{"id":178568,"date":"2026-05-15T07:33:21","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T07:33:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/178568\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T07:33:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T07:33:21","slug":"usda-raport-pani-teraviljahinnad-tousma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/178568\/","title":{"rendered":"USDA raport pani teraviljahinnad t\u00f5usma"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USDA v\u00e4rske WASDE aruanne pani teraviljaturud kiiresti liikuma: nisu ja mais kallinesid, sest uue hooaja prognoosid viitavad v\u00e4iksemale nisutoodangule, pingelisematele maisivarudele ja j\u00e4tkuvalt tugevale n\u00f5udlusele, kirjutab Linas Agro vilja\u00e4ri juht Andre Parm.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/static-img.aripaev.ee\/?type=preview&amp;uuid=b6e731df-0716-5d86-83ec-04048e8aa953\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"styles_article-image__holder__jEhZc\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.5\"><img alt=\"Linas Agro vilja\u00e4ri juht Andre Parm.\" draggable=\"false\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1778830401_400_.jpeg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<ul class=\"styles_article-image__meta__Voj9l\">\n<li>Linas Agro vilja\u00e4ri juht Andre Parm.<\/li>\n<li>Foto: Linas Agro<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Eilne \u00f5htu t\u00f5i teraviljaturgudele tugeva reaktsiooni. USDA v\u00e4rske WASDE aruanne tekitas turgudel \u00e4revust ning hinnad hakkasid kiiresti t\u00f5usma. Suurima t\u00e4helepanu all olid j\u00e4rgmise hooaja prognoosid, mis viitavad v\u00e4iksemale nisutoodangule, pingelisematele maisivarudele ja j\u00e4tkuvalt tugevale n\u00f5udlusele maailmaturul.<\/p>\n<p>Tegu oli selle hooaja esimese raportiga, mis annab prognoosi juba uueks hooajaks. Just see muutiski aruande turu jaoks eriti oluliseks ning andis hinnat\u00f5usule tugeva t\u00f5uke.<\/p>\n<p>Nisu<\/p>\n<p class=\"styles_banner__label__NHyOM\">Artikkel j\u00e4tkub p\u00e4rast reklaami<\/p>\n<p>Nisuturul keskendus t\u00e4helepanu eelk\u00f5ige j\u00e4rgmise hooaja tootmisprognoosile. Kui k\u00e4imasoleva hooaja numbreid v\u00e4ga palju ei muudetud, siis uue hooaja v\u00e4ljavaade n\u00e4itab maailmas v\u00e4iksemat nisusaaki. K\u00e4imasoleva hooaja maailma nisusaagiks prognoositakse 843,84 mln tonni, j\u00e4rgmise hooaja prognoos on aga 819,06 mln tonni. Samas p\u00fcsib n\u00f5udlus peaaegu muutumatuna:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"styles_article-unordered-list__nkCTy\">\n<li>tuleval hooajal umbes 823,23 mln tonni<\/li>\n<li>k\u00e4imasoleval hooajal 823,52 mln tonni<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>See t\u00e4hendab, et turule j\u00e4\u00e4b v\u00e4hem puhvrit v\u00f5imalike ilmastiku- ja logistikariskide jaoks.<\/p>\n<p>Ka maailma nisu eksport v\u00e4heneb j\u00e4rgmise hooaja prognoosi j\u00e4rgi 211,70 mln tonnini, v\u00f5rreldes k\u00e4esoleva hooaja 233,68 mln tonniga. \u00dcleminekuvarud v\u00e4henevad 279,21 mln tonnilt 275,04 mln tonnini.<\/p>\n<p>USA nisusaak valmistas suurima \u00fcllatuse<\/p>\n<p>K\u00f5ige tugevama reaktsiooni tekitas USA nisusaagi prognoos. USDA v\u00e4hendas USA nisusaagi prognoosi 1,561 miljardi bu\u0161\u0161elini ehk 424 miljoni bu\u0161\u0161eli v\u00f5rra v\u00e4hemaks kui varasem hinnang. Peamiseks p\u00f5hjuseks peetakse Suure Tasandiku piirkonna kehva p\u00f5lluseisu. Heas v\u00f5i v\u00e4ga heas seisus on vaid ligikaudu 31% saagist.