{"id":74675,"date":"2026-05-04T20:33:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T20:33:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/74675\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T20:33:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T20:33:12","slug":"germany-overtakes-france-uk-as-europes-defense-powerhouse-why-is-paris-disturbed-by-berlins-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/74675\/","title":{"rendered":"Germany Overtakes France, UK as Europe\u2019s Defense Powerhouse; Why is Paris Disturbed By Berlin\u2019s Rise?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">If anything, the weakening of ties between the United States, led by President Donald Trump, and Germany under the Chancellorship of Joachim-Friedrich Martin Josef Merz, is said to have accelerated the momentum of\u00a0 German rearmament.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">This, in turn, seems to be complicating the balance of power in Europe that has existed since the end of World War II.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">And when one talks of the balance of power in Europe, it is primarily between Germany and France, who, incidentally, happened to be bitter \u201chereditary enemies\u201d for nearly 150 years. Intense nationalism and border disputes over regions like Alsace-Lorraine had led them to fight the Napoleonic Wars (1803\u20131815), the Franco-Prussian War (1870\u20131871), and both World Wars ( 1914-18; 1939-45).<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">However, this rivalry shifted dramatically to close friendship after 1945, for which the US could take some credit. European security after 1945 was built on a simple understanding that while Germany should focus on economic strength by building industry and becoming economically integrated with the continent, France and the UK should provide military stability through their nuclear weapons and \u201cpermanent memberships\u201d in the United Nations Security Council.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Germany had nothing to fear since the US, in any case, guaranteed its defense through NATO. This arrangement worked well by calming historical fears and allowed European integration to proceed, resulting in the formation of the European Union (EU).<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">And here, since the UK is essentially an island-nation, in the European mainland, France viewed itself as the continent\u2019s military leader and principal security-provider, thanks to its nuclear weapons, a blue-water navy, and expeditionary experience in Africa and the Levant.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Apparently, this balance of power in Europe is now being questioned by the ruling elites, particularly in France and, to a certain extent, in Poland, with Germany pursuing a significant increase in its defense expenditure.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">With a \u20ac85-90 billion annual defense budget and Chancellor Scholz\u2019s call for\u00a0Germany to become the \u201cbackbone of conventional defense in Europe\u201d by becoming \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/01\/22\/us\/politics\/merz-germany-davos-europe-militaries.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Europe\u2019s largest and best army<\/a>\u201d, the French President Macron now argues that Europe cannot outsource its security to either Washington or Berlin.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Macron and other French officials are apprehensive that the so-called revitalization of Germany\u2019s defense sector would involve signing large contracts for American systems, which could limit European \u201cstrategic autonomy\u201d and increase dependence on external suppliers.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">For them, the correct approach is to strengthen European cooperation in the defense sector through collaboration and joint production of arms and reduce dependence on non-European suppliers.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The French do not seem to appreciate that Germany is on track for a 3.5% defense spending target by 2029, while Paris faces fiscal pressures (third-highest debt in the EU) and plans to spend only around 2.6% by 2030, limited as its hands are under the so-called\u00a0 \u201cChainsaw Plan\u201d to cut \u20ac43.8 billion from public spending to manage its debt.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">It may be noted that following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Germany created a \u20ac100 billion special fund to build its military and is committed to meeting NATO\u2019s 2% of GDP target. This fund was created outside normal budget rules. As a result, by 2024, German defense spending had risen to \u20ac90.6 billion, making it the largest defense budget in the EU.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">At present, Germany is already spending much more than its European partners, overtaking them to reach the target that all NATO countries agreed at their summit last year to fund core military requirements at 3.5 percent of national income by 2035.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">According <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atlanticcouncil.org\/commentary\/trackers-and-data-visualizations\/nato-defense-spending-tracker\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">to<\/a> the Atlantic Council, a Washington-based research organization, Germany is expected to spend about $127 billion this year, by far the most in Europe. In contrast, the UK\u00a0 will spend about $84 billion, and France about $70 billion.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is said that this gap between Germany and other NATO partners in Europe is only going to expand. Whereas the UK\u00a0 is committed to reaching 2.5 percent by 2027, France aims to reach 2.3 percent by 2028, and Italy is targeting 2 percent by 2028, Germany is confident of spending 3. 5 percent of national income by 2029 \u2014 an estimated $189 billion a year, according to the Atlantic Council tracker.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">In other words, the imbalance in defense spending between Germany and others will only become steeper.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">With a deeper pocket to spend, Germany\u2019s procurement budget is believed to reshape the European arms market. What worries the French the most is that Germany has already ordered F-35s, CH-47 helicopters, P-8 patrol aircraft, and Arrow-3 missiles worth tens of billions of dollars.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">This is most likely to bypass, so runs the argument, European programs like FCAS, Eurodrone, and MGCS, in which France has vital stakes. In the process, it would diminish the importance of France and of France\u2019s military industry, led by Dassault, Naval Group, Nexter, and Thales.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-248698\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/FCAS-e1753422922171.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"696\" height=\"464\"  \/>This photograph taken on June 18, 2023 shows a mock-up of the European New Generation Fighter (NGF) for the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) under development by Dassault Aviation, Airbus and Indra Sistemas during the International Paris Air Show at the Paris\u0096Le Bourget Airport. (Photo by JULIEN DE ROSA \/ AFP)<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Even otherwise, the EurAsian Times had once <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eurasiantimes.com\/is-european-e100-billion-6th-gen-fighter-program-doomed\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">explained <\/a>the growing differences between France and Germany over major Franco-German military projects. For instance, the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) fighter jet program, a next-generation fighter jet with a network of drones, is not progressing due to big differences between France\u2019s Dassault Aviation and Germany\u2019s Airbus Defense and Space over the project\u2019s leadership roles,\u00a0 workshare, and technical specifications.