Reform UK are no longer bookmakers’ favourites to win the most seats at the next UK general election, according to Ladbrokes. The latest odds put Labour Party in front at 13/8, with Reform drifting to 7/4. Conservative Party are at 11/2, followed by the Green Party of England and Wales (8/1), Restore Britain (20/1), and the Liberal Democrats (40/1).
Ladbrokes said it was the first time since May 2025 that Reform had not been favourites. The shift comes amid signs of softening momentum for Reform and growing fragmentation on the right, potentially linked to Rupert Lowe’s new party, Restore Britain, splitting votes. Recent polling also suggests a volatile landscape, with the Greens gaining ground and Labour slipping in vote share.
While betting markets are not forecasts, the movement in odds indicates declining confidence among punters that Reform will win the most seats at the next election.
I wonder if the ex tories joining Reform have damaged their reputation.
The party is populated by Conservative failures of 2010-2024… it’s too fresh in everyones memory.
Revealing a ‘shadow cabinet’ of proven losers and dunces has lengthened their odds. Who’d have thunk it?
I think it’s mostly because they’re fucking terrible at running local councils, they’re a bunch of fascist, racist bigoted frauds and sexual predators but apart from that
To the surprise of no one.
For all his faults, Alastair Campbell was right. The more people treated Farage and Reform like politicians, and the more exposure they got in politics, the sooner they would fail.
Reform’s tenure at local authority level has been nothing short of an abject disaster, they’ve broken the only 2 promises they made, and they’re suffering for it.
Wow would you look at that, turns out polls for a reactionary new party that gains popularity a year into a parliament actually aren’t all that relevant on elections that are several years away.
They’re obviously a force but their potential has been over inflated by certain pollsters, bots on line and the constant media exposure they get. They have a very loyal base but I don’t see that expanding massively and people will act differently if they think there’s a genuine chance of them getting in rather than it being a protest vote.
Wow almost like polling figures mean jack shit compared to actual polling results. Same thing happened with Donald. I could’ve swore American Reddit was convinced Kamala was going to win in a landslide.
This has to do with Restore Britain. They are taking some of the Reform votes.
This thread smells of complacency. They can still bounce back and still need to be treated seriously.
Were they ever really? Polls are utterly meaningless this far from an election. It’s basically a referendum on the government rather than a real political choice
I reckon if they dumped Farage (which is what I suspect they’ll put into motion immediately if they do win), they’d have significantly more support than they do now. Probably enough to make the win inevitable.
what’s interesting is the lack of media coverage on this when it was the other way around it was everywhere
Wonder if that Jeremy Clarkson article had an impact here?
Probably because their leader supports the orange clown. They also have plans to bring in a UK version of ICE which is almost universally hated. If you want support, try not being fascist shaped.
Vince Cable put it best when he said “Never underestimate Farrage’s ability to grab defeat from the jaws of victory”.
They never anyone s favourite
They were hipped by the lunatics/billionaires that brought us brexshite
I’ve been saying for months that polls at the moment mean nothing. Start looking in 2028 at the earliest. With Labour’s massive majority there is no way they’re going to have an early GE and in a couple of years time some of the more positive things they are doing will start to break through. Reform’s record in local councils is going to be dire…It’s already falling apart at that level. The bunch of Tories that are joining are making them look Tories 2.0 and Lowe’s new venture is going to strip away some support too.
Hopefully, people are waking up to the fact that Reform started out as Poundland MAGA and are now little more than a dumping ground for the loony wing of the Tory party.
Yeah, I would be embarrassed to vote for a party with that many members mentioned in the Epstein files. Reform-peados party more like!
Bookies odds are just a representation of numbers of people placing bets and whilst they shouldn’t be dismissed the best way, so far, to gage support is by trends over multiple polls….it does seem Reform has somewhat reached a peak (I hope). Will be interesting to see what happens in Gorton and Denton….this could bolster Reform, Green or neither. Also, we desperately need to change our voting system. If we don’t, there’s a possibility Reform could win a huge majority on a lower percentage of the vote than Labour did in the last GE.
That’s good, hope they never get in power. But I’m honestly also sick of this Labour government and their ridiculous campaign to irreparably change the way we use the internet. I can’t see any other government ever getting rid of the laws they bring in because they would benefit from them too much.
Outstanding. Farage is a cancer on Britain along with Tommy Robinson.
Shock news: Party stuffed full of the worst of the Tory party rejects is no longer as popular as they were.
