov\u00e9ho dna teprve za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1. <\/p>\n<p>T\u00edm samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1m, \u017ee nov\u00fd b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trend nem\u016f\u017ee za\u010d\u00edt d\u0159\u00edve. Na trz\u00edch nen\u00ed nikdy nic stoprocentn\u00ed. Pokud by se to ale stalo, zcela by se t\u00edm naru\u0161il pattern, kter\u00fd u bitcoinu roky dob\u0159e zn\u00e1me. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1m opatrn\u00fd a lidov\u011b \u0159e\u010deno nes\u00e1z\u00edm na n\u011bco, co se je\u0161t\u011b nikdy nestalo. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj proto zat\u00edm neberu jako jasn\u00e9 potvrzen\u00ed konce medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu.<\/p>\n<p>Jak pozn\u00e1me, \u017ee bitcoin vytvo\u0159il cenov\u00e9 dno? <\/p>\n<p>Jak pozn\u00e1me, \u017ee bitcoin pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vytvo\u0159il cenov\u00e9 dno? Jedn\u00edm z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch vod\u00edtek jsou objemy obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed. Pr\u00e1v\u011b ty \u010dasto ukazuj\u00ed, zda na trhu skute\u010dn\u011b prob\u011bhla kapitulace a n\u00e1sledn\u011b se za\u010dala vracet siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed popt\u00e1vka.<\/p>\n<p>Graf ceny bitcoinu z <a href=\"https:\/\/kryptomagazin.cz\/binance-recenze\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Binance <\/a>je ale pot\u0159eba \u010d\u00edst opatrn\u011b. V roce 2022 se na t\u00e9to burze ur\u010ditou dobu obchodovalo bez poplatk\u016f, co\u017e objemy v\u00fdrazn\u011b zkreslilo. Proto zde vid\u00edme extr\u00e9mn\u011b vysok\u00e9 hodnoty, kter\u00e9 pln\u011b neodpov\u00eddaj\u00ed p\u0159irozen\u00e9 aktivit\u011b trhu.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1142\" height=\"784\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/obrazek-80.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-273931\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>Pr\u00e1v\u011b z tohoto d\u016fvodu tento graf ukazuji jako takov\u00fd nafouknut\u00fd u\u010debnicov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad. V\u0161\u00edm\u00e1m si toti\u017e, \u017ee kdy\u017e mluv\u00edm o objemech v souvislosti s cenov\u00fdm v\u00fdvojem, dle reakc\u00ed tomu hodn\u011b lid\u00ed nerozum\u00ed. <\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00edm tedy v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vrcholy v objemech se p\u0159i tvorb\u011b dna objev\u00ed, t\u00edm siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt potvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee na trhu opravdu doch\u00e1z\u00ed ke zm\u011bn\u011b trendu. Prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst objem\u016f toti\u017e \u010dasto znamen\u00e1, \u017ee se \u010d\u00e1st investor\u016f, t\u011bch slab\u00fdch, definitivn\u011b vzd\u00e1v\u00e1 a siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ruce za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed nakupovat.<\/p>\n<p>D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, aby takov\u00fd objemov\u00fd spike nep\u0159i\u0161el izolovan\u011b bez reakce ceny. Ide\u00e1ln\u00ed je vid\u011bt siln\u00fd v\u00fdplach, vysokou aktivitu a n\u00e1sledn\u00fd, relativn\u011b rychl\u00fd, n\u00e1vrat ceny zp\u011bt nahoru. Pr\u00e1v\u011b kombinace t\u011bchto faktor\u016f m\u016f\u017ee nazna\u010dit, \u017ee prodejn\u00ed tlak za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 definitivn\u011b sl\u00e1bnout.<\/p>\n<p>Dokud n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho v grafech neuvid\u00edme, ka\u017ed\u00fd cenov\u00fd r\u016fst bitcoinu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 tak trochu ned\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00fd. Bez v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho potvrzen\u00ed na objemech m\u016f\u017ee j\u00edt pouze o kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd odraz, nikoliv o skute\u010dn\u00fd za\u010d\u00e1tek nov\u00e9ho trendu.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1v\u011brem: Ka\u017ed\u00fd cyklus je trochu jin\u00fd<\/p>\n<p>Nicm\u00e9n\u011b uzn\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd cyklus je trochu jin\u00fd. V tom aktu\u00e1ln\u00edm jsme nedostali onen z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00fd cenov\u00fd r\u016fst, kter\u00fd je takov\u00fd jako by euforick\u00fd a ka\u017ed\u00fd si jde koupit kousek bitcoinu do aplikace. Tentokr\u00e1t se nic podobn\u00e9ho nestalo, jak jste si mohli v\u0161imnout. <\/p>\n<p id=\"h--0\">Mus\u00edm ale podotknout jednu v\u011bc, ur\u010dit\u00e1 euforie zde byla, co se t\u00fd\u010de tvorby nov\u00fdch projekt\u016f. Mezi lety 2022 a\u017e 2025 se vytvo\u0159ilo bizarn\u00ed mno\u017estv\u00ed nov\u00fdch <a href=\"https:\/\/kryptomagazin.cz\/co-je-kryptomena\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">kryptom\u011bn<\/a>. Ta \u010d\u00edsla jsou astronomick\u00e1, proto\u017ee jde o mnoho milion\u016f nov\u00fdch unik\u00e1tn\u00edch kryptom\u011bn. Nejv\u00edce toho vzniklo v roce 2025, proto\u017ee se objevily nov\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje, kter\u00fd proces extr\u00e9mn\u011b zjednodu\u0161ily. <\/p>\n<p>Ono to nejde tolik vid\u011bt, proto\u017ee drtivou v\u011bt\u0161inu z nich nelze v praktick\u00e9 rovin\u011b obchodovat. Trh se t\u00edm p\u00e1dem od roku 2018 velmi zm\u011bnil. <\/p>\n<p>T\u00edm chci \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee euforie jako\u017ee prob\u00edhala, ale jen byla b\u011b\u017en\u00e9mu oku tak trochu skryt\u00e1. <\/p>\n<p class=\"ub_call_to_action_headline_text\" style=\"font-size: 30px; text-align: center; \">Investujte do bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF na platform\u011b XTB<\/p>\n<p>\t\t<script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Z pohledu t\u00fddenn\u00edho grafu se cena bitcoinu prakticky nikam neposunula. Kde jsme p\u0159edminul\u00fd t\u00fdden skon\u010dili, tam bitcoin uzav\u0159el&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":99558,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[183,3244,15927,67,68,16268,778,15929],"class_list":["post-99557","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-byznys","tag-aktuality","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-business","tag-byznys","tag-kryptomena","tag-kryptomeny","tag-technicka-analyza"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116651018498675469","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99557","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99557"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99557\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/99558"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99557"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99557"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99557"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}