The combined might of Makkah defence pact
On Friday, Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan signed a trilateral collective-defence agreement that treats an armed attack against any one of the three states as an attack against all, establishing a new security framework spanning the Arabian Peninsula, South Asia and the eastern Mediterranean. The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement was signed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdo an and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. The agreement is intended to strengthen collective deterrence and expand defence co-operation across multiple military domains. The pact follows the Saudi-Pakistan Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement signed in 2025 and provides for closer co-operation in areas including military readiness, training, intelligence, logistics, counterterrorism and defence industry. Its language, however, does not specify an automatic military response or the force contributions that would be required in the event of an attack. Officials from the three countries have described the arrangement as defensive and said it is not directed against a particular state. They have also rejected suggestions that it is intended to form a sectarian bloc or trigger a regional arms race. The agreement brings together three militaries with markedly different strengths. Pakistan contributes the largest standing force in the grouping, with approximately 660,000 active personnel, more than 2,500 main battle tanks and more than 420 combat-capable aircraft, including JF-17, F-16 and J-10C fleets. Its navy operates a growing submarine force, assessed at about eight boats, while the country retains extensive experience in high-intensity operations and in training and advising Gulf armed forces. Pakistan is also the only nuclear-armed member of the arrangement. The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute estimates that its nuclear stockpile remained at approximately 170 warheads as of January 2026, although Islamabad continues to develop delivery systems and fissile-material production capacity. Saudi Arabia provides the grouping’s principal financial and procurement base. Riyadh’s defence expenditure is estimated at about $88bn, while its armed forces include roughly 250,000–257,000 active personnel, a modernising armoured force and an air arm centred on the F-15 family. …