In late 2025, Vestas announced a wave of new wind turbine orders across Europe, North America and Asia-Pacific, including its first offshore project in South Korea and long-term service agreements stretching up to 30 years.
These orders lifted Vestas’ disclosed fourth-quarter intake to very large levels, leading JPMorgan to say the company exceeded consensus expectations for new equipment demand, with strength in both onshore and offshore segments.
We’ll now examine how this stronger-than-expected global order intake, particularly the landmark South Korean offshore deal, reshapes Vestas’ investment narrative.
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To own Vestas, you need to believe in sustained global demand for wind power equipment and long-duration service contracts, while accepting exposure to policy swings, offshore ramp-up costs and pricing pressure. The latest wave of onshore and offshore orders, which surprised the market on intake, supports the near term demand catalyst but does not remove the key risk that offshore losses and cost inflation could still weigh on margins and earnings.
The 390 MW Shinan Ui offshore project in South Korea, Vestas’ first offshore order in that market, is central to this story because it expands the offshore footprint with a 20 year service agreement, directly tied to the current catalyst of stronger equipment demand but also closely linked to the risk that offshore projects carry higher than expected ramp-up costs.
Yet investors should be aware that concentrated exposure to higher cost offshore projects could…
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Vestas Wind Systems’ narrative projects €23.1 billion revenue and €1.3 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 7.6% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about €538 million from €762.0 million today.
Uncover how Vestas Wind Systems’ forecasts yield a DKK156.26 fair value, a 15% downside to its current price.
CPSE:VWS 1-Year Stock Price Chart
Fourteen fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly DKK102 to DKK210 per share, reflecting a wide spread of individual views on Vestas. You can weigh those opinions against the recent upside in global order intake and the ongoing risk that offshore ramp-up costs continue to pressure margins and near term profitability.
Explore 14 other fair value estimates on Vestas Wind Systems – why the stock might be worth 44% less than the current price!
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A great starting point for your Vestas Wind Systems research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include VWS.CO.
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