{"id":53105,"date":"2026-07-12T08:04:11","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T08:04:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/53105\/"},"modified":"2026-07-12T08:04:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T08:04:11","slug":"chinas-auto-shipments-to-eu-surge-but-could-be-near-their-peak-european-analysts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/53105\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s auto shipments to EU surge, but could be near their peak: European analysts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p datatype=\"p\" data-qa=\"Component-Component\" class=\"e8zc9q40 css-1c6uqr6 ec74h0k1\">One in every 10 new cars registered in the European Union in May was from a Chinese brand, but European analysts say the rapid rise could be approaching a turning point as Brussels moves to extend tariffs and Germany hardens its trade stance.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Germany, long a brake on tougher EU trade measures against China, is signalling greater support for <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_self\" class=\"e1yy41x40 ef9u0v01 css-1ankfgb ecgc78b0\" href=\"https:\/\/sc.mp\/e523s?utm_source=copy-link&amp;utm_campaign=3359262&amp;utm_medium=share_widget\" title=\"\" data-qa=\"BaseLink-renderAnchor-StyledAnchor\">trade-defence instruments<\/a>, a shift which analysts said could reshape the bloc\u2019s trade approach to China.<\/p>\n<p datatype=\"p\" data-qa=\"Component-Component\" class=\"e8zc9q40 css-1c6uqr6 ec74h0k1\">\u201cWe\u2019re at the turning point,\u201d said Beatrix Keim, director of Centre Automotive Research in Germany, lowering her forecast for Chinese brands\u2019 European market share to 15 per cent by 2035, from a previous projection of 20 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, Brussels imposed definitive <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_self\" class=\"e1yy41x40 ef9u0v01 css-1ankfgb ecgc78b0\" href=\"https:\/\/sc.mp\/n90f0?utm_source=copy-link&amp;utm_campaign=3359799&amp;utm_medium=share_widget\" title=\"\" data-qa=\"BaseLink-renderAnchor-StyledAnchor\">anti-dumping duties<\/a> on Chinese passenger-car and light-truck tyres, arguing that a surge of low-priced imports had caused material injury to European producers.<\/p>\n<p datatype=\"p\" data-qa=\"Component-Component\" class=\"e8zc9q40 css-1c6uqr6 ec74h0k1\">PHEVs, Chinese brands\u2019 fastest-growing segment in Europe, could be the next target for Brussels. Registrations surged about 270 per cent in the first five months, according to Dataforce, although the cars remained subject only to the EU\u2019s standard 10 per cent import tariff \u2013 \u201ca loophole the EU unfortunately left in the original penalty-tariff regulation\u201d, Keim said.<\/p>\n<p datatype=\"p\" data-qa=\"Component-Component\" class=\"e8zc9q40 css-1c6uqr6 ec74h0k1\">The European Commission was also preparing anti-subsidy duties on Chinese PHEVs, according to German business publication Handelsblatt. Any proposal would require a fresh investigation, though Stefan Bratzel, director of the Centre of Automotive Management, said it was \u201cnot unlikely\u201d the vehicles would be brought under the tariff regime.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"One in every 10 new cars registered in the European Union in May was from a Chinese brand,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":53106,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[18,1002,23154,89,42744,6294,3309,722,5,2232,11838,10069,42742,42743,156],"class_list":["post-53105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-germany","tag-berlin","tag-brussels","tag-byd","tag-china","tag-china-passenger-car-association","tag-chinese","tag-european-commission","tag-european-union","tag-germany","tag-hungary","tag-kiel-institute-for-the-world-economy","tag-leapmotor","tag-may","tag-phevs","tag-spain"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53105\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/53106"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/germany\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}