{"id":58675,"date":"2026-04-10T06:40:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T06:40:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/58675\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T06:40:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T06:40:13","slug":"report-spending-cuts-risk-deeper-economic-slowdown-in-finland","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/58675\/","title":{"rendered":"Report: spending cuts risk deeper economic slowdown in Finland"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A new economic report has challenged Finland\u2019s fiscal strategy, warning that planned spending cuts tied to the debt brake rule risk weakening growth and failing to reduce public debt.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>The study by the Centre for New Economic Thinking (UTAK) states that adjustment measures worth close to \u20ac10 billion in the next government term would not stabilise debt levels and would reduce output over the long term.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t &#13;<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/utak.fi\/selvitys-velkajarrun-edellyttama-sopeutus-heikentaa-taloutta-arvioitua-enemman\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">report<\/a>, authored by Otto Kyyr\u00f6nen, estimates that fiscal tightening of \u20ac9.7 billion between 2027 and 2031 would lower Finland\u2019s gross domestic product by up to \u20ac20 billion over time. The analysis draws on the European Commission\u2019s debt sustainability model, with adjustments to reflect broader economic effects.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>Kyyr\u00f6nen said the planned measures would not achieve their main goal. \u201cNet adjustments of around \u20ac10 billion will not reduce the debt ratio based on our calculations,\u201d he stated in the report.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>The findings challenge assumptions used by the Ministry of Finance, which has focused on spending cuts as the main tool for fiscal consolidation. UTAK argues that the ministry underestimates the long-term impact of cuts, particularly during weak economic conditions.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>According to the report, reductions in public spending risk triggering a cycle in which slower growth undermines debt reduction efforts. Lower demand and reduced investment would weaken the economy, leading to further adjustment needs in future government terms.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>UTAK estimates that the fiscal multiplier used by the ministry stands at 0.5, while its own analysis places the figure closer to 1.4. A higher multiplier implies stronger negative effects from cuts, especially when economic growth remains subdued.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>Finland\u2019s debt brake, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.helsinkitimes.fi\/finland\/finland-news\/politics\/28562-parties-back-8-11bn-debt-brake-plan-left-alliance-opts-out.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">due to take effect in 2031<\/a>, requires the debt-to-GDP ratio to decline by an average of 0.75 percentage points each year. Current projections place public debt at 88.5 per cent of GDP, with a long-term target of 40 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>The report proposes an alternative approach centred on tax increases and targeted investment. It states that tax measures have smaller negative effects on growth compared with spending cuts.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>Kyyr\u00f6nen suggests that tax increases of around \u20ac8 billion, combined with \u20ac5 billion in public investment or equivalent private sector support, would meet fiscal targets while supporting economic activity.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>Proposed tax measures include higher corporate tax rates and tighter dividend taxation for unlisted companies. The report also refers to potential increases in capital and environmental taxes, citing previous research.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>Investment priorities outlined in the report include transport infrastructure, housing, higher education, venture capital, and industrial policy linked to the green transition. These measures aim to support employment and demand during a period of weak growth.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>The findings come as political parties prepare for the next government term, with fiscal policy expected to dominate negotiations. The current administration has relied on spending cuts and tax reductions, including a planned reduction in corporate tax from 20 per cent to 18 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>The report warns that without a shift in policy, Finland risks entering a repeated cycle of austerity. \u201cThere is a risk of a vicious circle,\u201d Kyyr\u00f6nen said, referring to future adjustment pressures under European Union fiscal rules.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>HT<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A new economic report has challenged Finland\u2019s fiscal strategy, warning that planned spending cuts tied to the debt&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":58676,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[87],"tags":[32363,158,16993,32369,32368,113,32365,32367,32366,32364],"class_list":["post-58675","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-helsinki","tag-debt-brake","tag-finland","tag-finland-economy","tag-fiscal-policy-finland","tag-gdp-impact","tag-helsinki","tag-otto-kyyronen","tag-public-spending-cuts","tag-tax-increases","tag-utak-report"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@dk\/116379046823103591","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58675","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58675"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58675\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/58676"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58675"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58675"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58675"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}