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">France wants the overall leadership status in the project, which Germany is not prepared to accept. The \u201cprimary pillar of FCAS\u201d is the New Generation Fighter (NGF). The development of this combat aircraft is led by Dassault Aviation, the French aerospace company that currently produces the Rafale. Dassault sees the NGF as the \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lefigaro.fr\/societes\/accord-conclu-entre-dassault-aviation-et-airbus-sur-l-avion-de-combat-du-futur-20221201\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">heart<\/a>\u201d of the FCAS, around which other pillars are arranged.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The principal German contractor\u00a0for FCAS \u2013 Airbus Germany \u2013 leads work on its second pillar, the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.airbus.com\/en\/products-services\/defence\/future-combat-air-system-fcas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Combat Cloud<\/a>, a decentralized, distributed, and delegated information-sharing and command-and-control system designed to integrate sensors, responsibilities, and weapons. It is intended to be platform-agnostic, combining manned and unmanned systems, satellite and aerial surveillance, and potentially ground- and sea-based platforms, whether developed through FCAS or otherwise.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">A third pillar comprises remote carriers\u2014\u201cheavy\u201d (reusable) or \u201clight\u201d (single-use) unmanned vehicles that operate in conjunction with manned platforms. While Airbus is designated as the lead contractor, the French division of MBDA is tasked with the \u201clight\u201d carrier.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Dassault argues that the\u00a0 NGF is FCAS\u2019s \u201cheart\u201d, and, therefore,\u00a0 the other pillars \u2013 remote carriers and the Combat Cloud \u2013\u00a0 serve to enhance the fighter on which the whole project rests. However, Germany is said to favor integrating its existing non-FCAS systems, such as the Eurofighter (Airbus) and the F-35 (Lockheed Martin), into the FCAS cloud.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Incidentally, France and Germany also differ on another joint project, the Main Ground Combat System (MGCS), regarding the tank\u2019s design, technology, and industrial responsibilities.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Here, the principal difference between Paris and Berlin is that while the former favors a lighter tank for global deployment, the latter prefers a heavier, more heavily armored tank suited for a potential conflict with Russia.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Similarly, in the Eurodrone unmanned aerial system project, which is being developed in partnership among Germany, France, Italy, and Spain, while Berlin favors a twin-engine design for domestic safety, Paris wants a lighter system for combat zones.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Apparently, the above differences have only lent credence to the French apprehensions over the German rearmament plans and defense spending. The historical wars and conflicts between the two countries are resurfacing in the minds of France\u2019s strategic elites.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">But then, France is not alone here. As Mark Leonard, director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, an international think tank, points out, in Poland there is also \u201c a strong popular memory of German military horrors\u201d.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Historian Liana Fix, a senior fellow at the New York-based Council on Foreign Relations, argues in her 2026 book \u201cGermany Rearmed\u201d that while Germany\u2019s rapid rearmament is necessary for European security, it creates major risks regarding European stability, power imbalances, and potential political misuse. Therefore, she advocates that necessary military growth in Europe requires intense EU integration to prevent what could be a new, dangerous German hegemony. \u201cPartnership-based leadership, yes; hegemonic fanatics,\u00a0 No\u201d.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to\u00a0 Christian Molling, a military expert and director of a Berlin-based research institution, European Defense in a New Age, \u201cThe impact of German defense spending is multiple, nationally and internationally. What\u2019s good for Germany on several levels is both good and bad for our neighbors and partners, and it depends a lot on the communication.\u201d<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Steven E. Sokol, President of the American Council on Germany, a New York-based nonprofit organization, outlines why Germany\u00a0 will have to navigate its more assertive role \u201ccarefully but decisively, while at the same time providing assurances to its European neighbors.\u201d<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">In sum, there seems to be a consensus among strategic experts that debates over Germany\u2019s rearmament should promote a balanced strategy that combines national interests, European autonomy, and responsibility to allies. The need of the hour, therefore, is the coordination of procurement, financial mechanisms, and joint investments in new defense technologies to ensure trust among partners.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">And here, it is said that Germany has to play a larger role, as it is Europe\u2019s largest economy, most populous state, and sits at the center of the continent. Any misperception of its growing military power and economic dominance could upset the regional balance, which has preserved peace on the continent for over 80 years.<\/p>\n<p>Author and veteran journalist Prakash Nanda is Chairman of the Editorial Board of the EurAsian Times and has been commenting on\u00a0<a class=\"google-anno\" href=\"https:\/\/www.eurasiantimes.com\/not-missiles-but-money-how-trump-can-buy-irgc-loyalty-force-total-iran-surrender-win-mid-terms-oped\/#\" data-google-vignette=\"false\" data-google-interstitial=\"false\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">politics<\/a>, foreign policy, and strategic affairs for nearly three decades. He is a former National Fellow of the Indian Council for Historical Research and a recipient of the Seoul Peace Prize Scholarship.<br \/>\nCONTACT: prakash.nanda (at) hotmail.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"If anything, the weakening of ties between the United States, led by President Donald Trump, and Germany under&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":74676,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[99],"tags":[112,190],"class_list":{"0":"post-74675","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-berlin","8":"tag-berlin","9":"tag-germany"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@dk\/116518217758537694","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74675","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74675"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74675\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74676"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74675"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74675"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/dk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74675"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}