{"id":90708,"date":"2026-01-22T07:59:06","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T07:59:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/90708\/"},"modified":"2026-01-22T07:59:06","modified_gmt":"2026-01-22T07:59:06","slug":"huvasti-majanduskasv-%e2%9f%a9-kui-trump-kehtestaks-tollid-saaks-baltimaadest-koige-valusamalt-pihta-eesti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/90708\/","title":{"rendered":"H\u00dcVASTI, MAJANDUSKASV \u27e9 Kui Trump kehtestaks tollid, saaks Baltimaadest k\u00f5ige valusamalt pihta Eesti"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USA president raputas eelmisel n\u00e4dalavahetusel taas rahvusvahelist kaubandust avaldusega, et alates 1. veebruarist kehtestataks 10 protsendiline tollimaks k\u00f5igile USAsse eksporditavatele kaupadele nendest Euroopa riikidest, mis ei toeta tema plaane Gr\u00f6\u00f6nimaa omastamiseks.<\/p>\n<p>Alates 1. juunist v\u00f5ib see m\u00e4\u00e4r t\u00f5usta 25 protsenti ja kehtida seni, kuni saavutatakse poliitiline kokkulepe Gr\u00f6\u00f6nimaa t\u00e4ielikuks omandamiseks. Eile s\u00f5nas Trump, et ta oma \u00e4hvardust siiski t\u00e4ide ei vii. Samas ei saa kunagi kindel olla, kuna Trump taas oma arvamust muudab.<\/p>\n<p>Sellesse Trumpi \u00abmusta nimekirja\u00bb kuuluvad Taani, Norra, Rootsi, Prantsusmaa, Saksamaa, \u00dchendkuningriik, Holland ja Soome.<\/p>\n<p>Esmapilgul v\u00f5ib see 10 protsendiline tariif tunduda ajutise l\u00e4bir\u00e4\u00e4kimistaktika v\u00f5i poliitilise survemeetmena. Ometi on sihikule j\u00e4\u00e4nud riigid \u00fched olulisemad Eesti kaubandus- ja tarneahelate partnerid. See t\u00e4hendab, et Eestile v\u00f5ivad tollid kaudselt \u00fcle kanduda aeglasema ekspordi ja majanduskasvu, v\u00e4iksemate t\u00f6\u00f6stustellimuste, jahtuva t\u00f6\u00f6turu ning aeglustuva palgakasvu kaudu.<\/p>\n<p>Millised on tagaj\u00e4rjed Eestile?<\/p>\n<p>Millised oleksid Eestile reaalsed tagaj\u00e4rjed, kui USA kehtestaks l\u00fchiajaliselt t\u00e4iendava 10-protsendilise tariifi? Eristada saab kolm v\u00f5imalikku stsenaariumi: negatiivset, neutraalset ja suhteliselt positiivset.<\/p>\n<p>Halvimal juhul kukuks Eesti SKP 2,1 protsendipunkti. Negatiivne stsenaarium tugineb \u00fcsna rangele eeldusele, et Eesti eksport nimetatud kaheksasse Euroopa riiki kukuks samas suurusj\u00e4rgus kui tariifid kasvavad, ehk umbes 10%. Selline l\u00f6\u00f6k viiks Eesti SKP kasvust ligikaudu 2,1 protsendipunkti.<\/p>\n<p>Juba enne Trumpi avaldusi prognoosis Citadele, et Eesti majandus kasvab t\u00e4navu umbes 2,3 protsenti, kuid selle stsenaariumi korral aeglustuks kasv ligikaudu 0,2 protsendini. Teisis\u00f5nu satuks Eesti majanduskasvu asemel sisuliselt stagnatsiooni. See aga kajastuks v\u00e4ltimatult ka t\u00f6\u00f6turul.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"USA president raputas eelmisel n\u00e4dalavahetusel taas rahvusvahelist kaubandust avaldusega, et alates 1. veebruarist kehtestataks 10 protsendiline tollimaks k\u00f5igile&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":90709,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[44404,131,5900,130,10478,324,37,33,35,2759,44408,44405,1850,34,36,590,44403,1356,44407,13651,1437,1968,52,889,51,44406,113,264,37952,1038,44402],"class_list":{"0":"post-90708","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ari","8":"tag-aleksandras-izgorodinas","9":"tag-ari","10":"tag-baltimaad","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-citadele-pank","13":"tag-donald-trump","14":"tag-ee","15":"tag-eesti","16":"tag-eesti-keel","17":"tag-eesti-majandus","18":"tag-eesti-skp","19":"tag-ekp-kasvuprognoos","20":"tag-eksport","21":"tag-estonia","22":"tag-estonian","23":"tag-euroopa-liit","24":"tag-groonimaa-labiraakimised","25":"tag-holland","26":"tag-imporditariifid","27":"tag-kaubandussoda","28":"tag-norra","29":"tag-palgakasv","30":"tag-prantsusmaa","31":"tag-rootsi","32":"tag-saksamaa","33":"tag-skp-kasv","34":"tag-soome","35":"tag-taani","36":"tag-tootuse-maar","37":"tag-uhendkuningriik","38":"tag-usa-tollitariifid"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ee\/115937697044023139","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90708","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90708"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90708\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90708"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90708"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ee\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90708"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}