25 comments
Reform UK are no longer bookmakers’ favourites to win the most seats at the next UK general election, according to Ladbrokes. The latest odds put Labour Party in front at 13/8, with Reform drifting to 7/4. Conservative Party are at 11/2, followed by the Green Party of England and Wales (8/1), Restore Britain (20/1), and the Liberal Democrats (40/1).
Ladbrokes said it was the first time since May 2025 that Reform had not been favourites. The shift comes amid signs of softening momentum for Reform and growing fragmentation on the right, potentially linked to Rupert Lowe’s new party, Restore Britain, splitting votes. Recent polling also suggests a volatile landscape, with the Greens gaining ground and Labour slipping in vote share.
While betting markets are not forecasts, the movement in odds indicates declining confidence among punters that Reform will win the most seats at the next election.
I wonder if the ex tories joining Reform have damaged their reputation.
The party is populated by Conservative failures of 2010-2024… it’s too fresh in everyones memory.
Revealing a ‘shadow cabinet’ of proven losers and dunces has lengthened their odds. Who’d have thunk it?
I think it’s mostly because they’re fucking terrible at running local councils, they’re a bunch of fascist, racist bigoted frauds and sexual predators but apart from that
To the surprise of no one.
For all his faults, Alastair Campbell was right. The more people treated Farage and Reform like politicians, and the more exposure they got in politics, the sooner they would fail.
Reform’s tenure at local authority level has been nothing short of an abject disaster, they’ve broken the only 2 promises they made, and they’re suffering for it.
Wow would you look at that, turns out polls for a reactionary new party that gains popularity a year into a parliament actually aren’t all that relevant on elections that are several years away.
They’re obviously a force but their potential has been over inflated by certain pollsters, bots on line and the constant media exposure they get. They have a very loyal base but I don’t see that expanding massively and people will act differently if they think there’s a genuine chance of them getting in rather than it being a protest vote.
Wow almost like polling figures mean jack shit compared to actual polling results. Same thing happened with Donald. I could’ve swore American Reddit was convinced Kamala was going to win in a landslide.
This has to do with Restore Britain. They are taking some of the Reform votes.
This thread smells of complacency. They can still bounce back and still need to be treated seriously.
Were they ever really? Polls are utterly meaningless this far from an election. It’s basically a referendum on the government rather than a real political choice
I reckon if they dumped Farage (which is what I suspect they’ll put into motion immediately if they do win), they’d have significantly more support than they do now. Probably enough to make the win inevitable.
what’s interesting is the lack of media coverage on this when it was the other way around it was everywhere
Wonder if that Jeremy Clarkson article had an impact here?
Probably because their leader supports the orange clown. They also have plans to bring in a UK version of ICE which is almost universally hated. If you want support, try not being fascist shaped.
Vince Cable put it best when he said “Never underestimate Farrage’s ability to grab defeat from the jaws of victory”.
They never anyone s favourite
They were hipped by the lunatics/billionaires that brought us brexshite
I’ve been saying for months that polls at the moment mean nothing. Start looking in 2028 at the earliest. With Labour’s massive majority there is no way they’re going to have an early GE and in a couple of years time some of the more positive things they are doing will start to break through. Reform’s record in local councils is going to be dire…It’s already falling apart at that level. The bunch of Tories that are joining are making them look Tories 2.0 and Lowe’s new venture is going to strip away some support too.
Hopefully, people are waking up to the fact that Reform started out as Poundland MAGA and are now little more than a dumping ground for the loony wing of the Tory party.
Yeah, I would be embarrassed to vote for a party with that many members mentioned in the Epstein files. Reform-peados party more like!
Bookies odds are just a representation of numbers of people placing bets and whilst they shouldn’t be dismissed the best way, so far, to gage support is by trends over multiple polls….it does seem Reform has somewhat reached a peak (I hope). Will be interesting to see what happens in Gorton and Denton….this could bolster Reform, Green or neither. Also, we desperately need to change our voting system. If we don’t, there’s a possibility Reform could win a huge majority on a lower percentage of the vote than Labour did in the last GE.
That’s good, hope they never get in power. But I’m honestly also sick of this Labour government and their ridiculous campaign to irreparably change the way we use the internet. I can’t see any other government ever getting rid of the laws they bring in because they would benefit from them too much.
Outstanding. Farage is a cancer on Britain along with Tommy Robinson.
Shock news: Party stuffed full of the worst of the Tory party rejects is no longer as popular as they were.