{"id":35017,"date":"2026-07-11T19:07:11","date_gmt":"2026-07-11T19:07:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/35017\/"},"modified":"2026-07-11T19:07:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-11T19:07:11","slug":"2026-open-championship-odds-picks-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-predictions-by-model-that-nailed-17-majors-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/35017\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Open Championship odds, picks: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy predictions by model that nailed 17 majors"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Americans have won each of the last three British Opens, with Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele and Brian Harman prevailing. Not since 2003-06 have U.S.-born golfers won this major four straight times, a drought that many will try to end at The Open 2026. In addition to the aforementioned, the likes of Bryson DeChambeau, Cameron Young and Wyndham Clark are contenders to claim the 2026 Open Championship. Meanwhile, Rory McIlroy and Matt Fitzpatrick are among the Brits looking to triumph at the British Open 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Scheffler is the +750 co-favorite in Open Championship 2026 odds to repeat after last year&#8217;s victory alongside McIlroy. Tommy Fleetwood (+1800), Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000) and Jon Rahm (+2000) round out the top five. Jordan Spieth, who won The Open the last time Royal Birkdale hosted in 2017, is a +6000 golf longshot to utilize in 2026 British Open bets. Before locking in any 2026 Open Championship   picks, be sure to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-wyndham-clark\/#ttag=07072026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">see the 2026 Open Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Visit our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0review to see their latest offers and get started.<\/p>\n<p>SportsLine&#8217;s proprietary <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/golf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">golf betting<\/a> model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every PGA Tour event 10,000 times. This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters &#8212; its fifth Masters in a row &#8212; as well as last year&#8217;s PGA Championship and Open Championship.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Now that the 2026 British Open field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-wyndham-clark\/#ttag=07072026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>2026 Open Championship   predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Wyndham Clark<\/p>\n<p>One pick from the model for The Open 2026: Wyndham Clark (+3300), the latest major champion after winning the U.S. Open for the second time, stumbles big time and barely cracks the top 25. While Clark has seemingly figured out the courses utilized for the U.S. Open, the same can&#8217;t be said for all other majors. He has 13 combined starts at the other three majors and just one top 20 finish. He has nearly as many missed cuts (six) as made cuts (seven) across those 13.<\/p>\n<p>Royal Birkdale is one of the 10 shortest courses in use during the 2026 PGA Tour schedule, so driving distance isn&#8217;t much of a factor. However, the course has over 100 bunkers, so precision is paramount. Clark is just 83rd in driving accuracy percentage and only 65th in greens in regulation percentage. One shouldn&#8217;t expect another run up the leaderboard for Clark at this major as he&#8217;s one to fade with Open Championship bets.<\/p>\n<p>New to sports trading? Visit our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/kalshi-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kalshi promo code<\/a>\u00a0review to see their latest offers and get started.