{"id":122499,"date":"2026-03-06T12:41:07","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T12:41:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/122499\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T12:41:07","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T12:41:07","slug":"tulekul-on-vaga-kuum-suvi-sunoptik-kairo-kiitsak-selgitab-ilmamudelite-prognoosi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/122499\/","title":{"rendered":"Tulekul on v\u00e4ga kuum suvi? S\u00fcnoptik Kairo Kiitsak selgitab ilmamudelite prognoosi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u201eAjalugu on n\u00e4idanud, et kui toimub nii j\u00e4rsk h\u00fcpe La Ni\u00f1alt El Ni\u00f1o suunas, paiskab see globaalsesse s\u00fcsteemi suurel hulgal soojust. Samuti on kriitiline roll <a rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.delfi.ee\/teema\/26277173\/arktika\" tag-id=\"26277173\">Arktika<\/a> j\u00e4\u00e4l. Kui Arktikas on j\u00e4\u00e4d v\u00e4he (nagu praegu 2026. aasta m\u00e4rtsi alguses), siis suurendab see t\u00f5en\u00e4osust, et me j\u00e4\u00e4me edaspidi pikemaks ajaks kas kuivemate ja kuumemate k\u00f5rgr\u00f5hkkondade (blokeeringute) v\u00f5i sajuste ja heitlike madalr\u00f5hkkondade m\u00f5juv\u00e4lja &#8211; n\u00f5rgem jugavool soodustab \u201elukustunud ilmamustreid\u201c,\u201c kirjeldab Kiitsak. <\/p>\n<p>Ta lisab, et arvestades El Ni\u00f1o globaalset soojendavat m\u00f5ju, on t\u00f5en\u00e4osus siiski suurem just kuuma ja kuiva blokeeringu suunas. Juba praegu n\u00e4itavad k\u00f5rgr\u00f5hkkonnad Euroopa kohal v\u00f5imu.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00fcnoptik toob n\u00e4iteid ka m\u00f5nest analoogaastast, kus ilm on olnud sarnane nagu t\u00e4navu ning samamoodi toimus talve teises pooles\/vastu kevadet stratosf\u00e4\u00e4ris j\u00e4rsk soojenemine, mille tulemusena polaarp\u00f6\u00f6ris n\u00f5rgenes oluliselt ja samuti toimus neil aastatel kiire \u00fcleminek El Ni\u00f1o faasi.<\/p>\n<p>Just 1997 aasta on Kiitsaku s\u00f5nul \u00fcks parimaid n\u00e4iteid kiirest faasivahetusest. <\/p>\n<p>\u201eKevadel algas v\u00e4ga j\u00e4rsk soojenemine Vaikses ookeanis. <a rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.delfi.ee\/teema\/32007769\/suvi\" tag-id=\"32007769\">Suvi<\/a> kujunes Eestis v\u00e4ga kuumaks ja kuivaks, eriti juuli ja august. See oli aasta, mil paljudes jaamades m\u00f5\u00f5deti pikaajalisi kuumarekordeid. Blokeerivad k\u00f5rgr\u00f5hkkonnad j\u00e4id n\u00e4dalateks <a rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.delfi.ee\/teema\/56497388\/ida-euroopa\" tag-id=\"56497388\">Ida-Euroopa<\/a> kohale pidama.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Ka 2002. aasta on suurep\u00e4rane analoog, sest aasta alguses toimus samasugune kiire \u00fcleminek neutraalsest faasist El Ni\u00f1o suunas. See andis globaalsele temperatuurile selge \u201et\u00f5uke\u201c. Juuli ja august kujunesid Eestis \u00fcsna kuumaks ja kuivaks blokeerivate k\u00f5rgr\u00f5hkkondade t\u00f5ttu. <\/p>\n<p>\u201eSeega praegused prognoosid\/trendid justkui vihjaksid pikaajalisest keskmisest soojemale ning kuivemale suvele (2025. aasta suvel sadas seevastu \u00fcsna palju &#8211; justkui \u00fcleminek \u00fchest \u00e4\u00e4rmusest teise, v\u00e4ga v\u00f5imalik, aga pole t\u00e4iesti garanteeritud). Sademete kogused ja ruumiline jaotus kipuvad olema sellistel suvedel v\u00e4ga eba\u00fchtlased. Kui sajab, siis pigem lokaalselt ja korraga palju koos \u00e4ikesega, millega v\u00f5ivad kaasneda ka muud ohtlikud n\u00e4htused, nagu tugevad tuulepuhangud, rahe jms,\u201c selgitab ta.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u201eAjalugu on n\u00e4idanud, et kui toimub nii j\u00e4rsk h\u00fcpe La Ni\u00f1alt El Ni\u00f1o suunas, paiskab see globaalsesse s\u00fcsteemi&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":122500,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[5803,26,27,37,33,35,34,36,112,31,32,21,5841,668,20315,4330,28,29,19,25,56643,17167,23,24,22,20,30],"class_list":["post-122499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-eesti","tag-arktika","tag-breaking-news","tag-breakingnews","tag-ee","tag-eesti","tag-eesti-keel","tag-estonia","tag-estonian","tag-euroopa","tag-featured-news","tag-featurednews","tag-headlines","tag-ida-euroopa","tag-ilm","tag-kairo-kiitsak","tag-kliima-soojenemine","tag-latest-news","tag-latestnews","tag-news","tag-populaarseimad-lood","tag-suveilm","tag-suvi","tag-top-stories","tag-topstories","tag-uldised-uudised","tag-uudised","tag-viimased-uudised"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ee\/116182285335215065","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122499","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=122499"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122499\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/122500"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=122499"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=122499"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=122499"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}