{"id":35753,"date":"2026-05-08T15:08:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T15:08:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/35753\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T15:08:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T15:08:13","slug":"debriefed-8-may-2026-eu-eyes-fossil-fuel-exemptions-wind-and-solar-save-uk-1-7bn-amazon-tipping-point","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/35753\/","title":{"rendered":"DeBriefed 8 May 2026: EU eyes fossil-fuel exemptions | Wind and solar save UK \u2018\u00a31.7bn\u2019 | Amazon \u2018tipping point\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Welcome to Carbon Brief\u2019s DeBriefed.\u00a0<br \/>An essential guide to the week\u2019s key developments relating to climate change.<\/p>\n<p>\u2018Leeway\u2019 for fossil fuels<\/p>\n<p>METHANE EXEMPTION: The European Commission is considering making changes to its flagship methane emissions regulation to give fossil-fuel companies \u201cleeway to avoid penalties\u2026in what would be a major win for the oil and gas sector\u201d, reported <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/eu-floats-making-it-easy-for-oil-companies-to-break-methane-rules\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Politico<\/a>. According to new draft government guidelines seen by the outlet, \u201cnational authorities would be able to grant exemptions to companies on energy security grounds\u201d. A separate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/under-us-pressure-eu-softens-climate-superpollutant-methane-rules\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Politico<\/a> story said the move comes after the Trump administration \u201chas intensified pressure on the regulation\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>GAS EXPANSION: The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2026\/may\/06\/norwegian-government-rebuked-over-decision-to-reopen-north-sea-gas-fields\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Guardian<\/a> reported that the Norwegian government has been \u201cheavily criticised for approving plans to reopen three North Sea gasfields nearly three decades after they were closed\u201d, with the justification of helping to \u201cfill the gap in energy supplies created by the Middle East war\u201d. Oslo has also given its approval for oil and gas companies to explore 70 new locations in the North Sea, Barents Sea and Norwegian Sea, the newspaper added.<\/p>\n<p>RENEWABLES INVESTMENT: The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/9921f2b5-c910-4cec-a50f-cad453935a1a\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Financial Times<\/a> reported that investors are \u201cpiling into clean-power funds at the fastest pace in five years as the Iran war accelerates a global push for energy security and alternatives to oil and gas, boosting a slew of stocks linked to the transition away from fossil fuels\u201d. It added that more than \u00a33bn has been invested in global funds linked to renewable energy in April, bringing their total net asset value up to $43bn.<\/p>\n<p>SHIPPING TALKS: Nations are \u201cback on track\u201d to adopt a framework for curbing global shipping emissions, following the latest International Maritime Organization\u2019s meeting in London, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/qa-how-countries-got-the-global-net-zero-shipping-deal-back-on-track\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Carbon Brief<\/a> Q&amp;A.<\/p>\n<p>SUPER El NI\u00d1O: Global sea temperatures were the second highest on record for the month of April, \u201cstoking concerns among scientists that an El Ni\u00f1o warming cycle is brewing that would intensify extreme weather\u201d, reported the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/e15fc53f-3914-46e1-ab8c-a5de116fa044?syn-25a6b1a6=1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Financial Times<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>ROUND-THE-CLOCK: An International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) report found that \u201csolar and wind power paired with battery storage systems are already delivering reliable, round-the-clock electricity at a lower cost than fossil fuel-dominated energy systems in a growing number of regions\u201d, said <a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessgreen.com\/news\/4529259\/irena-round-clock-renewable-power-frequently-cheaper-fossil-fuels\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BusinessGreen<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>KENYA FLOODS: At least 18 people have died in floods and landslides driven by heavy rain in Kenya, reported <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2026\/5\/3\/floods-and-landslides-kill-at-least-18-in-kenya\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Al Jazeera<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>0.15C<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">The average amount by which trees lower summer temperatures in cities globally, according to research in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-026-71825-x\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nature Communications<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Airborne microplastics and nanoplastics have the potential to contribute to warming by absorbing sunlight | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41558-026-02620-1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nature Climate Change<\/a><\/p>\n<p>A mega tsunami in Alaska in 2025 was \u201cpreconditioned by glacial retreat caused by climate change\u201d | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/10.1126\/science.aec3187\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Science<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cNet-zero global power systems meeting universal electricity needs for decent living standards are technically