{"id":17181,"date":"2026-03-06T12:22:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T12:22:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/17181\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T12:22:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T12:22:08","slug":"ezert-is-fajni-fog-a-magyaroknak-az-irani-haboru-nem-csak-az-uzemanyag-ara-szallhat-el","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/17181\/","title":{"rendered":"Ez\u00e9rt is f\u00e1jni fog a magyaroknak az ir\u00e1ni h\u00e1bor\u00fa: nem csak az \u00fczemanyag \u00e1ra sz\u00e1llhat el"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A k\u00f6zel-keleti h\u00e1bor\u00fa kit\u00f6r\u00e9se, majd a Hormuzi-szoros lez\u00e1r\u00e1s\u00e1nak h\u00edr\u00e9re a Brent-olaj jegyz\u00e9s\u00e1ra szinte azonnal hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nt ism\u00e9t 80 doll\u00e1r f\u00f6l\u00e9 ugrott, amire a hazai forgalmaz\u00f3k m\u00e1ris reag\u00e1ltak. Az \u00fczemanyagok dr\u00e1gul\u00e1sa az els\u0151 bombabiztos jelz\u00e9s, aminek hat\u00e1s\u00e1ra a t\u0151kepiaci szerepl\u0151k rendszerint m\u00e1ris \u00e1t\u00e9rt\u00e9kelik a befektet\u00e9seiket.<\/p>\n<p>Napokon bel\u00fcl v\u00e1rhat\u00f3, hogy p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul egy \u2013 a Hormuzi szoroson elakadt \u2013 gabonasz\u00e1ll\u00edtm\u00e1ny okozta piaci zavar ut\u00e1n a kock\u00e1zati t\u0151kebefektet\u0151k nagyobb sz\u00e1mban jelennek meg a term\u00e9nypiacon \u2013 el\u0151legezi meg Pet\u0151h\u00e1zi Tam\u00e1s.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>A gabona \u00e1ra ugyanis rendszerint egy\u00fctt v\u00e1ltozik m\u00e1s commodity term\u00e9kekkel, \u00edgy els\u0151sorban az \u00fczemanyagok \u00e1r\u00e1val.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<\/p>\n<p>                    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/a-buza-aranak-alakulasa-az-arupiacon-az-elmult-egy-honapban-forras-trading-economics_lgc.jpg\" alt=\"A b\u00faza \u00e1r\u00e1nak alakul\u00e1sa az \u00e1rupiacon az elm\u00falt egy h\u00f3napban. Forr\u00e1s: Trading Economics\"\/><br \/>\n                    A b\u00faza \u00e1r\u00e1nak alakul\u00e1sa az \u00e1rupiacon az elm\u00falt egy h\u00f3napban. Forr\u00e1s: Trading Economics<\/p>\n<p>B\u00e1r az id\u00e9n \u00e9v elej\u00e9n a szok\u00e1sosn\u00e1l nagyobb \u00e1tmen\u0151 k\u00e9szletek j\u00f3volt\u00e1b\u00f3l jelent\u0151sen tov\u00e1bb cs\u00f6kkent itthon is a f\u0151bb gabonaf\u00e9l\u00e9k, f\u0151leg az \u00e9tkez\u00e9si illetve a takarm\u00e1nyb\u00faza, n\u00e9mileg a takarm\u00e1nykukorica termel\u0151 \u00e1ra is, az \u00fajabb h\u00e1bor\u00fa miatt v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 \u00e1rkorrekci\u00f3 sem biztos, hogy jav\u00edtani fogja a hazai n\u00f6v\u00e9nytermeszt\u00e9s j\u00f6vedelmez\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9t. A m\u00e1ris zuhan\u00f3 <a href=\"https:\/\/privatbankar.hu\/arfolyamok\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">forint\u00e1rfolyam<\/a>, az \u00fczemanyagok dr\u00e1gul\u00e1sa ut\u00e1n ugyanis az energiaig\u00e9nyes input-anyagok \u00e1ra, azaz a termeszt\u00e9s \u00f6nk\u00f6lts\u00e9ge is szinte biztosan emelkedni fog.