{"id":16254,"date":"2026-03-05T17:09:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T17:09:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/16254\/"},"modified":"2026-03-05T17:09:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T17:09:12","slug":"385-tanulmany-is-alabecsulhette-a-tengerszint-magassagat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/16254\/","title":{"rendered":"385 tanulm\u00e1ny is al\u00e1becs\u00fclhette a tengerszint magass\u00e1g\u00e1t"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Vil\u00e1gszerte al\u00e1becs\u00fclhett\u00e9k a tengerszintet a pontatlan modellez\u00e9s miatt \u2013 egy \u00faj kutat\u00e1s szerint ugyanis az \u00f3ce\u00e1nok szintje j\u00f3val magasabb lehet a kor\u00e1bban gondoltn\u00e1l.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10196-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Nature<\/a> c\u00edm\u0171 tudom\u00e1nyos foly\u00f3iratban megjelent publik\u00e1ci\u00f3 szerz\u0151i \u00f6sszesen 385, 2009 \u00e9s 2025 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt k\u00f6zz\u00e9tett, szak\u00e9rt\u0151i lektor\u00e1l\u00e1son \u00e1tesett tanulm\u00e1nyt vettek g\u00f3rcs\u0151 al\u00e1, \u00e9s \u00f6sszevetett\u00e9k a t\u00e9nylegesen m\u00e9rt, valamint az \u00e1ltal\u00e1nosan felt\u00e9telezett partmenti v\u00edzszinttel.<\/p>\n<p>A szerz\u0151k arra jutottak, hogy a vizsg\u00e1lt tanulm\u00e1nyok t\u00f6bb mint 90 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9ka nem helyi, k\u00f6zvetlen tengerszintmagass\u00e1g-m\u00e9r\u00e9sekre t\u00e1maszkodott, hanem \u00fagynevezett glob\u00e1lis geoidmodellekhez viszony\u00edtott sz\u00e1razf\u00f6ldi magass\u00e1gm\u00e9r\u00e9sekre.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2026\/mar\/04\/global-sea-levels-underestimated-poor-modelling-research\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">The Guardian<\/a> ismerteti: a geoidmodellek a F\u00f6ld gravit\u00e1ci\u00f3ja \u00e9s forg\u00e1sa alapj\u00e1n becs\u00fclik meg a glob\u00e1lis tengerszintet. Mint a kutat\u00f3k most r\u00e1mutatnak, \u00e1tlagosan 24\u201327 centim\u00e9terrel becs\u00fclhett\u00e9k al\u00e1 a tengerszintet ezzel a m\u00f3dszerrel. Bizonyos esetekben az 550\u2013760 centim\u00e9tert is el\u00e9ri az elt\u00e9r\u00e9s m\u00e9rt\u00e9ke.<\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/hvg.hu\/tudomany\/20230627_nasa_video_animacio_tengerszint_emelkedese_1993_2022_hajoablakon_abrazolva_hullamok_vizszint\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> <\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/hvg.hu\/tudomany\/20230627_nasa_video_animacio_tengerszint_emelkedese_1993_2022_hajoablakon_abrazolva_hullamok_vizszint<\/p>\n<p>Philip Minderhoud, a hollandiai Wageningen Egyetem munkat\u00e1rsa megjegyzi: a val\u00f3s\u00e1gban a tengerszintet t\u00f6bb t\u00e9nyez\u0151 is befoly\u00e1solja, mint p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a sz\u00e9l, az \u00e1ramlatok, valamint a v\u00edz h\u0151m\u00e9rs\u00e9klete \u00e9s s\u00f3tartalma is.<\/p>\n<p>Az \u00faj kalkul\u00e1ci\u00f3k alapj\u00e1n a tengerszint egy m\u00e9teres emelked\u00e9s\u00e9t k\u00f6vet\u0151en a part menti ter\u00fcletek 37 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9ka ker\u00fcl a tengerszint al\u00e1. Ez ak\u00e1r 132 milli\u00f3 embert is \u00e9rinthet, \u00e9s azt jelenti, hogy a tengerszint-emelked\u00e9s hat\u00e1sai hamarabb jelentkezhetnek a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l.<\/p>\n<p>Ha m\u00e1skor is tudni szeretne hasonl\u00f3 dolgokr\u00f3l, l\u00e1jkolja <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/hvg.tech\" title=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/hvg.tech\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">a HVG Tech rovat\u00e1nak tudom\u00e1nyos felfedez\u00e9sekr\u0151l is h\u00edrt ad\u00f3 Facebook-oldal\u00e1t<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Vil\u00e1gszerte al\u00e1becs\u00fclhett\u00e9k a tengerszintet a pontatlan modellez\u00e9s miatt \u2013 egy \u00faj kutat\u00e1s szerint ugyanis az \u00f3ce\u00e1nok szintje j\u00f3val&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16255,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[8],"tags":[9318,9315,42,1355,43,34,3057,9316,9317,124,94,93,92],"class_list":["post-16254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-vilag","tag-eghajlatvaltozas","tag-emelkedo-tengerszint","tag-hungarian","tag-klimavaltozas","tag-magyar","tag-news","tag-tengerszint","tag-tevedes","tag-teves-adat","tag-tudomany","tag-vilag","tag-world","tag-world-news"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@hu\/116177676957923712","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16254","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16254"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16254\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16255"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16254"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16254"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16254"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}