feasible\u201d | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41560-026-02054-1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nature Energy<\/a><\/p>\n<p>(For more, see Carbon Brief\u2019s in-depth daily summaries of the top climate news stories on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/daily-brief\/clean-shipping-deal-still-in-play-methane-leaks-continue-more-free-euets-permits\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tuesday<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/daily-brief\/germany-pushes-industry-to-cut-carbon-indias-power-high-microplastics\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Wednesday<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/daily-brief\/round-the-clock-renewables-eu-floats-easy-methane-rules-mega-tsunami-risk\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Thursday<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/daily-brief\/extreme-weather-brewing-attenborough-turns-100-bps-carbon-capture-sell-off\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Friday<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Wind_and_solar-1024x585.png\" alt=\"Chart showing that wind and solar have saved UK from gas imports worth \u00a31.7bn since Iran war began\" class=\"wp-image-62330\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>The UK has avoided the need for gas imports worth \u00a31.7bn since the start of the Iran war, as a result of record electricity generation from wind and solar, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-wind-and-solar-have-saved-uk-from-gas-imports-worth-1-7bn-since-iran-war-began\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Carbon Brief<\/a> analysis. The chart above shows that wind and solar have generated a record 21 terawatt hours (TWh) on the island of Great Britain since the end of February 2026, when the US and Israel first attacked Iran. The record wind and solar output avoided the need to import 41TWh of gas \u2013 roughly 34 tankers of liquified natural gas (LNG). Importing those 34 tankers of LNG would have cost around \u00a31.7bn, according to Carbon Brief analysis.<\/p>\n<p>Tipping troubles<\/p>\n<p>New <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10456-0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">research<\/a> published this week shows how even small increases in global temperature, when combined with deforestation, could push the Amazon rainforest past a \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/explainer-nine-tipping-points-that-could-be-triggered-by-climate-change\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tipping point<\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Crossing this threshold would trigger the gradual transition of vast swathes of the lush rainforest into dry savannah.<\/p>\n<p>On the sidelines of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.egu.eu\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">European Geosciences Union<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.egu26.eu\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">general assembly<\/a>in Vienna, Carbon Brief speaks to lead author <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pik-potsdam.de\/members\/nicowun\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Prof Nico Wunderling<\/a>from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goethe-university-frankfurt.de\/en\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Goethe University Frankfurt<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pik-potsdam.de\/en\/home\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Carbon Brief: Why does the Amazon rainforest have a tipping point?<\/p>\n<p>Prof Nico Wunderling: All tipping elements have important feedback mechanisms that once a threshold \u2013 the tipping point \u2013 is crossed, kick in and a change in the system is self-amplified. For the Amazon rainforest, this important feedback mechanism is the atmospheric moisture recycling \u2013 meaning that the rainforest generates much of its own rainfall.<\/p>\n<p>For eastern parts of the rainforest, moisture mostly comes from the Atlantic. The rainfall it receives then evaporates and is transported towards the west. And, just to give you a sense of how large this feedback can be, for parts of the rainforest, more than 50% of its rainfall is generated by the forest itself.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"682\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/MDF_8287_web.jpg\" alt=\"Prof Nico Wunderling. Credit: Supplied\" class=\"wp-image-62355\"  \/>Prof Nico Wunderling. Credit: Supplied<\/p>\n<p>CB: How do global warming and deforestation both play a role in a potential tipping point?<\/p>\n<p>NW: Both global warming and deforestation undermine this atmospheric moisture recycling. The direct way is deforestation \u2013 we cut down the forest, we lose major parts of the evapotranspiration, so you have less rainfall for the downwind forest. Also, global warming impacts the rainforest \u2013 it increases the number and intensity of droughts, which decreases the overall available rainfall and, therefore, can decrease the stability of the rainforest, which also leads to an undermining of the atmospheric moisture recycling.<\/p>\n<p>Around 17% of the Amazon rainforest has already been lost. The critical threshold in our study is in the order of 22-28% of deforestation.<\/p>\n<p>CB: Would such a transition be Amazon-wide? Or would it happen in pockets or regions?<\/p>\n<p>NW: That actually depends on the other pressures that we expose the rainforest to. What we found is that, under climate change only [with no deforestation], the threshold kicks in at around 3.7-4C of warming. If that is crossed, then we find that around one-third of the Amazon rainforest is at risk of transitioning to a degraded ecosystem.