Updated Aug. 11, 2026, 1:10 p.m. ET

The 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship will be held at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee.Golfweek’s experts have provided their top picks for the outright winner of the tournament.Sam Burns was selected by two different experts as a potential winner.Other notable picks include Tommy Fleetwood, Hideki Matsuyama, and Xander Schauffele.

The 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship tees off on Thursday, Aug. 13, from TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee. Golfweek’s experts have locked in our best picks to win this weekend. Here’s who we expect to sit atop the leaderboard when play ends on Sunday.

Follow along with all the action this week with Golfweek and USA TODAY Sports for a live leaderboard, golfer rankings and money list.

FedEx St. Jude Championship Outright WinnerSam Burns of the United States reacts after putt shot on the 18th green on day three of the The 154th Open Championship at Royal Birkdale on July 18, 2026 in Southport, England.Todd Kelly: Sam Burns (+2000)

Burns won’t be the betting favorite when Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are in the field, but he does have the fourth-best odds to win in Memphis. He’s had some close calls this season, so here’s a vote that he breaks through for his sixth PGA Tour win and first in three years.

Need a news break? Check out the all new PLAY hub with puzzles, games and more!Cameron Jourdan: Tommy Fleetwood (+2000)

I can’t believe I’m actually picking Tommy Fleetwood to win a PGA Tour event. Yes, he did win the Tour Championship last year, but he also had this tournament in his fingers when it slipped through at the last minute. Feels like he’s due for another breakthrough.

Nick Stavas: Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)

Matsuyama might just be the hottest player in the world without a win in 2026. He’s made 20 cuts in a row, he’s placed no worse than T-14 since the U.S. Open in June, and he enters this week off three straight top-10 finishes. Plus, he won this event two years ago, so he’s proven he can go deep at TPC Southwind. For the second straight week, I’m riding with the golfing pride of Japan to finally get back into the winner’s circle.

Adam Schupak: J.J. Spaun (+5500)

J.J. is dynamite at TPC Southwind. Lost in a playoff last year and held the 54-hole lead previously. He’s due. Tom Kim (+4000) and past champion Hideki Matsuyama (+2500) are also good course fits and playing top-notch golf of late.

Tim Schmitt: Sam Burns (+2000)

Burns has played well here, including a T-5 finish in 2024. And he’s got three top-5 finishes in his last five starts this year. This seems like the right time.

Blake Schuster: Xander Schauffele (+1800)

Xander has a sneakily strong track record at this event with six Top 25 finishes in nine starts, including a tie for second place in 2025. After a solid showing in Detroit, he’s firmly in the hunt for a win here.

David Dusek: Sam Burns (+2000)

It’s funny how seemingly every time Sam Burns appears on the Golf Channel, CBS or NBC broadcast, the analyst invariably says something like, “Here’s Sam Burns putting for birdie. You know, he’s one of the best putters on the PGA Tour … ” and then the 15-foot putt burns the lip. That said, Burns does rank third on the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting, but he hasn’t won this season. Runner-up at the U.S. Open, third at the Open Championship, but no hardware in 2026. Well, that ends now as the LSU standout begins his march toward winning his first Tour Championship.

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