<\/p>\n<p>The model has also examined McIlroy&#8217;s (+750) chances of becoming a two-time Open champion, after winning the event 12 years ago in 2014. He remains the last Brit to win the British Open and aims to become the 12th golfer with seven major championships. McIlroy has been all over the leaderboard at recent editions of this major, with three top 10s and three finishes 46th or worse over his last six Open starts. He does have promising course history at Royal Birkdale, placing fourth when the course hosted the 2017 Open Championship. If he can utilize momentum from that showing and make his way to the top of the leaderboard, then McIlroy&#8217;s seventh major title would tie him with Harry Vardon for the most by any British golfer.<\/p>\n<p>The model has also locked in its projection for Scheffler (+750) who, with a victory at Royal Birkdale, would become the first back-to-back Open champion since Tiger Woods in 2005-06. Scheffler has never had a bad performance at this major, notching top 25s in all five of his Open starts. While his top 5 and top 10 finishes are on pace with what he did the last two years, the victories have not kept up. He won his first tournament of 2026 but has come up short in his ensuing 13 events.<\/p>\n<p>The difference this year could be Scheffler&#8217;s opening round struggles as he led the tour in Round 1 scoring each of the last three seasons. However, he ranks 34th this year and is often digging himself into a hole that he hasn&#8217;t been able to quite climb out of. Even with that, his metrics are unparalleled on the PGA Tour as Scheffler leads it in strokes gained: total, scoring average and birdie average.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-wyndham-clark\/#ttag=07072026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See the full Open Championship projections from the model here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>How to make 2026 Open Championship   picks<\/p>\n<p>The model is also targeting several longshots, including one who is going off around 35-1.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-wyndham-clark\/#ttag=07072026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can only see the model&#8217;s picks here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Who will win the 2026 British Open, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the 2026 Open Championship odds below and then <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-wyndham-clark\/#ttag=07072026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that&#8217;s nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025, and five straight Masters<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>2026 Open Championship   odds, favorites\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-wyndham-clark\/#ttag=07072026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Get full 2026 Open Championship picks, best bets and predictions here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Odds via FanDuel (subject to change)<\/p>\n<p>Rory McIlroy +750<br \/>Scottie Scheffler +750<br \/>Tommy Fleetwood +1800<br \/>Matt Fitzpatrick +2000<br \/>Jon Rahm +2000<br \/>Xander Schauffele +2200<br \/>Chris Gotterup +3000<br \/>Collin Morikawa +3000<br \/>Ludvig \u00c5berg +3000<br \/>Wyndham Clark +3300<br \/>Cameron Young +3300<br \/>Tyrrell Hatton +3300<br \/>Justin Rose +3300<br \/>Robert MacIntyre +3300<br \/>Viktor Hovland +3500<br \/>Bryson DeChambeau +4500<br \/>Sam Burns +4500<br \/>Patrick Reed +5000<br \/>Shane Lowry +5500<br \/>Brooks Koepka +5500<br \/>Russell Henley +5500<br \/>Justin Thomas +5500<br \/>Jordan Spieth +6000<br \/>Joaquin Niemann +6000<br \/>Patrick Cantlay +6000<br \/>Aaron Rai +6500<br \/>Tom Kim +6500<br \/>Si Woo Kim +7000<br \/>Min Woo Lee +8000<br \/>Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard +8000<br \/>Hideki Matsuyama +8000<br \/>David Puig +10000<br \/>Rickie Fowler +10000<br \/>Maverick McNealy +10000<br \/>Brian Harman +10000<br \/>Marco Penge +10000<br \/>Alex Fitzpatrick +10000<br \/>Corey Conners +10000<br \/>Adam Scott +10000<br \/>Harris English +10000<br \/>Kurt Kitayama +10000<br \/>Cameron Smith +10000<br \/>JJ Spaun +10000<br \/>Akshay Bhatia +10000<br \/>Kristoffer Reitan +10000<br \/>Ben Griffin +10000<br \/>Sepp Straka +12500<br \/>Bud Cauley +12500<br \/>Jake Knapp +12500<br \/>Jordan Smith +12500<br \/>Rasmus H\u00f8jgaard +12500<br \/>Max Homa +12500<br \/>Ryan Gerard +12500<br \/>Ryan Fox +12500<br \/>Alex Noren +12500<br \/>Jason Day +12500<br \/>Sungjae Im +15000<br \/>Tom McKibbin +15000<br \/>Eugenio Chacarra +15000<br \/>Keegan Bradley +15000<br \/>Angel Ayora +15000<br \/>Harry Hall +15000<br \/>Keith Mitchell +15000<br \/>Gary Woodland +15000<br \/>Jacob Bridgeman +17500<br \/>Alex Smalley +17500<br \/>Jayden Schaper +17500<br \/>Pierceson Coody +17500<br \/>Haotong Li +17500<br \/>Sahith Theegala +17500<br \/>Jackson Suber +17500<br \/>Matt Wallace +17500<br \/>Lucas Herbert +17500<br \/>Thomas Detry +17500<br \/>Daniel Berger +17500<br \/>Max Greyserman +17500<br \/>Michael Brennan +17500<br \/>Ryo Hisatsune +17500<br \/>Eric Cole +17500<br \/>Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +17500<br \/>J.T. Poston +17500<br \/>Daniel Hillier +22500<br \/>Billy Horschel +22500<br \/>Andrew Novak +22500<br \/>Casey Jarvis +22500<br \/>Nick Taylor +22500<br \/>Bernd Wiesberger +22500<br \/>Sami Valimaki +25000<br \/>Louis Oosthuizen +25000<br \/>John Parry +25000<br \/>Michael Kim +25000<br \/>Daniel Brown +25000<br \/>Matthew Jordan +25000<br \/>Matt McCarty +25000<br \/>Hennie du Plessis +35000<br \/>Jesper Svensson +35000<br \/>Sam Stevens +35000<br \/>Scott Vincent +35000<br \/>Laurie Canter +35000<br \/>Michael Hollick +35000<br \/>Jose Luis Ballester +35000<br \/>Peter Uihlein +50000<br \/>Martin Couvra +50000<br \/>Frederic Lacroix +50000<br \/>Keita Nakajima +50000<br \/>Padraig Harrington +50000<br \/>Nico Echavarria +50000<br \/>Kazuma Kobori +50000<br \/>Andy Sullivan +50000<br \/>Francesco Molinari +50000<br \/>Francesco Laporta +50000<br \/>Antoine Rozner +50000<br \/>Alejandro De Castro Piera +75000<br \/>Kota Kaneko +75000<br \/>Matthew Southgate +75000<br \/>Dan Bradbury +75000<br \/>MJ Daffue +75000<br \/>Joakim Lagergren +75000<br \/>Shaun Norris +75000<br \/>Stewart Cink +75000<br \/>Adrien Saddier +75000<br \/>Caleb Surratt +75000<br \/>Nevill Ruiter +100000<br \/>Baard Bjoernevik Skogen +100000<br \/>Travis Smyth +100000<br \/>Naoyuki Kataoka +100000<br \/>Marcus Plunkett +100000<br \/>Cameron John +100000<br \/>Tiger Christensen +100000<br \/>Ryutaro Nagano +100000<br \/>Jeong Woo Ham +100000<br \/>Lev Grinberg +100000<br \/>Jack Buchanan +100000<br \/>Stuart Grehan +100000<br \/>Matthew Baldwin +100000<br \/>Kazuki Higa +100000<br \/>Sam Bairstow +100000<br \/>Darren Clarke +100000<br \/>Fifa Laopakdee +100000<br \/>David Duval +100000<br \/>Mason Howell +100000<br \/>Ren Yonezawa +100000<br \/>Jiho Yang +100000<br \/>James Nicholas +100000<br \/>David Howard +100000<br \/>Mateo Pulcini +100000<br \/>Henrik Stenson +100000<br \/>Tim Wiedemeyer +100000<br \/>Jack McDonald +100000<br \/>Alistair Docherty +100000<br \/>Austen Truslow +100000<br \/>Tom Sloman +100000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Americans have won each of the last three British Opens, with Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele and Brian Harman&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":21235,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[12921,14243,44,1368,1366,14242,3785,14239,14238,14240,1367,1365,1369,399,14241,208,424],"class_list":["post-35017","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-scottie-scheffler","tag-2026-open-championship","tag-clark-open","tag-golf","tag-golf-odds","tag-golf-picks","tag-mcilroy-open-championship-picks","tag-open-championship-2026","tag-open-championship-odds","tag-open-championship-picks","tag-open-championship-predictions","tag-pga-odds","tag-pga-picks","tag-pga-predictions","tag-rory-mcilroy","tag-scheffler-open-championship-picks","tag-scottie-scheffler","tag-wyndham-clark"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35017","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35017"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35017\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21235"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35017"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35017"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35017"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}