{"id":203664,"date":"2025-06-25T16:46:10","date_gmt":"2025-06-25T16:46:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/fr\/203664\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T16:46:10","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T16:46:10","slug":"un-nouveau-coup-dur-pour-leconomie-iranienne-deja-fragilisee-par-les-sanctions-internationales","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/fr\/203664\/","title":{"rendered":"un nouveau coup dur pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie iranienne, d\u00e9j\u00e0 fragilis\u00e9e par les sanctions internationales"},"content":{"rendered":"

D\u00c9CRYPTAGE – <\/strong>Si un fragile cessez-le-feu est entr\u00e9 en vigueur mardi, les frappes isra\u00e9liennes durant les douze jours de conflit ont menac\u00e9 de couper T\u00e9h\u00e9ran de son indispensable manne p\u00e9troli\u00e8re, alors que l\u2019\u00e9conomie du pays est d\u00e9j\u00e0 dans la tourmente.<\/p>\n

Jusqu\u2019o\u00f9 peut aller la r\u00e9silience de l\u2019\u00e9conomie iranienne\u00a0? Difficile \u00e0 dire, alors que les cendres commencent tout juste \u00e0 refroidir \u00e0 T\u00e9h\u00e9ran, apr\u00e8s qu\u2019un fragile cessez-le-feu<\/a>\u00a0est entr\u00e9 en vigueur mardi. Pendant les douze jours de ce conflit ouvert entre Isra\u00ebl et l\u2019Iran, plusieurs sites de production p\u00e9troli\u00e8re, des pipelines, des raffineries et des terminaux d\u2019exportation ont \u00e9t\u00e9 durement frapp\u00e9s, mettant en danger\u00a0la principale ressource financi\u00e8re de la R\u00e9publique islamique<\/a>. \u00abCes actifs repr\u00e9sentent des d\u00e9cennies d\u2019investissement, ils sont les fondements de la survie \u00e9conomique du pays\u00bb, souligne Sara Bazoobandi, chercheuse \u00e0 l\u2019Institut de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de Kiel (Allemagne) et associ\u00e9e au German Institute for Global and Area Studies (GIGA).<\/p>\n

L\u2019\u00e9conomie iranienne, d\u00e9j\u00e0 mal en point, n\u2019avait pas besoin de cela. Les pr\u00e9visions de croissance du PIB pour cette ann\u00e9e se sont effondr\u00e9es \u00e0 0,3 %, bien loin des 3,5 % enregistr\u00e9s l\u2019an pass\u00e9, selon le FMI. En particulier, le PIB nominal exprim\u00e9 en dollars plonge. Il passera de 401 milliards de dollars en 2024 \u00e0 341 milliards en 2025, en raison de la chute vertigineuse du rial (-30% en dix ans). De quoi amplifier la crise du pouvoir d\u2019achat dans un pays o\u00f9 les importations repr\u00e9sentent plus de 10% du PIB, d\u2019apr\u00e8s la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 d\u2019assurance cr\u00e9dit Coface<\/p>\n

\n Cet article est r\u00e9serv\u00e9 aux abonn\u00e9s. Il vous reste 81% \u00e0 d\u00e9couvrir.\n <\/p>\n

\"Le<\/p>\n

Vente Flash<\/p>\n

3,99\u20ac par mois pendant 12 mois. Sans engagement.<\/p>\n

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