Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 55.29%. A win for Kongsvinger had a probability of 22.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Kongsvinger win was 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.