{"id":22225,"date":"2025-10-18T08:48:07","date_gmt":"2025-10-18T08:48:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/22225\/"},"modified":"2025-10-18T08:48:07","modified_gmt":"2025-10-18T08:48:07","slug":"viimane-valimiseelne-ennustus-ule-eesti-voidab-keskerakond-tartus-on-joudude-loplik-tasakaal-ebakindel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/22225\/","title":{"rendered":"Viimane valimiseelne ennustus: \u00fcle Eesti v\u00f5idab Keskerakond, Tartus on j\u00f5udude l\u00f5plik tasakaal ebakindel"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00dcleriiklikes tulemustes on k\u00f5ige k\u00f5rgem toetus Keskerakonnal (23,5%), kelle kandepind on tugev ennek\u00f5ike Tallinnas ja Kirde-Eesti kohalikes omavalitsustes ning oluliselt n\u00f5rgem mujal Eestis. Isamaa on 20,4 protsendilise toetusega \u00fcleriigiliselt teine k\u00f5ige populaarsem erakond, valimisliitude koondtoetus on praegu 17 protsenti.<\/p>\n<p>Tallinnas v\u00f5idab valimised v\u00e4ga suure edumaaga Keskerakond, kelle toetus valimisn\u00e4dala l\u00f5pu seisuga on pealinnas 42,1 protsenti. Teisel kohal on sotsiaaldemokraadid 16,3 protsendiga ning kolmandal Isamaa 13,6 protsendiga. Praeguse seisuga p\u00e4\u00e4sevad Tallinnas volikokku veel ka Reformierakond (10,1%), EKRE (7,2%) ja Parempoolsed (5,9%). Erakond Eesti 200 j\u00e4\u00e4b Tallinna volikogust aga viimase ennustuse kohaselt v\u00e4lja.<\/p>\n<p>Kuigi toetuste j\u00e4rgi v\u00f5tab Tallinnas v\u00f5idu Keskerakond, ei saavuta nad siiski absoluutset enamust, milleks oleks vaja volikogus v\u00e4hemalt 40 kohta. K\u00fcsitluse j\u00e4rgi koguks Keskerakond volikogus praeguse seisuga 36 kohta. Keskerakonnale j\u00e4rgneb Sotsiaaldemokraatlik erakond 13 ja Isamaa 11 mandaadiga.<\/p>\n<p>Sellele vaatamata on Keskerakond pealinnas peaaegu kindlasti linnavalitsust moodustav erakond. L\u00f5plikku Tallinna linnav\u00f5imu koosseisu on aga raske ennustada, sest Keskerakond v\u00f5iks enamusvalitsuse moodustada \u00fcksk\u00f5ik millise teise volikokku p\u00e4\u00e4seva erakonnaga.<\/p>\n<p>Kui pealinnas on v\u00f5itja selge, siis Tartus on valimisv\u00f5itlus palju tasav\u00e4gisem. Laup\u00e4evase seisuga toetab Isamaad Tartus 22,9 protsenti valijatest ja Reformierakonda 22,1 protsenti. M\u00f5lemad erakonnad saaksid k\u00fcsitluse j\u00e4rgi linnavolikogus 13 kohta. Volikokku p\u00e4\u00e4sevad Tartus kindlasti veel ka sotsiaaldemokraadid (17,4%), Keskerakond (13,1%) ja EKRE (12,4%). Nii Parempoolsed (4,6%) kui ka Eesti 200 (3,9%) j\u00e4\u00e4vad praegu Tartus valimisk\u00fcnnise alla ning Parempoolsete p\u00e4\u00e4semine Tartu volikokku on veel lahtine. Eesti 200 selle ennustuse kohaselt Tartus volikokku ei p\u00e4\u00e4se.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcsitluse tulemuste ja kasutatud mudeli kohta saab lugeda t\u00e4psemalt <a rel=\"noopener follow nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/kov2025.kusitlus.com\/.\" data-rel-date-range=\"[]\">SIIT<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>    Kuidas see lugu Sind end tundma pani?<br \/>\n        Saada<br \/>\n           <a href=\"https:\/\/www.delfi.ee\/artikkel\/120411183\/viimane-valimiseelne-ennustus-ule-eesti-voidab-keskerakond-tartus-on-joudude-loplik-tasakaal-ebakindel\/kommentaarid\" class=\"article-body-bottom__comment article-body-bottom__comment--write button button--primary button--size-auto\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n        Kommenteeri<br \/>\n       <\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.delfi.ee\/artikkel\/120411183\/viimane-valimiseelne-ennustus-ule-eesti-voidab-keskerakond-tartus-on-joudude-loplik-tasakaal-ebakindel\/kommentaarid\" class=\"article-body-bottom__comment article-body-bottom__comment--read button button--size-auto\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n        Loe kommentaare (2) <\/a>  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u00dcleriiklikes tulemustes on k\u00f5ige k\u00f5rgem toetus Keskerakonnal (23,5%), kelle kandepind on tugev ennek\u00f5ike Tallinnas ja Kirde-Eesti kohalikes omavalitsustes&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22226,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[26,27,37,33,35,34,36,31,32,21,2483,28,29,19,25,23,24,22,20,30],"class_list":{"0":"post-22225","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-eesti","8":"tag-breaking-news","9":"tag-breakingnews","10":"tag-ee","11":"tag-eesti","12":"tag-eesti-keel","13":"tag-estonia","14":"tag-estonian","15":"tag-featured-news","16":"tag-featurednews","17":"tag-headlines","18":"tag-kov-valimised-2025","19":"tag-latest-news","20":"tag-latestnews","21":"tag-news","22":"tag-populaarseimad-lood","23":"tag-top-stories","24":"tag-topstories","25":"tag-uldised-uudised","26":"tag-uudised","27":"tag-viimased-uudised"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22225","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22225"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22225\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22226"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}