<\/p>\n<p>Madalamat toodangut prognoositakse ka mitmes teises olulises piirkonnas:<\/p>\n<p>145,11 mln t \u2192 136,00 mln t<\/p>\n<p>27,92 mln t \u2192 21,00 mln t<\/p>\n<p class=\"styles_banner__label__NHyOM\">Artikkel j\u00e4tkub p\u00e4rast reklaami<\/p>\n<p>36,00 mln t \u2192 30,00 mln t<\/p>\n<p>39,96 mln t \u2192 35,00 mln t<\/p>\n<p>Mais<\/p>\n<p>Ka maisiturg sai USDA raportist tugeva toetuse. Prognooside j\u00e4rgi v\u00f5ib j\u00e4rgmise hooaja maisitarbimine ulatuda rekordilise 1314,79 mln tonnini. Samal ajal v\u00f5ivad maailma maisivarud langeda madalaimale tasemele alates 2013\/2014 hooajast. Prognoositavad l\u00f5ppvarud ulatuvad vaid 277,54 mln tonnini, v\u00f5rreldes praeguse 296,95 mln tonniga. <\/p>\n<p>USA m\u00e4ngib siin samuti olulist rolli. Maisisaagi prognoosi v\u00e4hendati 1,026 miljardi bu\u0161\u0161eli v\u00f5rra ning k\u00fclvipind v\u00e4henes 3,5%, umbes 95,3 miljoni aakrini.<\/p>\n<p>Oluline on ka see, et maisi tarbimine \u00fcletab tootmist juba teist aastat j\u00e4rjest. See hoiab turu j\u00e4tkuvalt tundliku iga uue ilmastiku- v\u00f5i saagiuudise suhtes.<\/p>\n<p>Sojauba<\/p>\n<p>Sojaubade puhul on v\u00e4ljavaade v\u00f5rreldes nisu ja maisiga m\u00f5nev\u00f5rra rahulikum. J\u00e4rgmise hooaja sojaoa saak prognoositakse rekordiliseks ning v\u00f5ib ulatuda 441,54 mln tonnini. Ka l\u00f5ppvarud peaksid j\u00e4\u00e4ma suhteliselt stabiilseks, ulatudes umbes 124,78 mln tonnini.<\/p>\n<p class=\"styles_banner__label__NHyOM\">Artikkel j\u00e4tkub p\u00e4rast reklaami<\/p>\n<p>USDA numbrid vs turu ootused<\/p>\n<p>Turgu \u00fcllatasid enim nisu ja sojaubade varude prognoosid. USDA avaldas j\u00e4rgmised j\u00e4rgmise hooaja l\u00f5ppvarude prognoosid (mln bu\u0161\u0161elites):<\/p>\n<p>Mais \u2013 1 957 (turg ootas 1 942) \u2192 ootusp\u00e4rane<\/p>\n<p>Soja \u2013 310 (turg ootas 330) \u2192 \u00fcllatus<\/p>\n<p>Nisu \u2013 762 (turg ootas 845) \u2192 suur \u00fcllatus<\/p>\n<p>Eriti tugevalt reageeris turg nisu numbritele, mis j\u00e4id anal\u00fc\u00fctikute ootustest oluliselt madalamaks.<\/p>\n<p>Mida see turule t\u00e4hendab?<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e4rske USDA raport annab selge signaali, et j\u00e4rgmine hooaeg v\u00f5ib tulla oluliselt pingelisem, eriti nisu ja maisi puhul. V\u00e4iksemad varud ja tugev n\u00f5udlus hoiavad turu tundlikuna ning l\u00e4hikuudel saavad hinnaliikumiste peamisteks m\u00f5jutajateks ilmastik, saagiprognoosid ja ekspordivood.<\/p>\n<p>See teema pakub huvi? Hakka neid m\u00e4rks\u00f5nu j\u00e4lgima ja saad alati teavituse, kui sel teemal ilmub midagi uut!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"USDA v\u00e4rske WASDE aruanne pani teraviljaturud kiiresti liikuma: nisu ja mais kallinesid, sest uue hooaja prognoosid viitavad v\u00e4iksemale&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":178569,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[80],"tags":[26,27,37,33,35,34,36,31,32,21,28,29,95,19,25,23,24,22,20,30,92,93,94],"class_list":{"0":"post-178568","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-maailm","8":"tag-breaking-news","9":"tag-breakingnews","10":"tag-ee","11":"tag-eesti","12":"tag-eesti-keel","13":"tag-estonia","14":"tag-estonian","15":"tag-featured-news","16":"tag-featurednews","17":"tag-headlines","18":"tag-latest-news","19":"tag-latestnews","20":"tag-maailm","21":"tag-news","22":"tag-populaarseimad-lood","23":"tag-top-stories","24":"tag-topstories","25":"tag-uldised-uudised","26":"tag-uudised","27":"tag-viimased-uudised","28":"tag-world","29":"tag-world-news","30":"tag-worldnews"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ee\/116577436277835916","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/178568","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=178568"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/178568\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/178569"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=178568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=178568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=178568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}