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00e1r a GOSZ eln\u00f6ke szerint \u2013 alig p\u00e1r nappal a h\u00e1bor\u00fa kit\u00f6r\u00e9se ut\u00e1n \u2013 m\u00e9g korai lenne v\u00e9szforgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyveket k\u00e9sz\u00edteni, de az biztos, hogy \u2013 a m\u00e1r folyamatban l\u00e9v\u0151 tavaszi munk\u00e1k, f\u0151leg a kukorica vet\u00e9se el\u0151tt \u00e9rdemes alaposabban nyomon k\u00f6vetni a nemzetk\u00f6zi, hazai piaci folyamatokat a vet\u00e9stervek \u00f6ssze\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1n\u00e1l.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/orban-viktor-baratai-sokkal-nagyobb-kart-okoznak-mint-zelenszkij_th.jpg\" alt=\"Orb\u00e1n Viktor bar\u00e1tai sokkal nagyobb k\u00e1rt okoznak, mint Zelenszk\u00edj\" class=\"cikkajanlo-kep img-fluid mb-0\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Az Agr\u00e1rk\u00f6zgazdas\u00e1gi Int\u00e9zet janu\u00e1r v\u00e9gi \u2013 m\u00e9g az ir\u00e1ni h\u00e1bor\u00fa kezdete el\u0151tti \u2013 elemz\u00e9se szerint az \u00e9tkez\u00e9si \u00e9s a takarm\u00e1nyb\u00faza termel\u0151i \u00e1ra tonn\u00e1nk\u00e9nt m\u00e9g a hetvenezer forintot sem \u00e9rte el, amely huszonegy sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal volt kisebb a 2024 janu\u00e1rin\u00e1l. A nyomott \u00e1rat az egyre nagyobb glob\u00e1lis k\u00e9szletekkel magyar\u00e1zta a Nemzetk\u00f6zi Gabonatan\u00e1cs, amely a 2025\/2026-os gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9vre \u2013 az el\u0151z\u0151n\u00e9l \u2013 \u00f6t sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal t\u00f6bbre (842 milli\u00f3 tonn\u00e1ra) becs\u00fclte a vil\u00e1g b\u00fazaterm\u00e9s\u00e9t, mik\u00f6zben felhaszn\u00e1l\u00e1s v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an enn\u00e9l szer\u00e9nyebb \u00fctemben n\u0151. A progn\u00f3zist azonban alapjaiban \u00edrhatja \u00e1t a k\u00f6zel-keleti h\u00e1bor\u00fa, ha emiatt akadozik a vil\u00e1gkereskedelem, \u00e9s l\u00e1m, m\u00e1ris emelkedik a b\u00faza \u00e1ra a p\u00e1rizsi t\u0151zsd\u00e9n.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/arokszallasi-zoltan-es-balog-beki-marta_th.jpeg\" alt=\"\u00c1roksz\u00e1ll\u00e1si Zolt\u00e1n \u00e9s Balog-B\u00e9ki M\u00e1rta\" class=\"cikkajanlo-kep img-fluid mb-0\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A k\u00f6zel-keleti h\u00e1bor\u00fa kit\u00f6r\u00e9se, majd a Hormuzi-szoros lez\u00e1r\u00e1s\u00e1nak h\u00edr\u00e9re a Brent-olaj jegyz\u00e9s\u00e1ra szinte azonnal hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nt ism\u00e9t 80 doll\u00e1r&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17182,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[5560,4010,38,35,37,44,42,40,43,41,34,36,39],"class_list":{"0":"post-17181","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-hirek","8":"tag-agrarium","9":"tag-elelmiszeripar","10":"tag-focimek","11":"tag-headlines","12":"tag-hirek","13":"tag-hu","14":"tag-hungarian","15":"tag-hungary","16":"tag-magyar","17":"tag-magyarorszag","18":"tag-news","19":"tag-top-stories","20":"tag-vezeto-hirek"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@hu\/116182210580325465","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17181","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17181"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17181\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17182"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17181"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17181"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17181"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}