With just a few weeks to go before three key state elections, an INSA poll shows Germany’s conservative bloc performing worse nationwide than it has for almost five years.
In its weekly survey, which the polling organization conducts for Sunday tabloid Bild am Sonntag, Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s conservatives – made up of the Christian Democratic Union and its Bavarian sister party the Christian Social Union – are now polling at just 20%.
According to the newspaper, this is the lowest figure recorded by INSA for the conservatives since October 2021 and one percentage point lower than the previous week.
The far-right Alternative for Germany remains the clear frontrunner with 28%.
The Greens remain unchanged at 13%, while the Social Democrats and The Left each remain at 12%.
As in the previous week, the Free Democrats would reach the threshold to enter parliament with 5% if an election were held on Sunday. The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance, on the other hand, would fail to meet the threshold, with 3% of votes.
Three state elections are due to take place in September. Saxony-Anhalt kicks things off on September 6, followed by Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin on September 20. The AfD is set to see record gains. In Saxony-Anhalt, the party could even gain an unprecedented absolute majority, allowing it to enter a state government for the first time.
INSA surveyed 1,203 people from August 10 to 14. The institute put the margin of error at plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
FILE PHOTO – The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) logo is seen at the CDU federal headquarters (Konrad-Adenauer-Haus). (is associated with: «Poll sees Germany’s conservatives at lowest level since October 2021») Christoph Soeder/dpa