The final round of the 2026 3M Open is underway at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, and rookie Jackson Koivun enters the final round with a three-shot lead \u2014 and the market firmly behind him.<\/p>\n
For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the PGA.<\/p>\n
The story through 54 holes<\/p>\n
The week belonged to record-setters before Sunday even arrived. Michael Kim fired a 59 on Friday<\/a> \u2014 the 15th score of 59 in PGA Tour history \u2014 to briefly own the tournament. Then Koivun answered on Saturday with a bogey-free 61<\/a>, posting a tournament-record 28 on the back nine that included eagles on the par-5 12th and the closing par-5 18th. The Auburn product is now at 20 under par, three clear of Ben Kohles and Emiliano Grillo, with Scottie Scheffler six back after a third-round 64 that showed the world No. 1 is fully awake.<\/p>\n “It felt great,” Koivun told the Associated Press<\/a> after Saturday’s round. “It’s what you work for. I definitely felt some nerves.”<\/p>\n Kim, whose 59 made him the headline act through two rounds, shot a 70 on Moving Day and dropped to T-6, five off the pace. Michael Brennan and Chandler Phillips each went deep as well \u2014 a third-round 63 from Brennan pushed both into a tie at four back. Billy Horschel and Denny McCarthy sit five behind at T-6 alongside Kim.<\/p>\n Koivun vs. the field: winner market<\/p>\n Traders give Koivun a commanding 54% chance to close this out \u2014 the kind of probability that reflects both the lead and the pressure of a first professional win on the line. Kohles and Grillo follow at 10% each, with Scheffler drawing 7% despite sitting six back. Michael Brennan, four off the lead at 16 under, checks in at 6%.<\/p>\n Scheffler’s presence is the storyline worth watching. A world No. 1 has never won in Minnesota on the PGA Tour<\/a>, and conditions figure to tighten as the afternoon broadcast shifts from Golf Channel to CBS at 3 p.m. ET. Still, six shots is a significant deficit with one round to play.<\/p>\n Top 5 finish market<\/p>\n