{"id":180764,"date":"2026-05-18T08:08:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T08:08:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/180764\/"},"modified":"2026-05-18T08:08:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T08:08:23","slug":"uue-mudeli-kohaselt-voib-maailma-koige-mustem-kliimastsenaarium-ara-jaada-valismaa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/180764\/","title":{"rendered":"Uue mudeli kohaselt v\u00f5ib maailma k\u00f5ige mustem kliimastsenaarium \u00e4ra j\u00e4\u00e4da | V\u00e4lismaa"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Kliimateadlased eeldasid varem, et k\u00f5ige mustema stsenaariumi korral on oodata ligi 4,5 kraadist \u00fcleilmse keskmise temperatuuri t\u00f5usu v\u00f5rreldes t\u00f6\u00f6stuseelse ajaga. Uued kliimamudelid n\u00e4itavad, et t\u00e4nu taastuvenergia kiirele levikule suudab maailm t\u00f5en\u00e4oliselt v\u00e4ltida k\u00f5ige halvemat stsenaariumi.<\/p>\n<p>Uued kliimamudelid n\u00e4itavad, et k\u00f5ige halvima stsenaariumi korral t\u00f5useb temperatuur 3,5 kraadi v\u00f5rra. Selle peamine p\u00f5hjus on taastuvenergia kiire areng ja riikide senised kliimapoliitikad, mis on aidanud heitmete kasvu pidurdada, vahendas <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/uk\/environment\/article\/most-apocalyptic-climate-scenario-thrown-out-by-experts-5s967j6xx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">The Times<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Uuendatud prognoosid koostas rahvusvaheline teadlaste grupp Scenario Model Intercomparison Project, kuhu kuulub ligi 20 eksperti. Nende t\u00f6\u00f6 on oluline, sest nende andmed moodustavad eeldatavasti ka \u00dcRO kliimapaneeli (IPCC) j\u00e4rgmise raporti selgroo.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Teadlased r\u00f5hutavad siiski, et ka 3,5-kraadine temperatuurit\u00f5us oleks v\u00e4ga ohtlik ja tooks kaasa t\u00f5siseid keskkonnaprobleeme.<\/p>\n<p>Hollandi teadlane ja uuringu \u00fcks juhtidest Detlef van Vuuren \u00fctles, et odavam taastuvenergia ja riikide pingutused aitasid viimase k\u00fcmnendi jooksul heitkoguste k\u00f5verat allapoole painutada. Ta hoiatas siiski, et r\u00f5\u00f5mustamiseks pole endiselt p\u00f5hjust ning riigid ei tohiks kliimapoliitikat leevendada.<\/p>\n<p>Lisaks valitseb teadlaste seas endiselt ebakindlus selle \u00fcle, kuidas planeedi kliima reageerib kasvavatele kasvuhoonegaaside kogustele. Van Vuuren \u00fctles, et kui planeedi kliimas\u00fcsteem osutub oodatust tundlikumaks, v\u00f5ib temperatuur t\u00f5usta ikkagi \u00fcle nelja kraadi. Ta kaitses ka varasemat 2010. aasta stsenaariumi, v\u00e4ites, et see oli v\u00e4ga kasulik konkreetsete riskide maandamise eesm\u00e4rkide saavutamisel.<\/p>\n<p>Tema meeskonna uued mudelid n\u00e4itavad veel, et t\u00f5en\u00e4oliselt \u00fcletatakse 1,5 kraadi piir, mis on Pariisi kliimakokkuleppe eesm\u00e4rk. Van Vuureni s\u00f5nul seisneb probleem selles, et maailm on heitkoguste v\u00e4hendamisel liikunud pigem m\u00f6\u00f6da keskteed, selle asemel, et teha kohe suuri k\u00e4rpeid.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Kliimateadlased eeldasid varem, et k\u00f5ige mustema stsenaariumi korral on oodata ligi 4,5 kraadist \u00fcleilmse keskmise temperatuuri t\u00f5usu v\u00f5rreldes&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":180765,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[26,27,37,33,35,34,36,31,32,21,304,4326,499,28,29,285,19,289,25,4923,23,24,22,20,30],"class_list":{"0":"post-180764","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-uldised-uudised","8":"tag-breaking-news","9":"tag-breakingnews","10":"tag-ee","11":"tag-eesti","12":"tag-eesti-keel","13":"tag-estonia","14":"tag-estonian","15":"tag-featured-news","16":"tag-featurednews","17":"tag-headlines","18":"tag-keskkond","19":"tag-kliima","20":"tag-kliimasoojenemine","21":"tag-latest-news","22":"tag-latestnews","23":"tag-loodus","24":"tag-news","25":"tag-planeet","26":"tag-populaarseimad-lood","27":"tag-teadlased","28":"tag-top-stories","29":"tag-topstories","30":"tag-uldised-uudised","31":"tag-uudised","32":"tag-viimased-uudised"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ee\/116594560386734425","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180764","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=180764"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180764\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/180765"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=180764"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=180764"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=180764"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}