Eurovision Betting Odds: Last Look Ahead of the Semi-Final Two Jury Show

With 50% of the results set to be determined tonight, we take one last look at the betting markets for Semi-Final Two of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

Semi-Final Two

With the jury show for Semi-Final Two of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 taking place this evening, there appears to be a clear ten favourites to qualify to the Grand Final tomorrow.

The latest odds according to Eurovision World are (change since May 10):

Denmark – Søren Torpegaard Lund – “Før vi går hjem” – 95% (+1 place, +1%)
Australia  – Delta Goodrem – “Eclipse” – 95% (-1 place)
Romania – Alexandra Căpitănescu – “Choke Me” – 94% (+1 place, +4%)
Ukraine  – Leléka – “Ridnym” – 93% (-1 place, +2%)
Bulgaria – DARA – “Bangaranga” – 81% (+2 places, + 3%)
Malta – Aidan – “Bella” – 80% (no change)
Albania – Alis – “Nân” – 77% (+3 places, +5%)
Cyprus – Antigoni – “Jalla” – 77% (-3 places, -3%)
Czechia – Daniel Zizika – “Crossroads” – 77% (+8%)
Norway – Jonas Lovv – “Ya Ya Ya” – 62% (-2 places, -10%)
Latvia – Atvara – “Ēnā” – 46% (+1 place)
Switzerland – Veronica Fusaro – “Alice” – 43% (-1 place, -2%)
Armenia – Simón – “Paloma rumba” – 39% (-4%)
Luxembourg  – Eva Marija – “Mother Nature” – 34% (-1%)
Azerbaijan  – Jiva – “Just Go” – 10% (-1%)

Odds of Victory

Since their appearance at the first semi-final, Finland has gained momentum in the odds and remains on top as the most likely to win this year’s Eurovision Song Contest. Greece, who are second in the odds, have dropped to 14%, compared to their 17.8% on May 11.

The latest odds according to Eurovision World are (change since May 11):

Finland – Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen – “Liekinheitin” – 36.6% (+0.7%)
Greece – Akylas – “Ferto” – 13.5% (-4.3%)
Denmark – Søren Torpegaard Lund – “Før vi går hjem” – 11.4% (+1.6%)
France – Monroe – “Regarde !” – 6.3% (no change)
Israel – Noam Bettan – “Michelle” – 6.2% (+1 place, +1.9%)
Australia – Delta Goodrem – “Eclipse” – 5.6% (-1 place, +0.4%)
Romania – Alexandra Căpitănescu – “Choke Me” – 3.7% (+1 place, +1%)
Italy – Sal Da Vinci – “Per sempre si” – 2.6% (+1 place)
Malta – Aidan – “Bella” – 1.7% (-2 places, -1.2%)
Ukraine – Leléka – “Ridnym” – 1.6% (+1 place)
Sweden – Felicia – “My System” – 1.3% (-1 place, -0.7%)
Moldova – Satoshi – “Viva Moldova!” – 1.4% (+3 places, +0.7%)
Croatia – Lelek – “Andromeda” – 1.2% (+1 place, +0.4%)
Cyprus – Antigoni – “Jalla” – 0.8% (-2 places, -0.2%)
Czechia – Daniel Zizika – “Crossroads” – 0.7% (-2 places, -0.1%)
Bulgaria – DARA – “Bangaranga” – 0.7% (no change)
Albania – Alis – “Nân” – 0.6% (+0.1%)
Luxembourg – Eva Marija – “Mother Nature” – 0.4% (-1 place, -0.2%)
Serbia – Lavina – “Kraj mene” – 0.4% (+3 places)
United Kingdom – Look Mum No Computer – “Eins, zwei, drei” – 0.4% (-1 place)
Lithuania – Lion Ceecah – “Sólo quiero más” – 0.4% (no change)
Norway – Jonas Lovv – “Ya Ya Ya” – 0.3% (-2 places, -0.2%)
Poland – Alicja – “Pray” – 0.3% (+6 places, +0.1%)
Germany – Sarah Engels – “Fire” – 0.3% (-1 place)
Armenia – Simón – “Paloma rumba” – 0.2% (no change)
Latvia – Atvara – “Ēnā” – 0.2% (-2 places)
Switzerland – Veronica Fusaro – “Alice” – 0.2% (-1 place)
Belgium – Essyla – “Dancing on the Ice” –  0.2% (+3 places)
Austria – Cosmó – “Tanzschien” –  0.2% (-2 places)
Azerbaijan – Jiva – “Just Go” –  0.2% (+5 places)

Source: Eurovision World