<\/p>\n<p>Then, if deforestation is also included [at 22-28%], this threshold comes down to well within the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/interactive-the-paris-agreement-on-climate-change\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Paris Agreement<\/a> limits \u2013 1.5-1.9C of global warming. At the same time, the area at risk of transition increases from around one-third to around two-thirds to three-quarters.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>CB: In your paper, you say that crossing a tipping point is \u201cnot inevitable\u201d \u2013 can you elaborate?<\/p>\n<p>NW: In a way, for the Amazon rainforest, we\u2019re in a better situation than with other tipping elements, because we have multiple options for improving our situation. One is we can stop global warming \u2013 we can stop emitting and curb emissions before we reach the 2C target. That\u2019s important for the Amazon rainforest. But crucial for the Amazon rainforest is that deforestation levels are halted below 22-28%.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>And, indeed, current trends across the Amazon rainforest show that efforts to decrease deforestation are in place and they seem to work. If these trends continue, then I\u2019m mildly optimistic that we will not reach 22-28%. But, if you would have asked me the same question five years ago, I might have said that, well, by mid-century, these values could be reached.<\/p>\n<p>AFRICA RENEWABLES: A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbcafrica.com\/media\/7777980462820\/africas-renewable-rise-the-shift-from-climate-policy-to-energy-security\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CNBC Africa<\/a> TV report examined the continent\u2019s \u201crenewables rise\u201d and the \u201cshift from climate policy to energy security\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u2018CLIMATE MONSTER\u2019: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/06\/opinion\/el-nino-climate.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">New York Times<\/a> writer David Wallace-Wells has a long read on the approach of \u201cperhaps the most fearsome El Ni\u00f1o since before scientists even began modeling them\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>SANTA MARTA SUMMIT: For the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/countries-must-back-commitments-to-transition-from-fossil-fuels-with-action-282118\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Conversation<\/a>, two political researchers lay out \u201cfour dynamics to watch\u201d to determine whether the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/santa-marta-key-outcomes-from-first-summit-on-transitioning-away-from-fossil-fuels\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">first conference<\/a> on transitioning away from fossil fuels in Santa Marta, Colombia \u201cbecomes more than rhetoric\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>8-9 May: Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) <a href=\"https:\/\/asean.org\/about-asean\/asean-summit\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">leaders summit<\/a>, Cebu, Philippines<\/p>\n<p>10-14 May: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Working Group III second lead author <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.ipcc.ch\/calendar\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">meeting<\/a> for the seventh assessment report, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia<\/p>\n<p>11-12 May: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) ministerial council <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oecd-events.org\/e\/gpn2026\/en\/eventagenda\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">meeting<\/a>, Paris<\/p>\n<p>11-15 May: <a href=\"https:\/\/enb.iisd.org\/un-forum-forests-unff21\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">21st session<\/a> of the UN forum on forests, New York<\/p>\n<p>12 May: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/americas\/bahamas-heads-early-election-may-12-2026-04-01\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bahamas election<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">DeBriefed is edited by Daisy Dunne. Please send any tips or feedback to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/cdn-cgi\/l\/email-protection#9bfffef9e9f2fefdfeffdbf8fae9f9f4f5f9e9f2fefdb5f4e9fc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">[email\u00a0protected]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">This is an online version of Carbon Brief\u2019s weekly DeBriefed email newsletter. Subscribe for\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/subscribe.carbonbrief.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">free here.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Welcome to Carbon Brief\u2019s DeBriefed.\u00a0An essential guide to the week\u2019s key developments relating to climate change. \u2018Leeway\u2019 for&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":35754,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[10278,23533,39,40,1702,760,6573,23534,23535,23536,6574,23537],"class_list":{"0":"post-35753","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-eu","8":"tag-amazon","9":"tag-debriefed","10":"tag-eu","11":"tag-european-union","12":"tag-fossil-fuel","13":"tag-renewable-energy","14":"tag-solar","15":"tag-tipping-point","16":"tag-tipping-points","17":"tag-uk-renewable-energy","18":"tag-wind","19":"tag-wind-and-solar"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35753","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35753"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35753\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/35754"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35753"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35753"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/europe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35753"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}