{"id":938946,"date":"2026-05-17T14:32:16","date_gmt":"2026-05-17T14:32:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/fr\/938946\/"},"modified":"2026-05-17T14:32:16","modified_gmt":"2026-05-17T14:32:16","slug":"nicolas-baverez-leconomie-francaise-laminee-par-un-triple-choc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/fr\/938946\/","title":{"rendered":"Nicolas Baverez\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0L\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise lamin\u00e9e par un triple choc\u00a0\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n CHRONIQUE –<\/strong> \u00c0 la crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique caus\u00e9e par la guerre en Iran et le blocage du d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz, s\u2019ajoutent une commotion fiscale et un \u00e9tranglement financier li\u00e9 \u00e0 la perte de contr\u00f4le des finances publiques, d\u2019origine int\u00e9rieure.<\/p>\n

L\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise a bascul\u00e9 dans la\u00a0stagflation<\/a>. La croissance a \u00e9t\u00e9 nulle au premier trimestre. L\u2019inflation a doubl\u00e9 en un an pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir \u00e0 2,2\u00a0% en avril. Le\u00a0ch\u00f4mage<\/a>\u00a0a bondi \u00e0 8,1\u00a0% de la population active, en hausse de 0,7\u00a0% sur un an. Le\u00a0d\u00e9ficit commercial<\/a>\u00a0s\u2019est creus\u00e9 \u00e0 14,1\u00a0milliards d\u2019euros, soit une d\u00e9gradation de 2,8\u00a0milliards sur trois mois.<\/p>\n

La France n\u2019est certes pas le seul pays durement frapp\u00e9 par le choc p\u00e9trolier d\u00e9clench\u00e9 par la guerre d\u2019Iran et le blocage du d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz. Et ce en raison de la hausse du prix des hydrocarbures, qui transf\u00e8re 1,5\u00a0% du PIB vers les pays producteurs – contre 3\u00a0% du PIB en 1973, quand la valeur du baril avait quadrupl\u00e9. Notre \u00e9conomie se trouve cependant dans une situation singuli\u00e8re qui l\u2019expose de mani\u00e8re exceptionnelle. Elle est en effet touch\u00e9e par trois chocs\u00a0: \u00e0 la crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique, d\u2019origine ext\u00e9rieure, s\u2019ajoutent une commotion fiscale et un \u00e9tranglement financier li\u00e9 \u00e0 la perte de contr\u00f4le des finances publiques, d\u2019origine\u2026<\/p>\n

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